The Australian has published the regular quarterly aggregation from Newspoll, providing large-sample breakdowns for the mainland states and demographic sub-groups compiled from polling conducted from April through to June. This amounts to a sample of 6049 combined from the last four Newspoll surveys.
The results show little change overall on the previous quarter, with all states recording unchanged two-party results except South Australia. This means a 50-50 result in New South Wales, a swing to Labor of around two points compared with the 2019 election; 53-47 to Labor in Victoria, essentially unchanged; 53-47 to the Coalition in Queensland, a swing to Labor of around 5.5%; 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia, a swing of around 8.5%; and 54-46 to Labor in South Australia, compared with 55-45 in the January-March aggregate and 50.7-49.3 at the 2019 election. The striking fact of this stability is that the surges recorded to Labor last time of five points in Queensland and seven points in Western Australia have stuck.
The demographic breakdowns have been similarly placid, the biggest movements being of three points to the Coalition among the 65+ cohort (to 65-35) and the lower-middle income cohort (to 51-49). There is still no gender gap on two-party preferred, but there is now one on prime ministerial approval, with Morrison’s net rating deteriorating by 12% among women to +15% but by only 5% among men to +21%. Morrison has also held up better in New South Wales, where his net rating is down six to +26%, than in Victoria (down 11 to +6%), Queensland (down 15 to +20%) and Western Australia (down 15 to +22%).
The results also include breakdowns by working status for the first time, which find Labor leading 51-49 lead among those working full time, 54-46 lead among those working part-time and 60-40 among an “other” category that accounts for about 15% of the sample, while the Coalition leads 61-39 among the retired.
Berejiklian just now off on a gishgallop in response to a hard question.
C@tmomma at 11:13 am
Nah.. We already monitor people with ankle bracelets on home detention . The ‘home quarantinees’ pose a potentially serious threat to lives and livelihoods. The potential harm to society way more serious than any of those ‘home detentioners’
NSW recorded 65 new locally acquired COVID-19 cases in the 24 hours to 8:00pm yesterday. It’s the lowest total of new infections in four days. There were around 58,000 tests conducted yesterday. 28 of the cases were infectious in the community.
Some male Blaxendale is giving Berejiklian the rough end of the journalistic pineapple.
CovidBaseAU MicrobeBar chartFlag of Australia
@covidbaseau
·
11m
Replying to
@NSWHealth
7 day avg at 75
929 cases in this outbreak (Up-pointing triangle65)
0.1149% tests positive today
In comparison at day 29:
NSW 1st wave: 637
NSW Crossroads: 290
VIC 2nd wave: 188
NSW Avalon: 210
guytaur says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:14 am
Australia is part of the Western countries… they are no different to “other countries”.
”
Kakurusays:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:06 am
Gladys B: “Keep doing what you’re doing.”
”
She says COVID numbers are stabilising.
Texas should secede from the United States of America.
——————
There is a reason the Repugs are fighting so hard in Texas. They have to. It may well already be blue we’re if not for their efforts.
So, Texas may one day become the Democrats saviour in upcoming Electoral College counts and even help in the numbers in the House.
And…. it is only 2senate seats. Better to have a bunch of smaller and redder states leave the union.
Who is the rude bastard yelling at Gladys?
Berejikilian is doing a good job of arguing against the let her rip crowd.
Berejikilian it’s very dangerous to ask about my personal opinion.
Gladys wants a crystal ball.
Blaxendale in drag.
Jaeger @ #745 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 11:15 am
Something else I won’t get. Or use on my phone. 😀
Dr Jeanette Young said the airport worker “could have the Alpha variant that has been circulating in Brisbane, but she is not a known contact”.
She could have the Delta variant because she works at the international airport. She is part of that Menzies group of workers. So she could have contracted it there. There are too many unknowns here to work out where, but I suspect she has got it there at the airport as a new outbreak. We will find out later today. But that is what concerns many that I suspect we have got definitely one totally new outbreak and potentially a second.
Because the woman is fully vaccinated, “she has very unlikely to become particularly unwell. She is very unlikely to need ICU and extremely unlikely to die from the infection, but she can still pass it on”.
That’s why it’s important for everyone to get vaccinated, Young said.
Everyone to get vaccinated… yes well…. AZ? What a difference a week makes
Facing the full fury of an ignorant member of the fourth estate, Berejiklian deftly shunts the question off to Chant.
