The latest Essential Research survey has its monthly favourability trend ratings for Anthony Albanese which, as distinct from its straightforward approval/disapproval question, asks respondents to rate his performance on a scale of one to ten. This finds 46% giving him from seven to ten, up one on a month ago; 26% from four to six, down two; and 23% from zero to three, up three. On the question of national direction, 44% rate that Australia is on the right track, down two on a month ago and four on two months ago, compared with 36% for the wrong track, up two on a month ago and seven on two months ago.
Other questions relate to Australia’s relationship with China, which 46% expect to be better under the Labor government compared with only 9% for worse. Asked whether they wanted the government to look for opportunities to rebuild relations with China, take a more confrontational approach or maintain the current course, 54% opted for the first (up two from May), 13% the second (down six) and 12% the third (steady). Forty-four per cent think the AUKUS submarine partnership will make Australia more secure compared with 16% for less secure and 39% for about the same.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1042. Note that progressively updated coverage of the Victorian election count continues on the post below.
“C@tmomma @ Saturday, December 3, 2022 at 7:38 am
Mr. Newbie @ #1062 Friday, December 2nd, 2022 – 11:01 pm
I haven’t had COVID yet, to my knowledge, but recently I’ve had some serious taste aversions that make me wonder if I’ve contracted something (I know loss of taste/scent is associated with COVID; I am not aware of taste aversions/changes in taste perception being linked) unknowingly. I literally cannot eat vegetables, no matter how they are cooked, right now without gagging. Even thinking about eating them sometimes makes me gag. Thankfully, fruit does not cause the same reaction; as a vegetarian, I have been eating fruit for tea some nights.
I find I am also gagging on bread/have gone off bread, which I used to love.
I’ve always been a picky eater, but the gagging is a new thing for me.
I believe, with my limited medical knowledge, that this isn’t COVID-19 but a new form of gastrointestinal virus. We were told that other viruses would be mutating and lying in wait for us when we came out of the Covid lockdown bubble and I think here we have it.
I had a similar attack ad response to the one Mr Newbie described. However, I did a couple of RATs to see if it was Covid and they both were negative with the space of a week between both of them and because I was still ill I did the second one in case it was too early when I did the first.
I also cannot come at bread anymore. I used to have toast for breakfast but now I have fruit and a Low GI wrap. I also have to avoid any product with yeast associated with it.
Oh well, it’s better for my general health in the long run I guess. ”
C@tmomma and Mr. Newbie, GI symptoms are often due to COVID related. Occam’s razor.
This editorial provides a reasonable summary, albeit from 2020: https://gut.bmj.com/content/69/6/973.info
Take note of the observational evidence that over a quarter of infections manifests as GI symptoms alone.
So, how does the COVID withstand the pH rollercoaster in the stomach and duodenum/ileum? There are some clues:
1. in vitro work showing the importance of higher pH in the stomach and increased bile: https://gut.bmj.com/content/gutjnl/early/2022/06/06/gutjnl-2021-326624.full.pdf
2. observational data that PPI use is likely to result in increased COVID severity: https://gut.bmj.com/content/70/1/76
I had a weird thing recently where I had a total loss of appetite.
Food tasting amazing, I just wasn’t interested.
Some foods I just couldn’t/wouldn’t eat, others I ate because I knew I should be eating.
Lasted a couple of weeks. Annoyingly, this included a week’s holiday where I should have been living it up, but ended up mostly eating bread.
A final note before the day consumes me.
A funny thing happened on the way towards 2023. I lost interest in our former PM. There’s morbid curiosity, I suppose. But only to the extent of noting the trail of headlines, and not caring for their detail. We all know what he is and was. My interest is on the path out of his sticky “bubble”.
Let’s face it, the rule is:
Accusations of sexual misbehaviour are to be accepted at face value and do not require legal process unless they are against Labor politicians in which case the woman is lying
MegaGeorge
Labor has built two reinforcing electoral walls in this once-safe Liberal territory in Melbourne – with young professionals, especially women, and with the Chinese. The realignment has been accelerated by the twin forces of ageing and migration. The combination of deaths and departures has seen the white populations of both the inner east and the outer east fall in absolute terms between 2011 and 2021. That means net population growth has been coming entirely from overseas migrants and their children.
