Essential Research leadership ratings and preselection latest

A second pollster suggests Scott Morrison’s recent slump to have been short-lived, as Eric Abetz gets dumped from his customary position at the top of the Tasmanian Liberal Senate ticket.

First up, note two posts below this one dealing with ongoing electoral events: the resolution to the Tasmanian election count and the New South Wales state by-election for Upper Hunter on Saturday week.

The Guardian today reports on the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll, which includes the monthly leadership ratings. As was the case with Newspoll, this finds Scott Morrison pulling out of the slump that followed the Brittany Higgins and Christian Porter episodes, with his approval up four to 58% and disapproval to five to 32%, without quite restoring him to the respective 62% and 29% he recorded in the March poll. The recovery has been particularly pronounced with women, among whom he is up nine points on approval to 55% and down eight on disapproval to 34%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister has widened from 47-28 to 50-24; Anthony Albanese’s ratings are said to be “constant compared to his standing last month”, when he had 39% approval and 34% disapproval.

The poll also finds 48% support and 27% opposition for the India travel ban, with 41% supporting jail time and fines and 33% opposed. However, 56% said they would support allowing citizens to return “provided they complete the necessary quarantine procedures when they arrive”, with 22% opposed. There was also a suite of questions on budget priorities that are probably better saved for the full poll release, which should be along later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. Albanese turns out to be steady on 39% approval and up one on disapproval to 35%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1092.

Some notable preselection action to report:

• The Tasmanian Liberal Senate preselection has seen Eric Abetz, long the dominant figure in the state branch, dumped to the loseable number three position behind fellow incumbents Jonathon Duniam and Wendy Askew. A source quoted by Sue Bailey of The Mercury said Abetz won the first round of the ballot for top position with 29 votes to Duniam’s 26 and Askew’s 12, before Duniam prevailed on the second round with 36 votes to Abetz’s 31. Askew then defeated Abetz in the ballot for second position by 37 votes to 30.

• Labor’s preselection for the new seat of Hawke on Melbourne’s north-western fringe is in limbo after the Victorian Supreme Court ruled a challenge by ten unions against the federal party organisation’s takeover of the process should proceed to a trial on May 26. This complicates former state secretary Sam Rae’s bid for the seat, which was set to be signed off on by the national executive under the terms of a deal reached between elements of the Left and Right, with Rae being a member of the latter. The Age reports Rae “will be challenged by Maribyrnong councillor Sarah Carter and former Melton council candidate Deepti Alurkar” – I’m not sure where this leaves state government minister Natalie Hutchins, earlier identified as Rae’s chief rival. Hutchins is an ally of Bill Shorten and the Australian Workers Union, who have been frozen out of the aforesaid factional deal.

• Barnaby Joyce has easily seen off a challenge for the Nationals preselection in New England from Tenterfield army officer Alex Rubin, whom he defeated in the local members’ ballot by 112 votes to 12.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,861 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings and preselection latest”

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  1. BK
    How much of that 10 per day is going to be spent on an increased number of RN’s and do you envisage having trouble sourcing that number of qualified staff.

  2. I see a return to RN’s being tied to the drug trolley and the care plan which will do little to improve assessment of residents needs.

    This already happens.

  3. If people were able to see their ‘panthers’ next to feral cats then no-one would see another panther in Australia ever again.

    That’s because “Tiddles” the “Tassie Tiger” eated them.

  4. This Federal budget is historic for the amount of public funds being channelled to the private sector, be they charities, businesses or independent consultants. Be it for unemployment services, aged care, education, healthcare or security services. Despite the Labor-lite rhetoric, it remains neoliberals are us.

  5. ‘Jaeger says:
    Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at 9:03 pm

    If people were able to see their ‘panthers’ next to feral cats then no-one would see another panther in Australia ever again.

    That’s because “Tiddles” the “Tassie Tiger” eated them.’
    ——————–
    haha.

