The fortnightly Essential Research poll finds Labor recovering the lead on its 2PP+ measure after losing it for the first time in the previous poll, albeit just barely. The primary votes, which include a 5% undecided component (up one), have Labor up two to 32%, the Coalition steady on 35%, the Greens down two to 11% and One Nation up one to 8%, while Labor’s 48-47 lead on 2PP+ (likewise with 5% undecided) reverses the result from last time.
Further questions focus on foreign policy, with a three-choice question on “Australia’s role in global affairs” finding 20% opting for “primarily an ally of the US”, 38% for “an independent middle power with influence in the Asia-Pacific region” and 25% for “Australia should do its best not to engage in world affairs”. On Israel’s military action in Gaza, 18% felt Israel justified in its present course with a further 20% saying it should agree to a temporary ceasefire, while 37% felt it should permanently withdraw. The poll was conducted last Tuesday to Saturday from a sample of 1216.
After a Labor blowout in the last poll, the weekly Roy Morgan has its two-party lead in from 53.5-46.5 to 51.5-48.5, from primary votes of Labor 32% (down two), Coalition 38% (up one-and-a-half), Greens 13% (down half) and One Nation 4% (up half). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1714.
The date of the by-election for Scott Morrison’s seat of Cook has been set at April 13, with nominations to be declared on March 22. Labor is yet to formally determine if it will field a candidate, but has offered public indications that it is unlikely to.
Leftiebrawler, is there any chance you could spend a bit more time discussing Australian politics and current events and a bit less time discussing other contributors to this blog.
Ashasays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:54 pm
I had literally never even heard of Jennie George before today.
_____________________
Jesus.
Very well known in the Union movement.
Confessions:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:46 pm
[‘Those opposed can exit stage left, disappearing up their own fundaments.’]
You do carry on, attempting to shut down the argument on matters that you ostensibly have issues with – men.
Golly…
…I trust Trump has as little imagination as FUBAR. Now let me see.
Ah, checks and balances.
The POTUS controls military appointments.
The SCOTUS is already stacked.
Many, if not most, US police forces have been militarized in terms of equipment and politicized in terms of race relations.
At least half of the states’ armed forces are going to be in GOP states. Some of these are major military forces. See Texas. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_Military_Forces
There are probably several hundred thousand militia wannabes who are armed, locked and loaded, and just waiting to be called up and organized by the POTUS.
The two checks that are less predictable are the House and the Senate. Which reminds me… just how functional are they ATM?
The Military have to follow the orders of the Commander-In-Chief. Or they can mutiny. But Trump will, if god forbid he succeeds in his election plan to use every means at his and his supporters disposal to intimidate and finagle his way to power, make damn sure that he appoints to the position of Defense Secretary, a rolled gold loyalist who will follow his orders and make sure they are implemented to the letter.
Ven says:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:44 pm
If the West decided to stop all imports of Russian resources Russia would collapse in a heap.
—————————————————————
The economic collapse of the Soviet Union during the Cold War was in large part due to its attempt to support poor third world allies whilst under siege by the rich industrialised West.
The world has now changed. Russia is no longer economically isolated. China is the second largest economy in the world and India is the fifth. As long as these economic powerhouses continue to trade with Russia, all the sanctions the West can muster will not bring Russia to its knees.
Asha, as Paul Keating so brilliantly demonstrated during his celebrated time in the people’s house the art of politicking is 1 part people, 1 part personality…and only 1 part policy.
‘Asha says:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:54 pm
I had literally never even heard of Jennie George before today.’
———————-
There may be some sort of case that it was people like George who headed, nudged, dragged… Labor in the right direction when it comes female equity in the Party and the Government.
Mavis,
It’s great, thanks for asking. This is a business focused trip, but my wife and I travelled together to London around New Year, and in June we are bringing her son on what for me is a work trip through England, Scotland, Estonia, France and Jersey.
Travel is getting harder though as I get older. Fortunately I’m short and can sleep sitting up.
Andrew_Earlwood @ #1240 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 8:44 pm
Like Jennie George? I wouldn’t have said she was that “special” – but you would probably know better than I.
Exactly, Boerwar. The House and/or Senate, if they are in Republican hands will become rubber stamps for Trump and if the Democrats only control one of the arms of government, will be powerless to do much of anything to stop him.
