Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition

Galaxy has published its first poll of federal voting intention in two months, and now as then the result reflects the overall polling trend: the Coalition’s two-party lead is at 56-44, compared with 54-46 last time, from primary votes of 49% for the Coalition (up two), 30% for Labor (down four) and 13% for the Greens (up one). Three further questions elicit a general mood of hostility towards the government, only one of which strikes me as being particularly instructive: 52% express support for a no-confidence motion and an early election, against 38% opposed. When Essential Research asked simply about support for a new election in early March, the results were 44% supportive and 46% opposed. The poll was conducted over the past there days from a sample of 1012, with a margin of error of about 3%.

UPDATE: Consolation of a sort for Labor from Essential Research, which at least doesn’t echo Galaxy’s finding of appetite for a new election (support down two since March to 42%, opposition up two to 48%), but their voting intention result has deteriorated yet further. The Coalition now leads 57-43, up from 56-44 last week, although the changes on the primary vote are slight: the Coalition is up one to 50%, with Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%. Other questions find overwhelming support for the government’s aged care reform package (61% against 7% opposed), although 62% concede they know little about them. It was also found that 39% supported agreed with Joe Hockey’s sentiments about Australians receiving too much assistance from the government, with 33% disagreeing.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,189 comments on “Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition”

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  1. Re Mirrabella and that Will
    __________________

    I understand tha the Will of Mirrabella’s fprmer lover Prof Howard(and lavish funded of her campaigns ) is now being challenged in the Vic Court…by Howard’s wealthy adult offspring
    Mirrabella is the executor..who are not pleased !

  3. Morris hasn’t officially apologised.
    Speers on twitter said he had spoken to Morris & he apologised.
    But myself and a deluge of tweeters said, “not good enough” & demanded a public apology on the show.
    Won’t hold my breath!

  5. Bemused, if she had left it to others she would have been called weak. i will agree on the ‘earlier’ point though. but hell, the press in this country would have found fault with it then too. she can’t win mate. they say she gets it wrong all the time, but if you asked them what she can do to fix things they’d say she can’t. on a hiding to nothing!

  6. Ged is too good for reith or mirebella ,think she will enter politics ,thinks on he feet or sitting down like the PM does.,sophie stuffed up on carbon tax as not yet in,abbotts dun her well.

  14. [and she was just trying to appear hairy chested. Not a good look for a female PM!]

    You don’t have to scratch far below the surface to reveal the open misogyny and sexism.

    Naughty Ms PM for trying to sit the wankers back in their seat as any reasonable ‘hairy chested’ man would do! And get brownie points and kudos from the misogynists for having done so. You’ve got tits and wear skirts, so please give us demure at the risk of offending our gendered sensibilities.

    FFS. Absolutely appalling.

  16. Scrutineer @ 2000

    Ok, lets say at the next election voters flee Labor and the Coalition for other parties and we have a new group of parties in parliament. Would anything change?

    Perhaps not, and to be honest I am an anarchist and do not really support democracy at all.

    But by tying all of their advocacy up with the Labor Party (a party with extremely strict discipline and a party which has been moving steadily rightwards for decades) progressives by virtue of not being in public advocating genuine leftwing change leave the field empty and this means that the centre moves continually rightwards and what is considered “normal” and “mainstream” move rightwards too.

  19. [Deyfus is quite amused by the ramblings of the Puff Adder.]

    How disappointing. I would’ve thought he’d be appalled like normal, sensible folk.

  20. Just watching Q&A: Why are all the policy questions being directed to the Coalition politicians. We have a Labor minister on the panel and he hasn’t been given a question to answer for 15 minutes.

  21. rummel @ 1987

    Do not look at Sophie – she is conducive to erectile dysfunctions.

    I think Sophie looks good.

    Oh dear… what must Mrs Rummel look like is Sophie looks good to you? The poor woman! 👿

  24. Reith: “Yeah, they gouge their businesses, go broke, leave their unsecured creditors (like sole-trader subcontractors) out of pocket, and go off and do it all over again. It’s great!”

  25. as with all journo’s Tony KNOWS the coalition will be the govt anyday.. so he might as well ask them the policy questions.

  29. confessions,

    I think the time has come (probably well past) to hit the little darlin’s below the belt. After all, testicles are soooooo fragile…

  41. [So any bets on Newspoll tonight?]

    Coalition to lead 2PP 101 to -1. Primaries ALP -10, Coalition 95, Green 10, Other 5

    Harry Jenkins preferred Labor Leader.

    Early election: Yes 55 No 30 Dey took our jerbs! 15

  43. confessions @ 1994

    And yet people are of the view that Ruddstoration would make everything ok.

    No-one talks about it more than you. It seems to be an obsession. Get help.

  46. All these prayers,look forward to smoke pots and chicken claws.also beware of greeks bearing gifts,think if sophie offered anything would run a mile.

  47. LSL

    Chomsky says something very similar.

    He is a very smart man who speaks mostly simple truth and common sense, although for some reason I can never really like him much. He seems a bit cold.

  48. Oh Sophie …. Not even the grace to concede the point re tolerance of other faiths …the very ugly face of the modern libs

  50. [rummel
    Posted Monday, April 30, 2012 at 10:33 pm | Permalink
    bluegreen

    60/40 Libs]

    Why so generous? 🙂

    Only kidding I guess 55:45. Still a thrashing in anyones books.

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