————————–
This is closer to what’s happening in Melbourne’s east than the often said “young people in apartments” and explains why areas with few if any new apartments are drifting way from the Liberals.
I’m assuming George is talking in percentages and is from Sydney but he is a bit off the mark about the white population falling in Melbourne’s eastern suburbs as being the Liberal Party’s problem because the population has been fairly stable and its growth has been lagging other parts of Melbourne.
Boerwar,
There is a 5th option;
Hold trials that follow an inquisitive model rather than the combative one that we base our system on.
I would like A_E to be involved in this discussion. He never told us his view of the Luke Lazarus case in Sydney which caused some legal reform
“Oakeshott Country says:
Saturday, December 3, 2022 at 10:41 am
Let’s face it, the rule is:
Accusations of sexual misbehaviour are to be accepted at face value and do not require legal process unless they are against Labor politicians in which case the woman is lying”
What? “unless they are against Labor politicians in which case the woman is lying”?… Really? Show me one single NewsCorp article using that approach… I only ask for one, not even two or three…. just one!
Mexicanbeemer @ #1162 Saturday, December 3rd, 2022 – 10:43 am
I stand to be corrected, but wasn’t mega another one who predicted electoral troubles for the Andrews Govt last Saturday ..?
Anyway, his point above is close to the mark I think. Inner and outer suburbs of Melbourne are a lot more diverse than they were previously. Vic Labor is alert to that, but the Vic Libs are living on another planet far away from mainstream Victorians.
Oakeshott Country @ #1019 Saturday, December 3rd, 2022 – 10:41 am
Bollocks.
#LiberalApologist
This is an excellent analysis of what Russia’s switch to “full brutal” against Ukraine says about its own failed campaign, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/02/russia-vicious-tactics-ukraine-further-expose-weakness“
“ The Kremlin thought it would sweep across Ukraine and take Kyiv in a matter of days.
Now, more than nine months into its disastrous war with Ukraine, the new Russian strategy of targeting the infrastructure that brings light, heat and water into millions of Ukrainian homes has revealed Russia’s own weakness and its desperation in the face of a defiant Ukrainian resistance.
Russia’s impotence – and the scale of the destruction wrought by Moscow against territory it considers its own – has leaked back into official statements, even as the Kremlin seeks to leave Ukraine in a dire state on the cusp of a bitter winter.”
…
The rule only applies to PB
Cat assured us that Ashleigh Raper’s accusations against Luke Foley were fabrications.
(This, of course, was only while Foley was hanging on to the leadership and threatening defamation. When he was rolled by Michael (Young Asians with their PhDs) Daley rule one was immediately applied.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/02/russia-vicious-tactics-ukraine-further-expose-weakness continued:
“ At moments, Russian officials have compared the destruction in Ukrainian cities and its strategy to that of the second world war, nearly portraying the strategy as one of scorched earth.
At a press conference on Thursday, the foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, was given a tough question about Russia’s shelling of Kherson, a city it claimed to annex in September and then fled from in November, and now regularly shells from across the banks of the Dnipro River.
“How can you justify missile attacks on the civilian population, infrastructure, depriving people of access to water and electricity, including in the area of Kherson, which Russia considers its territory?” he was asked.
“The city of Stalingrad was our territory,” replied Lavrov, referring to the modern city of Volgograd that was stage to the deadliest battle of the second world war. “We hit the Germans such that they ran away from there.”
…
List me a federal labor minister that had their office immediately steam-cleaned after they learned that a rape may have been committed in their office?
OC, I know you are having a running argument with C@t but that was a crude post on a topic many, like me, are very upset and angry about.
BillyK +1
I have said enough on the specific issue. More broadly, this is such a significant societal issue that it demands change at multiple institutions. The form that change takes should be guided by the various principles of the justice system but dogma shouldn’t be so conservative to inhibit attempts at reform. There is room to move here without throwing out the baby. we can’t leave the baby in filthy water any longer.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/02/russia-vicious-tactics-ukraine-further-expose-weakness continued:
“ Moscow’s current strategy stands in stark contrast to Russia’s initial plan: a shock-and-awe strike on Kyiv and other cities that would let them take over the country and its key infrastructure within weeks.
