The latest Roy Morgan face-to-face poll has Labor’s primary vote falling three points to 34 per cent, their worst result in this series since October 1997 (NOTE: Not 2007, as this post read originally). The Coalition is up two to 48 per cent, with the Greens up half a point to 11 per cent. On both the respondent-allocated and previous-election measures of two-party preferred, the Coalition lead is at 54.5-45.5, respectively comparing with 53.5-46.5 and 52-48 last time. Labor can perhaps take some consolation that the Morgan face-to-face pro-Labor bias seems to have alleviated a little since the carbon tax was introduced. Where traditionally this series has had Labor about 3 per cent higher than the phone poll average, it has lately been more like 1 or 2 per cent. This result covers polling from last weekend, encompassing an unusually small sample of 791.
[centre mining tax plus waste plus carbon tax equals Labor death]
mining tax = positive
cabon tax = a good thing to be accepted in time
waste = WHAT WASTE? You mean NO recession?
[fredn
Posted Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 10:10 pm | Permalink
Frank Calabrese
Posted Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 10:06 pm | Permalink
Interesting thaty the LIberal Vote increase is at the expense of The Greens, and not Labor.
Are the $150,000 earners who are Green Voters switching to the Libs cos Brown is backing Labor re removal of their “Welfare” ?
Lost faith in margins of errors? Polls are now absolute?
]
Look at the Primary Vote – -who has lost support since last Newspoll.
A clue – not the ALP 🙂
[Centre
Posted Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 10:07 pm | Permalink
biasdetector
Carbon tax reason for the polls
I don’t believe that you really believed Julia lied? A competent PM must act according to changing circumstances.
Did Gillard know she would lead a minority government when she said no carbon tax? NO!
See, no lie!
Name another?]
Ju-liar said and I quote “there will be no carbon tax under a government I lead” unless you are saying the government is lead by Brown etal (which is fair) then she LIED
These budget questions are good news for the ALP.
People have low expectations. If they can get through to the end of the year, they should be in better shape.
On top of that, most people think the Coalition wouldn’t have done a better job with the budget.
[confessions
Posted Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 10:09 pm | Permalink
GhostWhoVotes GhostWhoVotes
#Newspoll Would L/NP have delivered better #Budget for economy: Yes 38 No 41 #auspol]
Ummm so it isn’t economic credability?
cuppa
the reality is that the fibs are sinking in
the ppm from both polls is shite
now is the the time for all good wo/men to come to the aid of the party
the green attacks must cease
it aint doing anyone any favours
🙁
So a majority of people believe that the Budget was good for the country and also that the Opposition would not have delivered a better Budget.
I expect that to be headline news, then?
[cabon tax = a good thing to be accepted in time]
How can a tax that exports jobs be good???
it simply transfers carbon dioxide output to CHINA
[Gusface
Posted Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 10:12 pm | Permalink
cuppa
the reality is that the fibs are sinking in
the ppm from both polls is shite
now is the the time for all good wo/men to come to the aid of the party
the green attacks must cease
it aint doing anyone any favours
]
Ahem, Tell that to certain posters – it takes two to tango here.
Mumble said this about Preferred/Better PM a while ago
[
So will Tony overtake Julia as better prime minister? Don’t be surprised if it happens.
It wouldn’t mean much in terms of electability, but it would have an effect on general commentary, and on Labor operators, imbued with opinion polling mumbo jumbo.
Then they’d start with the ‘mate, we can’t win under Julia’ stuff.
‘Better PM’ is important not for what it means (which isn’t much) but for what people think it means.
]
I agree
http://blogs.theaustralian.news.com.au/mumble/index.php/theaustralian/comments/better_pm_2007_2011/
Uncertainty surrounding the carbon tax is certainly a major factor
[Frank Calabrese
Posted Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 10:11 pm | Permalink
….
A clue – not the ALP 🙂 ]
Look at the number of people polled, look at the margin of errors. What you wrote is as rubbery as the figures.
New thread.
I saw some comparison of the carbon tax with the GST this is false
GST taxed importers and not exporters
Carbon tax taxes exporters and not importers =job distruction
you guys are just looking at the selling… and they have tried the product is crap
[fredn
Posted Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 10:14 pm | Permalink
Frank Calabrese
Posted Sunday, May 15, 2011 at 10:11 pm | Permalink
….
A clue – not the ALP
Look at the number of people polled, look at the margin of errors. What you wrote is as rubbery as the figures.
]
no – I call it the end of Peak Green 🙂