The fortnightly Roy Morgan federal poll had Labor leading 56-44, in from 56.5-43.5 last time. The primary votes were Coalition 33.5% (down half), Labor 37% (down half), Greens 11.5% (steady), One Nation 3% (down half) and United Australia Party 1% (steady).
The state breakdowns have Labor leading 56.6-43.5 in New South Wales (out from 56-44, a swing of around 9%), 60-40 in Victoria (in from 63.5-36.5, a swing of around 7%), 53-47 in Western Australia (out from 52-48, a swing of around 8.5%), 54.5-45.5 in South Australia (out from 52.5-47.5, a swing of around 4%) and 66.5-33.5 from the small sample in Tasmania (a swing of 10.5%), with the Coalition leading 52-48 in Queensland (a swing to Labor of around 6.5%).
The poll was conducted Thursday, March 3 to Sunday, March 13 from a sample of 1947.
Other poll snippets:
• The West Australian has continued to eke out results of its Utting Research poll, encompassing 750 respondents in the seats of Tangney, Hasluck, Pearce and Swan, from which the voting intention findings were covered here. Leadership ratings from the poll show Scott Morrison on 42% approval and 43% disapproval, which is broadly similar to other polling; Anthony Albanese on 28% approval and 45% disapproval, which is quite a bit worse (the most recent Newspoll breakdown from the state had it at 28% and 45%); and Mark McGowan on 67% approval and 24% disapproval. Further findings from the poll reported yesterday showed 31% saying they were worried about the COVID situation in WA, with 31% not worried; 34% confident hospitals can handle the pressure, with 38% not confident; 49% rating petrol prices will be an issue for them at the federal election, with 41% saying they will not be; and 49% holding that Australia should do more to help Ukraine, with 23% thinking otherwise.
• My own poll trend calculations provide the basis of this review of the situation by CGM Communications, which feature more up-to-date state trend measures than those presently to be found on my BludgerTrack display.
• A YouGov survey of 15,000 respondents, commissioned by the Australian Conservation Foundation, found 29% support for the government’s position on net zero carbon emissions by 2050, 41% believed it did not go far enough and 12% felt it went too far. The sample size allowed for breakdowns by electorate, which can be explored in detail on the Age/Herald site
Bennelong Lurkersays:
Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 11:32 am
FS
It was Bill Heffernan
_____________________
Pretty easy to remember isn’t it. Took me all of the two seconds to recall the name and he was just a run of the mill Senator
Just goes to show that Wong will have to deal with her remark to Kitching for the rest of her political career.
Every time she is interviewed, every time she gives a press conference ,people will forever make the connection.
Regardless of anything she does in the future it is what she will be remembered for.
It’s tough but it’s just the way it is, Heffernan is a prime example.
So disappointed that Laura Tingle has joined the Kitching pile on bullshit, she should know better & does know better, last of the non Murdoch plants to fall, might as well dump the whole fetid mess that the ABC has become.
Scott,
Agree. It’s probably the most important story to emerge this week.
But, I suppose recovery from natural disasters and the Governments reactions aren’t a sexy issue any more.
Mexicanbeemer at 12.54pm
Here is Albo’s speech to parliament on the Jenkins report…
https://anthonyalbanese.com.au/media-centre/speaking-on-jenkins-report
The last paragraph includes: “A lot of staff members have been failed over the years, but they still had the grace to show us the path forward. Thanks to them, to those members of parliament who worked on the cross-parliamentary committee and to Commissioner Jenkins we have no excuse not to take that path. That’s surely something that this House of Representatives can unite on as we move forward.”
That’s pretty close to a commitment.
Scott
Karvelas had a Liberal State MP (NSW) saying he wasn’t sure he’d be voting for Scott Morrison at the federal election. But hey, how is that a story?
“ An intelligent person or government would use it judiciously and not as some sort of culture war tool to beat its opponents around the head with.”
Now you resort to magical thinking. You accuse me of disrespecting evidence, but the evidence thus far:
– pushed by Neo-cons around the world and in Australia, groupers and former groupers who have (or at least their parents) migrated to the Liberal party decades ago.
