The Australian has published the regular quarterly aggregation from Newspoll, providing large-sample breakdowns for the mainland states and demographic sub-groups compiled from polling conducted from April through to June. This amounts to a sample of 6049 combined from the last four Newspoll surveys.
The results show little change overall on the previous quarter, with all states recording unchanged two-party results except South Australia. This means a 50-50 result in New South Wales, a swing to Labor of around two points compared with the 2019 election; 53-47 to Labor in Victoria, essentially unchanged; 53-47 to the Coalition in Queensland, a swing to Labor of around 5.5%; 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia, a swing of around 8.5%; and 54-46 to Labor in South Australia, compared with 55-45 in the January-March aggregate and 50.7-49.3 at the 2019 election. The striking fact of this stability is that the surges recorded to Labor last time of five points in Queensland and seven points in Western Australia have stuck.
The demographic breakdowns have been similarly placid, the biggest movements being of three points to the Coalition among the 65+ cohort (to 65-35) and the lower-middle income cohort (to 51-49). There is still no gender gap on two-party preferred, but there is now one on prime ministerial approval, with Morrison’s net rating deteriorating by 12% among women to +15% but by only 5% among men to +21%. Morrison has also held up better in New South Wales, where his net rating is down six to +26%, than in Victoria (down 11 to +6%), Queensland (down 15 to +20%) and Western Australia (down 15 to +22%).
The results also include breakdowns by working status for the first time, which find Labor leading 51-49 lead among those working full time, 54-46 lead among those working part-time and 60-40 among an “other” category that accounts for about 15% of the sample, while the Coalition leads 61-39 among the retired.
Quasar
I’ll definitely chase it up on iview, but it will have to be on a day when I start in a calm mood. From comments, I think I shall find it only too close to my own experience.
So Morrison, and his enormous spin team have had months to find an excuse, any excuse….and suddenly in mid July they decide to blame it on the vaccine approval in January (despite the problem being that he didn’t secure enough vaccines mid to late 2020)…
Pathetic…and the MSM don’t seem to be buying it at all.
Interesting times.
lizzie,
facebook, the junk food king of social media.
Good lord this federal government is useless. Sense the white hot anger out there about the non-availability of Pfizer.
This is what happens when you elect a bunch of intellectually D-grade culture warriors, Straya. They’re only interested in posturing, not governing.
Quoll
The Greens disgraceful policy of letting the virus into the country and next they will want to let the removerlists off but you focus on the Mineral Council.
UK Cartoons:
Netherlands – (seeing a very rapid covid spike):
“New License Plate” State of affairs #COVID19 #coronapolicy #Rutte #deJonge #sorry
Covid & De Jonge
Lizzie @9.33,
Agree these people won’t listen , unless there are clear orders with consequences.
The optics of Gladys pleading shows weakness and anyone who has had kids knows you don’t leave any doubt/loopholes if you really want results.
Short, dot-point , easy to remember /understand…people don’t have time to check the websites or listen to long-winded press conferences.
Short concentration spans and very busy lives need to be factored in.
Quasar
And Gladys adds to their very busy lives by enforcing 3-day tests. Crazy.
zoomster @ #2326 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:21 am
If you can’t see that then I think it’s time you got your eyes tested.
Chuckle
https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-news-live-nsw-and-victorian-covid-19-cases-and-exposure-sites-grow-masks-back-on-in-melbourne-20210715-p589uh.html
“A fully vaccinated nurse working on the COVID-19 ward at Westmead has tested positive and NSW Health is conducting urgent investigations into the source of the infection.”
Perhaps the nurse already had the covid19 before being vaccinated? Which Vaccine did she get?
This is totally fucked.
None of the current vaccines are 100% effective against infection.
I am hearing that a 5 day Melbourne lockdown is imminent.
‘Quasar says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:37 am
Haven’t seen many comments re ‘Ms Represented’ , the excellent ABC series available on Iview.’
___________________________________________
I watched with some interest. IMO, it was light on.
There was nothing at all new in it. There was an almost complete lack of hard hitting stats in it. Why not a diagram of the proportion of female MPs in various parties, for example?
What DID surprise me was that they all seemed shocked at how racist Australia was in the early 20th Century. What did they expect? Frontier massacres were still all the go then.
BK and AZ, thank you both.
Zerlo @ #2361 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:57 am
Being vaccinated does not prevent you being infected, and perhaps even transmitting the virus. This even has a name – it is called a “breakthrough infection”.
From BK:s Dawn Patrol
”
Michael Pascoe laments the poor ethical standards of the Morrison government. He goes to considerable lengths to prosecute his argument.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/07/15/carpork-rorts-scott-morrison/
”
Paragraph from Pascoe article
‘
“Serving the Australian people as ministers and assistant ministers is an honour and comes with expectations to act at all times to the highest possible standards of probity.”