“This campaign would not target critical infrastructure such as power stations and railways, because these were vital to Russia’s plans for occupying the country,” said a report this week released by Britain’s Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) thinktank, which revealed details from official orders captured from retreating Russians troops. “The elimination of Ukraine’s political leadership would primarily be a task for Russia’s special services. Another line of effort, allocated to Russia’s special forces and air-assault troops, was to capture Ukraine’s power stations, airfields, water supplies, central bank and parliament.”
…
C@t
Further to my comments yesterday on the Higgins/Lehrman matter, you are right. Empathy is important. But court cases are ultimately decided on facts and evidence not empathy and that process has to be protected at all times. It might not be perfect but it’s the best that we’ve got and certainly much better than trial by media.
Stephen Koukoulas@TheKouk
3 year bond yield in Australia 3.00%. 60bps below the implied peak cash rate in 2023.
Clearly the cash rate pricing is wrong.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/02/russia-vicious-tactics-ukraine-further-expose-weakness continued:
“ Now, the opposite appears to be true. While Russia’s attacks on power infrastructure have been designed to show strength, coming shortly after it was forced to retreat from key towns and cities in Ukraine’s south-east, they nonetheless expose Russia’s clear weakness going into winter.
Vladimir Putin has defended the strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure, seeking to equate them with alleged Ukrainian strikes in Russian border regions and a recent explosion on the Kerch bridge.
In a telephone conversation on Friday, he told the German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, the attacks were a “forced and inevitable response to Kyiv’s provocative attacks against Russia’s civilian infrastructure, including the Crimean Bridge and energy facilities”.
…
I appreciate the contribution snappy tom. But I really have to disagree with you about the right to silence point. It is fundamental basic principle as far as I am concerned. I really do not think it should be disturbed
Brittany Higgins has been horrendously treated on multiple fronts.
It’s an absolute disgrace what has happened to her being attacked and let down by so many.
Fcking shameful.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/02/russia-vicious-tactics-ukraine-further-expose-weakness continued:
“ Top Russian pundits and propagandists have openly admitted Russia has no other strategy: from planning to capture Ukraine, they have now moved on to a plan to simply cripple the country. Doing so, they now tell the public, may prevent Russia from suffering an even greater defeat.
“They are planning to take our Crimea,” said Margarita Simonyan, the RT head, referring to the peninsula occupied by Russia in 2014.
There are no indications that Ukraine is planning an imminent operation toward Crimea, although fortifications have begun appearing along the Russian frontlines of the conflict, indicating they are struggling to hold ground.
“And we are doing the only thing that we can do in this situation. We’re bombing them. We’re bombing them every day. We’re bombing their infrastructure. God knows that isn’t what we wanted. I know that this isn’t what our leaders wanted either,” said Simonyan.”
…
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/02/russia-vicious-tactics-ukraine-further-expose-weakness continued:
“ Whether or not that’s the case, it is clear that Russia has abandoned its own pretence of a war fought with restraint. According to the plans reported by RUSI, Russia is in uncharted territory: its FSB security service never bothered to engage in contingency planning, “nor envisaged any outcome other than its own success”.
The new strategy targeting civilian infrastructure is more difficult to sell to the Russian public. A person who occupies a management position at a state media agency said editors were being encouraged to focus on how the strikes were affecting the Ukrainian military, rather than lingering on their humanitarian impact.”
…
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/02/russia-vicious-tactics-ukraine-further-expose-weakness concludes:
“ But there are mixed messages. Senior officials such as the former president Dmitry Medvedev have openly gloated about the humanitarian disaster facing Ukraine, writing that first Russia must win, and “then we’ll sort out the lights”.
Yet on television cheerleaders for the war have also focused on worst-case scenarios, as Russia continues to cede ground and appears to lack an answer for countering the Ukrainian advance.
Vladimir Soloviev, a popular television host, regularly brings up the possibility that Russia could use a nuclear weapon if it feels that Crimea is threatened. Others are using similar arguments to try to steel national resolve, claiming that the country is close to being torn apart.