Another massive source of POTUS power.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_appointments_in_the_United_States
leftieBrawler @ #1258 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:05 pm
I suppose one out of three is a good start.
You also need to consider the many and prolific ‘state militias’ that operate as a quasi-legal weekend warrior type of testosterone soothing exercise.
Most are armed to the teeth and almost all would be Trump-leaning loyalists
C@tmommasays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:06 pm
Exactly, Boerwar. The House and/or Senate, if they are in Republican hands will become rubber stamps for Trump and if the Democrats only control one of the arms of government, will be powerless to do much of anything to stop him.
———-
Yep but the military didn’t turn out to the capital so it’s a real unknown if they would turn out because Trump doesn’t have the popularity of Raegan and Bush Jnr.
Mavis @ #1254 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:01 pm
Yes, and I will continue to “carry on” as you say, opposing homophobia, misogyny and racial hatred despite the constant bitterness and tut-tutting from old white men who suddenly feel they are no longer free to express their bigotry and be applauded for it.
Ashasays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:54 pm
I had literally never even heard of Jennie George before today.
================================================
Your not alone there, me neither. I wonder if P1 had, seeing it was P1 who posted it?.
Entropy @ #1268 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:11 pm
Jeez. How old are you people?
C@t:
How are you feeling about the US elections?
I’m surprised people on a left leaning political blog have not heard of Jennie George since she was vice president of the ACTU.
Player Onesays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:12 pm
Entropy @ #1268 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:11 pm
Ashasays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:54 pm
I had literally never even heard of Jennie George before today.
================================================
Your not alone there, me neither. I wonder if P1 had, seeing it was P1 who posted it?.
Jeez. How old are you people?
=============================================
I looked her up at note she was from NSW.
Maybe she was better known in NSW than in other states?
Player Onesays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:12 pm
Entropy @ #1268 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:11 pm
Ashasays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:54 pm
I had literally never even heard of Jennie George before today.
================================================
Your not alone there, me neither. I wonder if P1 had, seeing it was P1 who posted it?.
Jeez. How old are you people?
=============================================
I looked her up and note she was from NSW.
Maybe she was better known in NSW than in other states?
In UK, as public life is in chaos all around, the one thing that gave some sort of assurance and serenity ( or atleast the perception) was Kate Middleton presence and actions in public.
She seemed to be the one royal, who did not seem to lose her mind in all the chaos around her royal surroundings, where it was one soap opera episode after another for last 50 years.
Now, unfortunately, she had taken hit to her credibility with photogate, I wonder, how UK people are feeling.
Mexicanbeemer @ #1270 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:15 pm
You have to wonder sometimes, don’t you?
P1,
it’s not so-much their age, but I would guess a fairly strong callowness defines the two of them.
More so I think both are newish Australians and thus still figuring out who’s who in the zoo.
I won’t knock them for that and I infact applaud both Asha and Entropy for the desire and willingness to both learn and engage with the political culture and scene in this country. Not enough of our recent arrivals take the time and thus allow themselves to be both alienated and disenfranchised.
Eston Kohver:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:05 pm
I’m very happy for you.
Jennie George was the first female President of the ACTU. I too am a little surprised that some here have not heard of her.
leftieBrawlersays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:17 pm
P1,
it’s not so-much their age, but I would guess a fairly strong callowness defines the two of them.
More so I think both are newish Australians and thus still figuring out who’s who in the zoo.
I won’t knock them for that and I infact applaud both Asha and Entropy for the desire and willingness to both learn and engage with the political culture and scene in this country. Not enough of our recent arrivals take the time and thus allow themselves to be both alienated and disenfranchised.
—————-
Knew Entropy was new to Australia’s politics but didn’t know that about Asha.
leftieBrawler @ #1275 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:17 pm
Bizarre 🙁
Why our international bodies are essentially useless.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/03/16/putin-election-voting-gunpoint-occupied-ukraine/
Michael Frederick just now scored “a goal of the year” for Freemantles Footy club against Brisbane.
Knew Entropy was new to Australia’s politics but didn’t know that about Asha.
Because it’s not true about Asha.