No, that’s not Anthony Albanese grandstanding. It is what Scott Morrison wrote as the foreword to the Statement of Ministerial Standards he adopted when he became Prime Minister in 2018.
In light of various rorts and scandals, it seems those standards have been observed in the breach as often as not.
‘
Wow just wow isn’t
a r @ #659 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:59 am
https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-news-live-nsw-and-victorian-covid-19-cases-and-exposure-sites-grow-masks-back-on-in-melbourne-20210715-p589uh.html#update
Ven @ #664 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 10:03 am
He talks the talk but he doesn’t walk the walk.
lizzie @ #657 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:54 am
Gladys Gobbledegook.
Socrates says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:12 am
SK
We are watching it closely re Tailem Bend. Xanthippe says SA Health have already isolated (as risks) most of the close contacts. We shall see.
Anyone know anything about this tweet? Interesting if true.
“Bruh
@Bruh11432599
#BREAKING Newspoll is predicting a 9% swing to Labor in the west. That’ll see Labor gaining 4 seats. Namely Swan, Hasluck, Stirling and Porter’s seat of Pearce.
Morrison is in trouble. “
No-one will be winning Stirling. It is to be abolished.
The number of infections among vaccinated and unvaccinated people in Israel, 4-10 July. Seems somewhat unexpected.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E6RfapMX0AQXqn_?format=jpg&name=900×900
For years the Liberals have dismissed certain jobs but now pretend all jobs are important and that is why the cultural wars are BS.
Player One says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:02 am
Disagree:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/keythingstoknow.html
COVID-19 vaccines are safe and effective at preventing COVID-19 disease, especially severe illness and death.
COVID-19 vaccines reduce the risk of people spreading the virus that causes COVID-19.
You may have side effects after vaccination. These are normal and should go away in a few days.
It typically takes 2 weeks after vaccination for the body to build protection (immunity) against the virus that causes COVID-19. You are not fully vaccinated until 2 weeks after the second dose of a 2-dose vaccine or 2 weeks after a single-dose vaccine.
Learn how to find a COVID-19 vaccine so you can get it as soon as you can.
After you are fully vaccinated, you can resume activities that you did before the pandemic. Learn more about what you can do when you have been fully vaccinated.
SO who is correct?
Bolsonaro has been admitted to hospital to treat hiccups – NR.
SPIN
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-15/fact-check-is-hotel-quarantine-99-9-per-cent-successful/100289242
EVERY.SINGLE.THING.
Mavis
That is sad news. So sad.
https://www.healthline.com/health/is-hiccups-a-sign-of-coronavirus
“AFL sources said the Bombers and Roos would fly out on Thursday afternoon and play their match in Queensland on either Saturday or Sunday, most likely at Metricon Stadium on the Gold Coast. ”
Why are football clubs allowed to roam Australia during lockdown ?
Torchbearer 9.42
“the MSM don’t seem to be buying it at all.”
The largest incidences of incompetence, blatant rorting, theft, deceit, all with total lack of transparency, would have to be the job keeper payments to businesses.
MSM and liberals belted the leather off the pink batts football.
The amounts of money going to businesses should have the voting public speechless.
Instead the PM, the treasurer, the liberal party and the MSM are the only ones speechless.
Mavis says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:11 am
Payback is a b!tch.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/jul/14/amazon-rainforest-will-collapse-if-bolsonaro-remains-president
The collapse of the Amazon rainforest is inevitable if Jair Bolsonaro remains president of Brazil, academics and environmental activists have warned amid a fresh government assault on protections for the forest.
Zerlosays:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:14 am
“AFL sources said the Bombers and Roos would fly out on Thursday afternoon and play their match in Queensland on either Saturday or Sunday, most likely at Metricon Stadium on the Gold Coast. ”
Why are football clubs allowed to roam Australia during lockdown ?
____________________________________________
Because they are tested so much more often than anyone else, we know who they are, they aren’t let out into the community, they get set up into hubs which are effectively Quarantine hotels – where players and their families are kept strictly separated from the general public.
”
a r @ #659 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:59 am
None of the current vaccines are 100% effective against infection.
”
I know a family, where Husband and wife and their 2 children are vaccinated with 2 doses of 2 different types of vaccines. One of the children does not live with the family and is a Doctor, who worked COVID ICU. She did not get COVID.
Out of the other 3 who live together, the woman got it, stayed in isolation for 14 days and fully recovered, the other 2 did not get it. And none of the doses is Pfizer.