If any of our dear readers who are Liberal Party-associated spivs, shonks, thieves, mountebanks, crooks and liars, here is a suggestion. While it lasts:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/15/ex-bikie-and-missing-property-magnate-among-australian-names-granted-vanuatu-citizenship
GB: Pharmacists and health clinics are the biggest risks in the community(wtte). Now there’s a viscous circle.
Melbourne Airport has launched a competition for Victorians who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19, offering holidaymakers the chance to win a $10,000 travel voucher.
The airport said the competition was set up to reward Victorians who’ve been vaccinated against COVID-19, and to incentivise others to get vaccinated.
I thought his questions were spot on, actually.
● Give us a date, and stop rabbiting on about crystal balls,
● Why aren’t you closing down retail?
All perfectly obvious, needing to be asked.
boerwar
I was going to add a 3rd option. The slow drip drip drip of change eroding the crap as “more enlightened’ folk enter parliament. Ones who have grown up in times that have less acceptance of it being ‘how it is’ . All of which would get a real kick along, well in Labor any way, from those reforms you pointed out.
BB
It was not the questions. It was the haranguing tone of voice. It is catching, BTW. The pack is in full bellow.
There are people watching this trying to figure out what to do on a daily basis. Amping up the temperature is part of the problem, not part of the solution.
The same MSM pack mentality built up in Victoria.
“NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian has warned a number of recent cases attended healthcare facilities such as GP clinics and pharmacies while infectious”
https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-news-live-nsw-and-victorian-covid-19-cases-and-exposure-sites-grow-masks-back-on-in-melbourne-20210715-p589uh.html
The questions were fine. The tone was slightly abusive and the interjections were rude.
Zerlo @ #2439 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:11 am
It is impossible to detect all cases in real time, you only have the metrics available and there will always be debate on definitions used.
It will only be after the pandemic that researchers will be able to collate the information and apply a uniform set of definitions that comparison will be able to be more accurately made.
A recent study here in Indonesia suggests that exposure to COVID in Jakarta could be as high as 44% of the local population, whilst testing has picked up about 6%. This is hardly surprising when most of the cases being discovered would be those displaying strong symptoms.
I would imagine that you would see similar results in other countries and locations that had had large outbreaks.
p
agreed.
So, the vibe is things are looking more stable than exponential (for want of a better expression), and therefore there’s no change to orders, except further exhortation follow the current guidelines, with todays’s emphasis on staying home if you have symptoms, with less focus of the household spread issue that has been the message of the last few days.
Delta changes everything. Ankle thingos are essential. To be trialling home quarantine atm seems careless.
99.9% hotel quarantine escape is now, clearly and inexcusably, an abject failure. The incompetence of low vaccine numbers and variety in the portfolio now glaring. Yet what is Morrison doing about it?
Spin, glossy brochures, announcements that are bare faced lies, blame shift, dividing people…. a petty politician is not what the country needs right now. But Morrison isn’t capable of anything else and neither is the party he rode in on.
oh oh.
Berejiklian just used erstwhile Prime Minister Howard’s framing for what we were doing in Afghanistan: ‘Staying the course.’
https://news.yahoo.com/trump-legal-turbulence-indicted-money-002543992.html?guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAABageeLZNeUsMpicLC2119Ra649zqUkp6uVi3cbvVLnEXQZEaSgxw15VyM_TTGd5sczrO46NqLOhfesaJ5SB3mqcV3orPsc3TYxBVCY7SHZNjlSNxuh622Ic26dgNi0oLO0UyzCQxR6ujQ71MAl2ZsjG_YgV7a027dbtR0sBKihK&_guc_consent_skip=1626312798
The Trump Organization’s indicted CFO Allen Weisselberg has been demoted as Trump scrambles amid this ongoing criminal probe. Weisselberg has resigned from a trust set up to control the company’s assets, according to government filings obtained by The Washington Post. Trump’s money man has also tapped defense lawyers with no ties to the Trump Organization. MSNBC’s Chief Legal Correspondent Ari Melber is joined by former U.S. Attorney Barbara McQuade and former Watergate prosecutor Nick Akerman.
She keeps referring to “The Health Orders”, sounding like Prostetnic Vogon Jeltz, referring Earthlings to the planning permission documents for the Hyperspace By-pass, all of which are freely available to peruse at the council offices on Alpha Centauri.
