An off week in the fortnightly cycles for both Newspoll and Essential Research, but we do have three fairly detailed sets of attitudinal polling doing the rounds:
• Ipsos has results from its monthly Issues Monitor series, which records a dramatic escalation in concern about the environment. Asked to pick the three most salient out of 19 listed issues, 41% chose the environment, more than any other. This was up ten on last month’s survey, and compares with single digit results that were not uncommonly recorded as recently as 2015. Cost of living and health care tied for second on 31%, respectively down three and up six on last month. The economy was up one to 25%, and crime down one to 21%. On “party most capable to manage environmental issues across the generations”, generations up to and including X gave the highest rating to the Greens, towards whom the “boomer” and “builder” generations showed their usual hostility. The poll was conducted online from a sample of 1000.
• A poll by YouGov for the Australian Institute finds 79% expressing concern about climate change, up five since a similar poll in July. This includes 47% who were very concerned, up ten. Among those aged 18 to 34, only around 10% expressed a lack of concern. Fifty-seven per cent said Australia was experiencing “a lot” of climate change impact, up 14%; 67% said climate change was making bushfires worse, with 26% disagreeing; and only 33% felt the Coalition had done a good job “managing the climate crisis” (a potentially problematic turn of phrase for those who did not allow that there was one), compared with 53% who took the contrary view. The poll was conducted January 8 to 12 from a sample of 1200; considerable further detail is available through the full report.
• The Institute of Public Affairs has a poll on Australia Day and political correctness from Dynata, which has also done polling on the other side of the ideological aisle for the aforesaid Australia Institute. This finds 71% agreeing that “Australia Day should be celebrated on January 26” (55% strongly, 16% somewhat), and 68% agreeing Australia had become too politically correct (42% strongly, 26% somewhat). Disagreement with both propositions was at just 11%. A very substantial age effect was evident here, but not for the two further questions relating to pride in Australia, which received enthusiastic responses across the board. I have my doubts about opening the batting on this particular set of questions by asking if respondents were “proud to be an Australian”, which brings Yes Minister to mind. Perhaps the most interesting thing about the poll is the demographic detail on the respondents, who were presumably drawn from an online panel. This shows women were greatly over-represented in the younger cohorts, while the opposite was true among the old; and that the sample included rather too many middle-aged people on low incomes. The results would have been weighted to correct for this, but some of these weightings were doing some fairly heavy lifting (so to speak).
Elsewhere, if you’re a Crikey subscriber you can enjoy my searing expose on the electoral impact of Bridget McKenzie’s sports sports. I particularly hope you appreciate the following line, as it was the fruit of about two days’ work:
When polling booth and sport grants data are aggregated into 2288 local regions designated by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, there turns out to be no correlation whatsoever between the amount of funding they received and how much they swung to or against the Coalition.
I worked this out by identifying the approximate target locations of 518 grants, building a dataset recording grant funding and booth-level election swings for each of the ABS’s Statistical Local Area 2 regions, and using linear regression to calculate how much impact the grants had on the Coalition vote. The verdict: absolutely none whatsoever.
Boerwar (from earlier)
“ I see that the same political fools who Killed Gore, Clinton, and Shorten are now working over Biden and Warren.”
Agreed. My personal preference is 1 Warren, 2 Sanders and 3 Biden. But supporters of any one of those three lead candidates should not try to damage the other two just to win a primary. They still have to beat Trump afterwards to be anything other than a waste of four years. That is the main game. Nothing should be allowed to damage the main game. Party organisers need to have a word. The democrat party structure is pitifully weak.
Let’s not overlook this worthy establishment…
frednk
There is no way a reasonable voter could conclude that these polling results indicate “damage done by the Greens”.
Are you not concerned about what this reveals about Labor’s position?
All the recipients are listed out here…
https://www.sportaus.gov.au/grants_and_funding/community_sport_infrastructure_grant_program/successful_grant_recipient_list#?state=NSW&round=
If Scrotty and Shooter Girl tough this one out Labor really needs to give the game away.
And now the LNP boosters at Channel 7 getting stuck into SportsRortsGate – with MickMack&Crack damning Bridget with faint praise…
https://mobile.twitter.com/7newssydney/status/1219890284294656001
mundo
How would Morrison’s lack of morals be Labor’s fault??
Hey mundo, are you a member of the Burrumbuttock Tennis Club? Should declare your conflict of interest – if you are.
