Essential Research leadership ratings and end-of-year review

Scott Morrison’s personal ratings maintain a downward trend, as the government scores middling ratings for its overall performance for the year.

Essential Research has published its final fortnightly poll for the year, which includes its monthly leadership ratings. Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 46% and up two on disapproval to 44%, his weakest numbers since the onset of COVID-19 and a continuation of a downward trend since March. Anthony Albanese is steady on 40% approval and up one on disapproval to 36%. Essential’s numbers for both leaders are consistently more favourable than those for other pollsters. Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister is down from 44-28 to 42-31, the narrowest it has been all term.

The federal government’s ratings for COVID-19 response have deteriorated after a three-month improving trend, down six on good to 41% and up seven on poor to 32%. The equivalent results for the states record a one point drop in the New South Wales government’s good rating to 54%, an eight point drop in the Victorian government’s rating to 43% and a three point drop for Queensland to 57%. The Western Australian government is up four to 78% and the South Australian government is down three to 57%, with due caution to the tiny sample sizes in these cases.

Respondents were asked about the Coalition’s performance on various matters since it came to power in 2013, and were interestingly given the opportunity to indicate whether the issue was important or unimportant to them in addition to evaluating the government’s performance. Its worst results came for handling sexual assault and misconduct, with 35% from the 50% who rated it poorly considering it an important issue, and handling of corruption allegations, rated likewise by 35% from 49%. However, the government now records neutral ratings on the vaccine rollout and is rated very favourably for the legalisation of same-sex marriage.

As it does at the end of each year, the pollster asked if had been a good or a bad year for various actors, with the federal government deemed to have had a good year by 34% and a poor year by 38%. Thirty-eight per cent considered it had been a good year for them and their family compared with 23% for poor; 37% rated their personal financial situation favourably compared with 30% for unfavourably. As usual, large companies and corporations were deemed to have done best of all, at 52% for good and 21% for poor. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of around 1000.

Another poll worth noting is a Western Australian survey for Painted Dog Research, published today in The West Australian, which found more respondents considering the state’s recently announced opening up date of February 5 to be too soon (36%) than too late (18%), with 46% deeming it right. Mark McGowan was credited with a 77% approval rating, down from 88% in a previous survey in February. The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday from a sample of 811.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,431 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings and end-of-year review”

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  1. Aqualung ,
    I hope labor can see (if elected) the best way to lay traps for the next LNP government is to give up the perks of the office like Kirribilli and instead have a super austere budget for the nice stuff. That way they can slam them for living lavishly off the tax payer dime if they expand the rorts.

    I think the best thing to do with Kirribilli would be to donate it to the Aboriginal Corporation of Sydney free of charge and let them use it as community housing.

  2. south @ #2353 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 8:00 pm

    Aqualung ,
    I hope labor can see (if elected) the best way to lay traps for the next LNP government is to give up the perks of the office like Kirribilli and instead have a super austere budget for the nice stuff. That way they can slam them for living lavishly off the tax payer dime if they expand the rorts.

    I think the best thing to do with Kirribilli would be to donate it to the Aboriginal Corporation of Sydney free of charge and let them use it as community housing.

    It needs to be something that can’t be undone by a future born to rule Tory.
    That sounds a worthy cause but I’m not sure if it would be Tory proof.
    Definitely a legally binding change of ownership is required. And I think you’d probably need to do something similar with Admiralty House.

  3. Am I the only one here analytical enough to think such forced choice personality assessments narrowed down to limited, simplistic options – as though your choice applies in every situation (now I’m being ‘holistic’) and you are sufficiently objective and self-aware regarding your own behaviour to rate it accurately – is a load of hogwash, and not much more valid than your Zodiac sign?

    See also: learning styles and Myers-Briggs types.

  4. Kirribilli House has a role in government so ought to be kept and there should be prime ministerial residencies in other capital cities.

  5. Aqualung ,
    I would make it reversaible.
    Can you imagine the LNP in this day and age, sending the cops in to evict women and children from a house so that politicians can enjoy the fireworks there.
    (I can actually)

    It again, would be a great tempting trap.

    If you could swing it without parliment, I’d just do it as an executive act on the down low.