‘Simon Katich says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:32 am
Delta changes everything.
…’
__________________________
Yeah? Just wait and see what happens when Kappa hits its straps.
Part of the problem common to Daniel Andrews and Berejikilian is bad actors undermining the health orders.
It’s fair to ask why Andrews managed to do it. It’s undermining health orders to ask questions to enable the let her rip crowd win a debate when the evidence of what works is in.
guytaur @ #2443 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:15 am
Why?
The other option is to put them into full quarantine, doesn’t impact worse?
Simon Katich says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:32 am
Delta changes everything. Ankle thingos are essential. To be trialling home quarantine atm seems careless.
99.9% hotel quarantine escape is now, clearly and inexcusably, an abject failure.
________________
For a few months now I’ve thought they should stop international arrivals. If they haven’t bothered to come home by now then that’s on them. There might be a limited number for medical reasons but that is all there should be.
BB
Delta Centauri?
”
boerwarsays:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:33 am
‘Simon Katich says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:32 am
Delta changes everything.
…’
__________________________
Yeah? Just wait and see what happens when Kappa hits its straps.
”
You mean Lamda, Don’t you?
Two gyms added to Victoria’s growing list of exposure sites
Really .. it’s so easy.. just shut the gyms.. a bonus I assume would be reduction in consumer affairs complaints?
I think it’s about time that people started taking the AZ and not wait around for the pfizer.
Vale Sergio Silvagni.
A great Victorian.
Fingers crossed youse Bananabenders for the next couple of days. Smash that outbreak, a) So you guys can get back to normal and I can take my planned trip to Brisvegas and b) My inner 👿 would hate to see attention diverted from Gladys and the Rum Corp.
“Green shoots”… AGAIN!
Yet the number of vaccinated patients “hasn’t been a focus”.
Jesus, it’s a simple bloody question Kerry!
They obviously don’t want to answer it because it will expose the vaccination strollout for the catastrophe it has become.
Data transmission speed record clocks blistering 319 Terabits per second.
https://newatlas.com/telecommunications/data-transmission-speed-record-319-terabits-second/?utm_source=New+Atlas+Subscribers&utm_campaign=eee5c91335-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2021_07_15_12_47&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_65b67362bd-eee5c91335-92514877
Never going to happen on our Fraudband.
Premier Gladys mentioned ‘Green Shoots’ today in addition to ‘Stabilising numbers’.
Ven
No, not Lamda. Weak as.
I understand that they are working on Kappa as we post. Possible in the fourth European wave, possibly in Brazil, possibly in India, possibly in South Africa or possibly in Indonesia.
They are doing this by maximizing the gross number of interactions between the Virus and its vectors.
My point is that Morrison does not seem to have wrapped his mind around either the booster phase or the probability that new variants are being cooked up as we post.
Barney
A good point. Which is why careful is the word. Cat is right about the boiling frog syndrome.
It’s why I use Apple. I think it’s the non paranoid way to avoid being a Luddite. Legislators are working on the right to privacy thing too.
“Recon says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:28 am
The questions were fine. The tone was slightly abusive and the interjections were rude.”
A lot of the MSM people have changed since the days of “Andrews/Labor bad, Berejiklian/LNP good”.
If the Victorian premier can deal effectively with people like Credlin/Baxendale/Sales, then so should the NSW premier.
Rex Douglas says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:36 am
Vale Sergio Silvagni.
A great Victorian.
__________
+1
It is quite obvious that Berejiklian is winging it, probably hour by hour.
This “We congratulate Sydney on their efforts” stuff is just filler, playing out to the full time whistle.
People want to know what’s going on. Pats on the back, PR and handing out the Merit Badges can come later.
Imagine going through five and a half years of WW2 on the Home Front…
@jennyleong tweets
Seems a certain NSW Sky journo isn’t coping with pressures of lockdown/home schooling and is taking out frustrations on Premier. Seriosuly dude, maybe download the headspace app and take a day off (I know they haven’t defined essential workers but you certainly ain’t essential!)
The aggression and blame is just grandstanding – absolutely Journos need to ask the tough questions and hold pollies to account but where’s the scrutiny on the actual things in their control? Like increasing fin iso support to be accessible across whole community?
More strict lockdowns mean more police powers and more poor and vulnerable people slugged with fines or forced to choose between being able to eat / pay rent or beaching health orders