The fortnightly Essential Research poll adds to an overall picture of static voting intention despite the government’s income tax overhaul, with Labor down a point on the primary vote to 31%, the Coalition recording 34% for the sixth poll in a row, the Greens up a point to 14% and One Nation steady on 7%, with undecided steady on 5%. Respondent-allocated preferences nonetheless cause Labor to perk up a little on the pollster’s 2PP+ measure, which has Labor up two to 50% and the Coalition steady on 46% (again with 5% undecided), Labor’s biggest lead on this measure since the start of October.
The poll also includes the monthly leaders’ favourability ratings, with differ from the separate approval ratings in inviting respondents to rate the leaders on a scale of zero to ten. This gives Peter Dutton his strongest result so far, with a four-point increase among those rating him seven or higher to 32% and a four-point fall in those rating him three or lower to 33%. Anthony Albanese improves slightly from December, when he recorded the weakest results of his prime ministership, with 33% rating him seven or higher (up one) and 35% three or lower (down two).
Questions on the tax cut changes confirm what was already established in finding 56% in favour and 16% opposed, while telling us something new with respect to awareness of them: only 10% consider they know a lot about the changes, with 37% for a bit, 40% for hardly anything and 13% for nothing at all. The poll also found 59% per cent for the “right to disconnect” laws working their way through parliament with only 15% opposed. Other questions cover fuel efficiency standards, party most trusted on tax, the importance of keeping election promises and the ubiquitous Taylor Swift, who scores a non-recognition rating of 3%.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor’s two-party lead in from 53-47 to 52-48, but this is due to changes in respondent-allocated preferences rather than primary votes, on which Labor gains one-and-a-half points to 34.5% – its strongest showing from Morgan since October – with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 37% and 12% and One Nation down half a point to 4.5%. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1699.
In by-election news, of which there will be a fair bit to report over the next six weeks, the ballot paper draws were conducted yesterday for Queensland’s Inala and Ipswich West by-elections on March 16, which have respectively attracted eight and four candidates. Ipswich West is a rare no-show for the Greens, who are presumably more concerned with the same day’s Brisbane City Council elections. Further crowding the calendar is a looming state election in Tasmania, which is covered in the post above.
leftieBrawler @ #1800 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 9:32 pm
No, that sounds about right. If you can’t afford the dogs, you probably should not have them.
‘Kirsdarke says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:30 pm
To be fair in regards to Ian Goodenough’s appearance, he suffers from Chronic Kidney Disease, which has most likely been a major cause of it.
Other than that, he hasn’t really contributed much in his 11 years in parliament, at least compared to Mal Washer, who he replaced upon his retirement in 2013. I hear Washer generously provided medical assistance to anyone who needed it, no matter what party they were in, since he was a GP prior to entering politics.
Not sure what to make of Vince Connelly at this stage, he was only the MP for Stirling from 2019-22.’
———————————–
There was at least one MP upon whose visage Mal spotted a melanoma. A quick diagnosis in the corridor and the chap went and had it cut out. Mal was wettish, as Liberals used to go in the olden days.
Mal fell foul of something or other and made a decision not to recontest.
Entropysays:
Friday, February 16, 2024 at 10:41 pm
Poor old Dutton his boat scare died a quick death in the news. Nobody seems to be interested.
_____________________
That hasn’t aged well.
As of 9.36pm Sat night, it is the lead news item on the online versions of the ABC, The Age and The Australian.
So much for your quick death.
Boerwar @ #1770 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 9:00 pm
It’s not an easy one is it, especially for you I’m sure. I think forgiveness is the key word, which needs exploration, for another time and another place.
I suspect players from other nations are going to learn to get very sick of the sight of Jaiswal. OTOH, c ricket lovers are going to love him. India are 1 for 166 and the run rate is over 5.
Kirsdarke
Connelly’s main claim to infamy was when tasked with asking a Dixer in question time.
Amy Remeikis described his theatrics thus a couple of years ago in a piece on the farce that is QT : “If you’re really unlucky, you’ll tune in to QT on a day when WA backbencher Vince Connolly has been given the tap to ask a dixer and witness what it looks like when the understudy drama kid finally gets a lead role in a third-rate community theatre production of Cats.”
He has an army background with the SAS mentioned though not sure he was ever a full time member. Perhaps we could ask if he’s ever met BRS?
