The Australian has published the regular quarterly aggregation from Newspoll, providing large-sample breakdowns for the mainland states and demographic sub-groups compiled from polling conducted from April through to June. This amounts to a sample of 6049 combined from the last four Newspoll surveys.
The results show little change overall on the previous quarter, with all states recording unchanged two-party results except South Australia. This means a 50-50 result in New South Wales, a swing to Labor of around two points compared with the 2019 election; 53-47 to Labor in Victoria, essentially unchanged; 53-47 to the Coalition in Queensland, a swing to Labor of around 5.5%; 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia, a swing of around 8.5%; and 54-46 to Labor in South Australia, compared with 55-45 in the January-March aggregate and 50.7-49.3 at the 2019 election. The striking fact of this stability is that the surges recorded to Labor last time of five points in Queensland and seven points in Western Australia have stuck.
The demographic breakdowns have been similarly placid, the biggest movements being of three points to the Coalition among the 65+ cohort (to 65-35) and the lower-middle income cohort (to 51-49). There is still no gender gap on two-party preferred, but there is now one on prime ministerial approval, with Morrison’s net rating deteriorating by 12% among women to +15% but by only 5% among men to +21%. Morrison has also held up better in New South Wales, where his net rating is down six to +26%, than in Victoria (down 11 to +6%), Queensland (down 15 to +20%) and Western Australia (down 15 to +22%).
The results also include breakdowns by working status for the first time, which find Labor leading 51-49 lead among those working full time, 54-46 lead among those working part-time and 60-40 among an “other” category that accounts for about 15% of the sample, while the Coalition leads 61-39 among the retired.
‘E. G. Theodore says:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 11:49 pm
Sydney Dickhead:
– https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/health/health-problems/coronavirus-vaccine-rollout-sydney-man-gets-full-doses-of-astrazeneca-and-pfizer/news-story/fb79c9d6f8d233309f8da221eca4bc59‘
___________________________________________________
With federal and NSW governments being habitually corrupt how can we possibly expect citizens not to behave in a corrupt fashion, to obey lock downs, and to behave in a thoughtful way towards fellow citizens.
Decay in a fish starts at the arse.
There are at least 8000 red zone returnees in Victoria.
As reported, there are three members of one family of returnees who now have the virus.
We also had removalists from NSW here in Melbourne who were found to be positive with the virus whilst delivering goods to a few households.
So the fight continues.
And as a few of us on this blog have been saying, NSW need to go hard with a Victoria style stage 4 lockdown.
Otherwise this outbreak is going to drag on for months.
BB,
Fun fact!
There are more sock puppets on PB than there are available COVID Vaccinations inNSW.
Ven says:
Tuesday, July 13, 2021 at 8:34 am
Yesterday I posted that the POC players (3) who missed during penalty shoot out of Euro cup may be racially abused and unfortunately it came true.
The coach sent the youngest player (19 years old) and POC to kick last the last goal. Imagine the pressure he would have been. If he had kicked the goal they will continue with shootout or England loose.
==============
Southgate’s biggest mistake was to send in Rashford and Sancho, who are both very good penalty takers, at the very end, specifically to take those penalties. Any coach would tell you that you don’t send a cold player into a penalty shootout. He should have sent them in 15-20 minutes earlier and things might have been very different.
Very popular at the moment is this ‘secret site’, St Joseph’sCollegeHunters Hill.bettathanU.com.au
Apologies to max – and to anyone else I might have slurred by association!
(And, no, Rex, you don’t get one).
PBers interested in the Rudd/Pfizer matter might like to listen to this discussion between Laura Tingle and Philip Adams on RN last night. It is about 12 minutes in length.
https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/latenightlive/canberra-capers-with-laura-tingle/13441994
When uncomfortable, some people resort to calling others trolls (or these days, sock-puppets*). Recon’s sin is in making people uncomfortable by pointing out inconsistencies in their position, usually long term ones arising as a result of:
a) a lack of objectivity in supporting Labor’s position, and
b) switching positions when Labor switches its position.
The more gung-ho you are in uncritically supporting whatever a political party does, the more likely it is you’ll contradict yourself at some point. A party’s positions are not the same as an individual’s. They are almost always compromises. Mainstream parties represent a diverse group of people, and they will shift as a party attempts different compromises. It should be fair enough to say that a party’s positions are not an exact match for your own.
This is not to have a go at anyone in particular. I also find it uncomfortable to be confronted with my contradictions.
That said, often what Recon or others do is more akin to kicking someone when they’re down. Here’s a hint: anger is an expression of powerlessness. If someone is stubbornly digging into a position, consider backing off**. By the way, some Labor commenters are also guilty of the exact same behaviour, with their hounding of zoidlord a prime example. I guess bullies recognise their own kind.