“What do we care if another neighbourhood of Kyiv is left without light or disappears?” said Simonyan during a show with Soloviev. She claimed Russian leaders could face a Hague tribunal if they lost the war. Her logic was simple: there is no turning back for Russia now.”
========================
Russia must be decisively defeated for their aggression to end.
“ Москва повинна бути зруйнована”
Rex
I stand to be corrected, but wasn’t mega another one who predicted electoral troubles for the Andrews Govt last Saturday ..?
Anyway, his point above is close to the mark I think. Inner and outer suburbs of Melbourne are a lot more diverse than they were previously. Vic Labor is alert to that, but the Vic Libs are living on another planet far away from mainstream Victorians.
———————————–
Didn’t see anything from Mega on Andrews.
Melbourne’s eastern suburbs has become increasingly diverse over the past few decades to the point where its now common to see Asian families buying into Melbourne’s best streets and that’s changing the social fabric of these areas and the Liberals are being left behind.
It’s a sad indictment on the c@tmomma of this world that the prism of criminal justice reform is seen through the lens of things like her posting about OC being a liberal apologist. That does such a disservice to the actual legitimate debate about criminal justice reform. With allies like that who needs enemies.
Simon Katich
Maybe crude but the point is that Lehmann has been convicted by many in the PB echo chamber not on the evidence but because he was a Liberal operative and it was an embarrassment to the last government.
I do not now if he was guilty, nor do you. Indeed, the jury who heard both sides of the cases could not come to a conclusion after 5 days of deliberation
I do feel sorry for Higgins who has been poorly treated not just by the media and judicial system but also by political stooges from both sides. Her experience makes the need for reform vital – once again A_Es views from the coalface would be interesting
The Lehmann case is the problem with open courts for while we might like the legal system to be open but this case has suffered from that.
The premise that the legal system can solve every legal and factual dispute is a good starting point for any analysis
Pi
Keith Wright was convicted of sexually assaulting an underage girl in his parliamentary office. Not sure if he had the office cleaned, but he was only a backbencher
In NSW Milton Orkopolus, Minister for Aboriginal Affairs, sexually assaulted underage boys (and supplied drugs and solicited using public funds) in parliament house. Don’t know if he cleaned the office
And let’s not forget Joe Tripodi losing his trousers in front of a democrat party operative in Parliament House- his expulsion at that early stage of his career would have saved the party a lot of later grief
‘Barney in Cherating says:
Saturday, December 3, 2022 at 10:44 am
Boerwar,
There is a 5th option;
Hold trials that follow an inquisitive model rather than the combative one that we base our system on.’
==================
True.
That’s the inquisitive model that is used in Sweden among other places.
Didn’t really work for Assange at the time
Aviation history in the making! The reveal of the newest stealth heavy bomber – the B-21 Raider live on youtube.
Linda Reynolds and Morrison showed that they are Liberals first and a human second.
They should GTFO of politics.
Q: Which is more corrupt? FIFA or Olympics?
In defense of the IOC, since Beijing 2008/Sochi 2014 they are now only awarding Games to super safe liberal democracies. The next few Games are France/Italy/USA/USA-Japan or Canada/ Australia/USA-Japan or Canada…….
They are not playing footsies with dictatorships, oil theocracies etc any more.
It just gets worse.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/dec/03/greatly-concerned-prosecutor-warns-potentially-unlawful-disclosures-brittany-higgins-bruce-lehrmann
“Aviation history in the making! The reveal of the newest stealth heavy bomber – the B-21 Raider live on youtube.”
For anyone interested, think this article will get updated pretty soon with info on the actual B21 that’s been unveiled.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/this-is-the-b-21-raider-stealth-bomber
Has been much speculation to date off the concept art. A look at its back end will say quite a bit about it and how the design has been developed from the B2 and maybe different role.
Talk about a voice!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/03/new-zealand-woman-takes-chinese-media-site-to-human-rights-tribunal-over-ban
Oakeshott Country @ #1181 Saturday, December 3rd, 2022 – 9:14 am
We don’t know as he avoided participating in it.