Lovey says:
Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 7:08 pm
frednk
There is no way a reasonable voter could conclude that these polling results indicate “damage done by the Greens”.
Are you not concerned about what this reveals about Labor’s position?
No I am not. Labor gets things done, Greens create stunts. At present the Greens are preventing any climate change action. All they offer is a chant, Adani, Adani. As useless as tits on a bull. Unfortunate but that is the way it is. The Greens the party that damages the environmental movement and prevents environmental action.
As my niece said, hers is the generation that knows they want action but have no idea how to go about it.
Westminster democracy (part 3)
Now three of the four constituent nations in the UK have voted against giving assent to the Brexit Agreement Bill, i.e Holyrood, Stormont and the Welsh Assembly!!
But the current UK gets what England alone, wants!
“Welsh Assembly members vote 35 to 15 against giving the Brexit bill consent – joining Holyrood and Stormont”
https://bbc.in/2GgWvAF
https://www.thedailybeast.com/trevor-noah-drags-hillary-clinton-for-slamming-bernie-sanders-says-not-the-time-to-reopen-old-wounds?via=FB_Page&source=TDB&fbclid=IwAR1DfJYxg34KcOU_ihPWwPi2yy3hs9z3aZlk2xqjIcLwDVUBZpkDrwDVKr8
Good to see Shorten lambast Morrison’s morals over the sports rorts. If there’s anyone who knows about dodgy deals and self serving morality it’s Bill. I trust his judgement on all this.
https://www.9news.com.au/videos/bill-shorten-on-bridget-mc-kenzies-sports-rorts-scandal/ck5onok7100280hpgxknvn9e5
Nicholas
says:
Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 7:31 pm
That Hillary Clinton, a career politician and one of the most divisive political figures of our time, accused Bernie Sanders of being a “career politician” and unlikable is, well, pretty astonishing—as is the claim that she wouldn’t support him as the nominee over Trump, thereby prioritizing petty jealousies over the fate of the country.
_______________________
Well the Clinton’s were good friends with Trump before they both wanted the top job. It makes sense she’d prefer an old friend.
Peg
Ipsos Survey
https://www.theage.com.au/environment/climate-change/environment-now-trumps-economy-on-australian-list-of-biggest-worries-20200121-p53td7.html
Unsurprisingly, younger Australians are the most worried, with 48 per cent of Millennials and 45 per cent of Gen Z’ers putting the environment on their top three list.
But concern among older people is catching up, with 42 per cent of Baby Boomers also putting it on their list and 30 per cent of “Builders”, aged over 73.
:::
Participants were asked which political party they felt was best able to address their environmental concerns.
Generation X, Millenials and Gen Z’ers ranked the Greens highest, while Baby Boomer and Builders nominated the Coalition.
No age cohort put Labor first to manage the environment.
:::
“A relatively high proportion of younger Australians did not know which party was most capable and a relatively high number of older Australians believed that none of them were capable.”
As I’ve been reporting for sometime …we are all fucked. absolutely fucked up in Libkin Garden.
25 years of Green Herrings and Green-anting have taken their toll. We are fucked.
To those of you who have trouble with comments going into moderation when you mistype your email address: I wonder if this is a problem you can resolve by registering, which you can do through the link at the bottom of the sidebar.
Scotty from Marketing in to no speakies! Something is about to blow!
David Marler
@Qldaah
· 40m
An unresponsive Scott Morrison today after Bridget McKenzie’s membership of the gun club makes headlines. #sportsrorts #auspol
https://twitter.com/i/status/1219892776122245120
McKenzie looks gone.
Hopefully Morrison follows not long after.
_____________________________
On the contrary. This will be a great way to whack McKenzie (conflict of interest) without conceding the utter corruption of the whole process. Whether the Nat’s fall in line is unknown, but they don’t do personal loyalty as a core value.
frednk @ #407 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 7:19 pm
Attacking environmentalists is classic defence of the ‘friends of coal’ cartel by denialists..
RI
“ But concern among older people is catching up, with 42 per cent of Baby Boomers also putting it on their list and 30 per cent of “Builders”, aged over 73.”
————-
Any idea what Capricorns and Cancers think, as well?
A great suggestion from Wales: 🙂
Davy Jones Locker
@EdWard40100035
·
13h
Replying to
@WalesPolitics
and
@Brown666W
Why doesn’t England Leave the Union and the other 3/4 of the Union could then Remain?
