The Australian has published the regular quarterly aggregation from Newspoll, providing large-sample breakdowns for the mainland states and demographic sub-groups compiled from polling conducted from April through to June. This amounts to a sample of 6049 combined from the last four Newspoll surveys.
The results show little change overall on the previous quarter, with all states recording unchanged two-party results except South Australia. This means a 50-50 result in New South Wales, a swing to Labor of around two points compared with the 2019 election; 53-47 to Labor in Victoria, essentially unchanged; 53-47 to the Coalition in Queensland, a swing to Labor of around 5.5%; 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia, a swing of around 8.5%; and 54-46 to Labor in South Australia, compared with 55-45 in the January-March aggregate and 50.7-49.3 at the 2019 election. The striking fact of this stability is that the surges recorded to Labor last time of five points in Queensland and seven points in Western Australia have stuck.
The demographic breakdowns have been similarly placid, the biggest movements being of three points to the Coalition among the 65+ cohort (to 65-35) and the lower-middle income cohort (to 51-49). There is still no gender gap on two-party preferred, but there is now one on prime ministerial approval, with Morrison’s net rating deteriorating by 12% among women to +15% but by only 5% among men to +21%. Morrison has also held up better in New South Wales, where his net rating is down six to +26%, than in Victoria (down 11 to +6%), Queensland (down 15 to +20%) and Western Australia (down 15 to +22%).
The results also include breakdowns by working status for the first time, which find Labor leading 51-49 lead among those working full time, 54-46 lead among those working part-time and 60-40 among an “other” category that accounts for about 15% of the sample, while the Coalition leads 61-39 among the retired.
Victoria is going to have some restrictions re introduced.
Including masks in all settings apart from home.
Limiting visitors into home.
Not sure of what else at this stage.
But I dare say if things escalate, they will do what they call another circuit breaker.
That segment on RN breakfast on Israel’s vaccination program was very good. Do go find it.
Revealing the lengths they went to get Pfizer early. Compare and contrast to our imposter PM.
Morning all. Thanks BK. Good luck to Sydney and Melbourne getting the Gladys Outbreak under control.
Like others I have to assume NSW avoiding defining “essential” is a deliberate communication strategy if Hazzard and Gladys are both doing it. I don’t see how it will shift the blame from them though. Strange times.
If you are relying on the head of the armed services from stopping a shark infested political party from taking autocratic rule; then your democracy is a girl on a bouy.
Victoria records 10 locally acquired cases of COVID-19 cases, all known yesterday
Victoria recorded 10 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday, the state’s health department has confirmed.
Seven of those cases were announced by authorities at yesterday’s press conference, and the ABC reported a further three throughout the afternoon.
The infections were detected from 27,061 test results processed on Wednesday.
The rapid escalation of the outbreak prompted mask rules to be tightened from midnight, and further restrictions are expected to be introduced later today.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-15/victoria-records-covid-cases-/100294858
Soc, I reckon it’s good luck to SA too. Get your toilet paper, flour and the good pasta now.
And feed your starter.
Goodness I ask again, what has happened to Rachel Baxendale?
Rachel Baxendale
@rachelbaxendale
·
13m
The fact that this thing has had four generations of transmission in six days shows just how fast Delta is moving. We had the removalists, who passed it on to the man in his 60s, who gave it to the teacher, who gave it to his family, all between Thurs last week & yesterday.
Personal story.
I moved house during the height of the 1st Wave of Covid-19, in August 2020. I hired the cheapest Removalists I could find due to being funds-limited. They turned up, no masks. English was their second language and I just couldn’t spend the time explaining why they should have worn masks, and anyway, at that time Australia wasn’t exactly at the front of the queue for mask supply either and we were on the clock so couldn’t really spare the time to go buy some So my son and I just wore our masks and hoped for the best.
Socrates @ #601 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 8:52 am
Soc,
Like I said yesterday, Boost Juice and Phat Chicken, ‘Essential’!?!
BK @ #2251 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 7:00 am
Just another tipping point 🙁
Victoria recorded 10 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday, the state’s health department has confirmed.
Seven of those cases were announced by authorities at yesterday’s press conference, and the ABC reported a further three throughout the afternoon.
The infections were detected from 27,061 test results processed on Wednesday.
The daily tally counts positive results in the 24 hours to midnight, meaning more infections could be announced this morning.
C@tmomma at 8:37 am
In one of them it sure was, bonanza time for annual bonuses. One of the ‘good guys’ in management and there were many good ones showed us all the bonuses paid each year 🙂 The company initially used the visa system 100% correctly in order to get several specialist workers in for a project. There really were virtually zero in Australia in the field and our overseas branches had them.
At the end of the project several wanted to stay in Australia permanently. The only jobs available within the company were ones requiring lower qualifications and pay. They took them. That was when ‘the management’ discovered the joy of hiring A Team ‘visa people’ paying them B Team salaries and using them to win and do A Team contracts that brought in A Team $s . Management in our division were off and racing then, as were their annual bonuses.