* The correct identification of at least one sock puppet seems to have encouraged the careless throwing around of this label.
** It’s often the case that the more you push someone the more they dig in. I’m pretty sure the goaders understand this and can only guess that in these cases the goading is designed explicitly to achieve this. Why would someone do that? Not for any admirable purpose, for sure.
Hopefully GladysB is taking the health advice she keeps banging on about.
She shouldn’t wait another day.
Strict stage 4 lockdown to commence midnight tonight. Every day she wastes, adds days to bring down the virus.
Wonder if Leigh Sales will finally front up at a GladysB presser. Surely she can make the effort.
After all she came to Melbourne to ask inane questions of DanAndrews.
I also wonder if at any point she along with the other journos have developed any self awareness of how really stupid they turned out to be with respect to their opinions and attitudes re the covid shit show.
zoomster says:
Tuesday, July 13, 2021 at 9:00 am
Apologies to max – and to anyone else I might have slurred by association!
_____________
Apology Accepted!
My wife booked her first AZ jab yesterday at our usual GP clinic in ACT which uses HotDoc for online appointments. They still have a 12 week gap between jabs and AZ is for over 60s only.
I wonder what individual GPs in Sydney are telling people as regards AZ for under 60s and time between jabs.
Victoria @ #853 Tuesday, July 13th, 2021 – 8:49 am
I think they will Victoria, or is it Shirley. We’re still much earlier on the upswing than when Vic went into Stage 4, albeit with the nastier variant, and we are well at the stage where people have been softened up for it.
I’m with wombat and loving Rudd getting stuck into Hunt, calling for his resignation. The ‘I had a chuckle’ was such a patronising snark, unworthy of the position. No wonder Pfizer are pissed dealing with these people; it’s totally in character.
Thanks B L for that link.
Itzadream
Yes it is getting to quite a dire inflection point.
It should be announced today and a detailed road map to be implemented.
Very similar to what Victoria did.
Of course, Victoria was pummelled each day for it by the fiberals and the media.
But vic govt stood firm.
GladysB should not have that much pushback cos if the virus is out of control, the economy is stuffed anyhoo. And they know it.
NSW Covid R value under current restrictions is estimated as being at 2.7, the highest Victoria ever got in the 2nd wave was 2.0
This is a worrying graph:
Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Netherlands reports a near vertical >800% increase in new #COVID19 cases in 1 week. Greece and Spain nearly matching that surge.
@WHO now reports over 2 dozen countries with “near vertical” sharp rises in cases—mostly #DeltaVariant. Pandemic “Act 2” has begun
sprocket_ @ #838 Tuesday, July 13th, 2021 – 7:42 am
Don’t see anything special there. They’re still anti-lockdown; lumping lockdowns in with fear, and loss. Wake me when they accept that a lockdown is the only way to stop the current outbreak in NSW. That’ll be something to see.
For now though, seems they’re still gunning for a “living with covid” outcome.
It needs to be understood that Leigh Sales was in Melbourne on other ABC business when she was forced into lock down. She enjoyed the usual journalist ‘freedoms’ such as attending the Premier’s morning briefings. Sales could and should attend the NSW morning briefings and ask pointed questions. That she hasn’t done so is a very bad look but who’s watching? We are but who else? The double standards pass without comment by other members of the pack.
A Z
Truly frightening graphs!
”
The Sydney outbreak is a demonstration of the need for Australia’s political leaders to do more again to protect businesses and households from the impact of an indefinite lockdown, writes Jennifer Hewett
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/vaccine-confusion-has-gone-viral-along-with-delta-20210712-p5890r
”
I laugh at people like J Hewett because they are advocating protections for business and Individuals now only after Sydney came under sustained lockdown period. They never opposed it when it was removed completely in March 2021 in the first place. They must have thought any lockdown is an overreaction from Labor governments.
Stutchbury, how is “LNP good Labor bad” looking?
I read here only today that the “Bring Forward” and “AZ OK for young people” policies only apply in Sydney, not the regions.
I was just in a taxi after dropping my car off at the mechanics and I was speaking to him about the whole ‘Greater Sydney’ appellation. He made a couple of incisive points. Firstly he said that he’d never heard of this ‘Greater Sydney thing before Covid and he’d never heard the terms, ‘Greater Melbourne’ or ‘Greater Brisbane’ being used.
So, he thought to himself, I’ll google ‘what is meant by Greater Sydney?’. He said the first three hits he got gave him 3 different answers! One of which was, ‘Greater Sydney’ ends at the Hawkesbury River. The second one was, ‘Greater Sydney’ includes ‘Greater Sydney and the Central Coast and the Illawarra’, and the 3rd one said, ‘Greater Sydney’ extends to Newcastle! He said he gave up after that. 😆
Leigh Sales recent tweets regarding the pandemic are a dead giveaway to her partisan politics.
