Last week, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate disappointed Coalition fans by failing to respond much to the morale-boosting poll result the had received from Ipsos. Now it’s Labor supporters’ turn, with a shift to the Coalition recorded despite Labor’s strong two-party result from Newspoll. This reasons for this are that a) BludgerTrack goes off the primary vote, and the numbers provided by Newspoll were scarcely different from those that produced a two-party result of 53-47 a fortnight ago, suggesting that much of that two-point shift came down to rounding, b) numbers added this week for Essential Research and Roy Morgan were both soft for Labor, and c) the very strong results Labor was recording at the time of the leadership spill have now entirely washed out of the system. All of which adds up to a solid move to the Coalition on two-party that brings with it four seats on the seat projection, numbering one each in New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland and Western Australia.
Newspoll and Essential Research both provided numbers for leadership ratings this week, and they collectively find the Tony Abbott dead cat continuing to bounce, to the extent that he’s nearly back to where he was at his previous all-time low after the budget. A surprisingly sharp deterioration in Bill Shorten’s numbers has also moderated with the addition of the new numbers, returning him to a more familiar position just below parity. The new figures also knock some of the edge off Abbott’s recovery on preferred prime minister. Full details as always on the sidebar.
Guytar..
I’m also with TPG & have been for more than 10yrs..all the family’s mobile phones + un-limited broadband at less than half the price of Telstra & no contracts at all..
Customer support is also very good ..I even had one very helpful young man ring me back to see if he could do anything more for me (no, he wasn’t selling anything)..
Never had a drop-out either ..very reliable. I’d give them 9/10 overall & recommend them to anyone..
*Disclaimer* I’m not a shareholder 😉
http://www.sbs.com.au/comedy/article/2015/03/13/clive-palmer-handcuffs-himself-last-remaining-pup-member
[TPOF
Posted Friday, March 13, 2015 at 11:44 am | Permalink
ross @ 738
I know what you meant when you used the phrase. Rather than defending real PhDs, I was pointing out that Abbott did not have the capacity to get one!
]
Also a PhD requires an ORIGINAL piece of research.
BIS @ 753
Yes. They have plagiarised both the strategy and the text from the Howard years – and not adjusted to the passage of time. And they are still having trouble working out why the smoke and mirrors and lies and misrepresentations that worked so well for Howard are going down like a lead balloon now.
Gee Crikey is a mixed bag.
But this is good.
From Dyer and Keane commenting on Gina’s effort in the AFR where she blames the high cost of mining on government processes. See link below.
[US mining analysts Behre Dolbear ….
For the last four years, Australia was rated as the best or second best mining investment destination when it came to approval processes — we only slipped to second behind Canada last year. And our tax system for miners is equal best in the world with Canada — and in Behre Dolbear’s opinion improved significantly in 2013-14.
Miners. As always, the “m” is pronounced “wh”.]
Pity these observations about reality didn’t make it into the AFR.
http://www.afr.com/p/business/companies/gina_rinehart_blames_high_mining_C9eNuEcbgyklFYtJ7TmvOK
rossmcg@738
I understand what you mean. Comparing him to anything insults the group we compare him to.
billie@752
[“First Jeff the dinosaur and now this. It’s been a hard week. Losing Jacqui was easy enough. No one could handle Jacqui. She was the wind. She was fire. Glenn was a brick. Glenn was a brick and I lost my brick.”]
LOL
OK, I’ve cracked. I’ve written to Dick Smith’s company, pointing out his name and image are being used on anti Muslim sites because his products aren’t halal certified (he has stated this is because of cost reasons, and I don’t have any problem with that) and asking them to repudiate the connection.
A 500 Club function for a reported 300 guests at the [Premier’s office for $100 a head lost money, Premier Colin Barnett has claimed.
The 500 Club, a longstanding group that raises money for the Liberal Party, held its Christmas cocktail party last year at the Premier’s taxpayer-funded office and Cabinet rooms at old Hale House.]
How on earth can you lose money on a function held in a venue that is free? All you have to worry about are food, alcohol and staff costs.
I wouldn’t have thought you would need a degree in pure mathematics to work out what your costs would be and charge accordingly …
This is a seriously sick site —
http://australian-news.net/index.php
nice formatting stuff-up, Chinda 😉
chinda
the only fundraiser I ever heard of that lost money was a local ALP branch who provided the beer up front but left the money collection for after…
[ltep
Posted Friday, March 13, 2015 at 12:12 pm | Permalink
Why do you think the first decimal place would be meaningless?
