The Australian has produced two tranches of Newspoll quarterly breakdowns over the past two days, the first being the all-important (from BludgerTrack’s perspective) state breakdowns, followed by breakdowns by age and gender, all of which is derived from the entirety of Newspoll’s surveying from October to December. Together with last week’s Essential Research result, this constitutes the final piece in the BludgerTrack puzzle for the year. The result finds further evidence of momentum for One Nation, who have ended the year only two points shy of the Greens. The Newspoll breakdowns have contributed to an improvement for the Coalition in Victoria, where they gain a seat on the projection, relative to Western Australia and South Australia, where they lose one apiece.
Also from Essential Research this week has been state voting intention results for the mainland states, which, like the Newspoll breakdowns, are compiled from polling conducted through the last three months of the year. I’ll have more to say about these as Newspoll unrolls its own state polling over the coming weeks (I hope).
Daretotread
Crimea was part of Russia within the USSR until Krushchev’s time.
Zoomster
So did my step father. Latvian and the way he told it, the Latvians always sided against whmoever had invaded them last. Either the Germans or the Russians had been at it for centuries. He had a bayonet wound in his groin from when he had jumped into a trench and been skewered by a Russian just before he shot him. As I understand it, that was happening also to Lithuania and Estonia, much like other territories in border areas between different empires over the centuries.
So if dtt wants to have go about the use of the word “annex”, she can go full throttle, as far as I’m concerned. Perhaps “acquired” would be more to her taste?
Also, I didn’t realise that I was whinging. In my obviously challenged mind, I thought I was expressing some doubt about what the Trump/Putin mutual admiration duopoly might mean geopolically for territories that change, depending on what country is dominant. Silly me.
If you follow dtt’s line on Russia / Ukraine re’ language and economically better off the Germany ‘annexing’ Austria was quite OK.
And we could annex NZ if we wanted to.
lizzie @ #4546 Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 12:26 pm
Lizzie. I really like your posts and I am not disagreeing with you.
I like to share my experiences with Aged care.
Firstly, the loved one in question will feel abandoned, mainly because she has been abandoned.
The family, promising to help, to visit and to care for hardly ever do so.
The visits often to the “Here’s your flowers, Mum, see you next week (month)”.
It takes quite a while to know how the system works. Who are the real carers and who are the dominating mongrels.
The management, often upgraded from within the facility are known by the staff for what they are. Usually self promoting dumb as the rest a***oles.
A nurse from the local Mater Hospital got the job of manager at Marie’s facility. The staff made her life so miserable that she suffered depression, anxiety and eventually went back to doing routine nursing at the Mater.
The staff who do their job in a caring fashion were stood over by a pair of really nasty B***stards who were supported 100% by the manager.
The agencies charged with checking are laughable in their ineptitude. A couple of different agencies who deal with complaints are really good – but only at collecting their wages. Otherwise completely useless.
Nearly everybody I have ever known is dead. Without my permission!
My favourite daughter has her/my car serviced at a local service station. The owner is a man of such a character that I like to kiss him on the cheek. He has his disabled mother to care for as well.
Charlie would make an excellent carer anywhere. He’s a really good mechanic as well.
There are plenty of “Charlies” out there. They would need to be trained by people of proven empathy and ability. The “meat’ type carers need to be weeded out.
How this would take place I don’t know. We are not allowed to apply the Nicolae Ceausescu treatment mainly because we are far too civilized which is being used against us.
Regarding the ignorance of “Trained Staff’. In the manner of military document amendments – delete “Trained” – insert “Stupid” and we getting somewhere.
I now return to my next inline James Lee Burke book for handy hints. I don’t own a 1872 S&W 44 russian revolver and so have to resort to the usual finger gestures which make not a whit of difference.
Finally, I think I meant defongerated earlier in the day not befongerated.
Forgiveness please.
I wonder if Michael Danby has a opinion on the ethics of a right wing Israeli government interfering in the affairs of another country … probably not.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/jan/07/israeli-diplomat-shai-masot-caught-on-camera-plotting-to-take-down-uk-mpshttps://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/jan/07/israeli-diplomat-shai-masot-caught-on-camera-plotting-to-take-down-uk-mps
Well, ‘they speak German and they want to be part of Germany’ was Hitler’s excuse for various little excursions prior to WWII – from memory, the Sudeten (then part of Czechoslovakia) and Austria were apparently BEGGING to be invaded, and Hitler was just (reluctantly) answering their call.