– only ever raised against current enemies of US foreign policy, and in fact a subset of the same: whoever is the current target of neo-con hate.
A problem with its use ‘judicially’ is that in the real world, ‘good guys’ often need the services, or at least acquiescence, of some ‘bad guys’. A melancholy state of affairs, but there it is. So consistency, hence the moral authority to apply the Magnitsky Act, simply cannot apply.
Taylormade:
Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 1:42 pm
Talk about over-egging an issue. The fact is Wong admitted she
made an inappropriate remark to Kitching two years ago. She apologised to her. This matter will fade from media interest shortly, the average punter being far more concerned with the cost of living, and Morrison’s one-off largesse won’t change a thing.
Surely you’ve got something more substantial than this.
I am obviously not as forgiving as I should be. Or forgetful either 🙂
z,
That would be Geoff Provest.
On Thursday morning, state Nationals MP Geoff Provest told ABC Radio that he is “disgusted with the prime minister” and added that “I would struggle to vote for him”.
“I just think the federal government have really messed this up; they’ve lost the faith of the people,” he said. “There is a real venom out there directed at the prime minister. This is like a remake of the bushfires some two years ago. To put Lismore in, and Richmond Valley, and exclude the north of the state is deplorable and really disgusting.”
Provest said he doesn’t except the excuses offered so far that the mismatch in support is “a bureaucratic thing”.
“What I’ve seen out there is just a failure of the federal government to listen and, more importantly, to deliver.”
I discovered the context to Wong’s remark to that heated caucus debate from reading Gratton’s article this morning. Kitchings wanted labor to oppose student protested against climate inaction in 2019. In other words, once again, singing from the SkyNoos cultcha war hymnal. Wong had nothing to apologise for. Especially to a ferocious political animal like Kimberly Kitchings. the fact that she did so, speaks volumes about her temperament and willingness to go the extra mile to keep such an obvious boundary rider ‘inside the tent’.
Frankly, the claims of ‘toxic culture’, ‘bullying’ and so-forth seem to me to be simply code for ‘I’m a factional warrior godess. It was never meant to work out like this. I’m losing. I don’t like it. It’s just so … unfair!’. Boo Hoo.
For Alice Dawkins to opportunistically rift in on Senator Kitchings death to once again air her own grievance in the pages of 9/Faix is risible. In a nutshell, Dawkins sorry story can be summarised thus: She is a wunderkind. scion of Labor Royalty. Hence entitled. It was ‘her time’ (just ask her). Even though she didn’t have the numbers, it was ‘her time’. Plus she had a ‘cunning plan’: some lawyering to play the federal party’s affirmative action rules against the SA rules. When that cunning plan went bust (betrayed by another ‘mean girl’, in the guise of Linda Lavarch who heard and rejected her appeal), she threatened legal action and ran to the media. Sound familiar?
Jackol @ #745 Saturday, March 19th, 2022 – 1:25 pm
However, at the end of the day that body should make recommendations to the government who then, as the Representatives of the people, then has a vote on it and passes it through the parliament.
max @ #736 Saturday, March 19th, 2022 – 1:06 pm
Seemed to me to be a calculated invitation to the corporate media to take some bark of Albanese and his three senior colleagues.
Shorten should be dis-endorsed.
(source
90 years old the Sydney Harbour Bridge. There’s a lot of articles around and about. My then recently married parents walked over it the day it opened. That tradition persists in Sydney, walking on, in, or over, things just opened. I walked across it on Sorry Day, and retain very powerful and emotional memories, and images, but no personal photos! Was that before mobile phones? I remember a smoking ceremony in the middle of it that day, the eucalypt smoke drifting, some singing, the wisps of the ‘sorry’ sky writing lingering, with the hatred for Howard. I remember it was 3d a vehicle and 3d an adult toll I think, with the man in the booth trying to look in the back seat. I remember a change in ‘vibe’ when the French were brought in to consult and set up the flood lighting. Then came fireworks. I don’t think Sydneysiders ever did or do refer to it as the ‘coat hanger’; that was some interstate pejorative, which I first heard from a school friend whose family moved up from Melbourne. The retort in those days was: well at least our harbour doesn’t flow upside down (the brown Yarra reference).