Boerwar says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:32 pm
“The general useful lesson for any POTUS, including Obama and Biden, is speak softly and carry a big stick.”
Teddy Roosevelt?
Should be carved in the desk in the White house.
Another one for all parents and politicians:
Don’t make a promise or a threat that you can’t or won’t deliver on.
ItzaDream @ #1811 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 9:39 pm
… and now. Grace is not just my daughter’s name…
‘ItzaDream says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:39 pm
Boerwar @ #1770 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 9:00 pm
‘ItzaDream says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 8:53 pm
The Narrow Road to the Deep North
Richard Flanagan
https://www.penguin.com.au/books/the-narrow-road-to-the-deep-north-9781761048142‘
——————————-
I have it in my library. It took Flanagan many tries before he could write it. He finished it, I believe, on the day his father died. There was a related intensity in the father/son relationship. It took me around three goes before I could get through it. Flanagan is rather more forgiving than I am.
It’s not an easy one is it, especially for you I’m sure. I think forgiveness is the key word, which needs exploration, for another time and another place.’
=================
True. I’ve pretty well given up on sweating it.
From my perspective, parking C5631 in the Yasukuni Shrine makes it impossible. It was the first locomotive to pull a full train from end-to-end of the Burma Railroad. My calculation goes to roughly a death per sleeper. How anyone could even dream of tarting the thing up and displaying it with national flags and putting it into a war memorial shrine is, to be honest, completely beyond my understanding.
https://www.flickr.com/photos/101561334@N08/26566820806
@Rossmcg at 9:42pm
Haha, that’s a particularly damning mental image, especially one thought up for a mere first term backbencher.
Cat
“ Speaking of which, according to the Russian Disinformation Bureau, also known as Putin’s spokeswoman, Alexei Navalny died while he was out walking.
In -37C”
Yes that was my point. Telling someone to “take a walk outside” in that temperature is basically telling them to emulate Oates of Scott expedition fame.
“I am just going outside and may be some time.”
Boerwarsays:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:36 pm
There was at least one MP upon whose visage Mal spotted a melanoma. A quick diagnosis in the corridor and the chap went and had it cut out. Mal was wettish, as Liberals used to go in the olden days.
Mal fell foul of something or other and made a decision not to recontest.
=====================================================
Not sure why he left but he certainly was willing to give the LNP Government a serve. Only a little over a year after leaving them when in opposition.
“the decision was ”a bloody tragedy”. ”This wasn’t subject to any review . . . it was dumb advising dumber, and dumb won,” he said.”
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/fiona-nashs-decision-to-axe-drug-and-alcohol-adviser-has-cost-1-million-20140312-34mqs.html
rhwombat @ #1813 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 9:43 pm
What a wonderful word. And name.
Rossmcg says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:42 pm
Entry into the SASR is only for full time serving members. He passed selection with Hastie.
FUBAR says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:43 pm
Boerwar says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:32 pm
“The general useful lesson for any POTUS, including Obama and Biden, is speak softly and carry a big stick.”
Teddy Roosevelt?
Should be carved in the desk in the White house.
Another one for all parents and politicians:
Don’t make a promise or a threat that you can’t or won’t deliver on.’
—————————
As a general principle, true. You also need to take into account that circumstances alter cases.
Which, I am sure, is why, within the space of less than a fortnight, Dutton promised another referendum and then backflipped on it. I am sure you would be able to enlighten us as to the altered circumstances.
You would also be able to enlighten us as to why Ley absolutely promised to reverse Labor’s S3 revamp and then, within less than a fortnight, do a complete back flip.
‘Socrates says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:48 pm
Cat
“ Speaking of which, according to the Russian Disinformation Bureau, also known as Putin’s spokeswoman, Alexei Navalny died while he was out walking.
In -37C”
Yes that was my point. Telling someone to “take a walk outside” in that temperature is basically telling them to emulate Oates of Scott expedition fame.
“I am just going outside and may be some time.”’
———————–
The take home message is that Putin has supreme contempt for democracy, for individuals who care for democracy and for anything and anyone else except for Putin.
Any old lie will do – as long as it is obvious that it is a lie.
That which joins us.
Well, time for the sandman. Good night all, and sweet dreams.
