The Australian reports the first Newspoll of the year shows no change to the status quo after the tax cuts backflip or anything else to have happened over the holiday period, with Labor retaining its 52-48 two-party lead from the mid-December poll. Only minor changes are recorded on the primary vote, with Labor up a point to 34%, the Coalition steady on 36%, the Greens down one to 12% and One Nation steady on 7%.
Questions on the tax cuts found 62% believed the government had done the right thing, but oddly only 38% felt they would be better off. Preferred prime minister is likewise unchanged at 46-35 in favour of Anthony Albanese, while at this stage we only have net results on the two leaders’ ratings: Albanese down a point to minus nine, Peter Dutton down four to minus 13. A number of gaps here should be filled when The Australian publishes full results tables.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1245.
UPDATE: Albanese is steady on 42% approval and up one on disapproval to 51%, while Dutton is down two to 37% and up two to 50%. The 38% better off figure turns out to contrast with only 18% for worse off, with 37% opting for about the same and 7% uncommitted. The 62% support rating compared with 29% opposed and 9% uncommitted. Both questions emphasised that the changes would be to the advantage of lower and middle income earners.
MelbourneMammoth
You are a very fatalistic elephantiform.
A more redistributive tax system debate is well underway. Spender take some credit.
A real baby on the floor of the Senate:
https://citynews.com.au/2024/proud-father-introduces-newborn-to-senate/?utm_source=mailpoet&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=canberra-daily-today-s-news-today_7801
What would be better for the Coalition politically out of the two following options?
(1) NSW annexing South East Queensland thereby making both states more conservative, or
(2) Queensland splitting into two states – North Queensland (Rocky and northward) and South Queensland, giving an extra 12 Senate seats for Queensland?
Itza,
Chalmers was very complimentary of her contribution to the Tax Reform debate in Parliament today.
ItzaDream says:
Thursday, February 8, 2024 at 5:52 pm
A more redistributive tax system debate is well underway. Spender take some credit.
___________________________
Spender could be the first non 2 party cabinet minister post election since the early years of federation.
Re Lambie Network: they have so far announced three candidates each for Bass, Braddon, Franklin and Lyons (and said they weren’t running in Clark, though I heard indirectly that that wasn’t final). But their candidates announced so far are very low profile and profile matters enormously down here. Troy Pfitzner who ran for them in Lyons at the federal election and did rather well has a little bit of profile from that, the rest of them don’t even include a serving councillor. I don’t think anyone here believes the 20% they got in the YouGov poll but even a third of that would be significant.
Greensborough Growler @ #2005 Thursday, February 8th, 2024 – 5:55 pm
Ah, thanks, missed that. Just catching up. She’s good, and rightly confident of reelection. She talks to her people.
MelbourneMammoth @ #1982 Thursday, February 8th, 2024 – 4:37 pm
Are you going to return to PB and admit you were wrong, the day after Labor win the next federal election, after having made all these predictions?
Al Pal @ #1975 Thursday, February 8th, 2024 – 4:15 pm
He needs to say where the money will come from to pay for them first. In one pocket and out the other is the usual Liberal way.
It’s interesting that the progressive crossbench was abused by many for not immediately waving through Labor IR legislation.
The legislation passed today is far superior.
Lars,
Which portfolio?
Do you think the richest electorate in Australia would tolerate their MHR joining the Labor Caucus?
IMO MPs households should, by law, be allowed to own two dwellings: one in the ACT and one out there somewhere.
The conflicts of interest stand out like dogs balls.
Australian Democrats to contest Dunkley by-election with Heath McKenzie as their candidate.
The New Yorker runs a good breakdown on 14th and S3 including the issue I’ve been fascinated by:
https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/what-scotus-has-to-decide-about-trump-and-disqualification?
(should open as a one off)
Can you run for an office you can’t hold?
