Poll respondents with attitudes

New poll results from around the place on attitudes towards climate change, Australia Day and things-in-general.

An off week in the fortnightly cycles for both Newspoll and Essential Research, but we do have three fairly detailed sets of attitudinal polling doing the rounds:

• Ipsos has results from its monthly Issues Monitor series, which records a dramatic escalation in concern about the environment. Asked to pick the three most salient out of 19 listed issues, 41% chose the environment, more than any other. This was up ten on last month’s survey, and compares with single digit results that were not uncommonly recorded as recently as 2015. Cost of living and health care tied for second on 31%, respectively down three and up six on last month. The economy was up one to 25%, and crime down one to 21%. On “party most capable to manage environmental issues across the generations”, generations up to and including X gave the highest rating to the Greens, towards whom the “boomer” and “builder” generations showed their usual hostility. The poll was conducted online from a sample of 1000.

• A poll by YouGov for the Australian Institute finds 79% expressing concern about climate change, up five since a similar poll in July. This includes 47% who were very concerned, up ten. Among those aged 18 to 34, only around 10% expressed a lack of concern. Fifty-seven per cent said Australia was experiencing “a lot” of climate change impact, up 14%; 67% said climate change was making bushfires worse, with 26% disagreeing; and only 33% felt the Coalition had done a good job “managing the climate crisis” (a potentially problematic turn of phrase for those who did not allow that there was one), compared with 53% who took the contrary view. The poll was conducted January 8 to 12 from a sample of 1200; considerable further detail is available through the full report.

• The Institute of Public Affairs has a poll on Australia Day and political correctness from Dynata, which has also done polling on the other side of the ideological aisle for the aforesaid Australia Institute. This finds 71% agreeing that “Australia Day should be celebrated on January 26” (55% strongly, 16% somewhat), and 68% agreeing Australia had become too politically correct (42% strongly, 26% somewhat). Disagreement with both propositions was at just 11%. A very substantial age effect was evident here, but not for the two further questions relating to pride in Australia, which received enthusiastic responses across the board. I have my doubts about opening the batting on this particular set of questions by asking if respondents were “proud to be an Australian”, which brings Yes Minister to mind. Perhaps the most interesting thing about the poll is the demographic detail on the respondents, who were presumably drawn from an online panel. This shows women were greatly over-represented in the younger cohorts, while the opposite was true among the old; and that the sample included rather too many middle-aged people on low incomes. The results would have been weighted to correct for this, but some of these weightings were doing some fairly heavy lifting (so to speak).

Elsewhere, if you’re a Crikey subscriber you can enjoy my searing expose on the electoral impact of Bridget McKenzie’s sports sports. I particularly hope you appreciate the following line, as it was the fruit of about two days’ work:

When polling booth and sport grants data are aggregated into 2288 local regions designated by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, there turns out to be no correlation whatsoever between the amount of funding they received and how much they swung to or against the Coalition.

I worked this out by identifying the approximate target locations of 518 grants, building a dataset recording grant funding and booth-level election swings for each of the ABS’s Statistical Local Area 2 regions, and using linear regression to calculate how much impact the grants had on the Coalition vote. The verdict: absolutely none whatsoever.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,074 comments on “Poll respondents with attitudes”

Comments Page 4 of 42
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  1. 😆 a Telegraph reporter captures Trump’s speech perfectly.
    ————————————-
    “Donald Trump just gave the most incredible speech at Davos… and it went a little something like this

    Tremendous boasting. Phenomenal boasting. Outstanding boasting. Donald Trump was boasting like no American president had ever boasted before. His boasts were some of the biggest boasts in the history of boasting. His boasts were truly incredible. You wouldn’t believe them. …………….. it was non-stop boasting from soup to nuts.
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/01/21/donald-trump-just-gave-incredible-speech-davos-went-little-something/

  2. lizzie @ #150 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:07 pm

    Been out shopping. Went to local feed store. Owner not happy.

    Refrigeration broke down in hot weather. Replaced it at great expense after throwing away all meat in it, but now the pet food supplier has problems getting supplies (easy to guess why) .

    This is a small business miles away from fires, but the owner is upset and angry because of four weeks of being unable to supply customers. He reckons he’s losing thousands of dollars.