  6. Mr. Newbie @ #2353 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 8:05 pm

    Am I the only one here analytical enough to think such forced choice personality assessments narrowed down to limited, simplistic forced-choice options – as though your choice applies in every situation (now I’m being ‘holistic’) – is a load of hogwash, not much better than a horoscope?

    See also: learning styles and Myers-Briggs types.

    It’s “Business Leadership” (ie marketing for needy sociopaths), and has the same reproducibility as the “bon mots” in Christmas Crackers. That’s why it is being put out on Boxing Day – with the other leftovers.

  7. Mexicanbeemer @ #2356 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 8:07 pm

    Kirribilli House has a role in government so ought to be kept.

    No it doesn’t. Canberra for better or worse is the nation’s capital.
    The lodge is the official residence of the Prime Minister and is located in Canberra.
    If the Bouquets of the world don’t wish to use it then they can shack up in their own residence at their own expense.

  8. Lizzie:

    Relax. It’s just a game. No lives will be changed because of it.

    Yeah but to see otherwise intelligent people latch onto this as though it’s some kind of revelation is… disappointing.

    I’m a Scorpio.

  9. Mr. Newbie at 8:05 pm

    ……………….. and you are sufficiently objective regarding your own behaviour to rate it accurately – is a load of hogwash, and not much more valid than your Zodiac sign?

    Oh you hard to please Scorpios 😉

  10. jt1983

    You scored 55% Holistic and 45% Analytic

    Same as me. Welcome to the somewhat tending towards Sheldon club but with more insight and empathy.

  11. D

    55% Holistic-45% Analytic

    Welcome another of our “House”. But, are we Ravenclaw, Gryffindor, Hufflepuff or Slytherin?

  12. Long ago when I was young (yes, that many years ago), I studied Astrology, and found that being Aquarius, the most unsuitable mate for me would be a Scorpio.

    I forgot it of course and my first two husbands were Scorpio. Took me a while to remember that old warning.

    Can’t be anything in it, of course!

  13. Lizzie

    Speculating how Hazzard & Perrottet would come out on the survey. They seem to be neither able to see the whole picture, nor the details of the situation.

    Definitely Slytherin.

  14. When will the pandemic end?
    The EvidenceCoronavirus: The Evidence

    Everybody hopes that the new super-charged Omicron variant of coronavirus will be less severe, but even if it is, it’s spreading so fast and infecting so many people, health services around the world could still buckle under the strain.

    Two years into the pandemic, Claudia Hammond is joined by two world-leading scientists to discuss the impact of Omicron and to review what the world has got right in its response to coronavirus, and what it has got very, very wrong.

    As many countries roll out and plan for booster campaigns in the face of this new variant, concerns are raised that enhancing vaccine coverage in richer countries will again monopolise scarce supplies, and leave the millions of unvaccinated in poorer countries – including three quarters of healthcare workers in Africa – exposed yet again.

    Dr Soumya Swaminathan, the Chief Scientist of the World Health Organisation, acknowledges the need to boost the elderly and vulnerable, but says it’s good science to make sure everyone around the world gets their first vaccine doses. Only then will further deaths be prevented and new variants stalled.

    Director of the Wellcome Trust, Sir Jeremy Farrar agrees. Booster vaccines in rich countries, maybe even a fourth dose, are unsustainable he says, when so many people have yet to receive their first jab. It’s not just a moral and ethical argument to vaccinate the world, he says, but it makes sound scientific sense too.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w3ct2zqk

    Jeremy Farrar’s conclusions… we are closer to the beginning of pandemic than the end… & ….. there is no evidence viruses get less virulent as they further mutate…

  15. Fortunately the States have stepped up accepting responsibility to their citizens in the face of a Pandemic

    Noting NSW and the Federal government have played politics critical of the spread mitigation protocols of other States

    This has had an impact – confirmed by those marching in our streets

    What we have seen is media supporting the ideology of the NSW and Federal governments

    And the confusion as to protocols is due to media – media which has promoted NSW and which reports on NSW

    So “The Age” has headlines referring to NSW – in Melbourne

    And it compares NSW with Victoria (seeking political gain for the Liberal Party)

    The interests of Victorians is the protocols in place courtesy of the Victorian government

    And the reporting of “The Age”, as a Victorian publication, should be so focussed

    By playing their political games, reporting on NSW, they introduce confusion (and probably purposely)

    The demise of media is a problem – so the reduction of the cost basis including the human cost seeing centralisation to Sydney and the Sydney (good) focus of media

    So 400 results wrong by a headline – needing to read the article to find out it is in NSW (or more correctly the hospital is a NSW hospital hence it is not Victoria

  16. Quasar,

    I scored 55% Holistic and 45% Analytic .