  6. Griff @ #507 Tuesday, May 11th, 2021 – 9:03 pm

    This Federal budget is historic for the amount of public funds being channelled to the private sector, be they charities, businesses or independent consultants. Be it for unemployment services, aged care, education, healthcare or security services. Despite the Labor-lite rhetoric, it remains neoliberals are us.

    It was ever thus. The Liberals channel Labor’s good ideas into money-making ventures for their rich mates, to make them richer.

  7. Confessions
    Most homes in WA use carers to do medications, they are all pre packed. RN’s are only involved for PRN medications.
    Some homes are also using computers for care planning and recording, the carer sits down and ticks a range of preloaded questions which generates a care note. Technically the RN should then read them all, this is sometimes done offsite by a quality manager who will send a query as to why something wasn’t addressed. It is a system designed only to meet the standards and does nothing to provide good care

  8. Griff
    Abetz quoting Trump as another example of the ability to function at high levels at an advanced age sort of gave the game away totally, IMO.

  9. Aren’t we all, Rossmcg! Well I certainly feel like it these days anyway. Not the spring chickens we used to be. But age is just a number, it’s how you feel inside that really counts.

  10. I just did a rough calculation that $10/day/resident would equate to an additional 17 minutes per day for a resident from a carer. Nurses are quite a bit more expensive.

    $10/day would get them a better dinner than the party pies etc. allegedly being served in some places.

  11. Try judging the species and size of a fast moving shark when surfing or spear fishing. Or a slow moving one when in a small boat.

    Saw a hammerhead one day working from a small boat near the Montebellos. We thought it was huge. 6m was our guess. Then it went under the boat… the guess was right. Seriously scary chunk of fish. No bones about it.

  12. Assantdj,
    Australia needs to rebuild Aged Care from the ground up and I hope some of the more enlightened Providers follow the research from Scandinavia:

    https://hellocare.com.au/taking-look-inside-denmarks-state-art-nursing-home/

    You may also like to peruse this paper from the Royal Commission into Aged Care:
    https://agedcare.royalcommission.gov.au/news-and-media/international-systems-and-innovations-indicate-way-forward-australian-aged-care

    And this article about what is happening in Australia even!

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/sep/24/a-new-approach-to-aged-care-pseudo-suburbs-robotics-and-purposeful-activity

    🙂

  13. Bucephalus says:
    Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at 9:08 pm
    I’d put Frydenberg up against Chalmers everyday of the week and twice on Fridays.
    _________
    He’s too nice for this life.

  14. This is excellent news for Peace Lovers everywhere. Not a war drum in sight!

    China’s massive dam building on the Mekong and its tributaries, along with its water extraction out of the Mekong, is all good for everyone and everything.

    Those poor downstream villagers who are whinging about their freshwater fisheries, the salt water intrusion destroying their croplands, and lack of irrigation water, must be dupes of the Great Satan!

    The fact, the glorious news from the Global Times notwithstanding, is that China’s 11 dams on the Mekong are a massive environmental disaster.

    https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202105/1223054.shtml

  15. ‘Simon Katich says:
    Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at 9:13 pm

    No bones about it.
    …’

    Haha. I see what you did there.

  16. ‘Cessnock Sophie says:
    Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at 9:10 pm

    Aren’t we all, Rossmcg! Well I certainly feel like it these days anyway. Not the spring chickens we used to be. But age is just a number, it’s how you feel inside that really counts.’
    ———————————————-
    You mean like how I feel in my knees and hips?

  17. Jack Waterford on Identity Politics in “Pearls & Irritations”

    The devil in the detail of identity politics

    To say, however, that Australian government and society is not as fractured as in the United States is not to say much. Our happier condition, moreover, is in spite of efforts by politicians, consciously mimicking US trends — including Trumpism — in efforts to polarise Australian society. A good deal of it comes from Morrison himself, as well as from senior members of his party, including Peter Dutton. According to a colleague in the shadow Cabinet, Morrison is said to have once suggested that the Liberal Party exploit fear of Muslim refugees. Morrison denies this, but applied special zest to his administration of policies against boat people, including of conscious cruelty to those placed in remote concentration camps. Dutton was playing a race card — if to a spectacular backlash — when he tried to incite fear of crime by young Sudanese refugees in Melbourne.

    https://johnmenadue.com/the-devil-in-the-detail-of-identity-politics/

  18. Steve777 says:
    Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at 9:19 pm
    Abbott promised tax cuts without spending cuts.

