The Guardian, which joins the fun by spruiking the result as the “eightieth straight loss” for the Turnbull government, reports that Labor holds a lead of 53-47 in the latest Essential Research poll, out from 52-48 a fortnight ago. The poll also features Essential’s monthly leadership ratings, which find Malcolm Turnbull’s lead over Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister unchanged at 41-26 (a growing contrast with the narrow results from Newspoll); a 39% approval rating for Turnbull, down two, and a disapproval rating of 42%, down one; and a 35% approval rating for Bill Shorten, down two, and a disapproval rating of 43%, down one.
A question on preferred Liberal leader finds Turnbull moving clear of Julie Bishop since the last such result in December – he’s up three to 24%, with Bishop down two to 17%. Both are well clear of the more conservative alternatives of Tony Abbott, on 11% (up one) and 3% (down one). Scott Morrison scores only 2%, unchanged on last time. When asked who they would prefer in the absence of Turnbull, 26% opted for Bishop and 16% for Abbott, with Dutton and Morrison both on 5%. Also featured is an occasional question on leaders’ attributes, but I would want to see the raw numbers before drawing any conclusions from them. Those should be with us, along with primary votes, when Essential Research publishes its full report later today.
UPDATE: Full report here. The primary votes are Coalition 38%, Labor 37% (up one), Greens 10% (up one), One Nation 7% (down one).
Also today, courtesy of The Australian, are results from the weekend’s Newspoll which find support for a republic at 50%, down one since last August, with opposition up three to 41%. With the qualification of Prince Charles ascending the throne, support rises to 55%, unchanged since August, while opposition is at 35%, up one.
Observer @ #147 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 11:16 am
He was a Partner at KPMG. Says it all about the guy, really. One of those people who can do amazing things with money and laws, put them together and get the person or business paying them, off paying more tax.
Steve777 @ #172 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 11:47 am
I think there is room for optimism on two fronts –
* people are tired of the chaos, and any RGR chaos public memories have been completely blitzed by the current mob, and Labor’s disciplined stability has taken root in peoples mind
* and secondly, I think the pendulum swing, on top of the general drift, to the right has reached amplitude, and there is seen / felt to be a need to restore balance, under the banner of equality, fairness and social stability.
The polls reflect that – Turnbull was hoped to deliver both and got high polling numbers when he took over with the RGR and Abbott shit still fresh in people’s minds, but the realisation that he can deliver neither now an entrenched reality sees him in the feckless position he is in now.
Quoll,
Why do you bother reading PB if you find it so distasteful and offensive to your delicate sensibilities?
Scout @ #174 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 11:51 am
Well I don’t see it as having done any harm so why all the fuss?
zoomster says:
Tuesday, April 10, 2018 at 12:21 pm
…”No, there were toxic times before that – the Hillary/Obama wars spring to mind – but the present nastiness pretty much began when you started posting”…
I may have put out of joint, the noses of several people who are far more familiar with having their proselytism accepted here as gospel, but responsibility for exactly the same people having precisely the same argument today, in the same spiteful fashion, that they were having a decade ago, is a burden to great to bare.
It is ludicrous for you to suggest that I am.
Absence of Empathy @ #175 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 11:51 am
William is actually one of her protectors, so you won’t see anything happen there.
Anyway, good to see someone else on PB who can see right through this extremely shallow and pretentious person.
I’ve been offline this morning. Perhaps it’s just as well. 😉
After Mr Rudd’s crack at Shorten yesterday, it’s a no-brainer that he’d back Albanese, who was one of his ‘secret admirers’ during the Gillard era.
Steve777 @ #178 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 12:01 pm
“Dickheads Alliance” is a better fit.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/for-malcolm-turnbull-christmas-is-the-new-30-20180410-p4z8pv.html
zoomster @ #192 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 12:21 pm
It happens to anyone who speaks the truth and doesn’t buckle when attacked by the mob.
AofE is a welcome addition.
Sprocket @ #197 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 12:29 pm
He would have a vote as an ordinary party member.
Omar Sharif (born April 10) makes the google thingy.
https://www.google.com.au/?gfe_rd=cr&dcr=0&ei=GCnMWpDMN5Dp8wfLypzwCg
Steve777 @ #178 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 12:01 pm
So you ditch the racism, keep the corporatocracy, and change the energy policy from “MORE COAL, RAWR!!!!” to “we don’t care, that’s for the market to decide”.
I’d name that A Marginal Improvement.
I think the name “Centre Alliance” will put paid to Rebekha Sharkie’s chances next election – even though she has built up a very good reputation in Mayo.
bemused
I don’t mind people speaking the truth. They can do this all they want, every day to infinity and beyond.
More important news than fucking Rudd/Gillard
TODAY
—FBI raids Michael Cohen
—Trump family biz and Panama
—Mississippi gets first woman senator
—John Bolton’s first day as NSA
—Zuckerberg meets with senators
—Trump teases Syria action
—CBO says the deficit is exploding
—Senator Duckworth gives birth
—More Pruitt fallout
For those waiting with bated breath for an update on my computer situation, I tried Bug1’s DNS settings and the TCP/IP thing that somebody else suggested. Neither worked. But thanks for the help.
