GhostWhoVotes reports the Galaxy poll of 800 Queensland respondents which gave us state results on Saturday now brings us federal results, indicating a 59-41 Coalition lead in the state from a swing of about 4%. This compares with a 55-45 result in the last such poll in February, which seemed a little favourable to Labor at the time. On the primary vote, Labor is down five to 28% and the Coalition is steady on 46%.
There has also been Queensland state polling over the weekend from Galaxy and ReachTEL, which you can read all about here.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 34%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8%. Two-party preferred is unchanged at 55-45. Other questions find Joe Hockey leading Wayne Swan as more trusted to handle the economy 37-28, out from 35-32 before the budget; 43% believing Tony Abbott should accept the Gonski reforms against 34% who favour the existing model; 51% saying climate change is caused by humans against 35% opting for normal fluctuation; support on opposition for carbon pricing tied at 43% all, the most favourable result yet recorded; 39% favouring it against 29% for the Liberals’ “direct action” policy (at least with respect to the policies as described in the question); and only 26% believing Tony Abbott will fulfill his promise to remove both the mining and carbon taxes while keeping the carbon tax compensation measures.
The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has Labor up 1.5% to 33.5%, the Coalition steady on 45.5% and the Greens down half a point to 9.5%. Both respondent allocated and previous election two-party preferred measures have shifted from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5, providing further evidence that Morgan’s new methodology has resolved the inexplicable discrepancy between these measures which bedevilled the old face-to-face series (as well as its Labor bias).
Mike Hilliard:
[Fran – just checking that you know I was not being critical]
Not a problem.
GG
[Strangely, I believe she is probably a superb Lit/English teacher. That probably forgives everything imho.]
That’s very generous of you. It would be even better if I were an English/Lit teacher 😉
Currently I teach a combination of D&T, Computing/IT and History — which is not to say I wouldn’t like to teach English/Lit!
mick77 – your a creep. Go snog yourself.
GoodNight
guytaur
[
GoodNight
]
🙂
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=egX9N8yOgaU
Confessions I am starting from the perspective of a Lib voter.
In 2007 while it was time for a change it was hard to let go of the golden era.
In 2010 I really wanted to vote to get some new blood into the Lib ranks and I also didn’t honestly believe it would end up as close as it did. So while I had real reservations about Abbott I thought it was safe to vote for Wyatt Roy.
In 2013 I really am concerned we will end up with TAPM so personally have to go against my natural instincts. It’s a challenge.
Fran,
My daughter has just returned from her Yr 12 Drama SAC which she does off Campus.
Daresay the drama between the individuals in her team outstripped anything they creatively produced. However, she’s learnt that collaboration exists and is looking forward to a career in Theatre where everyone works together for the common cause and eschews selfishness.
Just like in real life!
[1800
Mick77
OMG now there are other Fran groupies I see. You’ve started something real bad mikeh…]
prolly has something to do with the red-baiting or the sick-making slurrings…prolly…dunno…could be the 1970’s were a long time ago…prolly just the baiting…it stinks like bad breath…like old lies fermenting…
Faulkner has said is ashamed to be part of the Labor Party today, yet we are meant to vote for them?
briefly
[prolly has something to do with the red-baiting or the sick-making slurrings…prolly…dunno…could be the 1970′s were a long time ago…prolly just the baiting…it stinks like bad breath…like old lies fermenting…]
Good comment. I put it into google translate and apparently in English it means: “Yes Mick77, you are right”. Thank you.
mikeh
Fran will disown you if you don’t learn to spell proply:
[your a creep]
You are a creep = you’re a creep! Got it?
Mick, you have Fran on the brain.
davidwh:
Sounds like you really want to vote on policy rather than personality. 🙂
In that sense the choice is clear.
gg
[However, she’s learnt that collaboration exists and is looking forward to a career in Theatre where everyone works together for the common cause and eschews selfishness.]
Much as it should be … 😉
Sean Tisme
“Faulkner has said is ashamed to be part of the Labor Party today, yet we are meant to vote for them?”
What does Malcolm Frasier think of the Liberals these days?;)
Malcolm Fraser wasn’t a real Liberal
Sean,
Yeah, Bob Menzies was a secret Communist sympathiser too!
[1815
Sean Tisme
Malcolm Fraser wasn’t a real Liberal]
Strewth.
@Sean/1815
Now I’ve read everything!
Peter Van Insolent.
On the renamed ‘Showdown’.
Spruiking it for Murdoch. My rough translation.
PVI. Abbott will without a shadow of a doubt will be PM.
Interview with Mr X..gambling ads. Nick states his case.
PVO. What about Poor Old Tom.
Xenophon. I would not have described him as that.
More Rich and Young.
The possibility if you are re elected. Huh?
(Pardon? Why so certain about Abbott).
Nick will no question be re elected.
DN 1813
[Mick, you have Fran on the brain.]
You’re right – I should get back to sticking it to Gillard and the Greens.
I know how ridiculous and unimportant and unrepresentative our anecdotes are so let’s add yet another one: Spoke today to the widow of an old friend who died a few years ago. This couple were so one-eyed old-school Labor it was embarrassing at times to have them at a dinner party. With no prompting from me (honest) she declares she is voting Liberal and she just can’t stand Gillard and Swan and they deserve etc etc. I was speechlesssssssssssssss, for once, and found myself, Moi, defending the terrible twosome .. well you know they’re not that bad etc …!
