After a week of post-Ipsos hype, The Australian reports the latest Newspoll finds absolutely no change whatsoever on voting intention since a fortnight ago: Labor’s two-party lead is at 53-47, and the primary votes are Coalition 37%, Labor 39%, Greens 9% and One Nation 5%. Scott Morrison is down one on approval to 42% and up three on disapproval to 48%, while Bill Shorten is down one to 35% and up two to 53%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is unchanged at 44-35. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1582.
bc 133am
This brings to mind a vision of Supreme Leader Morrison, in full Kim Jong-un mode, standing on the bridge of a warship, arm outstretched and ordering a flotilla of asylum seeker boats to turn back around;
Naah – it would have to be Morrison on his beloved Endeavour Replica surely!
It looks like we’re due another round of CPG rehabilitation of the Coalition acting on AGW. What reset or “road to Damascus moment” are we on, the 10th? 20th? They really are optimists, aren’t they. Will the voters of electorates like Wentworth decide that they’re satisfied by the fig leaf presented (as they always have)?
Has this govt ever accepted the recommendation of a committee over a mates’choice?
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/cabinet-poised-to-appoint-ita-buttrose-as-next-abc-chair-20190224-p50zy1.html
Did Christian Porter actually travel around in the bus or did he fly between places and meet the bus?
Talk of extending Brexit time table by another 22 months.. this could be a good outcome , seeing the end of both May & Corbyn as party leaders. It would give time for a sensible regrouping & another referendum
David Speers is putting out a daily emailed newsletter, today’s has some comedy..
“The new Climate Solutions Fund will look to partner with farmers, local governments and businesses to offer “practical” solutions to climate change.
Mr Morrison will outline the government’s commitment to funding projects that would see farmers assisted in drought-proofing properties and support remote Indigenous communities conduct early dry-season burning to reduce the severity of bushfires.
The issue of climate change has been a real sticking point for the Coalition which has firmly been on the receiving end of criticism for its lack of concrete policy vision.
In addressing that concern, the Prime Minister will hit out at Labor and The Greens, highlighting the government’s intent to take a “cool-headed” approach which will avoid taking a “sledgehammer to the economy.”
“Our approach is to take care of our environment but also take responsibility to ensure we acknowledge, understand and manage the consequences of our decisions,” Mr Morrison will say, according to advanced speech notes.
“No one politician, political party or government can claim a mortgage on understanding the obvious fact we only have one planet.”
The Prime Minister’s speech will also point to the groundwork made by his predecessors Malcolm Turnbull and Tony Abbott before drawing ramping up the rhetoric surrounding the opposition.
ABC should not get a new chair until after the election. If one is appointed, they should join thehads of the AFP, Border Force and shone Affairs in the purge.
“Our approach is to take care of our environment but also take responsibility to ensure we acknowledge, understand and manage the consequences of our decisions,” Mr Morrison will say, according to advanced speech notes.
Except where it gets in the way of a Coal Mine, or irrigated farmlands owned by agribusinesses.
Rocket Rocket @ #351 Monday, February 25th, 2019 – 7:04 am
He will end up like Noah on the Ark if he stays in government beyond the election implementing the faux Climate Change plan he is announcing today.
Suggestion around this morning that Ita Buttrose is the proposed new ABC chair. Matter mentioned on RN a few minutes ago.
They lie to your face and expect you to believe them:
https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/property/2019/02/24/housing-tax-warning-evidence/?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20News%20-%2020190225
Just saying, but Ita was born in 1942.
sprocket_ says:
Monday, February 25, 2019 at 7:15 am
David Speers is putting out a daily emailed newsletter, today’s has some comedy..
“The new Climate Solutions Fund will look to partner with farmers, local governments and businesses to offer “practical” solutions to climate change…….The Prime Minister’s speech will also point to the groundwork made by his predecessors Malcolm Turnbull and Tony Abbott before drawing ramping up the rhetoric surrounding the opposition”
—
That made me laugh and ruined my corn flakes- they can’t be seriously staking a claim on climate change. How did he get this past 20 + human induced climate change deniers ?
Well what we do you see is we say this crap to keep the Nationals voters on our team by pretending were give a damn about the impact of climate change on farmers and growers and those clowns in Wentworth, Indi and Chisolm, Higgins etc who might go Green or Indy against us. But it’s ok; this policy will be kicked into the long grass [after the election] and it will never see the light of day silly.
“Communications Minister Mitch Fifield will take Ms Buttrose’s nomination to cabinet this week, despite her name not being included in a shortlist compiled by an independent panel following an extensive search by global recruitment firm Korn Ferry.”