We all know that Morrison is both incompetent and extremely sensitive about his incompetence.
He is now in the thrashing wildly stage of denial.
Morrison is defending quarantine as 99.9% successful.
He has dissed medical expertise.
He has attacked Victoria.
Why hasn’t Dan Andrews locked down yet? Has he learned nothing from NSW and Delta?
poroti
Did you blow the whistle, or were you confined by an nda?
SK
We are watching it closely re Tailem Bend. Xanthippe says SA Health have already isolated (as risks) most of the close contacts. We shall see.
Anyone know anything about this tweet? Interesting if true.
“Bruh
@Bruh11432599
#BREAKING Newspoll is predicting a 9% swing to Labor in the west. That’ll see Labor gaining 4 seats. Namely Swan, Hasluck, Stirling and Porter’s seat of Pearce.
Morrison is in trouble. “
Jaegar,
“Top US general warned of ‘Reichstag moment’ in Trump’s turbulent last days
Gen Mark Milley drew comparison to Nazi Germany as Trump tried to overturn election defeat, new book I Alone Can Fix This says”
Thanks for posting this, as I’ve been accused of being alarmist on this over the years.
Soc
The main thing is that the shops are still open and that essential workers are still milling about doing economic activity.
More mendacious efforts at undermining climate action from platinum corporate member of the Labor and Liberal parties of Australia
Along with the Labor and Liberal party sponsors Minerals Council and Santos
So interesting that the Labor and Liberal parties go so far out of their way to protect the MCA and other fossil fuel interests from being questioned in parliament
No wonder the PB Labor cabal are so reticent to really talk about the Australian state capture by carbon club interests
Climate denial still features in fossil fuel-funded education materials
https://reneweconomy.com.au/climate-denial-still-features-in-fossil-fuel-funded-education-materials/
In their ‘Greenhouse effect’ educational materials, the Woodside-labelled PDFs both implicitly and explicitly cast doubt on the firmly established science of climate change. It declares, for instance, in a question-and-answer section, that
“The “Enhanced Greenhouse Effect” or recent rapid warming of our atmosphere is the result of human/anthropogenic activities such as burning fossil fuel and industry (a point of some debate)”
It also asks students, “Why should we be grateful that there are “greenhouse gasses” in our atmosphere?”, offering the answer: “Greenhouse gasses keep the surface of this planet warm enough to support life”. True, but really, you’re missing the point there, Woodside. It’s an insidious framing reminiscent of Tony Abbott’s ‘plant food‘.
Woodside’s educational materials also included worksheets specifically about the “enhanced greenhouse effect”. It does not mention fossil fuels, coal, oil or gas, but focuses solely on methane produced by farming activities. It also includes an entire section on ‘Milankovitch cycles‘, a real phenomenon but also a popular and notable climate change denier meme that was touted as an alternative explanation to the recent warming observed.
Isn’t Stirling abolished?
What prescient poroti said yesterday the Global Times is saying a day later:
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202107/1228601.shtml
wRONg!
‘cabal’: a secret clique or faction.
WA could move the needle as federal election amid pandemic looms
https://www.watoday.com.au/politics/western-australia/wa-could-move-the-needle-as-federal-election-amid-pandemic-looms-20210713-p589fo.html
I’m glad I didn’t hear that. Morrison always borders on the hysterical when under stress.
Quoll
Well, der. Of course a company producing ‘educational literature’ focuses on making it look good.
If it’s any consolation, teachers rarely use these kinds of education packs. From memory, in over thirty years of teaching, I’ve only used two – one on Work Place Safety and one on Disaster Management.
I can’t see how you connect their production to the evils of teh major parties, but I suppose to a hammer everything looks like a nail.
One of the features of China’s foreign ‘aid’ is that it involves lots of Chinese workers actually doing the work. This can breed local resentment. In Pakistan local resentment can be fatal.
I am not sure what has happened here. The China side came in wolf warrior snarling on it being a bomb initially but now seems to be backpeddling to a softer line.
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202107/1228691.shtml
lizzie says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:19 am
I’m glad I didn’t hear that. Morrison always borders on the hysterical when under stress.
______________
Yes that’s true. Some Morrison Hysteria ads would be a good move. Hysterical, angry and Shouty. That needs to be how Labor depicts him.
Jacqui Lambie puts the blame squarely on the responsible government:
https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-news-live-nsw-and-victorian-covid-19-cases-and-exposure-sites-grow-masks-back-on-in-melbourne-20210715-p589uh.html
Tehan is a fool. One of the ways that this Government has corrupted Australia is the way in which it has abused global warming as an electoral tool. That game is up. The Reef is cooked. The economy is next.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/jul/15/australian-government-stokes-fears-that-europes-new-carbon-levy-could-hurt-jobs
Forget my last post I think it was just rubbish on Twitter.
Have a good day all.
Scott Morrison should just put on his big boy pants and lead. Not hide behind the skirts of ‘medical advice’.