The articles are worth a glance; there’s some great photos.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/mar/19/a-picture-in-time-the-sydney-harbour-bridge-opening
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/mar/18/a-bridge-to-empire-and-beyond-sydneys-coat-hanger-turns-90
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/gallery/2022/mar/19/dust-storms-fireworks-and-a-global-pandemic-the-sydney-harbour-bridges-90th-anniversary-in-pictures
Greensborough Growler and Zoomster
The federal lib/nats may be in for a surprise that voters are more concern in the lack of assistance from Morrison and his cronies than the politics Morrison and his cronies are playing at present
– pushed by Neo-cons around the world and in Australia, groupers and former groupers who have (or at least their parents) migrated to the Liberal party decades ago.
You appear to have an unhealthy fixation with Groupers but it has no relevance anymore. And trust me, I have heard the whole story about the Groupers from my Irish Catholic grandfather who, along with his sisters and brothers, instead of defecting to the DLP with Santa, stayed strong with the ALP until the day they died. No Liberal Party for them either. Certainly no Neo Con thinking on their part.
And I don’t really think of Joe Biden as a Neo Con either, though you probably do for some perverse reason, however, he has used the Magnitsky Act to great effect on the occasion of the Russia-Ukraine War. Again I ask, if it didn’t exist, what would be your chosen method for dealing with the murderous Authoritarian dictators and the oligarchs who suck off the public teat like engorged ticks, when their crazed expansionist tendencies are allowed to run amok, and they commit real human rights violations against innocent people, against sovereign countries?
I have a prediction.
If SA is a mega death blowout, it will kill the Kitching story deader than Kitching! All talk will be about a first term government managing covid moderately badly and ‘the implication’ for the feds. Then there’s like a budget in like f-k all time.
Events are apon us.
Scott,
Totally agree!
These stories about what is happening to good Australians and how they’ve been abandoned by the Feds are heartbreaking.
All because Morrison wants to the picture opprtunity focus to be on him and no one else.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-19/south-east-queensland-flood-financial-assistance-clean-up/100921780
I’m probably one of only a few who could say that they used to look directly at The Sydney Harbour Bridge, every day in high school as they ate their lunch in the playground. Until we were merged with the boys at Taverners Hill for the last two years. 🙂
“ However, at the end of the day that body should make recommendations to the government who then, as the Representatives of the people, then has a vote on it and passes it through the parliament.”
Thereby taking the issue out of the realm of universal human rights and squarely into the realms of political expediency.
Magnistky Act is a lemon. Except for what it was designed for: to weaponise human rights in the pursuit of RWNJ agendas.
south @ #767 Saturday, March 19th, 2022 – 2:19 pm
I also believe that the Kitching story was weaponised in the last week of the SA campaign to take some paint off SA Labor.
Greensborough Growler says:
Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 2:21 pm
Scott,
Totally agree!
These stories about what is happening to good Australians and how they’ve been abandoned by the Feds are heartbreaking.
All because Morrison wants to the focus to be on him and no one else.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-19/south-east-queensland-flood-financial-assistance-clean-up/100921780
—————————————–
Exactly
“Ironbar” Tuckey:
[‘In 1967, while employed as a publican in Carnarvon, Tuckey was convicted of assault after striking an Aboriginal man with a length of steel cable and fined $50. The man was allegedly being held down by Tuckey’s brother at the time. Tuckey has had the nickname “Ironbar” ever since.’]
Hardly equivalent to the spat between Wong & Kitching.
What a charming fellow:
[‘Tuckey boycotted Kevin Rudd’s apology to the stolen generations. He abused the power of office by using his ministerial letterhead to write to the South Australian police minister in an attempt to get his son off a traffic fine. He blamed greenies for the 2003 fatal bushfires in the ACT. In June he blamed Labor’s proposed mining super profits tax for the deaths of 10 executives in a plane crash in Africa, with the absurd claim that they were forced to look elsewhere for ore.
