The flood of polling in the week after the budget is inevitably followed in the week after that. Here’s all I have:
• The tracking poll of Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings maintained by US pollster Morning Consult records no significant change, with Albanese starting November on 57% approval and 30% disapproval, down one and up two from the start of October.
• As reported by Anna Macdonald at The Mandarin, Electoral Commissioner Tom Rogers told the Joint Standing Committe on Electoral Matters the commission was struggling to attract staff at election time due to low pay and “bizarre behaviour” at polling places. Specifically, Rogers said the May federal election was marked by “people coming into the polling place and recording interactions with our staff, shouting at our staff, and some fairly bizarre behaviour that we haven’t seen previously”.
• Independent ACT Senator David Pocock has made a submission to the inquiry calling for the two territories to have six Senators serving six-year terms on the same staggered cycle that applies to the rest of the Senate, as distinct from the current situation where they have two Senators each whose terms are tied to the House.
But what would I know? I’m only a woman with no military experience or expertise. 😐
nathsays:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:24 pm
That’s a strange comment considering the current war is all about repelling Russian attempts to take possession of other parts of Ukraine.
Are you suggesting that Ukraine shouldn’t push back against Russian aggression?
Mavis
says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:32 pm
I must confess that my culinary skills are found to be wanting.
—————————-
Not like a recently deceased eccentric bachelor mate of mine.
I did give him help but he would still drop pasta in a pot of cold water to cook and place steak in a cold pan etc. However, he would steam veggies to the point where I once witnessed at a holiday cabin in Port Fairy the paint peeled off the kitchen wall.
I recall he once said what’s this salt stuff? Does it give food taste?
Barney in Cherating says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:40 pm
nathsays:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:24 pm
Barney in Cherating says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:21 pm
nathsays:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 8:58 pm
anyone whooping for the Ukrainian conquest of the Crimea is more invested in seeing Russian humiliation than peace. A return to recent borders and a free and independent Ukraine would surely be satisfactory to reasonable people.
Well considering that Crimea was recently part of Ukraine, its reinclusion in a free and independent Ukraine would be satisfactory to reasonable people.
______________________
No doubt. But if that reunclusion is the result of a conquest, with inevitable civilian casualties and the real risk of making the conflict deeper and wider, that is a grave concern.
That’s a strange comment considering the current war is all about repelling Russian attempts to take possession of other parts of Ukraine.
Are you suggesting that Ukraine shouldn’t push back against Russian aggression?
___________________________
Fortunately I don’t believe the Ukrainians are stupid enough to initiate a conquest of Crimea and the resultant siege of Sevastopol, a city of half a million people in the name of righting a wrong from 2014.
Nath
“ Invested enough to send your arse over there to help get it back? Invested in spreading the conflict further?
Want to push that lunatic in the Kremlin to the brink?
Of course we are free from the consequences of everything over here.”
Nath when I suggested Ukraine may not easily get Crimea back before, and Russia may not easily give it up, I was not making any comment on the legitimacy of Ukraine’s claim to Ukraine. IMO legally and morally, Ukraine has a strong claim to Crimea. I was just pointing out it could be difficult. As with Kherson, cutting it off and attacking the defender’s logistics may be the best way.
Bearing that in mind, it is not up to you or me and if we are invested enough to fight for Crimea. It is up to Ukraine. Besides they are short of equipment but not manpower. So any of us being willing to go over there is a non-sequitur.
Putin is ruthless and desperate, but he is not a lunatic. He has different values to us. But he has been quite calculating in the past. He has relied on causing fear and division and attacking weakness. He will not start WWIII if the west remains united and makes in clear the consequences for Russia will be severe.
We are not free from consequences here. The whole world is affected by the consequences of the Ukraine war, especially energy and grain prices.
Player One @ #1597 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 7:01 pm
As usual with you, there is no discussion at all, just your inane ramblings and non-sequiturs.
I know everyone here will be able to draw their own conclusions.
While you are around, I should let you know that I and some colleagues are collating your posts on here to include in a paper on the Dunning–Kruger effect. Thanks for all of the material. I am sure you will be proud to be of some use.
anyone whooping for the Ukrainian conquest of the Crimea is more invested in seeing Russian humiliation than peace.
