The Australian has published the regular quarterly aggregation from Newspoll, providing large-sample breakdowns for the mainland states and demographic sub-groups compiled from polling conducted from April through to June. This amounts to a sample of 6049 combined from the last four Newspoll surveys.
The results show little change overall on the previous quarter, with all states recording unchanged two-party results except South Australia. This means a 50-50 result in New South Wales, a swing to Labor of around two points compared with the 2019 election; 53-47 to Labor in Victoria, essentially unchanged; 53-47 to the Coalition in Queensland, a swing to Labor of around 5.5%; 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia, a swing of around 8.5%; and 54-46 to Labor in South Australia, compared with 55-45 in the January-March aggregate and 50.7-49.3 at the 2019 election. The striking fact of this stability is that the surges recorded to Labor last time of five points in Queensland and seven points in Western Australia have stuck.
The demographic breakdowns have been similarly placid, the biggest movements being of three points to the Coalition among the 65+ cohort (to 65-35) and the lower-middle income cohort (to 51-49). There is still no gender gap on two-party preferred, but there is now one on prime ministerial approval, with Morrison’s net rating deteriorating by 12% among women to +15% but by only 5% among men to +21%. Morrison has also held up better in New South Wales, where his net rating is down six to +26%, than in Victoria (down 11 to +6%), Queensland (down 15 to +20%) and Western Australia (down 15 to +22%).
The results also include breakdowns by working status for the first time, which find Labor leading 51-49 lead among those working full time, 54-46 lead among those working part-time and 60-40 among an “other” category that accounts for about 15% of the sample, while the Coalition leads 61-39 among the retired.
Lars
Me! Pick me!
DisplayName says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 8:49 pm
Whose side should I take in a fight between Zerlo and Lars?
This is difficult.
__________________________________
Why don’t you phone your branch secretary for advice?
Lars Von Trier says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 8:48 pm
Who they gonna administer ? Aliens ?
I think this is called, fudging the numbers.
OK – zerlo, so the Commonwealth Department of Health is lying? BOMBSHELL!
Anyway, no more tales of the trailer park. Subject to two months of due diligence and at the buyer’s “absolute discretion” (an unconscionable contractual clause?), one’s moving to greener pastures. Damn dem no-good property developers: all they’re interested in is making a motza.
Lars
I did, they told me to pick guytaur’s.
Like, what?
A credible theory? that Morrison contracted Delta and was the source of the Sydney outbreak? Of course if BB and C@t are pushing it…
Mavis
This green ?
Recon says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 8:55 pm
A credible theory? that Morrison contracted Delta and was the source of the Sydney outbreak? Of course if BB and C@t are pushing it…
_______________________
I am hoping its the start of a long overdue reconciliation between those two….
David Shoebridge-
“ One hour of optional sexual harassment training. Problem solved!
Remember they had multiple meetings, debate and choices before they came up with this.
This is intentionally crap.”
Meanwhile, on creditable theories, Mr Putin wouldn’t see any advantage in a mentally unstable president of the USA by any chance …
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/15/kremlin-papers-appear-to-show-putins-plot-to-put-trump-in-white-house
Quasar
Worse, I think they’re for real!
The difference between Lars and Zerlo is that Lars could probably tell if his arse was on fire. But Zerlo could not.
Mavis
Will it work out ok for you? No one enjoys being uprooted.
boerwar (Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:17 am):
Amusingly, more and more people are adopting this bizarre phrasing: “Wrong! … XYZ”, pioneered by Bucephalus (usually when XYZ was as unsupported contradiction of something someone said). B must be proud of his progeny!
E. G. Theodore says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:01 pm
boerwar (Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:17 am):
wRONg!
‘cabal’: a secret clique or faction.
Amusingly, more and more people are adopting this bizarre phrasing: “Wrong! … XYZ”, pioneered by Bucephalus (usually when XYZ was as unsupported contradiction of something someone said). B must be proud of his progeny!
______________________________
No, its a tribute to the original RON – who posted here many years ago – and had a very unusual style of speech.
Perhaps old Arthur should’ve viewed this vid:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WUoaW0wck1Y&t=188s
Lars, I have met C@tmomma and enjoyed an unforgettable night with her.
I need hardly say that had she been yourself, the outcome would have neen FAR less enchanting.
A single C@tmomna is worth a thousand Larses.
ItzaDream
Re the documents. The constant use of the word “suggests” suggests the story is based on a large helping of supposition and conjecture.
Greensborough Growler says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 8:59 pm
And yours couldn’t tell if it was already been burnt! More than once!