I love that twist in the tail. 🙂
That New Yorker article suggest Congress could decide eligibility between the election and Inauguration Day. It (TNY) has previously counselled the prospect that the elected VP might occupy the position of President if the decision is not made before Inauguration Day.
Rex Douglassays:
Thursday, February 8, 2024 at 6:03 pm
It’s interesting that the progressive crossbench was abused by many for not immediately waving through Labor IR legislation.
The legislation passed today is far superior.
============================================
Good suggestions that makes good legislation even better should be appreciated. Though trying to say put a rent freeze into a bill for building social housing is just plain stupid and a total stunt.
I don’t think we’ve reached Peak Albo yet 😉
Latest Morgan:
ALP support jumps back strongly (up 2.5%) after detail of Stage 3 tax cuts is revealed: ALP 53% cf. L-NP 47%
Labor government support jumped 2.5% to 53% well ahead of the Coalition on 47% (down 2.5%) on a two-party preferred according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention.
Support for the Government rebounded strongly after the Albanese Government provided detail on its proposed changes to the long-awaited ‘Stage 3 income tax cuts’ due in mid-year. Treasury analysis shows 84% of taxpayers are set to be better off under the Albanese Government changes.
If this week’s result was repeated at a Federal Election held now the Albanese government would be returned with a comfortable majority.
ALP primary support increased 2% to 33% while Coalition support dropped 0.5% to 37%.
The Greens dropped 1% to 12% and One Nation dropped 0.5% to 5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was unchanged at 13%.
The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,709 Australian electors from January 29 – February 4, 2024.
Love. It.
Mammoth, the original state of Queensland is a founding state and qualifies for 12 Senators. The new state of North Queensland might have any number of senators which they could negotiate should they wish to join the Federation. I’d offer them 2 like the territories.
Boerwar: You’re many things, but I didn’t take you for someone who would stoop to genocide denial (unless you’re genuinely so ignorant you just decided to spout bulldust despite having no knowledge of the history).
“Various drivers” is the most disgustingly creative depiction of a deliberate, years-long campaign by the Saudis and their allies in Yemen to shoot and starve the Houthi to death, including a lengthy blockade of food supplies.
The Houthi had nothing whatsoever to do with events in Gaza or Israel until very recently, with the only link to their own conflict being that after Iran was one of the very few countries that provided some assistance so the Saudis did, in fact, fail to kill them all, they owed Iran one.
The extent to which people who seem to have trouble with the concept that “genocide is unequivocally bad, no ifs, no buts” have come out of the woodwork lately is horrifying.
It’s early days, but a lot of the pessimism I was feeling over Labor since the referendum has gone away. Seeing Labor read the Coalition for filth this week in parliament with a fresh confidence, and several polls reporting that the electorate is at least backing them up at the same level as they did in the 2022 election, that’s a good start to the year.
Ahh Rexy, you really need to enter into negotiations with you crew (WWP, RM,BW , yabba and P1) to end this jihad against the Labor party- along with sensible, measured and reasonable pragmatic discourse
ItzaDream says:
Thursday, February 8, 2024 at 6:06 pm
Can you run for an office you can’t hold?
They neglect to mention that the States control the voting eligibility rules, the so called 50 State solution. That is where the enabling legislation resides. Some say who is on ballots othered who is counted etc.
Even if the electors voted in Trump as a write-in candidate the States could / would nominate another candidate to receive their Electoral Collage votes… for Trump you can run but can’t win … it’s OVER
Its nice to see you happy kirsdarke.
brett
Mammoth, the original state of Queensland is a founding state and qualifies for 12 Senators. The new state of North Queensland might have any number of senators which they could negotiate should they wish to join the Federation.
Yes – should they wish to join the Federation.
North Queensland could become its own country. Katterstan? Bananadesh?
Please let that happen. It would vastly improve the ALP’s chances at every election.