    Welcome to our PB “House”. We do not have a name for it yet, but I assure we can come up with one.

    As a comment – I notice that the results of the quiz seem to put people in about 4 categories, which is actually not daft.

    The “sensitivity” of the quiz will be low, so just grouping people into the small number of groups where the differences can be justified statistically* makes sense.

    Yes, the people behind the quiz have given a good statistical justification for the way they divide people. As they admit, a lot more work would be needed to draw any conclusions from their work other than ” Our quiz tells people how our quiz says they are holistic /analytic.”

  17. Mr. Newbie says Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 8:05 pm

    Am I the only one here analytical enough to think such forced choice personality assessments narrowed down to limited, simplistic options – as though your choice applies in every situation (now I’m being ‘holistic’) and you are sufficiently objective and self-aware regarding your own behaviour to rate it accurately – is a load of hogwash, and not much more valid than your Zodiac sign?

    See also: learning styles and Myers-Briggs types.

    I think a basic understanding of the four preferences (particularly E/I and J/P) is handy in understanding other people. However, whether the combination of the four preferences actually can lead to a detailed personality profile is probably highly doubtful. There might be some truth to the generalisations made in the different MB types. But, equally there are plenty of things that don’t apply.

    I did find Myers-Briggs to be incredible useful in understanding why some people (e.g. my boss at one time) wanted me to make estimates on the delivery date of a project when everything was up in the air, or why others (e.g. my wife) get really stressed when tasks are outstanding. It also helped me understand myself a little better.

    It’s also interesting when you hear “experts” in MB talking about function stacks. I’m yet to be convinced that they’re not just going deeper down their own rabbit hole.

    By the way, I type as an ENFP.

  18. Mr Newbie

    Lizzie:

    Relax. It’s just a game. No lives will be changed because of it.

    Yeah but to see otherwise intelligent people latch onto this as though it’s some kind of revelation is… disappointing.

    I’m a Scorpio.

    As Lizzie says, it is just a game.

    Think this is why I love Sci Fi so much.

    As Phillip Adams once said, when talking in one of those debates about is science better than something or other “Just look at the bedside table of your average scientist: Lord of the Rings, Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance, and that wonderfulepeci about how prices zeta gets captured by the nasty arcturians…”

    And I thought, guilty as charged.

  19. Barney
    Sydney is one of Australia’s major cities and Kirribilli a great place for hosting foreign heads of state and government and other people government wants to interact with.

  20. Douglas and Milko @ Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 8:34 pm

    Decent account of psychometric scale development. Principal component analysis is commonly used for EFA but has several critics these days. Some have switched to weighted least squares for Likert type response scales when working in classical factor analysis. Although we can switch approach and consider Rasch analysis!

    Edit: I should mention that they claim normally distributed data. I have never obtained normally distributed data from Likert-type response scales. Lucky them! Less need for weight least squares then.

  21. Mexicanbeemer @ #2377 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 5:49 pm

    Barney
    Sydney is one of Australia’s major cities and its a great place for hosting foreign heads of state and government and other important people government wants to interact with.

    So these people fly all the way to Australia and somehow can’t get to Canberra where their Embassy and Ambassador is located? 😆

  22. mikehilliard @ #2375 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 8:39 pm

    Well that Christmas went to shit. Thanks Scumo & Dom. Another kid with the plague ended it all.

    I am concerned about the young man who helps with my hearing assistance dog at times. He had to get a covid test today after a family member of his tested positive. He has mental health issues and at present is on his own.

  23. Barney
    Many countries keep embassies in major Australian cities and foreign heads of state or heads of governments usually stay in hotels not the local embassy.

  24. Lizzie @ #2242 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 8:20 pm

    Long ago when I was young (yes, that many years ago), I studied Astrology, and found that being Aquarius, the most unsuitable mate for me would be a Scorpio.