Boerwar @ #1193 Saturday, December 3rd, 2022 – 12:28 pm
All made worse by the AFP’s questionable reputation when politics is involved in a case.
Interesting the way the US are going on long range aircraft.
They are also going on with an update for the B52. Mainly new engines and radar. Big bomb / missile trucks.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/we-ve-come-full-circle-labor-declares-regulatory-reset-of-nbn-20221201-p5c30u.html
More spin from SMH.
NBN write off of $31 billion is simply a “regulatory reset”!
The biggest project failure in our history and some junior “journalist” is given the task of burying the story.
“Jessica Yun is a business reporter for The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age covering the food, beverage and agribusiness sectors.”
(Article not open for reader comments!)
nath says:
Friday, December 2, 2022 at 8:05 pm
Pi says:
Friday, December 2, 2022 at 7:56 pm
nath, to identify your projects is to identify who you are. Kinda surprised it needs to be explained.
_____________
I suspect Upnorth is currently involved in the largest project on PB. He’s probably working on it right now seeing it’s after dinner.
中华人民共和国
Cobber how did you bloody know? I went to a James Suckling wine tasting last night. 90 of some of the worlds best wineries. Upnorth was indeed involved in a large project!!!
I just listened to the ANU National Security podcast, which featured Gareth Evans talking to Rory Medcalf on foreign policy, Australia, US, Ukraine, Russia, China, QUAD, AUKUS and what we should do. Excellent.
https://overcast.fm/+zIt8uOrnI
LOL! reading some comments elsewhere on the B21 rollout.
They did it in the dark, and didn’t pull it all the way out of the hangar so no-one can get a good look at the profile or the back end (control surfaces, engine outlets…).
Apparently when they rolled out the B2, some dude from Aviation Week hired a Cessna and overflew the airfield snapping pics from above which they really didn’t want taken. 🙁
Seems some lessons learned. bur people do get to speculate on the weird side windows. 🙂
Very interesting lecture on the Russian war:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T7uwtNoWBK0&ab_channel=ANUTV
“ The number of graves at Mariupol’s Starokrymske cemetery on the western side of the city has significantly expanded, according to new satellite imagery published by U.S. satellite imagery company Maxar. ”
https://kyivindependent.com/news-feed/satellite-image-shows-main-cemetery-in-mariupol-grown-significantly
=========================
Russia’s invasion has been truly ghastly. They can’t just walk away from this scot-free – let alone actually gain anything from it.
“Hold trials that follow an inquisitive model rather than the combative one that we base our system on.’”
I haven’t got Cross out in a couple of decades but it seems to me that one of the tensions in the case that ended with the jury being discharged, was that the person making the allegation had their character on trial but the various privileges given defendants, to ensure we acquit 9 guilty defendants rather than convict a single innocent (which definitely works for wealthy defendants, I’m not sure the legal system delivers on that promise with poorer defendants but that is a difference justice issue for a different day).
Anyway without getting out cross and reminding myself of the finer points, it seems to be that it is not a huge departure from our system for a defendant whose defence involves calling into question the honesty or character of the alleged victim to automatically open to the prosecution character evidence on the complainant and perhaps as a step further to remove the defendant’s right not to give evidence and face cross examination.
Although for my personal money the real failure in this matter are: the Govt deliberately impeding the investigation and the media misbehaviour, and then juror misbehaviour.
I would be very comfortable if those obstructing the process in all three ways ended up doing jail time, but I understand the jurors offence is very minor (speeding) on the books, and rich important people get away with it routinely, so expecting very little action on those fronts.
WeWantPaul, care to answer my question, put to you twice now? Why do you want continuing support for Ukraine’s resistance to the Russian invasion to be unpopular in Australia?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/03/russia-ukraine-war-at-a-glance-what-we-know-on-day-283-of-the-invasion:
“ Russian troops in Ukraine are deliberately attacking the country’s museums, libraries and other cultural institutions, according to a report issued by the US and Ukrainian chapters of the international writers’ organisation PEN.”
==================
Cultural genocide. Historical vandals. Barbarians.
“ Москва повинна бути зруйнована.”