What are the English afraid of?
Scrott taking good care of Bridget.
.
Rakali
Encircled by Celts:)
Does Barnyard have a bad pong about him?
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jan/22/christian-porter-defends-bridget-mckenzie-over-36000-grant-to-sport-club-she-belongs-to
“McKenzie is likely to face renewed scrutiny when parliament resumes in February, with minor parties the Greens, Pauline Hanson’s One Nation and Centre Alliance offering to support a Senate inquiry into the program.”
poroti
Encircled by Celts:)
————-
You mean they are a wee bit nervous? 🙂
University of Wollongong forced to dump coal conference over planned climate blockade
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-01-22/university-of-wollongong-cancels-coal-conference-climate-protest/11890576
“The University of Wollongong (UOW) has withdrawn from hosting a long-running coal conference amid concerns over planned climate protests.
The Coal Operators Conference had been hosted by UOW’s mining engineering faculty since 1998 and was scheduled to take place from February 12 to 14.
::::
“It’s a win for the climate movement,” said Martin Cubby, organiser for the Illawarra Climate Justice Alliance (ICJA).
“The university holding a conference about how to extract more coal and make more profits from the coal industry should be unacceptable in this town.”
::::
UOW student representative and activist Jasmine Duff said more and more people were showing up to protests which forced the university to act.
:::
“We’ve shown that through mobilising on the streets, through using our collective power, that we can get wins against the coal industry.”
Rex Douglas says:
Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 7:44 pm
…..
Attacking environmentalists is classic defence of the ‘friends of coal’ cartel by denialists.
No more needs to be said, Rex is their to provide proof. Sound and fury signifying nothing.
Hey Bob Sprocket (given your love of trivia) who said:
” You can paper your walls with the iron-clad guarantees of head office”
Bonus Point:
Which ALP Head Office Organiser worked for the C.I.A?
BW And frednk are not concerned how Labor rates on the environment, RI has just given up.
I thought it was worth more than this reaction.
Nicholas Stuart – Albanese is trying to be too clever by half on coal
Labor has just doubled down on a critical political strategy. The party has either just won – or lost – the next election. You decide.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6590721/albanese-is-trying-to-be-too-clever-by-half-on-coal/?cs=14329
“First go way back to the exciting innovation of the ’90s, because this is third-way politics at its best. Identify two extremes, split the difference, and occupy the middle. Triangulate! Find a third way! Or, in this case, assume Scott Morrison will be hobbled from acting on climate change by his belief or deniers, paint the Greens as extremists and hey presto, you can have your coal and eat it, too.
Almost shouting with glee that our coal, Aussie coal, burns brighter and warms longer, Anthony Albanese moved decisively. He dug in with the mining industry, down in the bunker.
:::
After that, neither major party worried very much about the environment, and it was left to drift in the wind until the air turned to fire. Now Albanese knows he needs to act on this burning political issue.
So last Friday – while the country was recovering from the firestorms and soldiers picked up the carcasses of dead animals and economists counted the broader economic devastation and people in cities choked from smoke and the tourism industry turned to ashes – Albanese declared himself on a unity ticket with Peter Dutton.
He’s backing Aussie coal without qualification or reservation, because if we don’t do it someone else will. It’s a complete cop-out: the perfect excuse to encourage coal exports and justify Adani. If only ozone damage could be quarantined the same way. But it seems the jobs of tour operators and farmers – and the health and future of children – aren’t nearly as important as a few coal mining votes in winnable seats. Who wants to be pure when you can split the difference to pick up votes?”
LVT, it must have felt embarrassing to be dakked this morning about Sanders Democrat credentials.
Try finding some better sources
We need to deal with demand, and thanks to the Greens this will not happen.
Um Bob Sprocket – if you don’t understand the difference between registration and running as ….I can’t help you.
I thought you knew the topic well? My bad.
Lars Von Trier @ #429 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 8:26 pm
Did you know that Melbourne is about to overtake Sydney in population by 2026 and that your petty local contretrmps are of no interest to the Premier City of the Commonwealth?
My understanding re the McKenzie referral is the only element of the whole rort that will be looked at is her membership of a club that was given a grant. Nothing more.