Then Tuckey hailed the Coalition’s generous maternity-leave deal for highly paid women because ”their children are more likely to be brighter than others”.
In apology for Tuckey, Joe Hockey once said: ”Every family has an uncle who goes a little wild at the family wedding.” At last the Libs are free of their festering uncle and Tony Abbott gets a somewhat ”kinder, gentler polity” after all. By default.
Tuckey accused the Nationals of a ”nasty” campaign. We should take his word. He seems to know a lot about nasty.’]
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/nasty-and-deserved-end-for-our-wild-uncle-wilson-20100827-13vxb.html
The liberals & their droogs had a go at blaming Kitching for starting the Christine Holgate affair. A Mean Girl herself then, apparently.
Mavis:
Tuckey also had this rather memorable altercation with Keating in the House of Representatives:
But probably his classiest moment was this one:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wilson_Tuckey
Asha:
Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 2:34 pm
Thanks. More confirmation this creeps character.
The media is all over the Kitching story, not just because it’s “news”, but also because it takes a bit of paint off the exemplary Penny Wong who has been untouchable throughout her time in public life. Journalists are always motivated to chase the story – that’s their business.
It doesn’t alter the fact that it’s all pretty tawdry stuff and muck raking.
In the midst of this whole quagmire, there are actually some legitimate points to be made about how toxic political workplaces can be and what can be done to fix that. But that opportunity has seemingly been lost in lieu of juvenile and frankly quite misogynistic reporting about “mean girls.”
U.S. COVID update:
– New cases: 35,597 …………………………… – New deaths: 1,122
– States reporting: 43/50
– In hospital: 20,691 (-500)
– In ICU: 3,683 (-156)
997,136 total deaths now
As I don’t want to horrify the SA Puritans on the other thread with my presence 😉 I’ll ask the question here. What time does the SA Election coverage start on 9 and the ABC? Cheers.
For the record, I don’t believe for a second this will impact the SA election at all – nor, in the final analysis, the Federal election. Although I expect much pearl clutching in the event Labor underperforms tonight (despite most having voted WELL before this became a temporary distraction).
This might be one of the worst examples, as I said previously, of self-satisfied and self-interested PH/CPG bubble reporting on what’s interesting to it – not anyone else. The issue then becomes, as Albo pointed out, even those uncomfortable about this are feeling pressured to talk about it.
Trioli’s commentary was perfect and correct. Tingle’s felt oddly forced.
Again, this will peter out following the funeral, particularly with the Budget in a bit over a week, and the election campaign to start soon after.
What I want to see, off topic, is for Labor to start talking about what it will do to bring down prices and tackle inflation – unlike the Liberal approach is to chuck money at people and only put more pressure on inflation.
Just to impersonate a dog with a bone, according to the Three Senators’ Statement, released yesterday and linked on this site, Wong apologised to Kitching about her remark shortly after it happened two years ago, and had the understanding her apology had been accepted.
So, we can count this out of the ‘bullying’ allegations, except if we’re Lieberals or conspiratorial journalists…
BTW, nath earlier posted that Albo had made some good comments on this matter today – nath (or anyone,) do you have a link/source for that?
Wonder how long we have to wait.
“je suis Zelensky”
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/as-macron-adopts-zelensky-s-look-his-opponents-are-haunted-by-their-pro-putin-past-20220319-p5a62d.html
Snappy Tom @ #781 Saturday, March 19th, 2022 – 2:53 pm
Guardian Blog certainly had some comments which I thought were quite good.
“ Again I ask, if it didn’t exist, what would be your chosen method for dealing with the murderous Authoritarian dictators and the oligarchs who suck off the public teat like engorged ticks, when their crazed expansionist tendencies are allowed to run amok, and they commit real human rights violations against innocent people, against sovereign countries?”