Evening Lars,
It’s pretty chilly and over cast out here in the culture-less sprawl so I gather it would have been quite the windy and rainy day with whitecaps a plenty as you look out onto the eastern harbour bays
Kathryn Campbell’s job in Defence came about, Irene, because, as a Public Servant, she couldn’t just be sacked. There are protocols for dismissal. So she was moved until such time as there was a watertight case for her to be shown the door. Otherwise she could have brought an Unfair Dismissal case against the government.
But hey, what’s another fact-free hit job on the federal government between friends, eh, Irene? 🙄
@Irene
Probably because summarily sacking such a high profile public servant without a justifiable cause other than “that’s just politics, lol” would have cost the taxpayer millions and could have made Kathryn Campbell a winner in the end, given the High Court of Australia’s precedence of going by strict black letter law.
The way it was done has both disgraced and removed Campbell from the public service, with hopefully worse things to come for her.
Thank you for the warm greeting leftie.
Yes a very pleasant day – and off now for some dinner with some good friends at a lovely French bistro.
Life is good.
“Ahh Rexy, you really need to enter into negotiations with you crew (WWP, RM,BW , yabba and P1) to end this jihad against the Labor party- along with sensible, measured and reasonable pragmatic discourse”
I’m honored to be listed with some of the clearest and most independent thinkers that post in this place, not that I agree with them, goddess I do not, but it is still an honour to be singled out from the centrist, whatever labor said today is infallible, stooges that so throughly amd unpleasantly dominitate here.
“Yes a very pleasant day – and off now for some dinner with some good friends at a lovely French bistro.”
Have a french onion soup for me, the last good one I had that I didn’t make myself was in the sofitel at darling harbour.
And wine, you must have wine.
‘Rebecca says:
Thursday, February 8, 2024 at 6:20 pm
Boerwar: You’re many things, but I didn’t take you for someone who would stoop to genocide denial (unless you’re genuinely so ignorant you just decided to spout bulldust despite having no knowledge of the history)…..’
———————-
FMD. Now we have genocide denial.
I think you may have a misapprehension.
I believe both Israel and the Iranian axis entities have genocide as vision statements. The public and private statements of both are, IMO, clear.
The Houthis murdering gays as a matter of public policy is part and parcel of a genocidal mindset, IMO.
Nice Lars, just Steak frites or will the Amex make an appearance?
”The industrial relations playing field is shifting in favour of workers. Employers are furious”
About bloody time.
https://www.crikey.com.au/2024/02/08/industrial-relations-right-to-disconnect-tony-burke/
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, February 8, 2024 at 6:45 pm
‘Rebecca says:
Thursday, February 8, 2024 at 6:20 pm
===============================================
Both of you are good posters on a range of topics. Possibly time to give this topic a rest now.
Always aim to please WWP.
Great to learn of your claim to have no issues in getting your self around a French bistro menu
Holdenhillbilly says:
Thursday, February 8, 2024 at 5:33 pm
Four bureaucrats being investigated for their role in the unlawful robodebt scheme have been handed preliminary determinations that they’ve breached the Australian public service’s code of conduct.
The Australian public service commission delivered the update on the 16 investigations underway following royal commissioner Catherine Holmes’s report on Thursday afternoon.
The landmark report in July last year described robodebt as a “crude and cruel” scheme and a massive failure of public administration.
At least seven public servants, including the former Department of Human Services secretary Kathryn Campbell, were the subject of adverse findings. Campbell quit her $900,000 a year Department of Defence job weeks after the report was handed down. Thursday’s update said 15 of those being investigated had been given notice of the “grounds and categories” for their potential breach or breaches of the code of conduct.
————
As Bob said, Kathryn Campbell should be in jail.
But not if the Albanese government has any say. Under this PM Campbell got promoted with an increase in pay.
Kathryn Campbell – from RoboDebt ignominy to plum Defence job with the PM’s help
by Rex Patrick | May 13, 2023
https://michaelwest.com.au/kathryn-campbell-from-robodebt-ignominy-to-plum-defence-job/
‘ On 22 June 2022, Albanese announced that Campbell was to be replaced as the DFAT Secretary by Jan Adams AO PSM.