ML
Do stop whinging, please, and realise that, stern though dtt has to be with us intellectual pigmies, it is a necessary task she undertakes with the greatest reluctance.
…on that meme, my father says Lithuania took the opportunity early in the WWII era to liberate part of Poland which all Lithuanians KNEW just wanted to be reunited with The Motherland, only to find that they weren’t at all grateful.
poroti back @ 2.51
Appreciate your post, and was certainly aware of the price paid in both the Crimean and subsequent wars.
I guess I’m just speculating, along with a few others, about what an alignment between Trump and Putin could mean geopolitically, given what Trump has said about NATO.
The idea that if someone speaks the language, they must naturally align with those who speak the same language, is interesting. Many Europeans, of course, are multi-linguinal. My step father was fluent in five, including Russian. Nope, more important to fight the last lot who had invaded.
Help
geeks
My laptop has started randomly uploading unwanted pages. I know I foolishly downloaded something yesterday but have tried to delete it.
How can I take this pain away?
KJ – praps you meant defangerated?
Re Zoomster @3:18PM: just like the people of Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Crimea and Eastern Ukraine. There’s a bit of a worrying pattern developing.
DTT, you had it coming, you should have known Hilary would get you in the end 😉
Ctari
provided that there is a genuine free and fair ballot I have no problem with people choosing to change their state. I would have a few practical issues –
1. the voting districts need to be reasonably small and representative ie not include widely disparate groups.
2. the country you choose is willing to accept you
3. There is reasonable geographic access to the site and you would not need to cross land of another nation to join – so island can join together and any place with access by sea (eg Alaska and the USA)
KayJay
I love tradies (the intelligent ones). They are so practical and helpful, just get stuck in and fix things. I remember one plumber who came to fix my dishwasher and noticed that one of the shelves in my fridge was drooping. Five minutes – fixed, no extra charge.
They aren’t all like that, though. One plumber cut through the gas line when joining up the water tank to the house and didn’t notice until others rushed from all points of the compass yelling “What’s that smell of gas?”
victoria @ #4550 Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 12:36 pm
That all depends on which majority you’re talking about. 🙂
It would seem the Russian spooks have outplayed the US spooks and the USA has been captured.
Even Pauline is in favour of medicinal cannabis. How much influence does big Pharma have over the two main parties? Or is it the ACL fighting against it?
Dtt, what antivirus program have you got? I allowed something that looked like it came from Firefox to load a month ago, whereupon all my Google searches got redirected to Bing. But within 24 hours Avast said “we see you have installed Firefox blah-blah. It does bad things – would you like us to remove it?” and I said yes and all was fixed. So I highly recommend Avast. (It can do announcements in pirate speech too, if you like that sort of thing – arrgh!)
Steve
While the Russians may be aiding rebels in eastern Ukraine, there is no evidence of an invasion or any attempt to annexe the area.
Crimea has always been part of Russia or at least in probably much more Russian than say Scotland is English.
I am not as certain of the issues of Abkazia and South Ossettia, but again they are Russian speakers.
I actually DO think that language and the cultural things that often go with it are critical in deciding national boundaries and the various war trophies of 500 years ago are probably not by themselves sufficient to say that province X should be part of France or UK or Russia just because they won the area in some battle many years ago.
Now in Europe with such a patchwork of ethnic enclaves etc, then boundaries should reflect the will of the residents. Now where the language differences are ALSO reinforced by religious and cultural differences, it makes much more sense to redraw boundaries to try to get them to better fit the people.
I support therefore an independent Kurdish state, despite the horror of Iran, Turkey, Iraq and Syria. I support independence of Eastern Ukraine, because not only is the language different so too is religion with Western Ukraine largely Catholic and eastern Ukraine Russian Orthodox or no religion. There are also sections of Ukraine that should be given to Poland and Rumania.
Jack A Randa
I have always used Avast with no problems!
Seems Centrelink only backs down when faced with publicity. This is so wrong.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-01-07/centrelink-reinstates-payments-after-cutting-off-sa-student/8166986?pfmredir=sm
Tahnks Jack
Sounds very much the same.
I do use avast 9the free version and have set it to a whole system scan.
lizzie @ #4616 Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 3:46 pm
Lizzie. Can we now announce our engagement?
Must I wait until you are old enough?
It’s the person not the trade or other previous jobs. My No 3 favourite daughter is a registered nurse living on the south coast of NSW and working in a nursing home.