[Currently I teach a combination of D&T, Computing/IT and History — which is not to say I wouldn’t like to teach English/Lit!]
What’s D&T?
FRAN BARLOW.
I felt hugely insulted on your behalf when I read that ridiculous and ill informed attack upon you.
You are for mine very much appreciated.
Digs,
S&M for Teachers.
Crikey on the balance of probabilities the longer the Coalition holds a strong lead and the closer we get to the election the more likely we get TAPM. It’s hard to see things changing sufficiently unless something really big happens.
Diog
Can’t do much harm teaching D & T, Design & Technology, but cripes History “.. and then the kindly old Lenin described the evils of capitalism and the proletariat sang as one …”
Mick77, the better mousetrap
Mick, it doesn’t surprise me in the least that the concept of separating the personal from the professional escapes you.
davidwh,
Elections are decided beyond reasonable doubt, not balance of probabilities.
CW
[FRAN BARLOW.
I felt hugely insulted on your behalf when I read that ridiculous and ill informed attack upon you.]
Which one? Not mine I hope, which was informed.
DN
[Mick, it doesn’t surprise me in the least that the concept of separating the personal from the professional escapes you.]
That’s not the way I remember History & English teachers at school who always tried to shove their ideas down our throats, but fortunately I was a slow learner and it was a long time ago.
That you can’t stand ideas doesn’t surprise me either :P.
Tiche proclaims..: “Malcolm Fraser wasn’t a real Liberal.”
Vee haff vays of picking zee reel Liberals!
Well I’m gonna quit while ahead and hit the sack before they send the thought police to come and get me. Too late .. Arggggh.
[ By definition, some amongst us must be typical if Player One’s observation has meaning. One can’t be weird if everyone is. It would be an existential paradox — as even your last words seem to acknowledge.
Personally, as a humanist, I believe people share enough experience to speak of ‘typical’ humans without implying derogation. It is quite another thing to want not to be typical. It’s merely a plea to be distinctive — someone who is not the prisoner of the elites and their interests; someone who self-examines and struggles to grasp the scope of their journey and the people who can share it. ]
Or someone who is so obsessed in self-examination that the journey has become more meaningful than the destination?
Or someone who is such a dedicated humanist that their humanism has surpassed existentialism and is approaching the realms of the absurd?
Or perhaps you are simply reading more into my comment than was actually intended. Perhaps I just meant that it was weird that someone should spend so much time on a psephological site who continually boasts that they have no intention of actually voting – not even for the party of which they are a member?
I can’t help but wonder what you discuss with other party members when you meet them – do you perhaps try and persuade them not to vote either? Perhaps you could propose a motion to rename your party the “Nihilist” party? But then, I guess none of you would vote for that either.
On the other hand, you do at least provide some welcome relief from the constant barrage of anti-intellectual trolls that PB seems to have attracted recently.
Sean Tisme
“Malcolm Fraser wasn’t a real Liberal”
I’m sure he would disagree. Given that he, you know, was a Liberal PM and all.
If even a former Liberal PM can’t support the Coalition, why should we?:devil:
Don’t worry, I’m sure they won’t find any evidence of thought, with you being so threatened by them.
‘I was a slow learner and it was a long time ago.’
Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose.
[I’m sure he would disagree. Given that he, you know, was a Liberal PM and all.]
He was a big spending economic incompetent.
Howard was frustrated with the mess Fraser was giving him in his big spending agenda not too different from Whitlam.
[Malcolm Fraser wasn’t a real Liberal]
He was a lot closer than any of the clowns who followed him as ‘leaders’ of the ‘liberal’ party.
GG #1828 agree and I didn’t suggest any certainty just more likely.
Sean Tisme
Next you’ll be telling he he wasn’t a real Scotsman!
You shifty goalpost-shifter you!;)
[He was a big spending economic incompetent.
Howard was frustrated with the mess Fraser was giving him in his big spending agenda not too different from Whitlam.]
Hilarious Howard was his Treasurer it was Howard’s fault and Howard was the biggest spending highest taxing PM we’ve ever had, clearly he learnt nothing from his early failures.
[ Howard supported the Campbell report, but adopted an incremental approach with Cabinet, as there was wide opposition to deregulation within the government and the treasury.]
Incremental approach being code for ‘no ticker’ hilarious he’d chose a Treasurer just like him later.
Well I think Fraser is to Liberal what Rudd is to Labor.
davidwh@1843
They’re both “all mouth and no trousers”?
Have we ever have had more ex-prime ministers alive at the same time than we do now?
[Well I think Fraser is to Liberal what Rudd is to Labor.]
Nah, more like the Mark Latham
Davidwh. I cannot see the connection.
‘Well I think Fraser is to Liberal what Rudd is to Labor.’
I would have thought that Fraser is a true liberal. By your standards someone you would admire. And rightly, as it turns out.
What is Rudd, in that comparison?
@Sean/1846
Fraser was PM, Mark wasn’t.
Rudd is someone to hate and denigrate because he was a victim and a constant reminder of the failure of gillard. Also hated the more so because he is the only one who can save Labor from a thrashing, something that Gillard’s ardent supports vomit over.
TP @ 1849
Well, that is a fresh thought.