———————
Precisely the opposite. A clear and present threat of losing Crimea is what will bring Putin to the table. From there, it is up to Ukraine what they are willing to concede and up to the Western powers what they are willing to continue to support. I am sure they will have a chat, a wink and a nod.
Accepting Russian sovereignty over Crimea would be a bitter pill. But it may come with some level of security and certainty and independence that Ukraine hasn’t seen for some time.
I would expect any negotiated peace agreement won’t be a simple new, internationally accepted border demarcation. It will be more involved.
yabba says:
While you are around, I should let you know that I and some colleagues are collating your posts on here to include in a paper on the Dunning–Kruger effect.
__________
Now that should be fascinating. I assume these colleagues are fellow Mensa virgins?
Man. Gonna be without power for a whiles. I will soon have to get the genny going just to take a dump.
It would be different if the bidirectional EV chargers were available and affordable. The Nissan Leaf would be running the basics (fridge, wastewater pumps) and the solar keeping it all ticking along.
alfred venison says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 7:34 pm
So in your twisted world the possibility that the Russian elite can continue raining down death and destruction on their own people and that of the people of another country is to be celebrated, you belong in the 18th century.
Simon Katich @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:15 pm
Sorry to hear SK!
yabba @ #1656 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 9:53 pm
And that conclusion would undoubtedly be that you are an arrogant arsehole who is not nearly as clever as he thinks, and who has no inter-personal skills whatsoever.
I suppose you may have colleagues, but I wonder if you have any friends?
Interesting open ended discussion with Alexandra Merz (very impressive investment analyst and immigration consultant, and highly regarded Tesla/Musk commentator) on what Musk could be up to, triggered by his selling $4bill of Tesla stock at a low price, not something done one a whim, and what the money if for – spoiler: it’s pretty unlikely it’s just to keep the lights on at Twitter, regardless of its losing $4mill a day.
https://youtu.be/srpUxHUM2xY
(30 mins)
Griff:
Next think you know, nath will be talking about the “forgotten people” and finally give his game away!
E. G. Theodore says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:26 pm
Griff:
Thank goodness we have nath to talk on the behalf of reasonable people!
Next think you know, nath will be talking about the “forgotten people” and finally give his game away!
__________
I think the ‘forgotten people’ are being looked after quite nicely by the S3 tax cuts.
All the best SK. Out of our recent brush with climate impacts, we invested, amongst other things, in a 22kW Generator, now in its own little Hebel house, where the batteries will go, sooner rather than later of I can pull that off. It’s very feel good.
No biggie griff. I have a camping battery and panel for phone and camping fridge and some lighting. A firebox for heat (yes, heat in November!). Access to a generator to run the wastewater for a few hours here and there.
Others aren’t so lucky. And there seems to be significant damage in nearby parts – houses etc (I haven’t caught the news, just what I have seen driving around checking up on peeps – things might be pretty bad for some). What scares me is it will renew the war on trees.
ItzaDream @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:24 pm
The better half is telling me that Elon Musk isn’t about money now. It is about what Elon Musk can do with money. Being the world’s biggest troll is more fun than managing Tesla.
of/if
(edit fn defaults to penultimate post)
In the electrical engineering world it is usually j not i.
And Arguing with P1 is a complete waste of time.
j does matter, i is a pretty boring construct, handy for solving differential equations, j on the other hand is the angle between two phasers, electrical engineering has added information about the forcing function (it’s a sin wave, single frequency, linear system – and engineers have the cheek to talk about circular chickens) . Pretty neat when you realize, j is more than just not using the symbol for current ( a capital I). Sorry to be a pain in the arse.
Griff @ #1667 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 10:33 pm
Griff, I don’t think it was ever about just money.
Simon Katich @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:32 pm
Glad to hear. If there is any silver lining, it may be increased awareness of the potential for EVs as backup energy.
Player One @ #1600 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 10:23 pm
Nothing that you suppose has any basis whatsoever, except in your sad excuse for a mind. That holds true in this case, of course.