Boerwar @ #1817 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 9:44 pm
It is a peculiar inversion of “The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas” – but it does indicate an awareness, denial & confirmation of guilt.
Boerwar says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:49 pm
Both of those utterances were stupid. Poorly thought out. Should never have been said and subsequently that situation has been remedied in both cases.
Thanks for spotting them.
Kirsdarke
Content warning. Connelly in action.
https://youtu.be/WqGzvlWBTB8?si=zoKX7AThx7TECKrA
Taylormadesays:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 9:37 pm
Entropysays:
Friday, February 16, 2024 at 10:41 pm
Poor old Dutton his boat scare died a quick death in the news. Nobody seems to be interested.
_____________________
That hasn’t aged well.
As of 9.36pm Sat night, it is the lead news item on the online versions of the ABC, The Age and The Australian.
So much for your quick death.
===================================================
That’s because it is no longer a boat story. It is story of Dutton totally disregarding advice from Border Force to not undermine national security. By using it to make cheap political points. Read the title of the current lead SMH story if you don’t believe me.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/dutton-defies-border-force-rebuke-as-he-steps-up-attack-on-labor-over-boat-arrival-20240217-p5f5q3.html
Boerwar,
Yes that’s what gets up my nose the most about Putin and his satraps. They lie to the world knowing you can’t do a damn thing about it. Protocol demands the media report it.
The reports on his manner of death are meaningless, from losing consciousness after a walk, to a pulmonary embolism, a strange presumptive diagnosis establishable only at autopsy, and at best very unlikely.
What we can be certain of is
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/16/russian-activist-and-putin-critic-alexei-navalny-dies-in-prison
@Rossmcg
Cripes, it’s almost like watching AI in action.
leftieBrawler @ #1833 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 9:59 pm
If you can’t afford the dogs, don’t complain to me.
Oakeshott Country at 5.39 pm
Only 53% of Irish voters surveyed (the EU lot) claim to ‘know something’ about referendum in 3 weeks. See:
https://www.google.com.au/search?q=irish+referendum+polling&sca_esv=68f22bd42426079a&source=hp&ei=-ZLQZfrwNIbi2roPmrWimAU&iflsig=ANes7DEAAAAAZdChCTZnepXOwOMLev7ulseqiw10GSR0&ved=0ahUKEwi60bS1nbKEAxUGsVYBHZqaCFMQ4dUDCA8&uact=5&oq=irish+referendum+polling&gs_lp=Egdnd3Mtd2l6IhhpcmlzaCByZWZlcmVuZHVtIHBvbGxpbmdI_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&sclient=gws-wiz
The problem is in the word claim. The Irish might be more honest about using it than Australians.
I found the earlier discussion encompassing Alexei Navalny’s death, the Gulags and the Burma railway rather bizarre. All were atrocious.
Steve:
Quite so.
Steve777 @ #1841 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 10:11 pm
Yep. But all happened – and will continue to happen. Ignorence has consequences.
And for some reason, “The Ones who walk away from Omelas” brings to my mind our asylum seeker policy.
Holdenhillbillysays:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 3:54 pm
Embattled Federal MP Ian Goodenough has lost preselection battle for Moore in WA by 39-137 to RSL chief executive Vince Connelly,.
===========================================================
Good riddance to a do-nothing waste of space evangelist.
Can anyone tell me what this above-mentioned person contributed to society during his term in Parliament?
Most Pollbludgers would have been better representatives, and that a big statement, but it’s true!
Steve777 @ #1846 Saturday, February 17th, 2024 – 10:18 pm
Precisely.
Am I in danger of getting banned? My posts keep disappearing.
They are responses to other posts that have also disappeared.
Is anyone having issues with the pb site? Looks like a lot of posts are disappearing due to technical reasons to me?.
Hard to reply to someone when you suddenly notice their comments along with a whole bunch of others suddenly disappear
LB, I have deleted a number of your posts to spare you the intense embarrassment that is due to you for having posted them.
Thanks for the clarification William.
I just thought it may have been a server error because it looked like entire tranches of posts were being deleted from various people in the one quick succession
Avdiivka had a pre-war population of 34,000.
1st Ukrainian city falls since the US became deadlocked in sending more military aid
https://abcnews.go.com/International/1st-ukrainian-city-falls-us-deadlocked-sending-military/story?id=107314399
@Pueo
That really is sad news, it feels so crushing and awful that Avdiivka seems to have fallen like Bakhmut did last year, and nothing seems to change. Russia truly is despicable under its current criminal leadership.
