The Australian has published the regular quarterly aggregation from Newspoll, providing large-sample breakdowns for the mainland states and demographic sub-groups compiled from polling conducted from April through to June. This amounts to a sample of 6049 combined from the last four Newspoll surveys.
The results show little change overall on the previous quarter, with all states recording unchanged two-party results except South Australia. This means a 50-50 result in New South Wales, a swing to Labor of around two points compared with the 2019 election; 53-47 to Labor in Victoria, essentially unchanged; 53-47 to the Coalition in Queensland, a swing to Labor of around 5.5%; 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia, a swing of around 8.5%; and 54-46 to Labor in South Australia, compared with 55-45 in the January-March aggregate and 50.7-49.3 at the 2019 election. The striking fact of this stability is that the surges recorded to Labor last time of five points in Queensland and seven points in Western Australia have stuck.
The demographic breakdowns have been similarly placid, the biggest movements being of three points to the Coalition among the 65+ cohort (to 65-35) and the lower-middle income cohort (to 51-49). There is still no gender gap on two-party preferred, but there is now one on prime ministerial approval, with Morrison’s net rating deteriorating by 12% among women to +15% but by only 5% among men to +21%. Morrison has also held up better in New South Wales, where his net rating is down six to +26%, than in Victoria (down 11 to +6%), Queensland (down 15 to +20%) and Western Australia (down 15 to +22%).
The results also include breakdowns by working status for the first time, which find Labor leading 51-49 lead among those working full time, 54-46 lead among those working part-time and 60-40 among an “other” category that accounts for about 15% of the sample, while the Coalition leads 61-39 among the retired.
The 65+ cohort have been shafted by the LN/P when pension increases have been calculated for the last six years. As major users of health care, removing or reducing 900 + items from Medicare will have a big negative impact.
Oldies worry about debt and what their children and grandchildren will be saddled with. Fridenburger has predicted deficit every year to 2060 so trillion is only the start point!!!
Do oldies spend time on informative sites like this one or do they get info from the likes of 7 and 9?
Obviously a target audience for the anti Scummo forces.
You have to go back a long way to see a Govt as useless as the current one. They are on the nose and should be booted.
It seems as though it was not Kevin Rudd’s idea at all but a prominent Australian businessman, resident in the US. He roped in the former PM because he despaired at the cack-handed handling of the Pfizer supply negotiations that the Morrison government had conducted.
Yet the Morrison government haven’t gone after any of the businessmen involved, only Kevin Rudd. Who successfully negotiated a deal that got the Morrison government’s stones out of the fire! Ungrateful wretches.
This imbroglio also proves how ready, willing and waiting the Morrison government are to flick the switch to political junkyard dog mode.
Don’t worry, Lizzie, if the Government changes after the next Federal Election he may yet get to star in his very own Royal Commission.
F S
A fragrant thought.
(I’ve always wanted to find an opportunity to use that expression!)
Victoria has just announced two COVID cases ex-NSW.
Is there ANYTHING that Morrison does that is not political?
@AdamBandt tweets
No-one should have to go through NSW’s Morrison lockdown in poverty, but he’s leaving those without work on $43 a day.
If $1,100 a fortnight was needed when the pandemic first hit, it’s needed again now.
Lift JobSeeker to $80 a day.
Lizzie,
The Libs use flagrant rort all the time.
Goll says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 4:56 pm
No one is.
What’s your name today?
———
Not certain i think it was Micheal who claimed Labor would get less than 35 seats at the 2019 federal election
And…. What’s your age again?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7l5ZeVVoCA
C@tmomma @ #552 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 3:27 pm
Many assumptions there.
At most Rudd gave Morrison information regarding possible alternative approaches the Government may not have considered.
If so and the Government subsequently used that information to broker a new agreement, then it’s pretty petty to not acknowledge Rudd’s contribution.
I’ve occasionally wondered who would get the highest score if Scott and Goll sat the same IQ Test?
Lol Recon
@australiandr tweets
Infectious diseases experts say broadening vaccine coverage in Sydney is more important than maximising efficacy #COVID19nsw
Nath’s floundering. lol.
They say Australia’s vaccination rollout lacks programmatic specificity!
Dedicated to Scotty and every Tory out there https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAxg8nuvPKM
I wonder if the Australian businessman resident in the US was Rupert? Or James Murdoch…
Joker Adam Bandt wants hand outs after wanting open borders.
Rudd said fixing the vaccine rollout was ‘The greatest moral challenge of our times”
Perhaps Rudd decided the vaccine companies were ratfuckers?
