Only one new federal poll this week, that being the always reliable Essential Research, and it has made only the most negligible of differences to the weekly BludgerTrack poll aggregate numbers. Nonetheless, the 0.2% shift to Labor on two-party preferred is sufficient to score them an extra seat in Queensland on the seat projection. Essential also provided its once-monthly new data point for the leadership ratings, and while Bill Shorten is up a little on net approval, here too there is no real change worth writing home about.
If you’re after a meatier read than this post has been able to offer, you may enjoy my paywalled article in Crikey yesterday on the apparent leftward drift in voter sentiment over the past two decades, and the absence of the growing polarisation so widely noted in the United States. I also have a rather extensive new post on developments in the Victorian election campaign.
@1748… that’s true. While Newspoll is known for wild swings… that would be one hell of a swing.
Hate to be a wet blanket but a move back to 51-49 or even 50-50 after 54-46 last time would surely qualify for a PVO wow.
That said I would not be surprised if it goes the other way.
The Youth Republic of Nauru can write letters:
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/nov/17/locals-tell-refugees-to-leave-nauru
More trouble for the Admiral of the Ocean Sea?
Has Credlin, BTW, told Morrison to STFU?
Darn and others
Newspoll is unlikely to swing to the LNP look at today’s Morgan. Newspoll will be somewhere in the same territory
Let’s hope so Guytaur. I was just playing the devil’s advocate.
It rather looks as if the St Helena Giant Earwig has joined the Dodo and the Paradise Parrot.
Kool
New ‘Solar Cloth’ Allows Solar Cells To Be Stretched Across Parking Lots, Stadiums http://thkpr.gs/3592449
1750
Having the main tread bellow a state thread gets the state tread more attention. This is appreciated by those of us who read and comment on them. They are interesting and their discussions last longer.
AA@1740 DEFINITELY not offended.
[1710
Greensborough Growler
BTW are we all dead from Ebola yet?]
Still on my first incarnation here, but hoping for an upgrade on the next model…built in GPS would be helpful, and some extra RAM…
AA’s comment about Gina was offensive and utterly unnecessary in my opinion.
[ 1761
Jackol
Posted Monday, November 17, 2014 at 9:25 pm | PERMALINK
AA’s comment about Gina was offensive and utterly unnecessary in my opinion.
]
Agreed. I ignored it at first, but after his non-apology his comment needs to be condemed.
G
I have never once complained about a state thread or two being on top of the list. Nor do I have a problem with a current election getting a few more threads. However, as it stands, the main thread is 7 down. I, thus, don’t think it’s unreasonable of me to look forward to the main thread being bumped up by a new post about the pending Newspoll.
briefly,
Not sure about those but I did hear the solution to the Australian Cricket Team’s woes was ebola and an ebatsman and some efielders.
[I have never once complained about a state thread or two being on top of the list. Nor do I have a problem with a current election getting a few more threads. However, as it stands, the main thread is 7 down. I, thus, don’t think it’s unreasonable of me to look forward to the main thread being bumped up by a new post about the pending Newspoll.]
Let’s have a thread about thread placement!
Mediawatch is going after the government
Would that be e-ffective?
eGGregious?
Carey,
There was a Morgan earlier. There’s apparently a “wow” Newspoll coming overnight and of course the ever reliable essential to tell us it’s 52/48 tomorrow.
So hang in there!
GG
You lousy git. 5,500 people real People are DEAD from Ebola. But racist flotsam like you make stupid jokes.
Do not apologize to me but go down to your church and pray for forgiveness, unless you think your god is as callous as you.
dtt
ebola coverage has died in the bum, no?
dtt,
You are clearly an ebigot!
egad!
@MelanieTait: According to #mediawatch, 2% gone from @RadioNational budget after an ABC Board reprieve, big changes at @ClassicFM. #OurABC
[1739
daretotread
Oh and without a vaccine or active intervention in exactly 12 months there will be 11,753,785 cases of the virus, based on transfer rates from 9/12/13 until two days ago.]
The rate of transmission has been declining, so that in the 21 days until 8-9 November, the rate for Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea had fallen (collectively) to 0.77% per day. After re-classification of some earlier data, this rate appeared to have picked up to 1.1% per day in the 2 days til 10-11 November.
http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/
The rate continues to fluctuate but is nowhere near high enough to create the pandemic depicted by dtt.
What this demonstrates is that panic is misplaced; and what we need is further relevant action.
By the way, has anyone seen my pony?
Told youse.