    I forgot it of course and my first two husbands were Scorpio. Took me a while to remember that old warning.

    Can’t be anything in it, of course!

    Ditto, Aquarius. Ditto, husband, except he was a Taurus. The long term relationship before that was with a Scorpio. Moral of the story: don’t get fatally attracted to hard, brittle, brilliant, handsome men.

  25. I wonder if Hyacinth and the hand maidens wife would have been so keen to live in the secondary residence if it overlooked Parramatta Park?

  26. Griff

    Decent account of psychometric scale development. Principal component analysis is commonly used for EFA but has several critics these days. Some have switched to weighted least squares for Likert type response scales when working in classical factor analysis. Although we can switch approach and consider Rasch analysis!

    Lovely summary!

    We had a big Christmas catchup of two very extended families this year.

    It was interesting watching the clusters of personalities. I did think of PCA – I have the scripts. Not in front of the family of course, but maybe worth a try with what I remember. But yeah, but ah.

    But the personalities definitely do cluster.

    On other things, I have a 15 year-old nephew who is really into computer games. So my Christmas present to him was a workbook aimed at his age group on pseudocode. He actually seemed pretty happy to get it – it was a new concept, but he immediately grasped the import of it – that once you can program using pencil and paper without a computer, who can easily master any computer language.

    (My OH asked why I hated my nephew.)

    But then the conversation moved on to those who’ve studied the classics, and how well this translates into becoming competent in computing /IT.

  27. lizzie

    Long ago when I was young (yes, that many years ago), I studied Astrology,
    ———-
    I’ve never understood how Northern Hemisphere constellations can “determine” the life of people born in the Southern Hemisphere. Some/many of the constellations are not even observable in the southern sky.

    If people ask me my star sign, i say the Southern Cross. 🙂

  28. Lizzie says:
    Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 9:11 pm
    Do we know what caused the fire at the Lodge?

    ______________________________

    The liar sat on a pile of Murdoch newspapers?

  29. Rikali

    I had no problem as I was born in the Northern Hemisphere. I think there’s a way of calculating the South, but I’ve never tried it.

  30. It’s always the Libs who shack up at Kirribilli. Gillard would have been roasted if she’d done the same. They’re really just average day plebs.

  31. The Chinese consulate, not embassy, in Perth is an impressive building.

    Someone I know worked for a time for a swimming pool maintenance company and they were called about providing a quote for the upkeep of the pool.

    My friend took a dislike to the official he was dealing with (and it wasn’t racism) so decided he didn’t really want the job and quoted outrageously accordingly. By the time he got back to the shop the quote had been accepted.

    Bugger.

  32. Mexicanbeemer @ #2382 Sunday, December 26th, 2021 – 6:00 pm

    Barney
    Many countries keep embassies in cities other than Canberra and foreign heads of state or heads of governments usually stay in hotels not the local embassy.

    😆

    Many? Which ones?

    Those global giants Eritrea and Oman have Consulates in Melbourne, but their country’s representative is resident in Beijing and Tokyo respectively.

  33. Mr Mysterious says:
    Sunday, December 26, 2021 at 6:19 pm
    max

    Thanks. I highly doubt it – I work in the legal industry. We got an email a few days ago advising that the number of days people would need to come into the office increased to 4. There I was thinking the number would go down to 2. However, for the time being, I may need to settle being in the educational or general administrative sectors.

    I hope you’re enjoying the holiday period
    ———
    Thanks Mr M. I am enjoying the holidays thanks. As it happens I’m also in the legal field, though on extended leave right now. It could be you’d find more flexibility in a corporate legal environment (or a different company if you’re already in a corporate role). I’ve been in corporates for a while now, and the one I’m with at the moment is still very flexible about remote working and has flagged that it expects people will be able to continue predominantly on a remote basis if they wish. The immediate legal team I am part of is split between three capital cities anyway and my boss is not in the same city as me, so being physically in the office is not seen as a big deal.

    Good luck anyway! As you say, an escape from a legal environment might be a positive anyway. I like working with my legal colleagues but also find it refreshing to work with people from other parts of the business who see the world a bit differently.

  34. Barney
    Many countries keep embassies and consulate in major Australian cities. The Chinese and Sweden are in Toorak and the American and French are in St Kilda Rd Melbourne.

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