GhostWhoVotes relates that the latest Newspoll has Labor leading 52-48, up from 51-49 last fortnight. Labor is up a point on the primary vote to 36%, and the Coalition down one to 40%. More to follow. UPDATE: The Australian report relates that Bill Shorten’s approval rating is up three points to 36%, which is the first time a poll has moved in his favour in quite a while. UPDATE 2: Full tables here; to fill in the blanks, Shorten’s disapproval is steady at 43%, Tony Abbott is up two on approval to 40% and steady on disapproval at 50%, and Abbott’s lead as preferred prime minister nudges from 42-36 to 43-36.
Today’s Morgan result, combining its regular face-to-face and SMS polling from the last two weekends, was the Coalition’s worst since the election, recording a 1.5% shift on the primary vote from the Coalition (to 38%) to Labor (38.5%), with the Greens down a point to 11% and Palmer United up half a point to 4.5%. On 2013 election preferences, this gives Labor a 53.5-46.5 lead, up from 52.5-47.5 a fortnight ago, while on respondent-allocated preferences the shift is from 53.5-46.5 to 54.5-45.5. Morgan has also been in the business lately of providing selective state-level two-party results, which are presumably based on respondent-allocated preferences. From this poll we are told Labor had unlikely leads of 56.5-43.5 in Queensland and 52-48 in Western Australia, together with leads of 54.5-45.5 in New South Wales and 55-45 in Victoria, and an unspecified “narrow” lead in South Australia.
UPDATE (Essential Research): Essential Research has Labor back up a point on the primary vote after it fell two last week, now at 37%, with the Coalition up one for a second week. The Greens and Palmer United are at 9% and 4%, with others down a point and the other loose point coming off rounding. Respondents were quizzed about the attributes of the major parties, which provides good news for Labor in that “divided” is down 14% to 58%, and “clear about what they stand for” is up 8% to 42%. Those are also the biggest movers for the Liberals, respectively down 6% and up 7%, although they are still performing better than Labor on each at 50% and 32%. The worst differential for Labor is still “divided”, at 26% in favour of the Liberals, while for the Liberals it’s “too close to the big corporate and financial interests”, which is at 62% for Liberal and 34% for Labor.
A question reading “as far as you know, do you think taxes in Australia are higher or lower than in other developed countries” turns up the fascinating finding that 64% of respondents believed they were higher versus only 8% for lower, while 65% believed taxes to have increased over the last five years versus 9% for decreased. Forty-seven per cent believe the current level of taxation is enough versus 33% who believe they will need to increase. The poll also finds 50% opposed to following New Zealand’s example in holding a referendum on changing the flag versus only 31% supportive.
bug1
Or perhaps two have a problem. Or perhaps all three have a problem.
BW
Yes and as a result Hockey does not answer
NBN.
Madame Speaker, perhaps having another of her serial senior’s moments, has just cocked up another seat name.
Turnbull bewailing kids being unable to do their homework.
g
Yep.
Turnbull trying to be portentious.
Mumble says “Worst government ever” 🙂
[In opinion polls, this is the worst-performing new federal government since the early 1980s and probably before (when polling data is sketchy). ]
http://blogs.theaustralian.news.com.au/mumble/index.php/theaustralian/comments/how_much_for_victory/
The Essential report confirms, yet again, that the overwhelming reason for Labor’s loss at the last election was the “divided” party as represented by the constant Leadership sniping between Gillard and Rudd.
The Party has done well to improve it’s position since September. Much credit needs to go to the smooth transition to Shorten and the apparently united front being presented.
Of course, lack of discipline, selfish headline seekers and factional jousting will derail the ALP quickly.
The Abbott Government’s poor peformance since the election is allowing Labor to consolidate. However, with the best part of three years still to go till the next election, Labor has a lot of hard work to do to be regarded as electable.
WA Senate elections porkbarrelling by Turnbull.
tsk, tsk.
I am running XP. Do I have to panic? Should I ask Turnbull’s advice? 😀
Abbott’s bastard act against war orphans coming home to roost.
War orphans are like conscripts: the Liberals get and screw them before they can get the vote.
SSO motion
Shorten moves to reinstate veterans kids bonus.
A very abstruse SSO motion.
Essentially: Abbott’s bastard act against war orphans.
24 cuts Shorten off.
[Graham Perrett @GrahamPerrettMP 8m
These comments from LNP about the MRRT are not dissimilar to Hansard from 30 years ago about PRRT. Now Australia reaps the benefits. #auspol]
I don’t understand handing out welfare to well-to-do-mums via a GST by stealth while cutting etitlements to orphans of war veterans.
Abbott is not sitting around to listen to his bastard act playing out in public.
“@LatikaQT: OL BS attempting to suspend standing orders. #qt Leave not granted says Pyne. BS now trying to call on debate for children of war vets pment”
Shorten dishing out on Abbott for fleeing Reps.
When Microsoft stop any support for XP just having a good virus protection program might not be enough.
@RichardDiNatale: Richard successfully moved a Senate motion today on racial discrimination. http://t.co/iuNDkQ0a79
– Team RDN http://t.co/1mTBgblvFR
CTari
When Microsoft stop any support for XP just having a good virus protection program might not be enough.??
Why?.