Given the margin of error of opinion polls, wouldn’t going to decimal points in a way give it the appearance of more accuracy than it deserves?
]
The calculation of the poll results and the calculation of the margin of error are two separate and different calculations.
The first is dealing with the data collected the second is looking at how that data was collected and represents the statistical certainty of the first result.
In science it normal to deal with at least 3 significant figures, so a percentage less than 100% would be expressed with the first decimal place.
Once you go past 3 sig figs these extra figures have less weight in the overall magnitude of the result and are usually discarded as they are not significant to the result.
Victoria,
When The Guardian of Oz launched a few months prior to last Fed election, I saw an outpouring of optimism in their comments and social media that such a major international news organisation would constitute a powerful force here for in-depth policy coverage instead of horserace calls, gaffe and stunt distractions and Murdochian pornoganda.
Then, as their campaign coverage descendead into a trivia and tripe fest, barely distinguishable our old MSM and ABC Copycatters, Guardian’s comments section grew inundated with despairing folks pleading with them to provide us with factual reportage and sound analysis.
Not only did the Guardian’s crack journalists fail to take their readers’ pleadings seriously, but they decided not to take the election seriously: it was as though the editors decided to go The Full Crabbe Kitchen Confab. They lazily employed an extended circus metaphor ad nauseum, and to top it off, they commissioned a rubbishy robo-poll which was heavily spruiked like some big “scoop”.
Alas, poor Guardian………where are your jibes, your gambols, your flashes of merriment now that our country is being done over by this feckless and divisive Abbott government?
their personal opinions
[Raaraa
Posted Friday, March 13, 2015 at 12:47 pm | Permalink
rossmcg@738
TPOF
Comparing him to anything insults the group we compare him to.
]
Very well put.
🙂 🙂
[How on earth can you lose money on a function held in a venue that is free? All you have to worry about are food, alcohol and staff costs.]
It was probably run by tax accountants, they can’t help themselves.
Zoomster that wasn’t nice to link to australian-news.net
just the place for RWNJs
[billie @731
I stick with my old old ISP because I don’t want to change email]
That’s why a few years ago I shifted all my email to non-ISP email. If you gradually move all your email to a 3rd party it makes it easier to switch ISP’s.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparison_of_webmail_providers
Also happy with TPG, never needed support. Optus had good support, but I only used it when they dropped prices, because existing customers wouldn’t get the new plans automatically. I’m sure TPG will be the same…
All done from PUP
Lazarus
Judge
Lambie
Douglas
Dean
And then there were two
Often the establishment choses functionaries for their connections rather than their competence, experience or numeracy
Thanks for the info, Question.
I am reviewing my phone/email options after receiving my latest phone bill.
Diogenes, there were also the two Northern Territory members.
Senator Wang apparently believes his position as Senate party whip won’t change…well, it certainly will be easier.
[I am reviewing my phone/email options after receiving my latest phone bill.]
I have a few teenagers in the house, so unlimited internet and mobile calls became mandatory. 🙂 TPG was chosen on price.
[It was probably run by tax accountants, they can’t help themselves.]
While technically a tax lawyer and not a tax accountant I need to point out that campaign events for the campaign I was treasurer of made great money. Give me a tax accountant / lawyer over most professionals any day.
[Senator Wang apparently believes his position as Senate party whip won’t change…well, it certainly will be easier.]
Is PW referring to Lararus?
Atticus@764,
An accurate summary of what went wrong with the Oz Guardian. Taylor tries to be different to the rest of the pack at times, but the other journalists are just more of the same old media pack. At least the Guardian allows plenty of opportunity for reader comments (unlike Fairfax or the ABC) which are the best part of the online newspaper.
[ Senator Wang apparently believes his position as Senate party whip won’t change…well, it certainly will be easier. ]
Hmmmmmm…whipping himself?? Strange people our Senators are??
🙁
Atticus
Bit harsh on the Guardian I reckon.
Not a lot but a bit.
When they first ramped up I was more than a tad neutral, my expectations were low thanks to their recruiting ex Fairfaxians Taylor and Murphy and neither of them was worth much chop when at Fairfax.
At first my low expectations seemed justified but Taylor, at least, has developed and shown that she is better than her Fairfax persona was, she is almost good much of the time and that is far above average for Oz journalists. Even Murphy has improved a little bit.