Andrew Gold
They needed 4 more columns in the table, ‘In Hospital’ and ‘In ICU’ . That would tell a very different story. Although it is surprising that the infections are pretty much in line with pop %
Alpha Zero says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:17 am
Being tested more doesn’t make them not vulnerable to testing.
Just like the nurses at the hospitals. Sport is NOT essential work.
Zerlosays:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:19 am
Alpha Zero says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:17 am
Being tested more doesn’t make them not vulnerable to testing.
Just like the nurses at the hospitals. Sport is NOT essential work.
_____________________
Agree – it is far more important than that 😉
I reckon it costs the AFL quite a bit to maintain this special status
Bolsonaro may have emergency surgery after hiccups persist for over 10 days
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/14/bolsonaro-brazil-hospital-hiccups
Quoll
Woodside being a corporate donor and its production of materials for schools (which won’t be used) are two separate issues.
Now, if a government of any stripe mandates that the material MUST be used in classes, you’d have a case.
Most companies produce educational packs of one kind of another, as do most government departments. There’s nothing strange about that.
Most of these educational packs promote the agenda of whoever produced them. There’s nothing strange about that.
Very few of them get used because they’re rarely designed in a way that means that they’re of any use in a classroom.
Schools are awash with this kind of material.
”
Reconsays:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:00 am
I am hearing that a 5 day Melbourne lockdown is imminent.
”
Like the ‘Soup Nazi’ in Seinfeld, The Delta variant is saying “NEXT”!
Zerlo @ #1281 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 10:10 am
Nothing you quoted there disagrees with anything P1 said. The vaccines are most effective at preventing “severe illness and death”. They significantly reduce the risk of becoming infected in the first place, but don’t completely eliminate it.
Evangelicals bigly backed 3 amigos – Trump, Scrott and Bolsonaro. Now what was that about judging people by their friends ? Works in both directions in the above.
boerwar:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:13 am
[‘Mavis
That is sad news. So sad.
https://www.healthline.com/health/is-hiccups-a-sign-of-coronavirus'%5D
They’re reporting the hiccups as having a connection to a bowel condition he developed after he was shot a couple of years ago in an assassination attempt.
____________________________________
Zerlo:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:16 am
[‘Payback is a b!tch.’]
Indeed and he’s got a lot coming to him, his support in freefall.
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/brazils-bolsonaro-disapproval-rating-rises-all-time-high-poll-2021-07-08/
Interesting.
One of Labor’s largest donors – the ETU – is also one of the Greens’ largest donors.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-01/donations-australia-federal-politics-foreign/10768226?nw=0
Good Morning
The LNP have shown voters how bad they are at management in a visceral way that’s scarring a generation.
Add on the news from the EU today hitting exports and we see a pattern emerging.
No amount of name calling like Green Stain or the reactionary extreme Greens by the Murdoch press is going to change that reality. Especially as the Murdoch press suffers credibilty loss.
Even the casual coal workers are going to be worried about the loss of markets equalling jobs loss.
boerwar @ #2322 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 7:21 am
One of the features of most countries foreign aid is that it benefits businesses from their own countries.
It is amazing what having a few hundred thousand covid casualties can do !
https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/internacional/en/scienceandhealth/2021/07/vaccine-support-reaches-94-in-brazil.shtml?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=newsen
Speaking of Pollbludging. Hot off the press, some good polling news from Brazil.
https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/internacional/en/brazil/2021/07/lula-has-46-of-intended-vote-and-bolsonaro-25-say-datafolha-of-2022-presidential-elections.shtml?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=newsen
BW
What DID surprise me was that they all seemed shocked at how racist Australia was in the early 20th Century. What did they expect? Frontier massacres were still all the go then.
___________________________________
How could they know? They all went to school before the teaching of ‘black armband’ history became a thing.
”
zoomstersays:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 10:31 am
Interesting.
One of Labor’s largest donors – the ETU – is also one of the Greens’ largest donors.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-01/donations-australia-federal-politics-foreign/10768226?nw=0
”
And one of the reps of ETU contested against Albanese in the electorate of Grandyler
Quoll complaining about companies politically grooming children is a bit rich.
Re: the dawn patrol:
“ Greg Sheridan sensibly declares that lockdowns work, and we have no alternative. He says suppression of the virus until we get vaccinated is the right policy. It is a mystery why even now we won’t do the most basic and obvious thing to achieve it – building dedicated quarantine facilities.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/lockdowns-work-and-we-have-no-alternative/news-story/c609f7d0051bffeb0c3714b3e437c76e”
________
Isn’t it amazing that once there isn’t a Labor Government to criticise, that the ‘wiser’ old hands in the Rupeverse start saying sensible things. … 15 months too late.