Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings bounce back from recent lows, amid an otherwise stable set of readings from Newspoll.

Via James J, tomorrow’s Australian brings us another result showing Labor leading 53-47 on two-party preferred, from primary votes of Coalition 38% (down one), Labor 38% (steady) and Greens 10% (steady). For some reason, Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings have recorded an uptick, with approval up four to 34% and disapproval down four to 54%, but lead as preferred prime minister is unchanged, shifting from 42-32 to 43-33. Bill Shorten’s ratings are unchanged at 36% approval and 51% disapproval. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1846.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,599 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. CTar
    Interesting. I had no idea you could buy silk so cheaply? Australian taxpayers have been quite generous in donating to Brandis’ own library too, whether we liked it or not.

  2. Good afternoon all,

    Brandis is a fool and basically incompetent. Hopefully this latest revelation will be the straw / camel moment for him and Turnbull.

    What I find very interesting is from where the story came. Who would have leaked it to the journo ? Who would get advantage from this at this particular time ? Who would have the inside knowledge and who would have access to documents ?

    Someone who has it in for George ? Hit George and you hit Turnbull. Stir up more distraction for Turnbull when he may be on the cusp of a MSM anointed great end to the year .

    Or, is this a internal factional thing, ” moderates ” v conservative aimed specifically at George.

    With this government who knows ? It could he men of the above or a combination of all the above.

    Great stuff anyway.

    Cheers.

  3. Adrian

    Iron Chef America is just dire, but better than 7.30.

    I’m with you on that.

    Cooking shows are soothing things but the competitive ones just crap.

  4. So the question is, is Brandis SC an example of “the age of entitlement” (his cavalier attitude towards public funds) or is he an example of “the age of titlement” (his pursuit of a qualification for which he was not really qualified)?

    Maybe Donald Trump is still looking for an AG? We could offer him George – free.

  5. Doyley

    Perhaps it came from disgruntled staff ? There seems to be a bit of argy bargy re pay and conditions in a number of PS areas. Such leaks would be a nice way to stick it up the people who are screwing you over.

  6. POROTI – It seems that the leaker spoke to the AFR in July or so, but nobody really paid attention to the story. Now people have.

  7. If Brandis was asked to comment upon the WA legislation, which the whole of the HC declared invalid, the following finding of the HC concerning the submission of Gleeson SC (on behalf of the Commissioner) extends to him:

    ” [98] The Commissioner concludes his written submissions with the observation that the basic problem here is that the drafter of the Bell Act either has forgotten the existence of the Tax Acts or has decided to proceed blithely in disregard of their existence. That, indeed, is the basic problem.”

  8. Doyley, look at it from the WA perspective, and think about who has it in for Barnett, and had the information, and you may have your answer.
    Is it a coincidence that the story broke in the West?
    Brandis et al may just be collateral damage.

  9. Poroti

    The Solicitor-General himself has about a staff of three (unless things have changed a lot).

    People in AGS possibly are not happy about being turned back into a division of the AGD (a turn around from the view in 1994 of commercialisation of AGS).

    AGS did manage to do a little better than hold its own but the independence part did rankle with the Govt.

  10. Perhaps someone in the Queensland LNP found out about Brandis and the $300million.
    After Brandis called them incompetent (or whatever) they got a bit miffed and decided to spill the beans.

  11. Thanks to all for your replies to my earlier post.

    This really is a nest of vipers ” government” ( and I use the term loosely ).

    Cheers.

  12. Doyley

    This really is a nest of vipers ” government” ( and I use the term loosely ).

    ‘Loosely’ is right.

    It’s a nest of we don’t know what.

  13. Nick X. has just announced he will not deal with any government legislation until MDB is resolved.

    Great tactics by labor in QT over the last week. It really put pressure on Nick.

    Cheers.

  14. Barnaby’s disaster:

    ‘Major risks’ to Joyce’s relocation plan

    A controversial plan to move a pesticides agency to the electorate of Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce could cause the chemicals industry to lose more than $2 million, a damning analysis has found.

    The government’s own cost-benefit analysis into the relocation of the Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority, which Mr Joyce has fought hard against releasing, warns it could take up to five years to recruit and train regulatory scientists needed to approve key agricultural chemicals.