Confessions:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:10 pm
[‘Yes, and I will continue to “carry on” as you say, opposing homophobia, misogyny and racial hatred despite the constant bitterness and tut-Yes, and I will continue to “carry on” as you say, opposing homophobia, misogyny and racial hatred despite the constant bitterness and tut-tutting from old white men who suddenly feel they are no longer free to express their bigotry and be applauded for it.’]
Who would oppose your contentions? Certainly not me, even though you do in my view over egg it. In short, we all have to deal with our demons.
Jennie George disappeared from the news when she stopped being president of the ACTU, which happened 24 years ago. I’m not in the least bit surprised people in their thirties haven’t heard of her.
Entropy @ #1274 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:15 pm
You can read all about her here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jennie_George
My apologies, I thought I read Asha refer to ‘his time in australia’ in a recent post.
leftieBrawlersays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:17 pm
P1,
it’s not so-much their age, but I would guess a fairly strong callowness defines the two of them.
More so I think both are newish Australians and thus still figuring out who’s who in the zoo.
I won’t knock them for that and I infact applaud both Asha and Entropy for the desire and willingness to both learn and engage with the political culture and scene in this country. Not enough of our recent arrivals take the time and thus allow themselves to be both alienated and disenfranchised.
==================================================
Says the follower of the English game of rugby. It good you Rugby School rules type think you are Australian. At some stage if you want to assimilate you need to give up the game that was invented at the Rugby School and revised in West Yorkshire and take up the game supported by true Australian patriots, AFL. Until you do you are only really pretending at being Australian
Jennie George:
Member of the Australian Parliament
for Throsby
In office
10 November 2001 – 19 July 2010
C@tmommasays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:32 pm
Entropy @ #1274 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:15 pm
I looked her up at note she was from NSW.
Maybe she was better known in NSW than in other states?
=======================================================
You can read all about her here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jennie_George
=========================================
Which is exactly where i did. When i said:
“I looked her up at note she was from NSW.”
Well, you for a start. If you really do agree with the sentiment behind my statements, why oppose and resist my comments? What does it matter to you that someone posting something you supposedly agree with is so offensive to you?
You would do well to focus less on my commentary and more on your own internal reactions.
Confessions @ #1271 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:13 pm
Honestly, not as panicked as some. The focus has all been on Donald Trump and the Republican Primaries up to this point and so has involved the lunatic fringe for the most part. Now that the election proper is underway and the ‘Silent Americans’ are going to have their say I think that the results will not be as drastic as some are saying.
But I’m a glass half full kind of person. 😉
Oh, and there’s a new roughie for Drumpf’s VP. Tulsi Gabbard. 🙄
William Bowesays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:32 pm
Jennie George disappeared from the news when she stopped being president of the ACTU, which happened 24 years ago. I’m not in the least bit surprised people in their thirties haven’t heard of her.
===========================================
While a bit older than that. In my defence i spent most of the 1990’s working overseas. Not returning to Australia until the year 2000.
Entropy @ #1291 Sunday, March 17th, 2024 – 9:36 pm
You can be quite condescending at times, Entropy. I was only trying to help.
C@t:
Same. I’m trying not to be so caught up in Trumpism. But the US media hasn’t learned the lessons of 2016 when they gave him near to blanket coverage. It’s so disappointing.
entropy that ‘rugby’ post just partly soiled your standings here.
“Oh, and there’s a new roughie for Drumpf’s VP. Tulsi Gabbard.”
The woman who outed herself as whom Hilary was referring to when she claimed there was a Russian asset in the Democrat party. Sounds like what Putin could tell his asset Trump to do. Then if Trump dies in office, Putin will still own the President.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/10/18/politics/hillary-clinton-tulsi-gabbard/index.html
c@t when it comes to entropy I can never be sure if it is infact a condescending tone or basic grammatical deficiencies.
leftieBrawlersays:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:44 pm
entropy that ‘rugby’ post just partly soiled your standings here.
=====================================================
Only in NSW and Qld, i can live with that.
Confessions says:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:10 pm
Yes, and I will continue to “carry on” as you say, opposing homophobia, misogyny and racial hatred despite the constant bitterness and tut-tutting from old white men
__________
those toxic white males again!
So unlike old white women, who courageously fought against racism and homophobia for centuries! Opposed Slavery, fought for the Indigenous everywhere!
Confessions:
Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 9:37 pm
Please, get off your bandwagon! I’m sure most who post on this site have issues – yours no less than theirs.