I’ll block you again now. Don’t be too sad.
ItzaDream @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:36 pm
Touché 🙂
Edit: I have acquired a c. The best MCQ response.
frednk @ #1669 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 10:36 pm
It is hardly my fault that you always lose.
Perhaps you and Yabba could form an imaginary club?
yabba @ #1673 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 10:39 pm
Excellent outcome.
Player One @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:41 pm
Everyone loses when they argue with you, don’t they? 😉
Griff, bit cryptic for me sorry … Multiple Choice? a c ?
Griff @ #1677 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 10:43 pm
It’s not just about me. Anyone who takes the time to put aside their political blinkers for a few moments and consider the arguments on their merits are also winners.
“anyone whooping for the Ukrainian conquest of the Crimea is more invested in seeing Russian humiliation than peace. ”
Lol. But hey, that’s nath wot. 🙂
The Ukrainian’s don’t have to try and “take” Crimea or accept / inflict the kind of casualties “laying siege to Sevastopol” would mean. The Russians operate that way (see Bakhmut) and have given the world an object lesson in the cost and futility of that approach.
Crimea can be cut off from meaningful re-supply by a combination of the kind of behind the lines interdiction that the Ukrainians have shown is within their capabilities……. and………. maneuver warfare over the winter months for which it appears that the Ukrainians are better equipped that the Russians. That model has given them back Kherson west of the Dnipro, and i think they are smart enough to vary it ( wont do exactly the same thing twice ) to keep the Russians a bit off balance. Its certainly looking like the Ukrainians can pick times and places to apply resources for the foreseeable future.
Russian assault on the Ukrainian power infrastructure / cities / civilians has already happened, and may continue if they re-stock from Iran with SRBM’s. That will be bad for the Ukrainians as NATO / US actually cant supply enough air defense units of the right type to put up a robust defense against these SRBM’s. Enough will get through whatever. 🙁 The only real answer to SRBM’s is to hunt down the launchers, in Russia, before they are fired and destroy them. Ukraine does not have that kind of deep strike capability. NATO does….but that would mean huge escalation that NATO has avoided so far.
Anyhow, upshot of all that is that no-one will give a flying fwark if the Ukrainians shit-can the power infrastructure in Crimea. It will spin as Ukrainian sympathizers there putin up with it as endurance being their contribution to getting rid of the invaders. Russian sympathizers can move to Russia.
Hard times for many people coming up, and its actually ALL down to Putin being an arse-hole and thinking he would win a war in two weeks. FAIL.
ItzaDream @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:46 pm
I accidentally added a c to my name. C is considered the superior choice in a 4 option MCQ when one is blind guessing. A myth if correct responses are randomised, but exam setters can be lazy 🙂
“it’s a sin wave”
Well, we assume/like to think it is. Phasors are as much of a modelling construct for electrical engineers as the inflation rate is in economics.
😀 😀 😀
*…and runs away*
Griff says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:43 pm
Player One @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:41 pm
Everyone loses when they argue with you, don’t they?
中华人民共和国
Word of the day:
Eristic
Eristic describes things that have to do with an argument, or simply the tendency to debate, especially when someone loves to win an argument and values that more highly than arriving at the truth.
The person doing the arguing can also be called an eristic: “It makes me mad when that eristic wins she debates with her false arguments.” The Greek root word is eris, “strife or discord.”
Player One @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:49 pm
“It’s not just about me.”
Doing the work. Well done, Player One.
“It’s not just about me. Anyone who takes the time to put aside their political blinkers for a few moments and consider the arguments on their merits are also winners.”
Holy dooly
How misogynistic were those Greeks, eh? 🙂
Boerwar at 9.22 pm and Simon Katich at 10.04 pm
Interesting point re why Ukraine allowed the Russians to leave Kherson without more casualties. More may come out about that decision subsequently, but it may not have been a decision made only by the Ukrainians, i.e. made also by the US.
SK may be correct on this point:
“A clear and present threat of losing Crimea is what will bring Putin to the table. From there, it is up to Ukraine what they are willing to concede and up to the Western powers what they are willing to continue to support.”