Pretty unsurprising to see that it is pretty much only the Labor and Liberal parties who are against the Zali Steggal bill as well.
Stated as comparable to the climate policy of both the UK (conservative govt) and NZ (Labor/Greens govt) policies and supported by business, unions, environment groups, the cross bench and pretty much anyone with any brains and knowledge of what is required, as far better than anything Australia currently has going or on the table.
Yet both the major parties just squib it at best. Weasel words from Labor about debate, but frankly too gutless and pathetic to say they support real action, with the same pathetic ‘targets’ as the LNP.
No doubt the PB Labor cabal will run the same idiotic lines about extremist Greens, supporting a policy that pretty much anyone with brains across the political spectrum thinks is better than the shit Australia is currently running with.
All whilst both the major parties takes millions in sponsorship from the carbon club and trades in sinecures for post parliamentary positions. Just so more fracking and mining and ecological destruction can be done.
Committee rejects Steggall’s climate bills, but rebel Liberals call for net zero by 2050
https://reneweconomy.com.au/committee-rejects-steggalls-climate-bills-but-rebel-liberals-call-for-net-zero-by-2050/
Woodside $110,000 / yr platinum member of both the Liberal and Labor parties
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/two-party-state-top-corporations-lobbyists-revealed-members-of-liberal-and-labor-parties/
I know we’re not allowed by the blog police to call The Greens’ partisans naughty names, but I’m sorely tempted.
Does, ‘unreasonable’ get past the self-appointed censors? As in, not able to be reasoned with.
Rubbish on Twitter? Surely not…
What the hell is ‘transcendent australia’ ?
Woodside and the duopoly parties
https://www.marketforces.org.au/politicaldonations2021/
Woodside Energy 2019-20 Labor $137,665 Liberals $130,250 Nats $67,500 Total $335,415
‘Cud Chewer says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:30 am
What the hell is ‘transcendent australia’ ?’
________________________
The Rapture.
C@t
Your story about the removalists reminds me that low-paid workers and people who move around a lot are the most unlikely to take any notice of Gladys and her “please use your own judgement”. I know that’s obvious, but Gladys seems to aim her pleas more towards her own “class”.
I think Quoll has had one too many Red Bulls this morning. 😀
Quoll
Transcendent Australia…
Zou SA Libs’ top donor as spotlight falls on party coffers
POLITICS
Businesswoman Sally Zou was once again the biggest single donor to the South Australian Liberal Party in the last financial year, details released today reveal.
https://indaily.com.au/news/politics/2021/02/01/zou-sa-libs-top-donor-as-spotlight-falls-on-party-coffers/
It is not the first time Ms Zou — who made headlines in 2017 after setting up a company called the ‘Julie Bishop Glorious Foundation’ — has donated to the political party.
In 2018, another company owned by Ms Zou, AusGold Mining, donated a smaller sum of $31,788.88.
Ms Zou might well be connected to Jewels Bishop of Greensill Money Laundering p/l
lizzie @ #638 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:33 am
I believe they stick to the social media sites in their first language and it’s why all governments should translate and disseminate all their messages across every social media platform and site they can find.
lol Quoll
quoll
Greens defence policy: strip the ADF to nothing and tell Xi to study peace studies.
Greens regional policy: kill regional economies.
Greens Indigenous policy deliver: 30 years of zip.
Greens refugee policy: the sky is the limit.
Greens policy on killing of rural industries: no rodeos, no intensive farming, no live exports, no horse racing, no greyhound racing, no duck hunting and no kangaroo harvesting.
”
Quasarsays:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:14 am
Jaegar,
“Top US general warned of ‘Reichstag moment’ in Trump’s turbulent last days
Gen Mark Milley drew comparison to Nazi Germany as Trump tried to overturn election defeat, new book I Alone Can Fix This says”
Thanks for posting this, as I’ve been accused of being alarmist on this over the years.
”
Jan 6 is the moment in History of USA the bandage has been ripped open and the gaping wound is now in open, bleeding and exposed to elements
Before that the US politicians and people said that they were only few bad apples although those bad apples in large numbers were hiding in plain sight.
The biggest example is the gun violence and resulting mass shootings, which was happening for a longtime.
Sceptic @ #640 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:34 am
But still Quoll does, Labor-Liberal duopoly same-same BS.
Haven’t seen many comments re ‘Ms Represented’ , the excellent ABC series available on Iview.
What struck me was how similar male Parliamentarians were to what I experienced in the corporate world in the 80/90’s. The ‘not being listened to’ but then find they claimed your ideas as theirs. No credit where due.
‘Carpet strollers’ who brown-nosed while others did the hard yards.
C@t
I agree. I believe one family interviewed said “But it wasn’t on Facebook.”
Ven,
One of the major motivations for Donald Trump to beat Joe Biden was that he thought Joe Biden was ‘a moron’ and he didn’t want to lose to ‘a moron’.
Well, Donald Trump is a dangerous fool and that’s a lot worse.