    He could have received a grant from a federal Labor government about a decade ago to switch to a refrigerator which didn’t emit as many Greenhouse Gases. But no. He probably voted for the Abbott government.

  3. zoomster says:
    Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 11:42 am

    …”No, there is data available – polling from the last campaign – which is what I referenced.

    To refute this, you’ll have to provide other polling which compares Clinton and Sanders, rather than working off gut feelings or whatever”…

    ………………………..

    Quite obviously not relevant to what I was saying, but you already new that.

  4. C@t

    No, attacking the wrong chap. It is a small family business of gentle almost hippy types from a local farm, which only took over a year or so ago.

  6. Not Sure

    There was a thread under discussion. My statement was made in the context of that discussion.

    You chose to shift the goalposts, that’s your issue.

  7. Apparently Bill Tilley (Benambra, in northeast Victoria) is likely to resign this year. Apparently Jacqui Hawkins is already preparing for go #2, with the Nats apparently also aware. Not sure why Tilley would be careless enough to let anyone but the Libs know so maybe it’s a false alarm, but also maybe he’s careless, my source seemed convinced he would resign.

    Something to look out for I would say.

  8. A very interesting web of donors.patrons and maaates.

    The minister, the cardinal and the billionaire climate sceptic you’ve probably never heard of

    Rupert Murdoch and his influence on climate politics are front and centre of debate right now but there is a second, less well-known Australian billionaire operating from afar who has used his money and access to back conservative political causes. His name is Michael Hintze.

    He also has a long-running business relationship with Angus Taylor, Scott Morrison’s minister in charge of emissions reduction. Hintze is also a conservative Catholic who has links to former prime minister Tony Abbott

    Hintze’s activities as a “political patron”, as he describes himself, are well known in the UK but less so in Australia. Yet he has an intriguing set of relationships with both Abbott and Pell.

    https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/the-minister-the-cardinal-and-the-billionaire-climate-sceptic-youve-probably-never-heard-of/ar-BBZc2Nc?ocid=spartanntp

  9. C@t

    😆
    Actually the previous owner had let the business run right down, and when current people got someone to service the old refrigerator, they were told it was probably built in the seventies!!!

  10. To clarify:

    The claim was made that Sanders was more popular than Clinton.

    There is a wealth of polling which shows that this is not true.

    To refute the claim, you would need to point to polling that showed otherwise.

    Otherwise, we have to accept as fact that Clinton was more popular than Sanders.

  13. Mexican:

    Hatred of socialism is pretty mainstream in America, its not really about the establishment whatever that is. The hatred is rooted in the history of how America developed and why its politics is unique in many ways.

    Keep your Socialist hands away from my MedIcare!

  14. You have to wonder who is advising Scomo on hazard reduction. He’s setting himself up for a fight with fire experts as well as the Vic gov. Who’s telling him that the same rules work for all states/terr.?

    Hugh Riminton
    @hughriminton
    ·
    3m
    Will work a treat until a hazard reduction burn taken against expert advice burns out a million hectares and a couple of towns. At which point the PM will say it was “within the guidelines.”

  15. Aaron Dodd
    @AaronDodd
    ·
    8m
    Think on this.
    @Liberalaus tried every corrupt allocation to get @SenSHenderson
    re-elected. She had to be in on the scam. She still lost. But because she is clearly one of the gang of thieves, they found a senate possy for her instead. #auspol #sportsrorts

  18. lizzie @ #163 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:29 pm

    You have to wonder who is advising Scomo on hazard reduction. He’s setting himself up for a fight with fire experts as well as the Vic gov. Who’s telling him that the same rules work for all states/terr.?

    Hugh Riminton
    @hughriminton
    ·
    3m
    Will work a treat until a hazard reduction burn taken against expert advice burns out a million hectares and a couple of towns. At which point the PM will say it was “within the guidelines.”

    This is EXACTLY what I thought to myself this morning! Morrison will make people go in and do ‘Hazard Reduction’ against the advice of experts, as he has always done, and then one of those ‘Hazard Reduction’ burns wil get out of control and a massive bushfire will be the sad result.

    But, of course, you can also guarantee that he will have a rolled gold excuse to explain it away the very next day.