Putin has avoided any serious negotiations. It will be a big shift if he changes that.
It’s easy for the Ukrainians to say they won’t negotiate with Putin when Putin has rejected negotiations, but if he shifts, then the Ukrainians will have to decide on the best time to end the war, and the best way to do that, to reduce losses overall.
What is clear is that Putin has lost all momentum in the war. Little advances in the Donbas hardly count. Clausewitz pointed out that “war is the continuation of politics by other means”. Putin never comprehended what that meant re Ukraine. He has no strategy. He is finding out the hard way, with others suffering terribly.
Apart from the battlefield reversals, the biggest change in the war is the chaotic and risky mobilisation in Russia. Combined with those reversals, that is a major change, because the pressures on Putin are not only from military defeats amidst unachievable objectives, but from growing public disquiet about a senseless war.
Upnorth @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:54 pm
Nice! A late entry, but a winner none the less 🙂
Dandy Murray says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:54 pm
“it’s a sin wave”
Well, we assume/like to think it is. Phasors are as much of a modelling construct for electrical engineers as the inflation rate is in economics.
*…and runs away*
中华人民共和国
I think they had Phasors in Blake’s 7.
Sorry to leave you kiddies, but it’s past my bed time.
Play nice.
Griff says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:59 pm
Upnorth @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:54 pm
Nice! A late entry, but a winner none the less
中华人民共和国
Well I didn’t catch my Arapaima and the traffic is a killer to get home. So a bloke has gotta do what a blokes gotta do.
“that is a major change, because the pressures on Putin are not only from military defeats amidst unachievable objectives, but from growing public disquiet about a senseless war.”
Yup, one of the big unknowns the effect of that. I think Putin has a dynamic domestic situation that is becoming more and more difficult for him to manage.
Most wars end with some kind of negotiated settlement / agreement. If the Ukrainians can set the conditions this northern winter where its obvious Crimea will fall if the war continues, maybe combined with the recovery of more territory in the rest of Eastern Ukraine? Then i think there is a basis for an actual negotiated settlement of some sort. But i doubt it will be a face saving one for Putin.
Dr Doolittle @ Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:58 pm
A very naive comment, but when thinking about pulverising Russian forces as opposed to leaving them in a position is to what extent the oncoming winter, combined with restricted supplies, is factoring into the calculation.
frednk @ #1608 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 10:36 pm
Fred, Believe you me, I know about P1 in spades, and normally have them blocked. Just chipped in today because of the particular inanity of the exchange with Barney of Lots of Places. In the past said P1 has expostulated in its usual inane manner about integration of renewable power sources into the existing AC network, while plainly not having the foggiest about the nature of the endeavour.
As it happens, I know all about i and j. In the 1990’s I project managed, and personally wrote big slabs of, comprehensive database/simulation software applications for several entire generation/distribution/end user systems which encompassed every single component of such systems. Every pole, crossbar, insulator, cable span, load, generator, transformer, capacitor, earth link, meter, protection device and on and on. Able to calculate voltage, current flow, power factor in each phase at every point in the entire system, and to simulate faults of any chosen type at any point, to determine protection settings. We later sold the system IP to a European company.
In actual simulation software, of course, i and j have no intrinsic meaning, and do not actually occur. Everything has to be characterised in terms of the nature of the various sources and loads, and the impedances of all of the linked components.
Billy Corgan loves a phasor too.
Dandy Murray says:
Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 11:22 pm
Billy Corgan loves a phasor too.
中华人民共和国
And wrestling
Mr Yabba. I am helping a mate build a house at Hua Hin. He is getting solar panels et al installed. I have told him he will need batteries and an DC to AV convertor. He also wants to have a Genset as back up.
The Genset I imagine would deliver AC current. Would you see a simple solution for said solar/battery array and Genset interface? Any idea on the sort of KVA that you would need to run basics like refrigerators?
Unfortunately there are no qualified electricians in the local area who can help.
Sorry if it’s a mundane question but it’s well above my pay grade.
Lucky Siemens, hey yabba?
Mr Yabba might be asleep.
Lucky Mr yabba, hey Upnorth?