This week’s Essential Research poll gives Labor its worst result since the company opened for business in 2008: a primary vote of 29%, down two points on last week, and a two-party preferred deficit of 58-42. The former is particularly alarming for Labor, as Essential typically has Labor’s primary vote a few points higher than the phone pollsters. The Coalition and the Greens are steady on 50% and 11%.
With respect to the economy, 66% allowed that it had performed better than other countries’ over the past few years (although this was down from 70% in August last year), with 15% believing it to be worse (up from 10%). In the event of another global financial crisis, 42% would better trust the Liberal Party to deal with it than Labor, on 25%. Forty-six per cent anticipate the economy will get worse over the next 12 months against 23% who think it will get better (the figures when the question was asked a year ago were 37% worse and 27% better).
Sixty-two per cent believe a politician accused of an offence should stand down from their positions, against 27% who believe they should be allowed to continue. Questions on banking suggest the public to be well to the left of the elites on these matters: 55% would support the establishment of a government-owned bank, 74% forcing banks to charge rates in line with the Reserve Bank, 81% capping chief executive’s salaries, 92% limiting bank fees to the costs of the service and 59% a super profits tax on banks (the numbers opposed were respectively 23%, 16%, 12%, 5% and 21%). Fifty-nine per cent would support a levy on large transactions of currencies, bonds and shares, with 16% opposed.
just in, I think…
[“Peter Costello hits back at Michael Kroger as former friends’ feud goes public”]
but cannot seem to be able to get in this time….
What where they ask about and where they all wealthy, if so of course not
@BG/7582
Of course it’s an Average budget – I never suspected the budgets from GFC or even just before PRE-GFC would be any GREAT ONES.
SILLY QUESTION.
Jackie Trad confirmed as state member for South Brisbane (deadline for postals ended on May 8) http://www.ecq.qld.gov.au
Qld state parliament 2012-15:
LNP 78
ALP 7
KAP 2
Ind 2
@7597 – yes, but he was openly declared as such. Such a good result for Bligh from that tactic by the LNP…..oh…
Thanks to those who pointed out the Morgan budget poll. With the curious exception of the late Howard years, there has been a very strong correlation of the past 25 years between approval of the budget and support for the government, such that Morgan’s 19% good, 43% average and 25% bad is probably a bit better than you’d expect from a government 58-42 behind.
[One thing Costello get right…according to Kroger …Costello said that Abbott is a” DLP stooge”]
Onya, Deblonay. I kneel at your feet!
I know DLP stooge was being bandies about, esp in the East of the River Blue-Blood belt, and that K Andrews (NE mezzo/wannabe-toffee-nosed belt around Doncaster, Templestowe et al) is so Not Happy.
But it takes me forever (esp if I need to look thing up) to type and edit a long post – first draft looks like Enigma code! -so I hadn’t seen your post before I posted it
I guess if it’s going to be Mason Prods v Santa’s Micks, it’s going to be in Melb’s toffier suburbs.
PS: I really do love Melbourne, esp buildings, galleries, museums and the shot tower in the middle of Melb Central.
@7604 – I recommend the Volvo XC90 as a good 7 seater. Jeremy Clarkson has one.
OzPol Tragic if your interested there is an excellent Melbourne based website called
Walking Melbourne
It has a forum with lots of photos of current and past Melbourne
lol @ the morgan poll budget survey
questions
“I live in Sydney’s North-West and there is not enough spent on infrastructure including for the NorWest railway.”
Isnt the railway more state responsibility
Abbott is going to find it hard to gain some airtime soon.
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/business/breaking-news/high-court-to-hear-class-action-against-anz-bank-fees/story-e6freuyr-1226353078928
First post under my initials instead of my name. No relation to Dr Stupid.
A change in working arrangements now requires some circumspection.
Do I get this right, in answer to Labor’s barrage of budget commitments Abbott’s reply is no, you suck, and the only Coalition policy I offer is to have 40% percent of your sprogs learn to speak some unidentified foreign language?
And the MSM in depth analysis of this revelation is exactly what?
God help us.
@7610 MB – funny – I thought Education and Health were State responsibilities but we have billions of dollars spent annually and tens of thousands of CPS employed by the Feds in those areas.
You want to play that game?
Well, that worked a treat, didn’t it?
@7611 – it isn’t Abbott who needs the clear airtime to sell a message.
Morgan Poll has primaries of LNP 50.5%, ALP 29%.
No TPP yet – I suppose 58-59:42-41
I would be very surprise if there is any real positive change in any polls that come out over the next couple of weeks.
It just does not happen.
Like carbon pricing, any financial assistance from this budget needs to be lived not read about.
Only 25% thinking the budget is bad is a good start anyway, I would reckon.
Funny how the ordinary mum featured in the Terror today is far from ordinary.
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/julia-gillard-comes-to-grief-on-a-rocky-shore/story-e6freuy9-1226352464040
[With professional tertiary qualifications in Psychology, Nutrition and Employment Relations, 4 years as a crisis counsellor and over 15 years as a corporate executive in multinational corporations in Australia and Asia, Beryl Truong brings a diverse range of experiences, practicality and compassion to her psychic and healing practice. Her clairvoyant and psychic gifts were awakened 5 years ago in Asia and Egypt, and combined with recent motherhood, she answered the calling to abandon the Boardroom and work with Spirit. She has conducted readings and healings in Singapore, Indonesia, Australia and worked at the Mind Body Spirit Festivals in Sydney. ]
Why do they bother. If you live in Forestville your house cost you close to a million bucks and you need a huge income to live there if you have a mortgage. End of Story.