  19. Michael Springer
    @MichaelSpring17

    #ScottyfromMarketing belittling Professor Twomey? I can see Professor Twomey’s lecture in 2021 commencing- “A mediocre adman who for a short period of time served as our #Crimeminister is now before a court of law, and, he had the temerity to belittle me?”

    ÆnesidemusOZ ⓒ 抗
    @AenesidemusOZ
    Professor Anne Twomey is currently being belittled by
    @ScottMorrisonMP
    a play straight out of Trump’s playbook.

    This person knows much, much more than any sitting Member of Parliament about the Constitution and the Law.

    Here’s hoping the Class Action happens.

  20. zoomster says:
    Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 12:20 pm

    …”There was a thread under discussion. My statement was made in the context of that discussion.
    You chose to shift the goalposts, that’s your issue”…

    ……………..

    Remarkable.
    You have just literally done the thing you are claiming I did.

  21. A Great Barrier Reef conservation organisation has ended its partnership with bus company Greyhound just hours after Guardian Australia revealed the company’s contract at the controversial Adani coal project in Queensland.

    Citizens of the Great Barrier Reef Foundation held an emergency board meeting at 8am today, where its chairman Alex de Waal, who is the chief executive of Greyhound Australia, resigned.

    Guardian Australia revealed that Greyhound had written to all its staff on 6 January, alerting them to the contract to transport workers constructing the Adani mine’s railway that will move the coal from the Galilee Basin to Adani’s Abbott Point coal port.

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/22/great-barrier-reef-group-severs-ties-with-greyhound-over-adani-contract

  22. Not Sure

    No, sorry, but I understand that, if you didn’t understand the conversation to begin with, then you would have trouble understanding why you’ve misunderstood what’s going on.

  23. ” Yes, hatred of socialism in the US is not the result of some top-down conspiracy (the “establishment” thing). It’s deeply ingrained in the American pysche.

    Socialism is exactly equivalent to Communism. And government, any government, is implicitly untrustworthy, oppressive, and evil.

    It’s the American way.”

    Now this is what puzzles me. I really thought that the Russia / Facebook / Trump collusion would sink Trump an the basis that the Trump / Russia links would be hysterically toxic to Trumps supporters. Doesn’t seem to have happened.

    Bit like the Evangelicals ramping up their support for Trump even though he’s a nasty, arrogant prat of dubious morals who contempuously roots anything that doesn’t move fast enough.

    Strange.

  24. Just been down to the shops. On the voyage I had ABCNews on the radio, They had an item about #Rortgate and featured an interview with William Shorten Esq.

    During the interview he made (ahem) liberal use of the term #ScottyFromMarketing. 😆

  25. Danama Papers @ #173 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 9:41 am

    Just been down to the shops. On the voyage I had ABCNews on the rasio, They had an item about #Rortgate and featured an interview with William Shorten Esq.

    During the interview he made (ahem) liberal use of the term #ScottyFromMarketing. 😆

    😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆

  26. On “party most capable to manage environmental issues across the generations”, generations up to and including X gave the highest rating to the Greens, towards whom the “boomer” and “builder” generations showed their usual hostility.

    This matches up to what I hear in the community.

    I suppose decades of neo-conservative messaging has an effect.

  28. Danama Papers @ #173 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:41 pm

    Just been down to the shops. On the voyage I had ABCNews on the rasio, They had an item about #Rortgate and featured an interview with William Shorten Esq.

    During the interview he made (ahem) liberal use of the term #ScottyFromMarketing. 😆

    Like Hillary, Shortens words may have a reverse effect of what he intended. He’s not well liked.

  29. Richard Denniss
    @RDNS_TAI
    · 23m
    Would the PM rule out protecting Australians from terrorism if it cost a single job? Would he promise that no nurse would ever be sacked in pursuit of budget surplus? Of course not. But on #climate he pretends every job is sacred #AustralianFires #auspol https://theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/22/no-one-job-is-worth-saving-at-the-expense-of-climate-catastrophe-not-even-scott-morrisons

    ***
    @TheKouk
    ·
    3m
    Richard is spot on:
    There is also a large dollop of hypocrisy given Mr Morrison is presiding over policies that currently have 725,000 people unemployed and a further 1.16 million people unemployed.
    Those coal jobs don’t seem to trickle down too far

  30. Rex Douglas @ #177 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 9:48 am

    Danama Papers @ #173 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:41 pm

    Just been down to the shops. On the voyage I had ABCNews on the rasio, They had an item about #Rortgate and featured an interview with William Shorten Esq.

