Newspoll: 53-47 to Coalition; Essential Research: 54-46

GhostWhoVotes reports that the latest Newspoll is slightly less bad for Labor than what they’ve been growing accustomed to, with the Coalition lead at 53-47. More on that as it comes to hand. UPDATE: Full tables from GhostWhoVotes. Changes on the primary vote are slighter than the two-party shift (from 55-45 last time) might lead you to expect: Labor up a point to 33 per cent, Coalition down one to 44 per cent, Greens steady on 12 per cent. Tony Abbott’s personal ratings are coming out of a trough, his approval up six to 42 per cent and disapproval down five to 48 per cent. Julia Gillard is down a point on approval to 38 per cent and steady on disapproval at 49 per cent. Better PM has tweaked from 46-37 in Gillard’s favour to 45-36.

We have also had today a status quo result from Essential Research, with two-party preferred at 54-46 (steady), the Coalition on 47 per cent (steady), Labor on 35 per cent (steady) and the Greens on 9 per cent (down one). Other questions related to respondents’ level of interest in federal politics and perceptions of the media, the latter being consistent with past surveys showing public broadcasters favoured over commercial, the media mistrusted generally but not to the same extent as politicians, and partisans of either side as likely as each other to consider the media biased against them.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,270 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Coalition; Essential Research: 54-46”

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  1. Frank

    What I am talking about has nothing to do with Kevin Rudd. I don;t know what got you thinking I am a Rudd supporter.

  3. [However, the people responsible for nastiness in said factions continue to get rewarded.]

    I can’t believe Whan got overlooked for the upper house.

    Stupidity. Rank stupidity.

  6. Before he was preselected, how long had Phil Koperberg been a member of the ALP for?
    Does anybody know? If it hadn’t been that long, it might have been another example of the outsider coming in and being chewed up and spat out.

  7. [3251

    bluegreen

    Posted Friday, May 6, 2011 at 5:44 pm | Permalink

    Frank

    What I am talking about has nothing to do with Kevin Rudd. I don;t know what got you thinking I am a Rudd supporter.
    ]

    I am simplty pointing out that Kevin Rudd used the same Factional sdystem which eventually brought his downfall.

    I don’t recall Rudd’s supporters attacking Rudd in 2006 about the “Evil Factions” like they did in 2010.

  8. [And it will guarantee that there will be no majority reports produced.]

    Bluegreen, that’s almost an Agincourt Award nominee effort! To guarantee nomination, you’ll have to put more muscle into drawing your longbow. You have a few keen competitors in the PB ranks.

  9. Ta Ozpol

    You liked the long-bow I drew. I am practising for a role as an opinion writer in the Australian media scene.

    I also think my hyperbole needs inflating.

  10. [It is interesting that you can’t take your friends views as representing the community. Are they telling you something that you don’t want to hear?]
    You must have hundreds of friends you speak politics to if you can come to the conclusion that the community also thinks like this. I really don’t understand how you can believe that by getting the opinions of friends and family that that then means the rest of the community must think that way.

  12. Hi Guys,

    I am all excited. When I left at lunchtime today there were crews who had blocked the road outside my driveway. My mind being elsewhere I didn’t take much notice but what I did notice was they were working on the overhead electrical lines – laying this humungous reel of cable.

    Could this be the NBN?

  14. [So Tone’s been on the BirdshitPhone then.]

    I reckon Tone made them a promise, and hasn’t been able to keep it. Thus he won’t stop harping.

  17. Andrew Probyn has picked up what I discussed yesterday. Welfare reform is expensive.

    [The Budget’s second purpose is to present the blueprint for the Prime Minister’s participation agenda, or as Julia Gillard puts it, the expectation that all those who can work do work.

    Although her commitment to the participation agenda is long-standing, she has framed the coming changes as part of the reformist continuum of the Hawke and Keating governments. This is potentially dangerous pre-positioning given it has lifted expectations that major changes will be made.

    But such reform chews up money in the short term, rather than saving dollars, because slapping tighter restrictions on such things as disability support pension and teenage mums in receipt of the parenting payment comes with administrative and training costs, even if the ultimate goal is to make more of them taxpaying workers.]

    http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/opinion/post/-/blog/andrewprobyn/post/175/comment/1/

  18. [ I really don’t understand how you can believe that by getting the opinions of friends and family that that then means the rest of the community must think that way.]

    Does it follow then that we can take the published polls as being representative of what the community must think!

Comments are closed.

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