The Australian has published the regular quarterly aggregation from Newspoll, providing large-sample breakdowns for the mainland states and demographic sub-groups compiled from polling conducted from April through to June. This amounts to a sample of 6049 combined from the last four Newspoll surveys.
The results show little change overall on the previous quarter, with all states recording unchanged two-party results except South Australia. This means a 50-50 result in New South Wales, a swing to Labor of around two points compared with the 2019 election; 53-47 to Labor in Victoria, essentially unchanged; 53-47 to the Coalition in Queensland, a swing to Labor of around 5.5%; 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia, a swing of around 8.5%; and 54-46 to Labor in South Australia, compared with 55-45 in the January-March aggregate and 50.7-49.3 at the 2019 election. The striking fact of this stability is that the surges recorded to Labor last time of five points in Queensland and seven points in Western Australia have stuck.
The demographic breakdowns have been similarly placid, the biggest movements being of three points to the Coalition among the 65+ cohort (to 65-35) and the lower-middle income cohort (to 51-49). There is still no gender gap on two-party preferred, but there is now one on prime ministerial approval, with Morrison’s net rating deteriorating by 12% among women to +15% but by only 5% among men to +21%. Morrison has also held up better in New South Wales, where his net rating is down six to +26%, than in Victoria (down 11 to +6%), Queensland (down 15 to +20%) and Western Australia (down 15 to +22%).
The results also include breakdowns by working status for the first time, which find Labor leading 51-49 lead among those working full time, 54-46 lead among those working part-time and 60-40 among an “other” category that accounts for about 15% of the sample, while the Coalition leads 61-39 among the retired.
This gave me a chuckle too.
Likes
Samantha Maiden’s Tweets
Samantha Maiden
@samanthamaiden
·
9h
Can you bloody imagine being in the PMO tonight Zany facethis story is the laugh we all needed. The letter! Dutifully leaked! It’s too much.
Quote Tweet
Adam Zwar
@adamzwar
· 12h
0:15
Scott Morrisson pretending to get Pfizer while Kevin Rudd actually does it.
Is Morrison going to be holed up in his office for a whole week this time. Lol!
C@tmomma @ #28 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 6:08 am
Maybe this could be described as overeggedness.
There is deja vu in the government’s habit of re-announcing vaccine packages, or at least stumbling in its overeggedness.
”
Stuartsays:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 7:02 am
I reckon that this looks pretty good for the government. There’s nothing here that a promised tax cut won’t fix.
”
With ‘Debt and deficit’and ‘Surplus’ no longer important to LNP, who knows?
I think Malcolm Turnbull and Kevin Rudd are on a unity ticket now. 😀
lizzie: This article on asthma during COVID is of interest.
It appears that the current views on asthma triggers may need revision.
Cold & flu viruses also may be important.
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/07/the-pandemic-drove-asthma-attacks-down-why/619396/
C@t
Rudd and Turnbull have been on a unity ticket for quite a while now. Lol
And Hewson makes three.
Victoria @ #57 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 8:56 am
And two more devious political operators I don’t think you’ll find unless you look at Scott Morrison himself. 😀
She also said that the advert was not targetted at the right generation and would be ineffective.
Bill Bowtell suggested that the ‘patient’ was obviously an actor and therefore the ad was ineffective.
Mary louise mclaw is correct. At least 3 to 4 weeks hard lockdown and then restrictions continuing thereafter.
Although if Northern beaches can continue as they are, they may be out of lockdown sooner.
Of course, they will be restricted to staying in the northern beaches.
Doug Cameron
@DougCameron51
·
11h
Good on you
@MrKRudd
Morrison and
@GregHuntMP
must explain why they lied, misled the public and claimed credit for Kevin’s work.
You can’t trust a word from this incompetent, lying Govt.
Quote Tweet
Laura Tingle
@latingle
· 12h
Senior business figures turned to former PM Kevin Rudd to intervene in bringing forward Australia’s Pfizer vaccine supply https://abc.net.au/news/2021-07-1
”
Gladys Berejiklian has conceded her government cannot predict when Sydney’s lockdown will end, prompting NSW and the Commonwealth to devise a new scheme to protect jobs, with an announcement as early as today.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/new-scheme-to-save-jobs-as-sydney-faces-long-lockdown-20210711-p588py.html
”
Does this point to the fact that Victorians did not receive timely help when it came to Federal financial help?
Like
1. Not eligible for financial help if they have $10000 in bank savings
2. Businesses not getting federal financial help.
3. Pfizer not rushed to Melbourne
during 2 week lockdown.
“my name is Kevin and I’m here to help”
attributed to someone!
phylactella
Thank you. 🙂
Ven
Victoria was treated shabbily from the feds and that includes Jfrydenberg and GHunt.
In any event, NSW needs help asap and they should get it.
Malcolm Turnbull @TurnbullMalcolm
Thank you @MrKRudd for speaking to the Chairman of Pfizer to secure an earlier delivery of vaccines. Staggered the vaccination of Australians was apparently not important enough to warrant a call from @ScottMorrisonMP or @GregHuntMP to the Pfizer boss.