Work opportunities in the area are bugger all to nil. She now has two children working as carers in nursing homes. Youngest one thought he might not like cleaning ladies bottoms. He has learned that that’s not what the job is. The job is looking after people who need your help.
What I say at the drop of a purple top hat is that people of good will come in many shapes and sizes and one cannot tell by looking.
My dishwasher will be coming to visit this evening, bringing her ding a ling theory husband and youngest son – who is a prince.
I have to do my own washing up and pretend the kitchen is always tidy. I’m pretty sure I’m not getting away with it but the pretense is holding so far.
Off now to investigate the possibilities in regard to defangerated.
I now append all I know about international and US affairs.
………………………………….SFA and that includes appropriate statistics.♡
https://www.facebook.com/LatikaMbourkeJournalist/photos/a.431286973575795.89307.132583706779458/1208016782569473/?type=3&theater
CTar1
My son had a similar problem last year; Centrelink deregistered him as a student because his bridging course had ended. My son wasn’t too worried, as he had a summer job lined up, but reapplied as soon as his University enrollment went through.
This required him, among other things, to provide proof that his summer job had ended.
Six weeks later, they started paying him — from the day that University started.
As he’d gone for six weeks without income, we queried this (I rang the Minister’s office when it became obvious McGowan’s wasn’t interested) and put in a request for a review.
Several times, various Centrelink staff told my son his review wouldn’t be successful, because it was his fault he had applied for the wrong payment (despite the fact he applied for the payment recommended by a Centrelink staffer…)
In the end, the decision was that he shouldn’t have ever stopped receiving Centrelink payments, and they used his bank statement to calculate what he should have claimed whilst he was working!
I guess I’m just speculating, along with a few others, about what an alignment between Trump and Putin could mean geopolitically, given what Trump has said about NATO.
I posted a candid interview with Trump from 30 years ago (about when he stopped giving them) which canvassed his views about Russia and especially wrt to the Nuclear issue.
Apparently, Trump is of the opinion that only the 2 major Super Powers, the USA and Russia, working together, can sort out the world’s problems, such as Nuclear Proliferation, Terrorism, and nukes getting into the hands of terrorists.
Trump’s uncle was a scientist and he used to spend a lot of quality time with the young Donald and seeded a lot of these ideas in his head. Though I imagine he would be turning in his grave right now to see Donald repudiating the science behind Global Warming in order to appease the Fossil Fool lobby.
I also agree that the Russian spooks have checkmated the US spooks. I mean, who was the bright spark that allowed the Russians to put a cuckoo, RTV, into an American nest where they can broadcast their propaganda direct to the American people and use bad actors, literally and figuratively, such as Michael Flynn and Rex Tillerson, to spread their words?
The American people can be too gracious and well-mannered sometimes for their own good.
Pity those wronged Centrelink recipients who live in coalition electorates who may be reluctant to make a splash about it.
DTT, you may try to do a backup to a point before you did the download.
Or a MP who isn’t a coalition MP who is reluctant to make a big deal, for that matter.
*whilst this was all very jolly, there remains a question mark – if my son had known he could work without it affecting his claim, he might well have earnt a couple of thousand more (he had quit to go overseas for a few weeks; there would have been no trouble picking up the job again when he got back).
Poroti
😀
I always think of it as a bit like Poland – three or four shiploads of vowels would fix things.
C@tmomma Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 4:07 pm
I also agree that the Russian spooks have checkmated the US spooks. I mean, who was the bright spark that allowed the Russians to put a cuckoo, RTV, into an American nest where they can broadcast their propaganda direct to the American people and use bad actors, literally and figuratively, such as Michael Flynn and Rex Tillerson, to spread their words?
*********************************************
In an interview recorded more than 30 years ago, Russian defector Yuri Bezmenov revealed the KGB’s counterintuitive approach to recruiting. “This was my instruction: Try to get into large-circulation, established conservative media. Reach . . . cynical, egocentric people who can look into your eyes with angelic expression and tell you a lie. These are the most recruit-able people, people who lack moral principles, who are either too greedy or suffer from self-importance.” Say this for Bezmenov: He knew his mark.
As we saw with Clive Palmer , parties centered on demagogues rather than political ideology and principles are prone to implosion.
Told you it was more like a cult than a political party.
I predict similar levels of implosion for the Trump Cargo Cult. The American people are expecting him to deliver and the only ones he’ll deliver for are his family and friends in the business community. And new BFF, Putie Pie. 🙂
PB – Yep. Doing a quick restore on Windows works (as long as it’s enabled!).