Child Abuse Royal Commission
It seems obvious the Pell has attempted to “ring fence ” Church & himself from anything to do with Ellis & not successful IMO
The RCs today questioning is again relentless, also questioning the connection between Church entities & tax exempt status .
The recommendations of the RC will go to the heart of what constitutes a just & moral society.
Will prove to be a very very difficult issue for Hockey & Abbott to deal with.
FFS . They cross to the minister and we learn……… The search area is a long way away. There are planes from several countries and ah um .Well that is about it. Bigger waste of time than an Abbott MH370 announcement.
milenko
I feel His Honour has wreaked a lot of damage today.
Tony Burke is a fantastic communicator.
Absolutely skewering Govt mp’s.
@LU/329
Linux is not safe either.
I can’t remember hearing “cataclysmic” previously.
[State of budget ‘cataclysmic’: Abbott
1 HOUR AGO MARCH 25, 2014 2:21PM
PRIME Minister Tony Abbott says Labor has left the budget in a cataclysmic mess which will require firm action to fix.
Mr Abbott told the final meeting of the coalition party room before the May 13 budget that all MPs needed to remind voters over the six-week parliamentary break of the size of the fiscal challenge.]
http://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/state-of-budget-cataclysmic-abbott/story-e6frfku9-1226864362953
@Citizen/380
He’s getting ready for more excuses to cut.
BK
Pell will have hands full tomorrow
I suspect the RC has a lot more to discuss with him & today was laying the ground work
bug1
Posted Tuesday, March 25, 2014 at 3:00 pm | Permalink
[Newspoll: ALP+GRN = 49
Morgan: ALP+GRN = 49.5
Essential: ALP+GRN = 42
Me thinks one of these pollsters has a problem.]
Add Nielsen [and that’s the one suspected of ‘leaning’ to the COALition]:
ALP+GRN = 47
I think Essential significantly understates the Greens vote.
The other 3 pollsters recently put the Greens at: 13, 11, and 12 whereas Essential only has 9.
milenko,
The RC tells us what we already know, will make recommendations that have largely already been implemented, will make all the participants a lot of money and will be forgotten and gone within a few months of completion.
Poodle is hilarious.
poroti
I never find him the slightest bit amusing. What’s he done now?
Very painful world heading for bust unlike any other
http://www.theage.com.au/business/markets/very-painful-world-heading-for-bust-unlike-any-other-says-jeremy-grantham-20140325-35f34.html
[Linux is not safe either.]
I didn’t say it was, but it is free and update are released continually, and a flavour like ubuntu is really quite easy to use these days, especially if you’re mainly running a browser.
GG
Have you been listening / watching the RC… the “detail” is sickening ( I speak of process not the abuse which is worse ).
The Church “motives ” in all of this are very questionable.
The main stream press is unable to convey the extent of all the machinations in a 2min grab
Just watch it!
Liberals vote to strip military orphans of benefits
@LU/388
MS releases updates almost every Tuesday now, running a secure browser like Firefox with addons like AdBlock, and others will secure your computer.
Most Malware/virus come through either Web Email or dodgy website.
As long as you secure your computer and operating system, either system can be secure.
GG
The “I don’t recall ” … “I don’t recall the dialogue ” … “i don’t believe it happened “…. it goes on & on… incredulous !
They are reading emails…. “offer him nothing ” ( Ellis )
1934pc
I think that’s what they’re getting at when they talk of ‘reverse engineering’ newer patches but I’m no expert!
GG
You knew that the Church was cross examining alleged victims to say that they were not abused when the Church’s own enquiries said the opposite.
lizzie
Upset about being “ambushed” by Shorten SSO. Shorten wanted a go at the gov cutting the money to vets orphans. His voice kept slipping in to prissy mode 🙂
Re Citizen @380: PRIME Minister Tony Abbott says Labor has left the budget in a cataclysmic mess which will require firm action…
Did anyone challenge Tony Abbott to define what he meant. To show where Australia’s budget position sits on a league table with comparable countries? Compared with Italy, Greece, Ukraine and even the USA which are arguably in a cataclysmic mess?
Of course not. It’s more lies and disinformation from a duplicitous, deceitful Prime Minister.
He is probably preparing the ground to break more promises, so expect to see the Education funding reforms and the NDIS ‘deferred’. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Parental Leave scheme and Direct Inaction were ‘deferred’, with our withdrawal from even token efforts to address climate change blamed on the previous Government. He must not be allowed to get away with this.
By the way, if the situation is so dire, why is Abbott repealing the mining tax just before it starts to make money, dropping billions of revenue from carbon pricing, supporting millionaire so-called ‘self funded’ superannuants, handing billions to elite ‘private’ schools and not attacking rorts like novated leases?
poroti
I’d be nervous about ambushing the poodle. He might get snappy and bite and who knows what germs he carries.
Zoid, yes yes yes, but my comment was in response to various people commenting on XP’s slow demise, and if an upgrade is warranted, and its Windows 7 for $120 vs Ubuntu for $0, I thought they might be interested.
And I like Ubuntu 😉
LU
[And I like Ubuntu ]
So do I but mine ‘updates’ OK but will never automatically ‘upgrade’ which is a pain is the ar#e.
GG
Further ..
The RC is reading emails/ advice between Church’s lawyers & themselves… Ellis is being churned… justice or moral duty is the Last thing on their minds.