Interesting article on Deakin and Menzies Liberalism philosophy.
https://theconversation.com/can-the-liberal-party-hold-its-broad-church-of-liberals-and-conservatives-together-93575
bemused is still obsessed with stalking fess.
He really is a sad, sad individual.
bemused says:
Tuesday, April 10, 2018 at 12:51 pm
Scout @ #174 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 11:51 am
Bemused – genuine? Do you have any concern with the letter Kevin Rudd submitted to the financial review?
What useful purpose did it serve?
Well I don’t see it as having done any harm so why all the fuss?
Yep – the display of petulance is just that!
It has been a while since I have posted, can some kind soul please remind me how I quote another post properly?
thanks in advance
Absence of Empathy says:
Tuesday, April 10, 2018 at 12:52 pm
I may have put out of joint, the noses of several people who are far more familiar with having their proselytism accepted here as gospel, but responsibility for exactly the same people having precisely the same argument today, in the same spiteful fashion, that they were having a decade ago, is a burden to great to bare.
It is ludicrous for you to suggest that I am.
I doubt that anyone’s nose is out of joint, and certainly not for anything you may have said. It is wise not to think that any one person has a huge influence on this blog.
One thing I have learned to accept as a direct result of more than ten years on this blog (and that time scale gives no special privileges or insight, I hasten to add) is that different people have different opinions, and I am grateful that William allows us to express those opinions without fear or favour, intervening mercifully little, except for a nudge now and then when somebody gets above themselves.
Many of us express opinions here, but expecting them to be influential is drawing a long bow.
There’s nowt so queer as folk.
Absence, your advice on how the blog should be run is most unlikely ever to impress me. The exchange you describe would be seen as give-and-take faults-on-both-sides by any reasonable person.
Computer situation?
Wild guess – if you’ve switched to Google’s DNS and are still getting some sort of weirdness after running some third-party troubleshooting tool, try disabling IPv6.
Start -> Settings -> Network and Internet -> Change adapter options -> <Right-click on your network adapter> -> Properties, then uncheck the ‘Internet Protocol Version 6’ box and hit ‘OK’.
Additionally, try an Incognito window to confirm that it’s not some plugin or extension or cookies or similar that’s causing the weirdness.
I will be drawing a line under accusations of bullying and stalking and suggestions that other comments should fuck off.
As a student of history, I suspect that 100 years from now, this period will be remembered as the Rudd/Abbott era of instability because their actions in and out of power will be seen as the main game historically.
Turnbull and Gillard will likely only get cameo mentions.
Scout says:
Tuesday, April 10, 2018 at 1:37 pm
It has been a while since I have posted, can some kind soul please remind me how I quote another post properly?
_________________________________________
There is an additional script you can add which makes posting easy, KayJay is the expert, and no doubt will post instructions when he sees your request.
I use the ‘plain vanilla’ unchanged version of the blog, and it suits me well enough.
Quoting can be as simple as highlight the post, copy, and paste into the ‘Leave a Reply’ box.
You can then leave a shift – minus line like so:
_________________________
and then type up your reply, and press ‘post comment’.
If you want, you can make the person’s quote in italics by using less than and greater than brackets around an i and a /i like so:
(i) this is in italics (/i)
But using the less than and greater than symbols instead of round brackets.
WB,
So an end to the sex and travel awards then.
Scout says:
Tuesday, April 10, 2018 at 1:37 pm
It has been a while since I have posted, can some kind soul please remind me how I quote another post properly?
There is an additional script you can add which makes posting easy, KayJay is the expert, and no doubt will post instructions when he sees your request.
I use the ‘plain vanilla’ unchanged version of the blog, and it suits me well enough.
Quoting can be as simple as highlight the post, copy, and paste into the ‘Leave a Reply’ box.
You can then leave a shift – minus line like so:
_________________________
and then type up your reply, and press ‘post comment’.
If you want, you can make the person’s quote in italics by using less than and greater than brackets around an i and a /i like so:
(i) this is in italics (/i)
But using the less than and greater than symbols instead of round brackets.
_
Thanks Don
Thanks for the suggestion AR – but sadly, no dice. I really do think I’m going to reinstall Windows.
William, I believe last night a command ‘ping http://www.pollbludger.net‘ was failing , hence the dns suggestions.
Try (I think it should work on both PC or Mac):
C:>nslookup http://www.pollbludger.net
Server: ip-10-132-0-2.ap-southeast-2.compute.internal
Address: 10.132.0.2
Non-authoritative answer:
Name: pollbludger.net
Addresses: 2407:e700:3:26::2a
103.18.109.167
Aliases: http://www.pollbludger.net
Also for example
C:>nslookup http://www.crikey.com.au
Server: ip-10-132-0-2.ap-southeast-2.compute.internal
Address: 10.132.0.2
Non-authoritative answer:
Name: http://www.crikey.com.au
Addresses: 2400:cb00:2048:1::6819:336b
2400:cb00:2048:1::6819:346b
104.25.52.107
104.25.51.107
jenauthor says:
Tuesday, April 10, 2018 at 1:44 pm
As a student of history, I suspect that 100 years from now, this period will be remembered as the Rudd/Abbott era of instability because their actions in and out of power will be seen as the main game historically.