    But he was lying.
    _____________________
    How r u doing ? Have you succumbed to the general gloom on here?

  19. Anyone doubting just how thoroughly corrupt this government is need only to look at the way they are promising tax cuts promising massive spending and turning a 14% debt to GDP ratio to a 44% debt to GDP ratio.
    They lust for power in order to turn power into loot. Nothing more. Nothing less.

  20. China’s massive dam building on the Mekong and its tributaries, along with its water extraction out of the Mekong….
    ————————
    Could never happen here.

  21. Lars von Trier,
    Projecting ‘general doom on here’, will not make it so. I’m fired up and my loins are girded for the battle ahead!

    Here, maybe this photo of your hero will soothe you:

    🙂

  22. Steve777
    It was the interview with Walled Aly wrt that scandal that I first realised Morrison was both a complete arsehole of an alpha wannabe thug and a very dangerous and capable politician.

  23. Nice to know that the Liberals can wrack up a billion dollars worth of debt and be election winning, whilst Labor couldn’t even get to a third of that before it was declared a emergency.

  24. ‘Simon Katich says:
    Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at 9:29 pm

    China’s massive dam building on the Mekong and its tributaries, along with its water extraction out of the Mekong….
    ————————
    Could never happen here.’

    Excellent point, IMO. Well said!

    We have no Laotian, Cambodian or Vietnamese poverty-stricken peasants being deprived of their rice crops and their fish protein sources as the result of the Snowy Scheme.

    Something else the Global Times could have usefully raised if it were looking to lessons about the Deputy Great Satan!

  25. Nicko @ #534 Tuesday, May 11th, 2021 – 9:32 pm

    Nice to know that the Liberals can wrack up a billion dollars worth of debt and be election winning, whilst Labor couldn’t even get to a third of that before it was declared a emergency.

    At least Labor need not worry about debt and deficits in their budget reply. Labor should not worry about demolishing the Liberal’s budget – instead, they should take exactly the same amount of money the Liberals are promising to their various mates, donors and special interest groups, and specify how they would spend he money instead … and how much better off both we and the country would be as a result.

    How difficult could that be? 🙂

  26. It is all imaginary. Remember how quickly they pulled the promise of $130billion for jobkeeper?
    This guy is all show. Lots of sparkles, cake and dancing girls and then he will steal your kids icecream and put it into the fat cat gravy trough.

  27. Amber Schultz
    @AmberMaySchultz

    The NDIS Quality and Safeguard Commission has its funding and staffing levels slashed by $8 million 8 staffers, despite the watchdog being unable to respond, and often dismissing, tens of thousands of allegations of abuse, neglect and illegal practices last year.

  28. Same as it ever was…

    Greg Jericho
    @GrogsGamut
    ·
    1h
    As
    @AmyRemeikis
    notes, it’s a weird ole budget. Feels a bit soulless, like it’s one done by a govt that doesn’t know why it is in power except to tick off the boxes to win another election…

  29. ‘C@tmomma says:
    Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at 9:42 pm

    Amber Schultz
    @AmberMaySchultz

    The NDIS Quality and Safeguard Commission has its funding and staffing levels slashed by $8 million 8 staffers, despite the watchdog being unable to respond, and often dismissing, tens of thousands of allegations of abuse, neglect and illegal practices last year.’
    ————————————————
    They have the backs of their spiv mates.

    EVERY.SINGLE.TIME.

  30. Saw a hammerhead one day working from a small boat near the Montebellos. We thought it was huge. 6m was our guess. Then it went under the boat… the guess was right. Seriously scary chunk of fish. No bones about it.

    Nope – they’re cartilaginous. 😉

    Male Orcas are a serious, somewhat scary, chunk of non-fish.
    Yes, their dorsal fins are 6 ft long. I forget the length of our boat, but he was a big boy.

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