If this is the case then it is nothing more than diversion politics 101 from Morrison. However, I do not think it will be of any help to him. The big issue still bubbling is the involvement of his office and him personally. PVO, for one, will not let that go and I would think the senate will not let go of it either. A inquiry will still happen.
doyley says:
Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 8:33 pm
My understanding re the McKenzie referral is the only element of the whole rort that will be looked at is her membership of a club that was given a grant. Nothing more.
If this is the case then it is nothing more than diversion politics 101 from Morrison. However, I do not think it will be of any help to him. The big issue still bubbling is the involvement of his office and him personally. PVO, for one, will not let that go and I would think the senate will not let go of it either. A inquiry will still happen.
__________________________
Well now you have said PVO is involved, I am sure ScoMo is quaking in his boots! Scary stuff!
Next thing you know Bob Sprocket will be posting about it! ROFLMAO
doyley @ #436 Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020 – 8:33 pm
If Scotty goes that way he is ignoring the bulshit nose detector, fails the Pub Test and aggravates those people who normally support him.
doyley
Sleazy’s problem is that he is sports rorts up to his neck.
He will neck McKenzie but that will not make it go away.
What will particularly get up the noses of the common man is that it was so very unfair.
Daggy Dad from the Sharkies is really Scotty from Marketing is really Sleazy from the Born to Rule club.
They’re onto him.
You’re partly right LVT, you can’t help me.
Maybe you can. Has Gladys Liu paid back the Yuan denominated fund raisers yet?
mundo says:
Wednesday, January 22, 2020 at 7:12 pm
If Scrotty and Shooter Girl tough this one out Labor really needs to give the game away.
____________________________
She will be resigning – immediately after Angus Taylor!
Honest Bob Sprocket has a series of posts about it!
poroti
Of course Scotland has a secret weapon in the German establishment.
Top EU lawmaker raises prospect of easy Scottish return to EU.
An independent Scotland could return to the European Union after Brexit, says David McAllister. The German chair of the EU parliament’s foreign affairs committee has hinted he’s ready to assist.
He’s former CDU Minister-President of Lower Saxony now MEP and vice-President of the European Peoples Party.
https://www.dw.com/en/top-eu-lawmaker-raises-prospect-of-easy-scottish-return-to-eu/a-51828670
Scotty from marketing gave it a red hot go when he started talking about how the sports grants were all about changing sheds for girls.
This is a nice little bit of triangulation from Scotty from marketing.
Which sane lefty could possibly complain about changing sheds for girls?
Plus, it reinforces what we all know: that Sleazy has a soft spot for the empowerment of the ladies.
Just look at the dazzling femme power in his Cabinet.
And the way he worked Bishop over.
It turns out that there were plenty of eligible projects recommended by the Australian Sports Commission that did include changing sheds for girls.
But renovating the rowing clubs and golf club infrastructure of the filthy rich was far more important.
Lars
Not having to register yourself as affiliated to a certain party does not preclude you from joining that party, or stating that you support that party.
There is a Vermont Democratic Party, for example.
Sanders identified as an independent for decades. He ran against Democrat candidates. On a couple of occasions, he stated that he wanted to bring down the Democrats.
He only started identifying himself as a Democrat when he started his run for President. Indeed – as the article I linked to earlier shows – even then, some of his media releases and webpage information referred to him as an independent.
Nobody is resigning. Bridget and Angus will simply remain as wounded albatrosses around the PM’s neck.
So, to try to give himself some plausible deniability, Sleazy has now sooled Porter onto it and now Gaetjens. Porter would have to go to the SG because the ANAO could find no evidence that McKenzie acted lawfully when she pissed $100 million of other people’s money on a grubby vote-buying spree.
Under the Act it is not the Minister but the Commission that approves grant expenditure.
This raises questions about what Morrison’s role was in the approvals process and exactly when he knew that there were serious questions to be answered.
Scotty from marketing is in full court press Omerta.
Pegasus:
Disgraceful behaviour by UoW: it is not ever appropriate for Universities to behave in this way.
There might be a minor reshuffle with McKenzie getting Environment for her marvellous contribution to Australian sport.
I wonder how many succesful grant club presidents have party connections or affiliations? Luckily with google and facebook one does not have to guess…
zoomster
says:
He only started identifying himself as a Democrat when he started his run for President. Indeed – as the article I linked to earlier shows – even then, some of his media releases and webpage information referred to him as an independent.
______________________________
Some areas prefer an independent over party mouthpieces…just look at Indi! 🙂