    That could “damage to the reputation of the APVMA and Australian agricultural industry”, the Ernst & Young report says…

    Crucially, it said there was no material economic benefit associated by being close to farmers and other agricultural researchers, a key reason for Mr Joyce’s relocation proposal.

    http://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/govts-extraordinary-regulation-for-joyce/news-story/8e44dd40186137ff3bc8bcafc5759728

  15. DOYLEY – Magnificent tactics from Labor. There goes the ABCC!
    And now we have Barnaby treating Malcolm with utter contempt. I have never seen the like.

  16. Very strange. On 3 different browsers (Pale Moon 27, Vivaldi 1.5, Opera 12.18), I can see that there are over 1360 comments on this thread, but I can’t see any of them. I am logged in.

    If I go back to the previous thread, I can see the comments and can post.

    Hopefully, other people are having this problem too and it is something that the gremlins have done, rather than being a problem just for me.

    This is all just an observation, and there’s no point anyone replying or suggesting anything through comments, as I won’t see it (obviously).

    Now I’ve had my little whinge, I might as well follow the lead of Kayjay’s regimental dog, and have a snooze.

  17. How often does Barnaby fight to keep things secret? Better question: how often has he already succeeded?

    Come on journos, earn your pay.

  18. AB

    DOYLEY – Magnificent tactics from Labor. There goes the ABCC!
    And now we have Barnaby treating Malcolm with utter contempt. I have never seen the like.

    Turnbull is facing a revolt by his own party. 😀

    It’s getting to be equivalent to the rest of England storming the home counties.

    Happy Xmas Mr Harbour Side Mansion.

  19. I wonder if the Xenophon announcement might break this govt. Unlikely I know. But Malcolm is going to find himself stuck between the nutty Nats and getting any significant legislation through the Senate (without Labor support). Who knows where all of this is heading.

  20. Anton,

    I would think Barnaby has more pressing internal party concerns than the ABCC.

    The Nationals at both state and Federal levels are hyperventilating over One Nation. What better focus for Barnaby than water allocation. Bugger Turnbull and his ABCC fixation. Barnaby has more pressing worries and the politics around the ABCC would mean sweet F A to farmers and rural voters.

    Turnbull is just collateral damage and labor has played it well.

    Cheers.

  21. After wading through Tennis For Two and Mario Bros, I’ve finally found PB. Unbelievable. What with the MTMess, and Crikey.com, life is full of surprises.

    Ah, well ;

    Just let me ask this: Is this putting the corruption rubbish out on a Friday?

    Fair dinkum, Brandis has to go. This is Corruption writ large, in my book, despite Ctar1’s attempts to find another reason.

    It’s just too much.

    Sack him Turnbull. Who gives a toss if your PMship rides on his support. He’s not worth it, and you need to at least have some semblance of integrity. Guess this will fall on deaf ears, though. As you have no integrity yourself.

  22. It was only yesterday morning that Mark Kenny said how swimmingly well things were going for Mal, and how he would most likely end the year on a high. About an hour after publication the senate sent back the Backpackers tax, since then things have taken a turn for the worse.
    How will Mark spin today ?

  23. despite Ctar1’s attempts to find another reason

    I wasn’t trying to find another ‘reason’.

    A consistent way to keep what is sacrificed against what is usable is a challenge that is not required by other than govt lawyers.

  24. Its always gonna be a great week for Turnbull on Monday morning.By Friday its just a big pile of shit.FIZZA every week, week in week out.

  25. One for you Adrian :

    Paul Keating has launched a new line of attack against the ABC

    : ABC stuck in 1970s, lets us down on news

    “And in the case of the ABC news, if you want to watch a good news service, watch SBS news, which tells you what’s happening in Iraq, what’s happening in the US election, what’s happening with Donald Trump,’’ he said.

    “I think the ABC, the 7:30 Report, is full of hard luck stories — it is laden with hard luck stories.

    “In the case of the 7:30 Report it is a news magazine, instead of a hard news breaking operation.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/media/paul-keating-abc-stuck-in-1970s-lets-us-down-on-news/news-story/e225699589c9a4d7e16af79051f8b288

  26. VP

    It was only yesterday morning that Mark Kenny said how swimmingly well things were going for Mal

    The ‘rip’ is getting stronger.

  27. The Coalition has always been a bit shaky over separation of powers, but when you add the large ego of Brandis, we’re in deep poo.

  28. Vogon

    It was only yesterday morning that Mark Kenny said how swimmingly well things were going for Mal

    Harold Holt also went swimming(ly)…

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