The Ste Chapelle in Paris is a very beautiful building, and a bonus is that you have to go through another beautiful building to get in.
There are frequent music concerts there all year round, and even if you don’t like the selection of pieces on offer you should still take any opportunity to attend if only to revel in the beauty of the place. I guess Covid has scattered the extensive queues to get entry tickets.
For Lars and covid quotes
this source – “Our world in data” suggests Canada at 46% fully vaccinated, Australia 9.8%, World 13%.
Canada 69% at least one dose, Australia 28%, World 26%
https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations?country=OWID_WRL
It was ron and he was indeed the poet of the blog all those years ago.
I hope he is well.
Zerlo,
How would you know?
@JohnRHewson tweets
Smart government accepts the need for a carbon price. Introducing it domestically provides the revenue to fund/facilitate the essential sectoral transitions. But with carbon border taxes now inevitable the revenue will go to a trading partner. Technology not Taxes – How clever?
Lizzie:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 8:59 pm
[‘Mavis
Will it work out ok for you? No one enjoys being uprooted.’]
All good, I think, lizzie. I do hope though it works out for the remaining tenants. This place is like a village, some having lived here for over 30 years.
Given recent revelations, I would advise anyone planning to storm the Australian Parliament to not touch any furniture and to bring a rape whistle if possible.
Greensborough Growler says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:10 pm
Only need to look at your replies to find out.
poroti:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 8:56 pm
[‘Mavis
This green ?’]
I’m tearing up.
Off topic somewhat, but we have some polling out of University of Canberra, focussing on Digital News outlets – utilising a YouGov panel of 2,000, part of a broader global survey
https://apo.org.au/sites/default/files/resource-files/2021-06/apo-nid312650.pdf
Some interesting parts..
POLITICAL ORIENTATION AND POLARISATION (Chapter 8)
• Only one-third of Australians have high interest in politics.
• More than one-quarter of those with low education (29%) ‘don’t know’ their political orientation.
• Online news brands and public service broadcasters are more likely to have left-leaning audiences.
• Right-wing news consumers are more likely to say that news should reflect a range of views so people can make up their own mind (85%), than left-wing (72%) or centre (74%).
• Left-wing respondents (39%) are more likely to say there are some issues where it makes no sense for news outlets to try to be neutral, than centre (27%) and right-wing (21%).
And what Digital News to declared Left, Centre and Right audiences follow?
boerwar (Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 11:26 am):
Very funny, but you left out the lurk merchants. Why is it that no-one ever seems to think of the lurk merchants?
On the possibilities of an early election, I reckon Scomo was absolutely planning to go this year while he still looked likely to benefit from Covid incumbency. With the pandemic increasingly becoming a hindrance rather than a boon to the governments electoral chances, I think the only chance of an early election is if upcoming polling shows a significant and sustained swing back to the government or if Morrison senses a challenge is imminent and calls a snap election in order to head it off.
Someone suggested a couple of pages back that Morrison might step down quietly and move onto a sinecure. Personally, I think he’s more likely than to admit to the Endagine incident on the floor of Parliament than to resign without a fight.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-news-live-nsw-and-victorian-covid-19-cases-and-exposure-sites-grow-masks-back-on-in-melbourne-20210715-p589uh.html
Positive case attended the Wallabies match
A person with COVID-19 attended the France versus Wallabies rugby union match at AAMI Park on Tuesday night.
A company email seen by The Age and The Herald confirmed the case on Thursday night. The message said AAMI was working closely with contact-tracing teams to identify primary and secondary close contacts.
———–
I suspect another super spreader will be around the corner.
Zerlo,
You and your other shift worker CCP hacks fill the blog with your crap every day. So, is it 8 hour or 12 hour shifts? Are there any women in the squad or do you just wear a dress every other shift to prove your solidarity?
No one is remotely interested in your bleats.
Mavis at 9:14 pm
I shouldn’t be so flippant. Apart from what lizzie mentioned I knew a couple of people who lived in a caravan park by the sea. The place was full of people who had been there for years, many having retired and moved to it as it was affordable for them. Then ‘civilisation’ crept along the coast and along came @#@$#@ developers. God knows where many of them would have ended up. They sure as hell couldn’t afford the houses that replaced their spots.
Recon @ #2957 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 8:55 pm
And so the blog frotage a deux completely misrepresent what I wrote in order to mock.
I purposefully made the point that, using this particular example, I could see how conspiracy theories start. I, purposefully, didn’t say I believed it but I did say that there was one confirmed case already of a journalist, Andrew Marr, who contracted the Delta Variant of Covid-19 at the G7. Such is the way that conspiracy theories get legs. There is a discernible kernel of truth to them.
