ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

Overwhelming support for a banking royal commission, but stable voting intention in the latest ReachTEL.

A ReachTEL poll for Sky News has Labor leading 53-47, unchanged from the last such poll on October 25. However, rounding would have had to have worked pretty hard to prevent Labor gaining a point: the primaries have the Coalition down one to 33%, Labor up one to 36%, the Greens up one to 10%, and One Nation steady on 9%. Malcolm Turnbull’s lead in the forced response two-party preferred question is 52-48, compared with 51-49 last time. Also featured: 69% support for a banking royal commission, with 12% opposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,961 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

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  5. The big Hornsdale (Tesla) battery is already having an effect on price. It knocked about $100/MWh off the wholesale price of electricity for about half an hour during the period yesterday graphed below.
    Once the punters understand how it works to backup and condition power on the grid and moderate extreme price events, they might drop this inane claptrap about not being able to support the entire grid for long periods.
    Battery installation is about to go ballistic.

  8. 48 would be a lovely rough end of the pineapple sideways inserted into Canavan, Nicholls and every other right wing dickhead that has made fools of themselves with inanities about doing deals since last Saturday.

  9. Elaugaufein @ #1699 Friday, December 1st, 2017 – 2:32 pm

    The Court of Disputed Returns will not be interested in stuff before this term* , so if Gallagher had everything fixed by the time she nominated (had confirmation of her renouncement) for her last election she’s fine.

    *At least it would be very very unusual, since at no point before have the CoDR attempted to remedy something for an expired term.

    I think the ACT investigation is more about how they allowed someone who wasn’t eligible to fill a casual vacancy, so more into their procedures.

    As you say the CoDR is only interested in the last election.

  12. It’s been said ad nauseam that trolls, in whatever guise, should be avoided at any cost – I agree with such sage advice.

    That notwithstanding, I verily believe that the PB echo-chamber is well overdue for a revamp, a number of contributors needing a kick up the proverbial.

    That’s why I hang off every word of Poorleen.


  13. The price curve above (already posted – I apologise) shows exactly why the Snowy 2.0 business case will go up in a puff of smoke. Every time more battery capacity is added, as grid installations or behind the meter, the price variations flatten off a little more. Once batteries are ubiquitous they will virtually disappear.
    Big centralised pumped hydro is dependent on being able to contract for a low price to pump water uphill and make money (inefficiently) generating when prices are high. In a year or two the only market for Snowy 2.0 will be if a major grid outage isolates a bunch of energy sources leaving the Snowy connector unscathed.
    Due to the 20% inefficiency deficit of pumped hydro compared to batteries on the charge-discharge cycle, it won’t be able to compete.
    It’ll be like the SA desalination plant. A great idea at the time, now running at only 10% capacity.

  14. Most people are left hanging off the words that come from the leader of Divided Nation.

    But that’s due to the incomprehensibility of them! 🙂

  22. I’d like a few of these in Australia:

    DO SLOW walkers make you see red? You’re not alone. Now, a shopping centre has come up with a novel way to beat “walk rage”.

    BEING stuck behind crowds of dawdlers when you’re in a hurry is one of the most annoying First World Problems there is.

    But now, a UK shopping centre has launched a new strategy to help impatient shoppers avoid slow walkers — and the rage that goes with them.

    The Lakeside Centre in Essex has introduced a 220 metre “fast lane” reserved for fast walkers only, just in time for the Christmas rush.

    http://www.news.com.au/finance/business/retail/shopping-centre-launches-fast-lane-to-ease-walk-rage-this-christmas/news-story/b9bb6b9444a6e923d61940027fe22e41

  24. @jenauthor

    I think the ALP need to recover more than 4 primary votes as the independent candidate’s prefs are reported to favour the greens by 150+

  25. Palaszczuk has been re-elected, of that, there can be no doubt.

    Tim, though, won’t accept the fact, which goes to his political nous.

  29. This former Liberal leader isn’t happy:

    A former state Liberal leader has accused the Turnbull government of political motivations by allowing the banks to drag industry superannuation funds into the impending financial services royal commission.

    As the government moved swiftly to get the royal commission moving on Friday, announcing the appointment of former High Court judge Kenneth Hayne as chief commissioner, former NSW Liberal leader Peter Collins claimed the government’s political partisanship and “shabby” commercial motives by banks were the joint forces behind the royal commission being broadened to examine superannuation funds with links to unions.

    The government has revealed the terms of reference for the banking royal commission and not everyone is happy.

    Industry Super Fund chair Peter Collins AM said the suggestion of any equivalence between banks and industry funds was “blatantly untrue” and the result of banks looking to spread the blame.

    Mr Collins, who was NSW Liberal leader from 1995 to 1998, described the influence of banks on the government’s inquiry as “blatantly obvious”.

    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/former-liberal-leader-claims-bank-influence-on-government-is-blatantly-obvious-20171201-gzx25i.html

  30. Fulvio Sammut
    And ladders over 1.5m should be banned. Only prescribed cherry pickers, with a safety officer on hand, for cleaning gutters.

  33. Install gutter guards and no more clogged gutters. Our family did this this for our 88 year old dad 10 years ago. Never had a problem since.

  36. Older people have no trouble at all actually climbing ladders……….the problem for them is their choice of coming down…………many still think they are 25 at the top of the ladder but discover they are just 25 pieces when they hit the ground after falling……………..

  40. It’s interesting that in all of the coverage of the “extraordinary, indeed unprecedented, weather event engulfing Victoria and perhaps some parts of southern NSW”, there has been not one word spoken on the ABC or the BoM of any connection with climate change. Zip, nada. Not a sausage.
    Mind you, there’s plenty of coverage of Turnbull’s troubles and whether or not the gov’t. can survive.
    Next week could well prove to be peak popcorn.
    I still reckon Turnbull has the reverse Midas touch when it comes to politics.

  41. I did a bit of a search to try to see what sort of a judge Hayne was. I couldn’t find much, but, in my search I came across a blog that wasn’t very complementary about the competence of his wife.

  45. bemused – I don’t understand much about how this stuff works but won’t the Greens ask for a recount if it’s that close?

  47. monica @ #1740 Friday, December 1st, 2017 – 7:45 pm

    It’s interesting that in all of the coverage of the “extraordinary, indeed unprecedented, weather event engulfing Victoria and perhaps some parts of southern NSW”, there has been not one word spoken on the ABC or the BoM of any connection with climate change. Zip, nada. Not a sausage.
    Mind you, there’s plenty of coverage of Turnbull’s troubles and whether or not the gov’t. can survive.
    Next week could well prove to be peak popcorn.
    I still reckon Turnbull has the reverse Midas touch when it comes to politics.

    I think Climate Change is now generally accepted outside a few fringe dwellers in the LNP, IPA and MCA etc.

  49. Current bookies odds for who will be PM in February:

    Turnbull 1.90
    Bishop 3.50
    Dutton 5.50
    Morrison 7.00
    Abbott 7.00
    Frydenberg 17.00

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