@7613
[it isn’t Abbott who needs the clear airtime to sell a message]
Of course not ,he gets a free ride ,especially with murdoch,but now with reith running their abc ,abbott has alwauys had free air time but gets more now.
You won’t buy many votes with money but you’ll lose plenty by threatening to take their money away from them and that’s going to be Tone’s problem.
[You want to play that game?]
Ever heard of Medicare Crank?
Two Morgan polls
F2F ALP 39.5 (-2) L/NP 60.5 (+2)
Phone ALP 42 (-1) L/NP 58 (+1)
[OzPol Tragic if your interested there is an excellent Melbourne based website called
Walking Melbourne]
Ta, MB. I have a stack of family in M, and most of the conferences I attended also seemed to be in M; but when the music, art, antiques, music & fashion were really buzzing in the 70s & early 80s – early May, via Sydney’s Archibald prize (& galleries) used to be magic – I’d stay at MelbU’s Janet Clarke Hall, close to the Melba Hall and Lygon St.
[Two Morgan polls
F2F ALP 39.5 (-2) L/NP 60.5 (+2)
Phone ALP 42 (-1) L/NP 58 (+1)]
No budget bounce, then.
Ruawake all media have this habit of surveying people in safe seats.
Of the people surveyed post election only one lived in a seat with a margin of under 5% (Berwick -La Trobe)
I left out Herald Sun surveyed
ruawake @ 7616
Apart from which, stuff like this indicate she is a fruitcake.
[No budget bounce, then.]
Will will not know until the poll that must be obeyed is released. 😆
e Bob Posted Friday, May 11, 2012 at 3:40 pm | Permalink
lol @ the morgan poll budget survey
questions
“I live in Sydney’s North-West and there is not enough spent on infrastructure including for the NorWest railway.”
Isnt the railway more state responsibility
So how can we take polls seriously, i live nearly 2000 miles from sydney
So we dont count then, may be time for william to stsrt ignoring polls
Cannor the the site just be the bludgers for god sake
e Bob Posted Friday, May 11, 2012 at 3:40 pm | Permalink
lol @ the morgan poll budget survey
questions
“I live in Sydney’s North-West and there is not enough spent on infrastructure including for the NorWest railway.”
Isnt the railway more state responsibility
I image she votes Green,
Many Green voters like to look at alternative and paranormal activities
OzPol Tragic @ 7530
Couldn’t agree more. Ergo the ALP have a future to sell and the coalition have only vandalism and wind. It will be a stark choice come the election. The enemy barks but has no bite.
Bemused I wonder if she can tell us when Gillard will be replaced and by whom?
Yeah my say
i agree
bemused@7626
Appears the DT now does free luney ads,well that fits their image.
Plus for a bonus point how will Tone fill his budget hole
davidwh @ 7631
Shhhh! We just got everything quietened down again comrade. 😀
Posted Friday, May 11, 2012 at 3:27 pm | Permalink
ALP (42%, up 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis.
How could it be worse when its up
Is there three polls then
[Apart from which, stuff like this indicate she is a fruitcake.]
Lots of money in the mind – spirit continuum. 😉
Schnappi @ 7633
Hi Schnappi, good to see you back for more.
For free you say? Hmmmm that lends itself to some creative opportunities. 😉
My Say it’s 1% down for Labor on the previous phone poll and 2.5% up for Labor on a face to face poll from last weekend
deblonay if you are there.
I think you should do the right thing and apologise to Schnappi over the snarky remark you made last night.
Up to you.
[In the first poll since the Federal Budget L-NP support is 58% (down 2.5% since the face-to-face Morgan Poll conducted last weekend, May 5/6, 2012) compared to the ALP’s 42% (up 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis according to a telephone Morgan Poll conducted over the last two nights, May 9/10, 2012.]
Gary Morgan – get a real Job. 🙁
@7619 ruawake – your point is?
my say @7636
ALP (42%, up 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis.
How could it be worse when its up
———————
Probably because labor picked up 2.5% , the polls wanted blood labor losing more ground
[Bemused I wonder if she can tell us when Gillard will be replaced and by whom?]
I thought you’d splurged your three bucks on Shorten?
@7629 – you’ll upset Gaia withthat sort of attitude.
Are you in Perth. I hope not because the next tsunami/earthquake/name your natural disaster is coming your way.
Well mwguire it seems sydney centered, how dow know where questions where ask,
If questions are ask in astate that is very liberal u woul d expect this result.
If it where my blog and its not i would not have polls here till 6 months out from an ele tion
I dont give a stuff about syndney trains, so i am not polled,
Is that fare, disenfranchised again,
My Say
One is a phone poll, the other is a face to face poll
I’m always a bit suspicious of Morgan polls but it’s even more suspect to compare phone polls to FTF polls. I think all we can say is that the rests are somewhat consisten with other polls. Basically we are back to where we were last July/August
Sydney and Melbourne and increasingly Brisbane dominate polling due to population size and number of marginal seats.
plus the myth that western Sydney is marginal seat territory