However, what did surprise me was a remark at the end of the PM’s statement that Campbell was to be parachuted into a new role.
The face of RoboDebt now fills a Senior Executive Service Band 3 role inside Defence’s AUKUS submarine program. She retains her previous DFAT secretary’s remuneration package of almost $900K.
She’s contracted for three years. The job comes with an overseas posting down track, meaning at some point Campbell will also be living in either Washington DC or London at taxpayer’s expense.
How did this all come about?’
Albanese’s job creation scheme…
Read more…..
Seems the Robodebt Royal Commission was just a show to promote a certain now Labor Minister. Seems obvious if the public servant involved with much trauma and deaths, gets a promotion.
Campbell, when the heat was on, resigned from her AUKUS $900,000 job. But only after a few weeks after the report was handed down. Seems Labor didn’t request her to resign, with those famous Scomo words ‘she can go’.
Are we to assume, based on this dialogue, that the moratorium has ceased?.
Strange because I don’t recall seeing as much from the man with the big stick
leftieBrawler
Strange because I don’t recall seeing as much from the man with the big stick
Angus Taylor?
“Great to learn of your claim to have no issues in getting your self around a French bistro menu”
To be honest I’m better with the wine list portion, but a good french onion soup is a gift of the goddess that should not be lightly spurned.
leftieBrawler @ #2039 Thursday, February 8th, 2024 – 6:54 pm
No it hasn’t. And Boerwar and Rebecca should know that very well.
In fact, Mr Bowe, at his last intervention said that if anyone continues to brazenly break the moratorium they will be going for a spell on the bench.
Do you get that, Rebecca and Boerwar?
Shogun are you implying that William Bowe reminds you of Angus Taylor? That’s beyond the pale and very offensive
Irene,
Give the dog a bone! (If you know what that means). I don’t think your perpetual jihad against the Albanese government is bearing fruit.
cat,
I’m waiting for her to post, “Good post Irene” .
leftieBrawler
Shogun are you implying that William Bowe reminds you of Angus Taylor? That’s beyond the pale and very offensive
Yes indeed you are correct.
I will withdraw my egregious slur.
The Constitution has a chapter on new states, comprising four sections. Section 121 says “The Parliament may admit to the Commonwealth or establish new States, and may upon such admission or establishment make or impose such terms and conditions, including the extent of representation in either House of the Parliament, as it thinks fit.”
The Parliament of any State affected by a change of boundaries, merger or loss of territory needs to agree to such changes.
The Commonwealth can admit as States or Territories any bits of territory given us by the Monarch or otherwise acquired. Representation will be on such basis as the Commonwealth Parliament sees fit.
https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Senate/Powers_practice_n_procedures/Constitution/chapter6
Reference earlier discussion about foundation states. This is the first sentence of the constitution.
WHEREAS the people of New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia, Queensland, and Tasmania, humbly relying on the blessing of Almighty God, have agreed to unite in one indissoluble Federal Commonwealth under the Crown of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland, and under the Constitution hereby established:
They forgot about us Cave Dwellers.
Granny Anny says:
Thursday, February 8, 2024 at 7:18 pm
Reference earlier discussion about foundation states. This is the first sentence of the constitution.
WHEREAS the people of New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia, Queensland, and Tasmania, humbly relying on the blessing of Almighty God, have agreed to unite in one indissoluble Federal Commonwealth under the Crown of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland, and under the Constitution hereby established:
They forgot about us Cave Dwellers.
__________________________________________
You know, don’t you, that WA was not part of the original Federal Commonwealth:
https://exhibitions.slwa.wa.gov.au/s/federation/page/reluctant#:~:text=On%2031%20July%201900%2C%20Western,for%20Federal%20elections%20had%20begun.
Edited to correct that WA was part of the original Commonwealth, but were too late to be included in the Act that was sent to QV.