Abbott’s biggest man-fan, Peter Hartcher, reckons the G20 was a triumph for Tony.
The man who wrote the above words earns a 6-figure salary for writing crap like this. He is supposed to be a sophisticated, high-level journalist and political commentator, one of the true gurus of our media, for whom his editor would hold the front page.
Four years of “climate science is crap” written off. The abandonment of the Carbon Tax, the gutting of alternative energy investment, the closing down of institutes, whole divisions of the CSIRO, calls by his loopy MPs and handpicked business advisors for Royal Commissions into the Bureau Of Meteorology completely were – in Hartchers besotted brain – erased by a few words uttered when Abbott had his back to the wall, trying to salvage something, anything, from the cringeworthy humiliation his G20 Frankenstein’s Monster had become.
Hartcher is the same person who wrote a book on just how parochial Australian politics had become. It was quoted in an LA Times piece published in his own newspaper. And still Hartcher didn’t get the hint.
[1764
Greensborough Growler
briefly,
Not sure about those but I did hear the solution to the Australian Cricket Team’s woes was ebola and an ebatsman and some efielders.]
elarious, GG…. 🙂
BB
Yep.
“all of us support strong and effective action on climate change”.
Post-truth politics at its finest.
Hartcher is a dill.
Ben Elton is chopping Turnbull and Abbott to pieces.
[1778
Boerwar
BB
Yep.
“all of us support strong and effective action on climate change”.
Post-truth politics at its finest.
Hartcher is a dill.]
fmd
Hartcher and his ilk are a waste of space.
I don’t know anyone who reads and takes seriously his “analysis”.
It is self-serving and his salary could cover 3 to 4 good reporters’ salaries.
He is literally killing Fairfax with his bloated salary and nonsense output.
1763
A new main thread would however, be at the top of the main page until a new state thread came along.
I was not meaning to have to much of a go at you. I just grabbed an opportunity to plug the state threads to increase discussion on them. There is also a tread on the determination that WA will get an HoR seat off NSW.
[Tony Abbott managed to snatch summit victory just as it seemed about to disappear into a chasm of his own making.]
Seriously?!
Abbott and by extension his govt has come away from the weekend looking all the weaker and totally irrelevant.
[1782
Tom the first and best
There is also a tread on the determination that WA will get an HoR seat off NSW.]
We are going to take their money, the bridge and the opera house too.
Turnbull is resorting to interrupting…
BW
Yes the media has got tired of it. it is no longer in the USA so who cares about them their darkies in Africa.
It has not gone away however. Between November 12 and November 14 in the two last WHO updates there were: 41 new cases in Guinea, 56 new cases in Liberia, 5 new cases in Mali and 214 new cases in Sierra Leone. That is a total of 320 new cases. IN TWO days.
There are 14,000 reported cases. In other words there has been 2% of the total number of cases reported in the last two days. By Xmas even without assuming exponential growth in infection rate you would see the total number of cases worldwide go up by 50%.
dtt
You are going to have to attenuate your scaremongering, no?
c 1783 – Yes if this Newspoll blows the Libs out of the water what will Hartcher and all the sycophants at The Australian say about TA’s performance at the G20?
Turnbull looks like he knows he is selling a turkey.
Gulp. LeMarquand quotes Shorten approvingly!
Is this blonde lady on QandA from News Ltd perchance?
BK
Nice pick.
She is the opinion editor for the DT.
Briefly
Sorry but you are wrong wrong wrong again!!!!.
Now if you were a total imbecile and made an assessment based just on the last two WHO reports then your number of infected persons (in the next 12 months) goes to just 818,416 (excluding any in Mali), however two days is NOT sufficient to make a judgement call and indeed the experience in Guinea showed that rates could tumble for three weeks, only to burst out with renewed vigour.
The data reclassification a week or so ago makes comparison difficult but if you take just the reports from the last 9 days then 828,277 will be infected in the next 12 months. Now this is not 67 billion but it is still one hell of a lot.
[darkies in Africa.
]
DTT is barking mad.
Give her a wide berth.
Turnbull looks like he secretly agrees with Elton while Elton is cacking all over Abbott.
More News leakage about the next Newspoll.
https://twitter.com/samanthamaiden
Elton calls for Turnbull to lead the Liberal Party…
Turnbull smiles…
So we’ve got: Vic, Vic, Vic, Vic, Fed (non-main), Vic, Main.
Seems fair.
GG
What’s she talking about. All numbers are beautiful.
GG
Yes. But very, very ugly for whom?