@ FUBAR:
“ Entry into the SASR is only for full time serving members. He passed selection with Hastie.”
______
I think there are two errors there.
1. i think that Army Reservists can apply for SAS selection. In fact one of the SAS troopers that B R-S allegedly bullied was so bullied because he was a reservist and Ben didn’t think he was good enough to be in the SASR. However, unlike the United Kingdom, there is no reservist equivalent of the British Army 21 & 23 SAS Regiments- a “territorial” formation.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/23_Special_Air_Service_Regiment_(Reserve)
Obviously if selected a reservist will serve in the Australian SASR full time, and I guess that in the lead up to undergoing selection trials they would be effectively serving on a full time basis as well.
2. Vince Connelly passed the physical selection trial for the SAS alongside Andrew Hastie, but unlike Hastie he was not ultimately selected to serve in the Regiment as a ‘sandy beret’ troop commander: he washed out for reasons unknown. It is a heck of an achievement to pass the physical selection trials for the SAS. It is probably the hardest and most unforgiving selection trial for any special forces unit in the world. What is more, a candidate doesn’t get a second chance (which IMO is pretty stupid, but that’s another debate entirely). However, after ‘selection’ – those candidates who pass, still don’t get their ‘sandy beret’ – that takes up to another 12 months, and most who make it through selection are not ultimately ‘selected’.
He then left the regular army, but continued as a reservist, being promoted to major and his last posting was with the SASR, with unknown duties.
Interestingly, is wife was also an army reserve major, serving with the SAS as an intelligence officer. There are many service personnel who ‘serve with the SAS’ but are not actually in the Regiment.
Looking at Vince Connolly’s other army service record, upon graduating from ADFA and Duntroon it seems he specialised in Human Resources and payroll. Maybe he was later the paymaster or quartermaster at Campbell barracks. He didn’t deploy to either Afghanistan or Iraq, but did deploy to East Timor and the Solomons.
Player One says:
Saturday, February 17, 2024 at 6:08 pm
You’re running the slogan ‘Fuck off we’re full’ without the expletive. The themes are asinine. They’re phobic. They’re all of a piece with your standard polemics, which are those of an embittered and escapist reactionary. There is no Ponzi scheme. There is no debt accumulating. There is no piper to pay. There is only your prejudice. It’s all you have.
(I’m a portrait artist. I know what I see when I look at it. I know what I see in P1. They should look in the mirror that they might see how others see them.)
It highlights the madness of Putin; whatever it takes to get a political “win” to use in the election against his competitors. Oh wait, there aren’t any.
Aqualung, I missed your posts, while doing other things. Sorry.
I think WordPress (the system PB uses) removes whole character emoticons if you include them as part of your text. You can of course use simple emoticons, like the colon followed by a right parenthesis to make a smiley face, semicolon and right parenthesis for winking, and so on, and WordPress will convert them to the appropriate image.
The link I posted works differently. Your goal with it is to copy the hashtag code for the emoticon you want. That code starts with the ampersand symbol (shift 2 on my keyboard) followed by the hashtag symbol (shift 3) followed by a 6-digit number (which actually specifies the symbol you want displayed) and finally a semicolon (to end the thing).
On my PC I click on the emoticon I want then copy that code. But you should be able to read the code straight off the screen as well if your device works differently.
It should look like this, or similar. Here’s the link again.
https://www.amp-what.com/unicode/search/emoticons
Best of luck.
Thanks Late Riser. I don’t see the codes only the emoticon and the copy symbol when I click on it.
I seem to recall the one KayJay provided the link to used to display the code as well cause I think I occasionally typed the code in and then the codes disappeared.
I’ll do some meddling and see if I can find out why the codes aren’t there.
Many thanks
😌
Typed code from above if it displays
😍 😚
By jove I hope I’ve got it
Ok need to click on the emoticon twice to display it on it’s own and it then copies the code.
Eureka
🙋 🙋
Nighty night
😴
Christ.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-17/floral-tributes-for-alexei-navalny-removed-from-across-russia/103480748
And in other news:
https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2024/feb/17/february-on-course-to-break-unprecedented-number-of-heat-records