Edit: I wasn’t speaking to the taxi, I was speaking to the taxi driver. 😆
Maybe it was a self driving taxi!
The Chaser@chaser
1h
Credlin rips off Gladys’ mask to reveal it was Dan Andrews all along
“I would have got away with it too!”
Q: I wonder what individual GPs in Sydney are telling people as regards AZ for under 60s and time between jabs.
Here in SA, I was at the doctors surgery, and the receptionists were telling people under-60 wanting jabs to bugger off as they only had AZ…..I think they were over patients ringing ‘their doctor for a chat’ as the Govt keeps suggesting!
Lieutenant General Jack Ripper will be giving a press conference later today.
Presumably to announce the terrific progress in vaccinations and controlling the Sydney covid outbreak?
Victoria @ #860 Tuesday, July 13th, 2021 – 7:05 am
I thought she went to Melbourne for a social event and got caught by the lockdown!
And yes, the taxi driver had his mask on….
Under his nose. 🙄
If leigh sales were a Murdoch hack I would expect her behaviour as such.
Fact that she is an ABC commentator has made her commentary all the worse to digest.
She has turned out to be one of the worst.
Barney ITG
Yes Leigh sales was here for a personal event.
Her questions were pathetic and only added to the anxiety.
Thanks for nothing Leigh
@Johnhewson tweets
Did you hear Dutton’s dishonest and distracting claim on SKY that it was the “complacency” of our people that has defined the stuff up of the vaccine rollout ignoring the hubris, exaggerated claims and deliberate lies of the Morrison Govt about vaccine supply?
Alpha zero
Yes it is very concerning. Hard lockdown now is needed.
DN @9.05,
Good points.
Of course the media hacks are all about supporting NSW.
Where Victoria was concerned, it was all their fault and they deserve to suffer.
As I said. We Victorians won’t forget.
Victoria @ #881 Tuesday, July 13th, 2021 – 7:32 am
Ever thought she was just pissed off that she had unexpectedly trapped away from home?
It’s certainly unprofessional to bring those feelings into the press conference like she seemed to do, but …
One way to pay for federal financial assistance to NSW businesses would be to claw back the JobKeeper money that went to big companies who did not need it, like Harvey Norman.
Obviously there is no mechanism to legally enforce this but here the court of public opinion could be fired up to deliver a verdict.
Any takers in the MSM? That’s a silly question I know but perhaps in social media.
Ven
“@Johnhewson tweets
Did you hear Dutton’s dishonest and distracting claim on SKY that it was the “complacency” of our people that has defined the stuff up of the vaccine rollout ignoring the hubris, exaggerated claims and deliberate lies of the Morrison Govt about vaccine supply?”
When you consider that, with no Jobkeeper, a lot of casual workers on minimum wage with no form of income support are being asked to not work and not earn a living for six weeks, is it any wonder there is “hesitancy” over obeying lockdown instructions? All this while housing and rental prices are going ballistic?
It is not “hesitancy”. It is desperation, born of marginalised people’s basic needs for survival being ignored.
Barney ITG
She was here during the very short lockdown. From memory. 5 day one.
That is where she made such a song and dance about the futility of short lockdowns. Something she has continued to state.
Wonder what she is thinking now that her beloved GladysB has stuffed up so royally by not shutting down earlier and more firmly.
Egg meets face comes to mind
Victoria @ #890 Tuesday, July 13th, 2021 – 7:39 am
So? Did anyone know that at the time?
”
Holdenhillbillysays:
Tuesday, July 13, 2021 at 8:36 am
NSW’s Deputy Premier John Barilaro has hinted that new restrictions could be on the table for the parts of Sydney, telling Sky News “we’ve lost control” of the virus.
”
NSW Deputy Premier says “we’ve lost control ” of the virus.
WOW. Unbelievable that Deputy Premier says that kind of stuff.
If so, why is regional and rural NSW not in lockdown?
BB @8:39
”In one universe there is plenty of vaccine and anyone can – and should – get it pronto. Just make an appointment with a GP, or tootle down to your local vaccination hub and you’ll be apples.
That would be one of the universes where Labor won Federally in 2019.
Quasar @ #570 Tuesday, July 13th, 2021 – 9:35 am
Hello, Quasar!
*waves* 🙂
Here in Melbourne apartment block where nsw removalist worked for the day when infectious, is now in lockdown. Residents cannot leave and have to be isolating for 14 days.
Barney ITG
Know what at the time? That is was a five day lockdown. Yes.
Leigh Sales think they are waste of time and don’t work.
If so, why is regional and rural NSW not in lockdown?
They haven’t been declared a part of ‘Greater Sydney’ yet. 😐
Spot on Socrates @9:39am