Amazing idiocy and contempt for their fellow and younger Australians in the boomer and older demographic in the polling still.
Really like the Turkeys voting for christmas considering the aged care history and situation as well.
Hardly that surprising to me given the fixated ignorant attitudes of what seems to be many of that demographic even on PB.
The generations most likely to not give a shit or not have to deal with the future is condemning Australia to the idiocy of the current rorting, fossil fuel hugging fools.
Yet somehow the most ardent of the PB Labor cabal will feel it is more important to abuse a few thousand more times ‘teh Greens’ or anyone else that wants to see an end of the corrupted corporate donors driven politics that has got us to where we are.
Seriously the idiocy and contempt that the older demographic have if they vote this way suggests they deserve as little respect and consideration as they show others, or indeed as they show themselves, if they think they’re going to get good treatment in their dotage in aged care under this lot.
The Pfizer story reads a bit like an ego standoff.
With the Government botching the initial negotiations, led by a lower level representative, Pfizer was then unwilling to engage at this level again, while Morrison was seemingly unwilling to eat humble pie and approach the company himself.
Morrison certainly obtained Pfizer – for himself and associates.
Politics has become so tribal in the great sporting nation, that everyone probably realizes that Dudley Morrison is a goose, a second division star in a second division team, but the tribe, bludgeoned unmercifully during the pandemic, can’t utter the obvious.
“we fucked up at the last election”.
Bushfire Bill @ #58 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 8:27 am
Easy to snipe in retirement. Turnbull (& son) and Hewson could do some hard work and rollout a startup political party to catch the centre and sensible centre right to finally settle things like energy policy by sidelining the agrarian socialists and far right ratbags. They could well rope in a bunch of centre left too. Posting supportive tweets for independents like Steggall doesnt cut it IMO.
U.S. COVID update: Only 13 states reporting cases, number in hospital continues to rise
– New cases: 4,937 …………………………. – New deaths: 31
– In hospital: 18,851 (+522)
– In ICU: 4,664 (+87)
622,844 total deaths now
COVID-19 figures in the UK compared to 1 month ago:
– Daily cases: 31,579 on average (+382%)
– Hospitalized: 2,904 (+171%)
– In ICU: 436 (+167%)
– Daily deaths: 29 on average (+222%)
”
Boris Johnson is no Machiavelli: his ruthless streak serves only himself, opines William Keegan.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jul/11/johnson-is-no-machiavelli-his-ruthless-streak-serves-only-himself
”
But the descendants (not literally) of Machiavelli tamed the English lion in its den (Wembley).
who published a story on the rudd letter and the presentation is interesting:
The ABC:
Senior business figures turned to former PM Kevin Rudd to …
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-11/kevin-rudd-australia-covid-pfizer-vaccine-supply-senior-execs/100284902
The new daily
Kevin Rudd met Pfizer chairman to request supplies be fast …
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/coronavirus/2021/07/12/pfizer-vaccine-kevin-rudd-nsw-lockdown/
The News
Kevin Rudd claims of helping Australia receive Pfizer Covid …
https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/kevin-rudd-claims-of-helping-australia-receive-pfizer-covid19-vaccine-quashed/news-story/54fec7a0027f715afaba1038a525940b
The Australian
Greg Hunt downplays Kevin Rudd’s Pfizer ‘intervention’
Paywall
The herald sun
Kevin Rudd claims of helping Australia receive Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine quashed
https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/national/kevin-rudd-claims-of-helping-australia-receive-pfizer-covid19-vaccine-quashed/news-story/54fec7a0027f715afaba1038a525940b
The Age or SMH couldn’t bring themselves to publish a story
Make a good media assignment.
Wally Wallpaper could not pick up the phone to Pfizer, yet..
Think what everyone seems to get forget is the narrative.
The amount of stuffups, cockups, delays by the Feds over the past 2 years will come back to bite them come election. You don’t need everyone to change, you just need only 2% in a few electorates. There are enough people that have had enough and that is all that is required.
In addition, I will stick my left ball on the line that the State Premiers in WA, Qld and Vic will have a significant role in the federal election.
frednk, the Murdoch press headline that claims of Rudds intervention have been “quashed” are clearly misleading as the only evidence I can find of that in their article is that Hunt said so. The the headline is Hunts headline.
It is a perfect example of the Murdoch press being nothing more than a LNP propaganda publication.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #69 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 9:09 am
That scenario has the ring of truth to it. Also, payback by Morrison towards Pfizer for not accepting the lowly factotum he had decided to send along to negotiate.
Simon Katich @ #78 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 9:33 am
Can I say, ‘His Masters Voice’ again today? 😀
This is pissing me off.
The PM and every Premier and CHO from here to Timbuktu is telling us not to wait. Just to go out and get the second jab at or after 6 weeks.
So how do they explain this, from the official Commonwealth Health department COVID Vaccination Eligibility site?
This is Scott Morrison’s own Health department. It’s supposed to have up-to-date information on eligibility.
It quite clearly says that “12 weeks” is the preferred option.