Geez. I dunno C@t. Maybe you could address that inquiry to the Crown Prince or President el-Sisi who are seemingly impervious to any threat of the Magnitsky Act, so long as they roll over for the US of A.
As for what other options Biden has at his disposal to hurt Putin and his cronies without the Magnitsky Act? Well, Putin has broken the United Nations Charter in the most egregious way. That provides Biden with all the moral authority he needs to issue sanctions within his executive powers, and to go to congress to supplement his executive orders with complimentary legislation. It gives him agency to build international coalitions of like minded countries, regardless of any Security Council Veto vote. Keep the message clear and simple. Without having to traverse the opaque hypocrisy that resonates out of the Magnitsky Act shenanigans.
Of course America has blotted the copy book on the above principal because of its invasion of Iraq in 2003. Being the leading war hawk in the democrat caucus back then doesn’t do Biden’s credibility much good. However, as sullied as America’s reputation is, the principal remains good. Opposing Putin on that platform is sound.
H Kaur just hit a straight boundary past the bowler any top class batsmen will be proud of. 🙂
George and Bill took sunflowers (Ukraine’s national flower, did you know that) to a church. So there’s that.
As no one else had afaik, I’d better –
Russian state TV cuts away from Putin at pro-Russia rally
https://youtu.be/kp8qLWbxVTQ
(guardian)
Ah wow! Thanks for that, context really matters, and I would have to agree with Penny Wong in this context then.
Looks like the Media is being really dishonest here. Imagine if Labor opposed the climate protests, that would have been an awful look.
C@t – the ABC News channel starts its SA election coverage at 6.30pm Sydney time (when polls close in SA). Antony Green is part of the coverage.
9Now also (apparently) has a live stream. Also starting at 6.30pm
JUST IN
Hillsong has been forced to “apologise unreservedly” after the church’s founder, Brian Houston, was found to have engaged in conduct “of serious concern” by the church.
Following media reports on Friday, the church’s global board said in a statement that Houston had breached Hillsong’s pastor code of conduct in two incidents over the past decade.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/19/hillsong-church-apologises-after-investigations-find-brian-houston-engaged-in-inappropriate-behaviour
Snappy Tom says:
Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 2:53 pm
BTW, nath earlier posted that Albo had made some good comments on this matter today – nath (or anyone,) do you have a link/source for that?
___________
It was a press conference I saw on Sky just before I posted.
Albo made the point that although Kitching wrote a 7 page document outlining discrimination and bullying after being removed from the tactics committee, Albo himself was dumped from the tactics committee when Shorten took over as leader. He said that there are many people who want to be on the tactics committee, many who want to be ministers and parliamentary secretaries.
Someone has also leaked the 7 page document Kitching wrote to the Murdoch press. So perhaps more to come.
Herald Sun has some how managed 3 articles on its landing page about Kitching.
One has the Albo comments from his Presser today, for which they have opened the comments.
Very few positive to Albo of course.
Interesting – the comments have now been switched off
“Russian state TV cuts away from Putin at pro-Russia rally”
Outrageous! The ABC would never do that to Morrison.
This is the kind of gutter-slime we have to put up with from the murdoch hate media in Victoria.
https://ibb.co/ftjJzTT
Shorten is coming out of this badly. He needs to stand up and defend his Labor colleagues.
Of course, Pi, the Hun doesn’t say Labor MADE her heart give out…
Outsider @ #790 Saturday, March 19th, 2022 – 3:12 pm
Thank you, Outsider. 🙂
Lynchpin @ #797 Saturday, March 19th, 2022 – 3:33 pm
Labor wasted 6 yrs on this bloke.
This is plainly arse-about. Because Heffernan was “just a run-of-the-mill Senator”, the issue in question is all there is to remember about him. Because Wong is part of the Labor leadership team, this “mean girls” crap is only going to be recalled by excessively online conservative partisans. No one in the real world is going to be persuaded that anyone is to blame for Kitching’s death, which is the attempted subtext of all this. Least of all as a result of something that happened three years earlier.