Paddy O @5.50pm
“They say Australia’s vaccination rollout lacks programmatic specificity!”
Good one
(and true)
Perhaps the cartoon entry will expand into the 9fax stable? Might give Wally Wallpaper some more clothes…
Rudd serving up revenge so cold that you could store the Phizer vaccine very comfortably.
What’s their basis for that, given that the outbreak is already rolling, that even with a reduced interval between vaccines it takes several weeks at the bare minimum for useful levels of immunity to develop, and that the point of vaccination is to safeguard against future outbreaks more than it is to blunt a present one?
Over the long term, and especially over the long term with international travel reopened, maximum efficacy is more beneficial. And over the short term, maximum lockdown is more effective than panic-mode vaccination.
Greensborough Growler says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 6:08 pm
Rudd serving up revenge so cold that you could store the Phizer vaccine very comfortably.
________________________
Is it time to bring him back?
If ScoMo is a cynical calculating political hack – surely one K.Rudd can give him a run for his money?
No one seems to play the media as well as one K.Rudd on the Labor side.
@3AWNeilMitchell tweets
It’s not time for protocols . If KRudd helped us get Pfizer quicker then good on him .
Sprocket @5.56pm
“Rudd said fixing the vaccine rollout was ‘The greatest moral challenge of our times”
And so it’s become!
Sad that Adrian Piccoli feels the need to stand up for Morrison againot Rudd. I thought he was more mature.
Lars,
He has more power now than he ever had before.
So, no.
ar
Sorry.
That’s an article headline.
It refers to vulnerable groups and Sydney specifically .
My bad.
ar
What’s their basis for that, given that the outbreak is already rolling, that even with a reduced interval between vaccines it takes several weeks at the bare minimum for useful levels of immunity to develop, and that the point of vaccination is to safeguard against future outbreaks more than it is to blunt a present one?
I assume you are joking…
spr,
Liveris
How good is it in Texas!
Paddy O:
No, I think it just lacks vaccines.
A week or so ago I defended PK – Patricia Karvelas. I even said she had a wicked sense of humour. I retract. Her interview with Bill Shorten has changed my mind.
When she asked Bill what he thought of Morrison’s vaccine rollout, he said ” (among other things). . . it’s been a shitshow.”
PK accused: “You just swore on national television.”
And carried on about the word “s…” to Matt Canavan.
She later spelt out the word that needed to be shielded from Australians: S.H.I.T.
Oh, please, PK. Precious, or what.
Greensborough Growler says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 6:13 pm
Lars,
He has more power now than he ever had before.
So, no.
_______________________________
He’s the ALP’s Obi-Wan?
Where the fuck are Jen and the girls when the nation needs them?
Another tweet going around.
BREAKING
Italian PM thx Kevin Rudd for coaching Azzurri to victory!
@ChannelNewsAsia tweets
New Zealand’s PM Ardern calls emergency APEC meeting on COVID-19; Singapore’s PM Lee to attend cna.asia/3hSZdio
BB
Two people who have returned to Vic from NSW have tested positive.
Hope they’re not the drongos you ran into.
Lars,
How bitter are you?
It should have been you!
guytaur @ #583 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 6:13 pm
That makes more sense.
Sceptic @ #584 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 6:15 pm
Nope. When it comes to vaccinating the general population, maximum efficacy should remain the goal.
When it comes to responding to the current outbreak in NSW, lockdowns and social distancing should be the first line of defense. The lead time on vaccinations, even in panic-mode, is too long.
China Patrol
War drums in the Paracels. Note the spin on the PLAN ‘expelling’ a US navy ship.
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202107/1228421.shtml
Bushfire Bill:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 1:03 pm
[‘I would have thought family members of GPs should be in the sights, too.’]
(In fact I KNOW they should be)
A professional entitlement perhaps?
The sort of trajectory Sydney could be looking at if they do lockdown right. The chart I could not find earlier. It shows an ‘Eiffel Tower’ shape. The case numbers went up and up and up for 11 days before plummeting. Although this was the ye olde variant rather than Delta. The difference ? Perhaps a faster rise and fall as people sharing a house catch the bug faster with the Delta ?
.
NZ chart.
Level 4 starts 25th March 26 a day.
+11 Days . 5th April 75 per day. Peak
+11 Days 16th April 23 per day
+11 Days 27th April 4 per day
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/new-zealand
Greensborough Growler says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 6:32 pm
Lars,
How bitter are you?
It should have been you!
______________________
Lol. Keep going GG!
Best,
Lars
So many Ex-PM’s living free and easy on the public tit. What a country!