New results from Newspoll, Essential Research and Morgan this week have pushed Labor over the line into majority territory on both the seat projection and two-party preferred in this week’s BludgerTrack poll aggregate. The outstanding fact of the present seat projection is that Labor continues to hold the ground where Queensland’s large clump of marginal seats is located. New state breakdowns from Newspoll and Morgan have helped iron out a few quirky results from last week, namely a four-seat loss for Labor in Victoria and a two-seat gain in Western Australia. The state projections in particular should begin to stabilise now that a deeper pool of post-leadership change data is becoming available.
UPDATE: AMR Research has a national online poll of 1107 which turns the tables on the Liberals by showing Labor 51-49 ahead on the present arrangement, but 57-43 behind if Malcolm Turnbull were leader. The primary votes are 42% for Labor, 43% for the Coalition and 7% for the Greens. This is AMR Research’s second foray into national political polling, the first being a poll conducted in March was roughly in line with the polling trend of the time.
UPDATE 2: ReachTEL has published results of a union-commissioned poll of federal and state voting intention in Queensland, which at federal level has Labor on 40.8%, the Coalition on 44.2%, the Greens on 4.4%, Katter’s Australian Party on 3.9% and the Palmer United Party on 4.6%. Applying 2010 election preferences to this, with everyone other than Labor, the Coalition and the Greens condensed into others, returns a result of 52-48 to the Coalition, a swing of 3% which if uniform would net Labor six seats. The sample size for the poll was 1613. I’ve covered the state aspects of it as an update to my earlier Queensland Newspoll post.
Attitude Puff… You haven’t been the same since Julia was knifed by the termite…
Saw something hilarious on #auspol
The Labor Dirt spambot recycling a tweet with the message Labor 45 / Libs 55. Only the link pointed to this page..
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/polling
oops 😀
BK@2265
Yes, a game played by gentlemen. 😆
Oh, the ladies also play too. 😉
Rudd maybe merde beneath my shoe, but he is just one pile of merde, Abbott is an anus which produces many piles of merde, therefore I will vote for a pile rather than a pile-maker.
Which means that our poltical scene is in the sewer.
The betting seems to have consolidated:
Average Best Odds Available:
LNP $1.40
ALP $3.10
Don’t get too confident Bludgers, we are still behind but we have a contest 😎
Pyne on Lateline now responding to extension for Newman
jv
No, your line of argument was quite different. To me anyway!
What was the ALP and LNP primaries in NSW in 2010?
[Which means that our poltical scene is in the sewer.]
Thank God we have you to lift the discussion quality!
Mod Lib@2276
Or mere assertions that effectively re-state what they are trying to prove.
I wanna see a Celebrity Deathmatch!
Rudd vs Abbott!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yKs8ft0dBss
Sewers are necessary, without them the political scene would be floating around in the open causing a stink.
PMD 2354 Think policy, not personality and your dilemma will be easier to manage.
Bilbo
Even two bob watches give the correct time.
To whoever it was going on about the knifing of ST Kevin. Julia was too soft, she made him FM. She should have knifed him, knifed him again, cut off his goolies, stuffed them down his sexist throat and thrown him to the crocodiles, and then had him thrown out of the party.
You can’t be nice to people like that, every kindness just brings its own punishment,
Mod, I only think you’re wrong when you’re wrong :D.
jv
Who does equality hurt?
Put yourself in others shoes?
Discrimination?
No, that’s NOT was Rudd was saying as I have expressed in my post!
Quit while your ahead or I will stick to my original views 😛
@UN: She’s here! Ban Ki-moon just welcomed Malala to the United Nations. Friday is #MalalaDay & #UNYouthTakeover. http://t.co/5REAdJRdPJ
24 broadcasting from 11:30for those wanting to see a real warrior for woman’s rights
Hang on a second….I think I have GOT IT!
Puff likes Gillard and Puff doesn’t like Rudd.