Turnbull and Gillard will likely only get cameo mentions
It hurts me to say this, but I fear you are right. That is a good insight, thank you.
That such people as Rudd and Abbott have had such a huge and lasting influence on the Australian political scene is sad indeed.
with the commands above do not add the http:// – that was added by the blogging software, so it should be command http://www.pollbludger.net:
nslookup -hostname-
eg.
nslookup http://www.pollbludger.net
Also look at the text file: c:Windowssystem32driversetchosts
it should look like this:
C:Usersjohn.reidy>type c:Windowssystem32driversetchosts
# Copyright (c) 1993-2009 Microsoft Corp.
#
# This is a sample HOSTS file used by Microsoft TCP/IP for Windows.
#
# This file contains the mappings of IP addresses to host names. Each
# entry should be kept on an individual line. The IP address should
# be placed in the first column followed by the corresponding host name.
# The IP address and the host name should be separated by at least one
# space.
#
# Additionally, comments (such as these) may be inserted on individual
# lines or following the machine name denoted by a ‘#’ symbol.
#
# For example:
#
# 102.54.94.97 rhino.acme.com # source server
# 38.25.63.10 x.acme.com # x client host
# localhost name resolution is handled within DNS itself.
# 127.0.0.1 localhost
# ::1 localhost
William has HAL 9000 issues?
Zoidlord @ #183 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 9:08 am
That’s not me!!!!! 😠
Buy a mac.
John, I entered what you suggest in command line, and got responses that look like what you have provided. I’m not sure where that leaves me though.
Zoidlord @ #216 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 1:24 pm
Typical of you to miss the biggest news story of the day!
William Bowe @ #230 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 1:50 pm
Can’t you do a roll-back to last time it worked OK, rather than a full re-install?
Any thoughts that Rudd might yet publically damage shorten ? He didn’t do so in 2016 but he is more independent now .. The constant Rudd defamation evidenced on pb – typifying internal party opinions – will only fuel this possibility ..the party made a monumental mistake in 2010 and the public and Rudd are owed an apology ..unfortunately shorten does not seem rhetorical gifted enough or magnaminous in attitude to do this … Or at lease make due regards of Rudd
Geoffrey
Rudd got a second go at being PM because of Shorten. I don’t see much evidence of gratitude from him.
I read back through sams post last night. Seems the reason we send stock on boats is that it is cheaper put them on a boat alive, fatten them up and slaughter in the overseas destination than fatten them up and slaughter them here and transport the packaged meat.
Not so much about cultural factors.
Perhaps the solution is to subsidise either the fattening or the slaughter (or both) here in Aus under the guise of a humane subsidy. But I wonder how much of this is just maximising profit than real world competition dictating the choice. What next – shipping all our grapes to China to have them turned to wine?
It wouldn’t appear so, Bemused.
BK
“I think the name “Centre Alliance” will put paid to Rebekha Sharkie’s chances next election – even though she has built up a very good reputation in Mayo.”
Sharkie may face an election sooner than most. If Gallagher falls afoul of the High Court re citizenship/”reasonable steps”, then Sharkie will be one of the dominoes to fall. A Mayo by-election would be in the offing.
Geoffrey – why the , should Shorten apologise to Rudd??? Seriously
As stated previously – 99.99% of people go through some sort of trauma but they do not have a platform that Rudd does AND would have moved on by now instead of acting like a petulant child.
I like others have been sucked in to this as distraction – can not believe the immaturity and self indulgence.
The battle should be about fighting the huge tax cuts to those who don’t need it, lack of wage growth, etc etc
don @ #230 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 1:53 pm
I think a historian might even start the period earlier or at least identify warning signs. The Latham – Rudd LOTO period was a harbinger as was the Costello period and of course the Nelson, Turnbull Abbott LOTO.
Scout @ #244 Tuesday, April 10th, 2018 – 2:09 pm
Actually Scout the real issue RIGHT NOW is will we have WWII sometime in the next two months.
The rest is pretty meaningless.
rudd got kicked out of the PM’s chair, eight years ago. Someone call the whawhawhambulance.
An apology to Rudd and Aussies? Puhlease …
You jump into the oven, you might just get burned (actually, you’re almost certain to).
Politics is not for the faint-hearted or for those who need apologies.
Besides, few here actually know the inside story – most operate on their own allegiances and in some cases ‘fandom’ which might or might not be based on facts.
Media foment different arguments and beliefs to garner ‘good stories’ to fill ‘column inches’. Truth matters little, and the more unsavoury, the more distorted the better because it’ll get the public’s attention.
The pro/anti Rudd/Gillard/Albanese/Shorten/Turnbull … etc etc stuff is moot when you really think about it. It is fun to discuss and argue about, but most of the time we’re all just blowing hot air.
We’re tribal creatures, and politics is the ultimate tribal sport.