However, as we have seen tonight, it’s also how trolls work. They take something you obviously have not said and work it up into whole cloth in order to bamboozle the unwary and to further their pointless jihad.
If I were them I wouldn’t be wasting my life that way. But there you go. People get their kicks in weird ways I have learned in my time on this earth. And it appears that, on this blog we have a couple of clowns who are wasting their days and nights away on Bushfire Bill and I. Go figure.
Greensborough Growler says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:24 pm
Ooooh getting annoyed are we? Maybe sue you for defamation.
Asha Leu at 9:21 pm
Damn right there. The dream was vaccinations would take place at the pace he “announced”, we’d all be vaccinated , everything back to normal and he, the FotN, was the hero who delivered it all. A sure fire marketing winner .
Now how does that jingle go ?
Zerlo,
Fill your boots.
FYI, your arse is on fire!
Scotty maintaining his key KPI , grand announcement –> dud delivery
.
.
Nick Evershed
@NickEvershed
·
4h
The government has quietly scaled down projections of how many AstraZeneca doses will be available in Australia in the coming weeks, while downplaying a huge gap between the amount being locally produced and original Covid-19 vaccine supply targets………………
https://twitter.com/NickEvershed/status/1415567620439298049
poroti @ #2988 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 9:31 pm
And now he’s having to work overtime with his make believe scenarios turned up to eleventy due to yesterday’s make believe scenario turning to crap. 😀
C@tmomma says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 9:27 pm
Recon @ #2957 Thursday, July 15th, 2021 – 8:55 pm
A credible theory? that Morrison contracted Delta and was the source of the Sydney outbreak? Of course if BB and C@t are pushing it…
And so the blog frotage a deux completely misrepresent what I wrote in order to mock.
I purposefully made the point that, using this particular example, I could see how conspiracy theories start. I, purposefully, didn’t say I believed it but I did say that there was one confirmed case already of a journalist, Andrew Marr, who contracted the Delta Variant of Covid-19 at the G7. Such is the way that conspiracy theories get legs. There is a discernible kernel of truth to them.
_________________
You mentioned nothing about conspiracy theories. You said ‘I thought it was a credible theory about Morrison’ referring to the theory that he contracted Delta and spread it through Sydney:
C@tmomma says:
Thursday, July 15, 2021 at 8:39 pm
Also, the reason I thought it apposite to post that about Morrison was that Andrew Marr, the journalist, also contracted the Delta Variant at the G7 and he too had been vaccinated with Pfizer. So I thought it was a credible theory about Morrison.
Can we still call Morrison Trumpian?
I don’t think he has gone this far. At least not yet.
@kylegriffin1 tweets
General Mark Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, likened Trump’s effort to hold onto power after the 2020 election to Adolf Hitler, saying he was preaching ‘the gospel of the Führer’ with his lies about the election being stolen.
What would have happened if the Delta strain had been the Alpha strain?
You guys say vaccination would stop the lock down. The UK is the second best vaccinated country – 43,302 were registered in the UK on Wednesday, along with 49 deaths and over 500 people admitted to hospital
..And on Monday UK is LIFTING restrictions
That is the reality that the ALP want.
“I suspect another super spreader will be around the corner.”
Mrs Murray heard through social media that the Ipswich sites announced yesterday now have local transmission associated with them, with at least one worker testing positive and the rest in iso. I don’t think there is an index case for the cluster.
Feck
Bucephalu at 10:05 pm
There is only one party full of people who want to open it all up and have been wanting to do that even before vaccination started. Hint. It is YOUR side wanting that. If we had listened to them we would have been the Brazil of the Pacific. Quite fitting actually as their slack arse leader is also bigly among evangelicals.
Brus
What exactly are you trying to say?
https://abc7.com/unvaccinated-covid19-los-angeles-county-hospitalizations/10887037/
As the Delta variant continues its rapid spread in Los Angeles County, Dr. Christina Ghaly says unvaccinated people now account for all COVID-19 hospitalizations at county-run hospitals.
“To date, we have not had a patient admitted to a DHS hospital who has been fully vaccinated with either the J&J, Pfizer or Moderna vaccine,” said Dr. Christina Ghaly, director of the Los Angeles County Department of Health Services, said Tuesday. “Every single patient that we’ve admitted for COVID has been not yet fully vaccinated.”
So logically if vaccination rates get to 80%+ it will be ok.. if not natural selection will take its course & kill the anti-vacs
@Gizmodo tweets
Australian Prime Minister Says He Didn’t Sh*t His Pants at McDonald’s in 1997 dlvr.it/S3mSLd