The more things change, the more they remain the same!
For The Australian – I renounce thee – I renounce thee –
The Sydney Morning Herald is now the Goto for a successful and happy life –
https://www.smh.com.au/money/planning-and-budgeting/real-life-stinge-spiration-to-help-you-become-mortgage-free-20190221-p50zcj.html
Lo – eat your heart out – Shanahan – Kenny – Benson – — –
Part of the solution —
and
So that’s me for later today, as I await BK’s gems in Dawn Patrol is to hie myself hence seeking a random butcher cum cocktail party hero to complete my life.
Over. ☮☕
According to the GG. Who would have got it from the minister……..
.
.
Ita Buttrose is believed to be under serious consideration to take over as chair of the ABC.
All shortlisted recommendations, made after an extensive search by global recruitment firm Korn Ferry, are believed to have been rejected. Former Fairfax Media chief executive Greg Hywood and former News Corp chief executive Kim Williams were believed to be on the shortlist.
https://outline.com/t3tqKp
@Steve777:
“My calculation of 2PP: ALP 0 + 39 + .8*9 + .4*5 + .45*10 = 52.7 –> 53”
Dr Bonham did a calculation using the same primaries after last fortnights’s Newspoll using the established method of calculating preferences. From memory he calculated Labor’s 2PP to be 53.8 from those primary votes. Rounded to 54.
Newspoll has suppressed Labor’s 2PP vote because of their unproven preference fandango.
I wonder whether the invisible Melissa Price will make an appearance at scotty’s Climate Change Policy launch.
Perhaps Biggus Stickus will?
GG,
Indeed. I refrained from mentioning that. Don’t want to be accused of ageism.
As for the ABC Chair
why not consider some actual – real life – human beings ❓
sprocket_ says:
Monday, February 25, 2019 at 7:48 am
I wonder whether the invisible Melissa Price will make an appearance at scotty’s Climate Change Policy launch.
Perhaps Biggus Stickus will?
—
** laughs** @ Biggus Stickus
Bennelong Lurker @ #368 Monday, February 25th, 2019 – 7:49 am
The fact she is 77 now should be a consideration if you are proposing a five year term.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Michael Koziol reports that the Morrison government will renew the centrepiece of Tony Abbott’s climate change policy, the Emissions Reduction Fund, with a $2 billion injection over 10 years, as it outlines a plan for meeting Australia’s 2030 targets under the Paris Agreement.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/scott-morrison-pledges-2-billion-10-year-boost-to-direct-action-fund-in-election-climate-pitch-20190224-p50zvt.html
Bevan Fields looks at what’s in front of Morrison as he promotes the above policy.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/on-climate-change-scott-morrison-is-embracing-politics-as-the-art-of-the-possible-20190224-p50zww.html
Katherine Murphy says Morrison will attempt to appeal to voters deeply concerned that the Coalition has been wreckers on climate change by rebadging Tony Abbott’s emissions reduction fund as a “climate solutions” fund.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/25/scott-morrison-to-reboot-tony-abbotts-emissions-reduction-fund-with-2bn
In a delightful article Ross Gittins says that with the federal election campaign being fought over which side will do the better job of re-regulating the banks, the energy companies and business generally, big business seems to be going through the stages of grief. It’s reached denial.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/it-s-not-business-bashing-it-s-the-public-s-moment-of-truth-20190224-p50zvh.html
A subdued Simon Benson says that the boat battle failed to lift the Coalition in Newspoll.
https://www.outline.com/L24bPY
Michelle Grattan explains how the 2019 federal election might bring stability at last to Australian politics.