Did I do good? 🙂
I think a couple of posters need some toilet paper to wipe their chins and lips…
Life is a series of mistakes, it’s not a question of being right, it’s a question of not being too wrong too often ;).
Get the feeling the first Test is slipping away from Oz? Betting market suggests so:
Poms into 1.86
Oz out to 2.3
Malcolm Turnbullshit into gold
Mod Lib 2368 Very droll….pay attentionto the cricket
ML
@Newsweek: How gold lost its luster http://t.co/icVAQzqA72
Ash isn’t getting any more wickets so my focus is back on PB
Rossmore “PMD 2354 Think policy, not personality and your dilemma will be easier to manage.”
Well that post was a resounding success, wasnt it?
Rossmore, if at first you don’t succeed, try and try again?
Wait, is that the advice some others are following? Hmmm.
Puffy
Rudd’s goolies were safe on the back bench 😯
Unfortunately, had Julia not listened to the Greens, as she was warned on numerous occasions here at PB that they’re bad news, she more than likely would have still been in the job.
No such problems with Rudd, or Bowen for that matter, they know, they don’t need to be told 😀
confessions@2293
Indeed they do. Just look at how Labor’s electoral fortunes have turned around since the weakest link was removed last month. 👿
Centre
Well obviously the first mistake for any politican to make is not to read PB …
Bilbo, I think it would be kindness, not to mention avoiding the interest of the AFP, to give PMD an early bath
Puff.
Would you mind shutting up for one single moment.
You may think your life is tough.
And it may be.
You don’t even start in my category.
Wouldn’t want to be chasing too many runs with Swann ready to tear us to shreds on a deteriorating wicket.
[Well obviously the first mistake for any politician to make is not to read PB…]
Exactly 😀
Centre
No, it has always been the direct point of the simple removal of discrimination with no resulting harm to anyone from my quarter. The offending words have only been in the Marriage Act since the Howard Government anyway. It isn’t as if it is written on stone tablets, as Gillard and Emerson tried to imply.
puff o the language,, Julia was/is such a lady
I doubt she ever . thought of sentences like that
Mod lib your man again!
Agar’s got his second! Bairstow
Well, seeing as I have only been here for a few minutes, and have obviously upset the Tea and Cucumber Sandwiches set, I will leave all you precious petals to your Gillard kicking.
ML:
[What difference does it make whether it is right of centre or left of centre or centre?]
{sigh} Left-of-centre people will mostly give the ALP their effective preference. VoA is important to right-of-centre folk. Right-of-centre folk get male talk commentators.
She is a woman, and she led the radio ratings, so the argument that women do not have the voice of authority is ludicrous.
[If you are talking about the ultra right, aren’t they monarchists? Who is the Monarch again?]
The Queen
a) doesn’t stand for election
b) hardly speaks in public
c) doesn’t make claims about politics so needs no VoA
FTR, the ultra right isn’t composed entirely of monarchists, though that’s moot anyway.
Is this tweet authentic?
Kimberley Kitching @kimbakit 5h
After carefully considering my friend Kevin Rudd’s and the former PM’s wishes, I’ve decided to support educator Joanne Ryan in Lalor.
It’s a bit odd, because Kitching was still running this afternoon.
it always gives me the pip when people have to use
the anatomy of a male in descriptions,
its really quite un clasey
Puffy
Nobody is Gillard kicking.
I think your the one with the footy boots on 😯
my son was sent to his room for F word , its just not necceassary/
@BreakingNews: Rights activists meet with NSA leaker Edward Snowden at Moscow airport – @BBCNews; for more, including new photo: http://t.co/zou0oSiIjJ
Tables turned
Oz into 1.68 favourite, Poms out to 2.5
YAY Ash!!!!
Goodnight all
Puff, j-v, confessions, guytaur…
It must be a good thing for us to be brought to the point of quite rare agreement. K is one very brave woman – indomitable.
🙂
Is it true there is a poll that shows the Coalition ahead 55% to Labors 45%?!?!
Psephos
Surely not? Why would Unity persist with this madness?