Phoenix Red,
And Cuckoo-In-Chief is Trump. 🙂
DTT: “I support therefore an independent Kurdish state, despite the horror of Iran, Turkey, Iraq and Syria. I support independence of Eastern Ukraine, because not only is the language different so too is religion with Western Ukraine largely Catholic and eastern Ukraine Russian Orthodox or no religion. There are also sections of Ukraine that should be given to Poland and Rumania.”
I also think most of those things should happen, but wouldn’t it be better if they were done by an internationally supervised plebiscite rather than by Putin sending in the troops, or arming the local rebels? But wait for January 22nd – I suspect he will send in the troops and the new C-in-C of the US forces will stop the generals from doing anything. How they will respond to that might be another question.
“This was my instruction: Try to get into large-circulation, established conservative media. Reach . . . cynical, egocentric people who can look into your eyes with angelic expression and tell you a lie.
Rupert Murdoch!?!
jack a randa @ #4612 Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 3:37 pm
Thank you for your assistance. I have not heard “praps” for yonks and we, the dog and I, thank you for bringing the past to us in such a meaningful way. Bless you!
I understand that defangerated is a speciality word used by the quality.
For instance our beloved Prime Minister Mr. M.B. Turnbull is engaged in a hunt for a rumoured barbed wire dildo. He has been heard to declare himself “defangerated” while travelling on public transport. One can only wish him every success in his search.
Onya mate.
When I was in Melbourne around 1965 or so I was informed by the AFL cognoscenti that the the correct term of encouragement for the boofheads is not Onya but Arna. As in “Arna Tigers”.
The 1987 TV Miniseries That Predicted a Russian Takeover of America
Long since forgotten, ‘Amerika’ was a commercial and artistic flop. Watching it today makes for uncomfortable viewing.
If the election of an American president abetted by Russian interference seems stranger than fiction, you’re almost right. Exactly 30 years ago, in the midst of the Cold War, ABC aired a seven-night, 14-and-a-half-hour miniseries depicting life 10 years after the Soviet Union manipulates the presidential election as meek and deflated Americans shrug. “Amerika,” was heavily criticized at the time for peddling the histrionic premise of a bloodless coup. And while much of the production remains implausible, its core message is more relevant today than ever: They did it because we let them.
In the alternate universe of “Amerika,” (available only in VHS, though it can be found on YouTube) a puppet government was installed in 1988, after a sham election in which both major party candidates were Soviet stooges. By 1997, the 50 states had been replaced by 12 “administrative areas.” Communication systems had been taken out – no Internet or cell phones in this version of 1997 – cutting Americans off from each other. The mighty U.S. military is no more; the areas are patrolled by Soviet-controlled “United Nations Special Service Units.” Dissidents, if not simply exiled to desolate parts of the country, are brainwashed at the “People’s Acceptance Hospital.” Older Americans grumble about food shortages and a lost way of life, but are resigned to their fate. Kids are taught their “ancestors” were “bullies” who only killed Indians, exploited workers and dumped those who couldn’t work into “slums” to die. (Lincoln is still revered, but his image now gets paired with Lenin.)
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/01/the-1987-tv-miniseries-that-predicted-a-russian-takeover-of-america-214609
The best thing that could happen is that PHON fades out just as PUP did within one parliamentary term. Unfortunately however, I can see Hanson being re-elected.
daretotread @ #4624 Sunday, January 8, 2017 at 4:00 pm
Please let us know how you go.
I only ever use Windows Defender these days.
Best to have My Docs, favourites various personal stuff on separate drive or backup material.
I mostly reload from scratch. I have all the installation files at hand.
Each to his/her own. Good luck. 🙂
Zoomster:
I can’t understand why McGowan wasn’t interested in advocating on behalf of your son. Rick Wilson might be a Liberal MP but he’s shown in the past that he’s prepared to make direct representations to ministers on behalf of constituents (even bragging about successful outcomes).
Zoomster ‘ if my son had known he could work without it affecting his claim, he might well have earnt a couple of thousand more (he had quit to go overseas for a few weeks; there would have been no trouble picking up the job again when he got back).’
Did I read this correctly? Did your son gave up paid employment so he could continue getting welfare?
CTar1
Apart from the adverts ready to go the constitution is ready to rock ‘n’ roll 🙂
http://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Senate/Powers_practice_n_procedures/Constitution/preamble
KJ, when I lived a short walk from Glenferrie Oval the word was “carn”, as in “Carn the Hawks”
Fess
She let it run for too long if she was going to pay back the fare.