https://theconversation.com/the-end-of-uncertainty-how-the-2019-federal-election-might-bring-stability-at-last-to-australian-politics-111827
Lady Georgina might find herself in a spot of bother.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-calls-in-auditor-over-sports-grant-presented-by-liberal-candidate-georgina-downer-20190224-p50zxz.html
The SMH editorial says that the Liberals’ ‘women problem’ is a drag on the party’s electoral prospects.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/a-tale-of-two-sisters-and-sex-in-the-citadel-20190224-h1bnv7.html
Treasurer Josh Frydenberg is relying on property industry-sponsored research to support claims that Labor’s proposed reforms to investor tax breaks would drive up rents and derail the economy. It ignores Labor’s grandfathering policy.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/property/2019/02/24/housing-tax-warning-evidence/
According to Fairfax (I reuse to call it Nine!) Ita Buttrose is poised to become the next chair of the ABC.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/cabinet-poised-to-appoint-ita-buttrose-as-next-abc-chair-20190224-p50zy1.html
John McDuling thinks she’s a good choice.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/buttrose-could-be-exactly-the-right-kind-of-person-to-lead-the-abc-20190222-p50zis.html
And Tony Walker tells us that the corporation is now being run on a care and maintenance basis by a temporary chair and a temporary managing director. This is neither sustainable, nor desirable, and reflects poor decisions about managing director and chair appointments in the first place.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/why-don-t-we-have-a-new-head-of-the-abc-yet-20190222-p50zl6.html
Michael Koziol reports that a Labor government would slug the big banks with a $640 million levy to create a “fairness fund” to help consumers struggling with debt or predatory lenders to access financial advice.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-to-slug-banks-with-640-million-fairness-fund-to-support-financial-counselling-20190224-p50zwc.html
Brexit could be delayed until 2021 under plans being explored by the EU’s most senior officials, at a time of growing exasperation over Theresa May’s handling of the talks, the Guardian can reveal.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/feb/24/brexit-could-be-delayed-until-2021-eu-sources-reveal
Peter Hannam explains how towns across inland NSW are facing “acute” water shortages, as dam levels dive, rivers wither and towns scramble to drill new bores and prepare to truck in water if the drought fails to break.
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/sustainability/lot-of-grief-as-acute-water-shortages-threaten-drought-hit-nsw-towns-20190222-p50zl5.html
The Age’s Richard Baker writes that WorkSafe has launched an investigation into alleged health and safety breaches at Victoria’s Coroners Court, relating to a tumultuous period which led to State Coroner Sara Hinchey standing aside. The investigation is the second into matters which occurred during Judge Hinchey’s time leading one of Victoria’s most-important legal institutions.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/worksafe-to-investigate-the-coroners-court-of-victoria-20190222-p50zof.html
The AFR reveals that three men and one woman are in the running for the top job at NAB.
https://www.outline.com/mddPce
Why school shopping is killing off the local high school.
https://www.smh.com.au/education/why-school-shopping-is-killing-off-the-local-high-school-20190222-p50zpy.html
The PSA tells us that violence in the juvenile justice is at epidemic levels. Not good.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/horror-stories-from-juvie-a-young-offender-s-home-before-long-bay-20190203-p50vfe.html
“Most Aussies, especially first homebuyers, would be furious to learn they’re competing for houses with people who are trying to wash the proceeds of illicit drug sales, fraud or corruption,” writes financial crime expert Nathan Lynch in Michael West’s webpage.
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/sluice-gate-money-laundering-and-real-estate-shape-as-an-election-issue/
Nicole Hemmer writes that in the US the Democrats’ lurch to the left is a step in the right direction.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/democrats-lurch-to-the-left-is-a-step-in-the-right-direction-20190222-p50zlk.html
Robert Reich says the Mueller report looms but the president is doomed anyway – no one who screws the people so blatantly can win re-election
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/24/youre-fired-america-has-already-terminated-trump
The Catholic Church must refashion its future if it is to survive a “most spectacular own goal” and the collapse in community trust prompted by sex abuse scandals, according to one of its most senior Australian leaders.
https://www.outline.com/z6HXTY
Campaigners are furious after the pope’s ‘defensive’ speech on child abuse.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/feb/24/pope-francis-calls-for-all-out-battle-against-abuse-of-children
Cardinal Reinhard Marx, the Archbishop of Munich, has told 190 church leaders gathered in Rome that procedures to investigate and punish paedophile priests had often been ignored. “Files that could have documented the terrible deeds and named those responsible were destroyed, or not even created,” he said.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2019/02/24/cardinal-admits-church-destroyed-sex-abuse-files/
More tinkering from the AFL as nine new rules are introduced for 2019.
https://www.smh.com.au/sport/afl/more-flow-less-clutter-who-will-benefit-from-new-afl-rules-20190220-p50z4h.html
The Muffin Break lady has earned nomination for “Arsehole of the Week”.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/24/muffin-break-faces-backlash-after-boss-says-millennials-wont-do-unpaid-word
Cartoon Corner
David Rowe with Trump’s summit with Kim Jong Un.
From Matt Golding.
Mark David has a couple of new ones for us.
Pat Campbell and travelling as a Liberal.
John Shakespeare and the bookies.
Glen Le Lievre introduces the iDebtbot.
Sean Leahy with some Oscar nominations.