But there are others eg Warwick Smith and Jason Wilson, who have written stuff worth reading – and that’s not a thing you can say about Oz mass media generally.
Basically if you have low expectations the Guardian almost passes muster and is better than the rest, so you take what you can get.
Glass nearly half full.
Hmmm…the reply I’ve got from Dick Smith (the company, not the person) suggest they welcome the support from the anti halal brigade (and they haven’t read what I actually wrote). I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt and see what their more considered response is.
Atticus
As per Sohar’s comments, Lenore Taylor is occasionally insightful
[Not so united
Glenn Lazarus ends Clive Palmer’s influence and the Abbott government’s chances of passing anything contentious]
http://www.themonthly.com.au/the-monthly-today/russell-marks/2015/13/2015/1426205105/not-so-united?utm_content=bufferbcd5f&utm_medium=social&utm_source=Twitter&utm_campaign=buffer
The PUP seems at this point, at best, badly named. It is not United. With one member left in the Senate and one in the lower house, it is not really a Party either. It is just Palmer. Now it is getting nasty:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-03-13/palmer-accuses-lazarus-of-spitting-the-dummy/6313322?WT.ac=statenews_qld
Who would have thought that a party so rich in political tradition, ideas and culture would unrael so fast?? 😀
As an atheist, i support 100% religious dogma free food in Australia…
Snap Victoria, my sentiments exactly. Can the AEC get them for false advertising? I suppose not, the Liberal Party still calls itself Liberal after all, and remains unprosecuted.
[As an atheist, i support 100% religious dogma free food in Australia…]
Me too. I can always eat those “hot cross buns” as atribute to Euclid.
‘Halal’ – Doesn’t seem to me to be any different to being certified ‘organic’.
Also public schooling. Im shocked at how indoctrinated NSW Government School kids are. Due to an ‘teacher error’ my son had to sit through 15 minutes of state sanctioned religious teaching. After 15 minutes he now thanks our father for sacrificing him self and thinks he is going to heaven…..
rummel
I’m not religious either. It’s the racism that accompanies such bans (which isn’t very hidden) that offends me.
‘Freedom of religion’ is a central Australian value. We shouldn’t let it be trashed just because we’re not religious.
Hockey.. covering old ground
From the original SMH article
The headline….
“Treasurer for sale: Joe Hockey offers privileged access”
First Paragraph…
Treasurer Joe Hockey is offering privileged access to a select group including business people and industry lobbyists in return for tens of thousands of dollars in donations to the Liberal Party via a secretive fund-raising body whose activities are not fully disclosed to election funding authorities.
How is it possible for Hockey to win?
There is nothing malicious in the headline when read with paragraph immediately following.
Surley McClintock isn’t arguing on possible interpretation of Headline if isolated on sandwich board in the street.this would require * at bottom … subject to reading main article as published.
JOE will be counting on wife’s wealth or Liberal slush fund to cover his & Fairfax costs.
Socrates@786
Or the boycott of Sanitarium products….
Palmer United Party has to be the greatest misnomer since the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea
Yeah, those “Buy our products and you’re automatically inducted into our religion and have to follow its rules – especially those of a the extreme fringe” products are really horrible.
[rummel
Posted Friday, March 13, 2015 at 1:49 pm | Permalink
As an atheist, i support 100% religious dogma free food in Australia…
]
As an atheist, I couldn’t give a toss.
Who is being harmed by eating these foods?
It reminds me of when Australia was introduced to Italian and Greek food,
‘I’m not eating that ‘Wog food’. Where’s my meat and three veg?’
Grow up people! 😛
bis @ 794
I thought Rummel’s comment was tongue in cheek.
[Or the boycott of Sanitarium products….]
Yeah because you can catch religion from cereal, milk and fake meat … You can’t be too careful
Lol
[Baird bus gate-crashes Foley presser again-driving past & honking. “Baird wouldn’t sending bus if he wasn’t worried” says @AlboMP #nswvotes]
vic
[Baird wouldn’t sending bus if he wasn’t worried]
I saw Baird on TV this morning – he’s starting to look worried.
He’ll lose a lot of seats, I think, but scrape through.
CTar1
It would be so delicious if Baird didnt scrape through
If I had halal approved food and kosher food would that cause my stomach to start a holy war against my colon ?