    During the interview he made (ahem) liberal use of the term #ScottyFromMarketing. 😆

    Like Hillary, Shortens words may have a reverse effect of what he intended. He’s not well liked.

    I’m not really bothered abut what other people think, it made me laugh out loud.

  33. Here ya go Zoomster, a transcript.

    Clearly, the comment of mine you replied to was directly related to both personal popularity and number of VOTES.

    My reply to you was only about actual election outcomes:

    ………………………….

    Greensborough Growler says:

    …”Hillary gathered 66 million votes. Even more than Trump. You can’t say she wasn’t popular”…

    Not Sure says:

    …”Hillary Clinton was NOT popular”…

    zoomster says:

    …”She was more popular than Sanders, which was the point being made”…

    Not Sure says:

    …”This assertion has not yet been tested, but perhaps we shall see”…

    zoomster says:

    …No, there is data available – polling from the last campaign – which is what I referenced”…

  34. lizzie @ #178 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 9:49 am

    Richard Denniss
    @RDNS_TAI
    · 23m
    Would the PM rule out protecting Australians from terrorism if it cost a single job? Would he promise that no nurse would ever be sacked in pursuit of budget surplus? Of course not. But on #climate he pretends every job is sacred #AustralianFires #auspol https://theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/22/no-one-job-is-worth-saving-at-the-expense-of-climate-catastrophe-not-even-scott-morrisons

    ***
    @TheKouk
    ·
    3m
    Richard is spot on:
    There is also a large dollop of hypocrisy given Mr Morrison is presiding over policies that currently have 725,000 people unemployed and a further 1.16 million people unemployed.
    Those coal jobs don’t seem to trickle down too far

    I think the Kouk meant to say;

    “… and a further 1.16 million people underemployed.”

  35. lizzie @ #178 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:49 pm

    Richard Denniss
    @RDNS_TAI
    · 23m
    Would the PM rule out protecting Australians from terrorism if it cost a single job? Would he promise that no nurse would ever be sacked in pursuit of budget surplus? Of course not. But on #climate he pretends every job is sacred #AustralianFires #auspol https://theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/22/no-one-job-is-worth-saving-at-the-expense-of-climate-catastrophe-not-even-scott-morrisons

    ***
    @TheKouk
    ·
    3m
    Richard is spot on:
    There is also a large dollop of hypocrisy given Mr Morrison is presiding over policies that currently have 725,000 people unemployed and a further 1.16 million people unemployed.
    Those coal jobs don’t seem to trickle down too far

    There is so much evidence that no rational person can deny that our parliament has been essentially acquired by the fossil fuel lobby and that is destroying our society, environment and economy.

    The evidence is showing that the ‘friends of coal’ cartel is the most dangerous threat to our country and voters must put their partisanship aside and remove this threat.

  36. Rex Douglas @ #184 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 9:56 am

    lizzie @ #178 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:49 pm

    Richard Denniss
    @RDNS_TAI
    · 23m
    Would the PM rule out protecting Australians from terrorism if it cost a single job? Would he promise that no nurse would ever be sacked in pursuit of budget surplus? Of course not. But on #climate he pretends every job is sacred #AustralianFires #auspol https://theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/22/no-one-job-is-worth-saving-at-the-expense-of-climate-catastrophe-not-even-scott-morrisons

    ***
    @TheKouk
    ·
    3m
    Richard is spot on:
    There is also a large dollop of hypocrisy given Mr Morrison is presiding over policies that currently have 725,000 people unemployed and a further 1.16 million people unemployed.
    Those coal jobs don’t seem to trickle down too far

    There is so much evidence that no rational person can deny that our parliament has been essentially acquired by the fossil fuel lobby and that is destroying our society, environment and economy.

    The evidence is showing that the ‘friends of coal’ cartel is the most dangerous threat to our country and voters must put their partisanship aside and remove this threat.