Jon Kudelka and the Higgins preselection.
https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/567f4ae9e9c092e98a894f68da1b3af3
From the US
sprocket 748am
It is so long since Melissa Price has been sighted in the wild she has been moved from the ‘endangered’ list and has been declared extinct.
I suppose you could say her disappearance is due to climate change – or at least the Coslition’s lack of any coherent policy on it. Maybe as Minister for the Environment the embarrassment finished her off.
Why should Melissa Price appear at a CC policy launch? She obviously thinks of the environment as rocks and stuff, where little animals gambol amongst the vegetation. Climate? Irrelevant.
Not a boo from the ABC News 24 about the Newspoll. Had it on for the past hour.
“Centurion ! Why do the EB’s titter so ?”
As Elton john might say, “She’s packed her bags, pre-flight”
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2019/02/24/kelly-odwyer-katie-allen/
Poll size is 1582, margin of error is about 2.5%.
Anyone who doubts the influence of Abbott on Morrison and the government only has to look at the key appointments where Abbott passed comment on the appointed Ministers and now the regurgitation of the Climate Policy
And with the defections where are the Dutton and Morrison numbers?
So Morrison continues to accommodate the right wing to survive his status as pm – which is his only consideration
If the ALP gains a majority in both Houses (crosses fingers), here’s hoping they might do something about the ridiculous, deadly boring Dorothy Dixers.
There has been some shift in Coalition thinking. They now seem to have decided, like Abbott did 9 years ago, that they have to pretend to do something about climate change.
Look, I suppose it’s something that the govt hasn’t nominated Chris Kenny or Miranda Devine as ABC chair.
Lizzie,
the elimination of the Dorothy Dixers has been very good thing about the Victorian Parliament.
Rather than a “Can the minister tell the floor about the great work they have been doing with…” followed by a prepared statement. The ministers give a briefing, then are open for questions from opposition parties only.
Lizzie- here’s hoping, but winning a majority in both houses is not going to happen I think- but if they did, like most incumbent governments that benefit from Dorothy Dixers I don’t think they’d touch them!
I wake this morning to see that the Catholic Church and the Liberal party have noticed that ignoring the obvious is hurting their separate brands.
All of a sudden, the Catholic Church has found that, instead of protecting peadophiles, they should do something about them (apart from burning their files that is).
The Liberal Party has found they haven’t supported their mates enough so have boosted spending on direct action. That way, they can pretend even more, that they are doing something about climate change.
Will it work?
Steve777 snap.
I see ScoMo has already set up another $2billion slush fund for Maaaaaaaaaaaates!
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/feb/25/scott-morrison-to-reboot-tony-abbotts-emissions-reduction-fund-with-2bn
Michael Koziol reports that the Morrison government will renew the centrepiece of Tony Abbott’s climate change policy, the Emissions Reduction Fund, with a $2 billion injection over 10 years, as it outlines a plan for meeting Australia’s 2030 targets under the Paris Agreement.
Because Tony ‘Climate Change is Crap’ Abbott’s Climate Change policy fig leaf, along with his 2014 Budget, was so popular the first go around. Not.
double snap!
Bushfire Bill @ 1.12am
Could not believe that headline. As a former bank employee, you only get plaudits for bashing banks, it isn’t a negative to bash banks. Truly bizarre and probably shows how out of touch the CPG is.
FL, It is so obvious that bludgers, independently and separately, see straight through the scam and come to the same conclusion.
As we bludgers are totally unbiased and a representative sample of the population in general, I would say Scomo has a problem.
Now where is that sarc emoji?
The Liberal Party still haven’t figured out yet that Mates and Donors don’t have many votes. The electorate they are dudding by handing out the pork to their mates, do.
Morrison can do and say what he likes about Climate action, banks etc etc etc.
It is now clear the mob is not listening. Even if the government fluked a good policy on anything it still would not matter.
That is where we are.
If ALP wins with 53-47 and has a primary vote of around 40% there is no way they will have a majority in the Senate. Even with greens help they will need votes from independents.
Paul Barrat
I think a billion dollars seems so far above the average person’s imagination that it must be a huge grant. Good to see when it is broken down into an annual pittance
Holden Hillbilly
It was just a hope, not an expectation. 🙂
Hang on. I though according to the govt we were already meeting our Paris targets?
I bet these are questions that Fifield deliberately avoided.
Like the ‘feel good’ ads the govt is running – this climate change ‘polissee’ (sic) will impress nobody.
Pea and thimble accounting along with vague support for mates to ‘do the right thing’.