Needless to say, when I went to “Make A Booking”,
● I was NOT permitted to have “Book a second injection” as an option at all. It literally wasn’t an option on the drop-down box.
● Even for a first jab there were no bookings available anywhere between Sydney and Crescent Head, despite some of the options headlining to the contrary.
● The phone number supplied is never answered.
● As an incidental point, if you have recently received a flu shot, you will be turned away, contrary to assurances made by the Prime Minister.
Conclusion
Morrison and his mates are running a scam. It’s the pandemic version of a Ponzi scheme.
It’s all sweetness and light, millions of doses here, there and everywhere, new shipments arriving daily, rules relaxed, friendly staff there to help, TV news video clips show punters lined up for their jabs outside busy clinics etc. etc.
But, as Kerry Packer would put it:
Or, as Jesus would put it:
It’s a Ponzi scheme because willing “investors” (ie. us) are being continually offered a return on their “investment” (ie. their trust), but it’s being stolen from them and used to reward just a lucky few who happen to be in the right place at the right time, who are then used as headline-generating cannon fodder.
As for the rest, we’ve pissed our principal up against a wall.
It’s gone.
It was gone before the ink was dry on the withdrawal form.
C@tmomma @ #79 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 9:04 am
There is far more to this than ego.
This is the interesting one, frednk:
The Australian
Greg Hunt downplays Kevin Rudd’s Pfizer ‘intervention’
The Australian prides itself on being a journal of record, so they can’t flat out lie like the tabloids. That’s why I think Kevin Rudd’s story checks out.
Almost certainly one person in the Murdoch empire concocted the article on Rudd and Pfizer and the order went out to all papers to print it. (A bit like all Murdoch papers worldwide simultaneously claiming Saddam had weapons of mass destruction.)
Murdoch’s problem this time is that the chair of Pfizer may make a public statement.
Simon Katich @ #82 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 9:38 am
To be sure. 😀
This is THE most opaque of governments. There’s always more to it.
It’s time. Again.
Kevin!
https://youtu.be/poPyUdmOy9I
The coalition supporters can sense Morrison and his cronies will unlikely be in Government this time next year
Kirky @ #77 Monday, July 12th, 2021 – 9:30 am
Agreed. Federal Labor and NSW Labor are completely hopeless – but Mark Mowemdown, Anna Palisade and Dan The Man might just be enough to do the trick.
Good Morning
To think Labor ousted Kevin Rudd because he was too slow on implementing policy.
That’s just how gobsmacking Morrison’s failure is.
Edit: And highlights Federation saving Australia.
Andrew Barr calls out Gladys Berejiklian’s Covid response amid Victoria travel ban
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7335714/collateral-damage-barr-calls-out-berejiklians-covid-response-amid-victoria-ban/?cs=14225
Morning all. Well Boris Johnson’s promises that England could complete Brexit on their own terms without facing penalties have been exposed as lies once and for all 😀
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-12/italy-vs-england-euro-2020-final-live-updates/100284932
My son relayed a very disturbing statistic to me today. In England it’s predicted that Domestic Violence incidents will increase by 26% if England wins the UEFA Cup. However, if they lose they will only increase by 24%.
Not good either way but, ‘at least’ they lost.
https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/nationals-climate-populism-repeats-history-20210708-p587vv
Thanks BK. You’re a real treasure. Hope your footy team had another win for you.
Have I been detecting a slight swing to renewables at the AFR? There seem to be more articles like this lately. Is Stutchbury still in control?
I’m loving Kevin’s cheek in getting his Pfizer letter out. I can feel Morrison’s rage. Bewdy!
My 2nd AZ shot is this week and I’m so relieved that my Sydney son and DIL managed to get their 1st Pfizer shots last week. My Newcastle daughter and SIL couldn’t get an appointment til 1st September.
Part of the Pfizer stuffup was the fact that Brendan and certain others had already decided to go all-in with AstraZeneca before the meeting.
In other words, the people I blame are the so-called experts. The ones that provided the “advice” that we go all-in with AstraZeneca. A combination of the human frailty of accepting what you’re already familiar with (the technology) and also the effect of lobbying and undue influence.
And even then, did it occur to Brendan that we needed triple redundancy (three different orders of sufficient size)? Well obviously not. These people are just not competent.
Its not just Scomo being useless. Its a failure on the part of senior public servants and other dead wood “experts”.
Soccer would be greatly improved if they just went straight to the penalty shootout.
We now have more local cases in NSW than at the peak last March.
Well done, Gladys.
UK Cartoons:
”
C@tmommasays:
Monday, July 12, 2021 at 9:38 am
This is the interesting one, frednk:
The Australian
Greg Hunt downplays Kevin Rudd’s Pfizer ‘intervention’
The Australian prides itself on being a journal of record, so they can’t flat out lie like the tabloids. That’s why I think Kevin Rudd’s story checks out.
”
“The Times” of London was supposed to be a journal of record before it was taken over by Murdoch. From then onwards it was it was a journey down hill for that newspaper wrt integrity and trustworthiness.
Palasczcuk Covid presser on abc 24 now
Dancing back