    I think there’s vastly more evidence that most of your assertions are idiotic.

  40. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #185 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:57 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #184 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 9:56 am

    lizzie @ #178 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:49 pm

    Richard Denniss
    @RDNS_TAI
    · 23m
    Would the PM rule out protecting Australians from terrorism if it cost a single job? Would he promise that no nurse would ever be sacked in pursuit of budget surplus? Of course not. But on #climate he pretends every job is sacred #AustralianFires #auspol https://theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/22/no-one-job-is-worth-saving-at-the-expense-of-climate-catastrophe-not-even-scott-morrisons

    ***
    @TheKouk
    ·
    3m
    Richard is spot on:
    There is also a large dollop of hypocrisy given Mr Morrison is presiding over policies that currently have 725,000 people unemployed and a further 1.16 million people unemployed.
    Those coal jobs don’t seem to trickle down too far

    There is so much evidence that no rational person can deny that our parliament has been essentially acquired by the fossil fuel lobby and that is destroying our society, environment and economy.

    The evidence is showing that the ‘friends of coal’ cartel is the most dangerous threat to our country and voters must put their partisanship aside and remove this threat.

    I think there’s vastly more evidence that most of your assertions are idiotic.

    Deniers will deny I suppose…

  41. “I believe that the LNP have no female/male MP ratio.

    But on balance there may be a 33/33/33% overall – dickhead/fuckwit/dumass ratio.

    Would this be correct ❓”

    It will go pretty close KJ.

    Lol….love the Shorten / Scottyfrom marketing thing. Wont hurt Shorten at all, but reinforces the message that Smoko cant be trusted.

  42. Danama Papers @ #174 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 12:41 pm

    Just been down to the shops. On the voyage I had ABCNews on the rasio, They had an item about #Rortgate and featured an interview with William Shorten Esq.

    During the interview he made (ahem) liberal use of the term #ScottyFromMarketing. 😆

    DP,
    Maybe you should purchase one of these for your next shopping trip?
    https://www.redbubble.com/shop/%23ScottyfromMarketing+tote+bag?ref=search_box

    🙂

  43. Dr Baumgartner said the risk of fish deaths after rain events were much higher in areas impacted by drought and bushfires.

    “In the Upper Lachlan in the 1920s there was a period of drought, then a bushfire, then a rain event which washed nutrient, ash and charcoal into the river,” he said.

    “Fishermen in the area said they never caught a Murray cod again after that.”

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-01-22/ecologists-warn-more-fish-kills-will-come-with-rain/11885546

  45. lizzie @ #193 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 1:03 pm

    Dr Baumgartner said the risk of fish deaths after rain events were much higher in areas impacted by drought and bushfires.

    “In the Upper Lachlan in the 1920s there was a period of drought, then a bushfire, then a rain event which washed nutrient, ash and charcoal into the river,” he said.

    “Fishermen in the area said they never caught a Murray cod again after that.”

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-01-22/ecologists-warn-more-fish-kills-will-come-with-rain/11885546

    And how much more ash and crap will the ‘Hazard Reduction’ burns wash into the rivers?

    But then, EvoSvoMo believes in loaves and fishes, so he no doubt Believes that God will just magic more fish up for the rivers.

  46. I do like a little humour with my lunch.

    Ewart Dave @davidbewart
    ·
    Q. How can a water polo club get $500,000 FIVE HUNDRED THOUSAND DOLLARS #sportsrorts?

    @Diane_in_SA

    A. Snorkels for those polo ponies don’t come cheap, you know

  47. KayJay

    I believe that the LNP have no female/male MP ratio.

    But on balance there may be a 33/33/33% overall – dickhead/fuckwit/dumass ratio.

    Me oirish mate came up with similar ratios- one turd,another turd and a turd,

  48. David Littleproud says that we shouldn’t jump to conclusions over Sportsrorts, but Christian Porter has already said he can’t see any problems.

  49. White House counsel have been unconvincing in their defence of Trump, perhaps because they know that he’s as guilty as sin. Whereas the Democratic impeachment managers have been most impressive Meanwhile, Trump’s watching this knowing that Republican senators have already made up their mind,
    petrified if they turned feral, quite a few of them would lose their seats. This trial is a farce.

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