The fortnightly Essential Research poll has all the main players up on the primary vote, with the Coalition up two to 36%, Labor up one to 32% and the Greens recovering the three points they lost last time to return to 13%. Room is made for this by a two-point drop in the undecided component to 4% and a three point drop for One Nation to 5%. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure has Labor and the Coalition tied on 48%, with the balance undecided, after the Coalition led 47% to 46% last time. The monthly leadership ratings record little change for Anthony Albanese, steady on 43% approval and down one on disapproval to 47%, while Peter Dutton is down three on approval to 41% and up one on disapproval to 42%.
An occasional reading of national mood records a slight improvement on April, with 34% thinking the country headed on the right track, up two, compared with 49% for the wrong track, down one. Also featured are a series of questions on artificial intelligence and one on the impact of large technology companies, with 47% thinking them mostly negative for young people compared with 19% for positive, and 68% supporting an increase in the age limit on social media platforms from 13 to 16. Sixty-two per cent supported making hate speech a criminal offence with only 16% opposed, and 50% supported a weekend a month of national service for eighteen year olds consisting of paid full-time military placement, with 25% opposed, reducing to 46% and 26% for unpaid volunteer work. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1160.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll reverses a dip for Labor last week, their primary vote up two-and-a-half points to 31% with the Coalition down a point to 36%, the Greens down one to 14% and One Nation down one-and-a-half points to 4.5%. Labor now leads 52-48 on the respondent-allocated two-party preferred measure, after trailing 51.5-48.5 last time. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1579.
Also out this week is the Lowy Institute’s annual poll focusing on international issues, which affirms last year’s finding that Japan, the United Kingdom and France are trusted to act responsibly in the world, the United States, India and Indonesia a little less so, and China and Russia not at all. Joe Biden’s net rating turned negative, 46% expressing confidence, down thirteen on a year ago, and 50% lack of confidence, up twelve. Enthusiasm for Volodomyr Zelenskyy was off its earlier high, confidence down twelve to 60% and lack of confidence up seven to 29%, though this notably compares with 7% and 88% for Vladimir Putin, while Xi Zinping was at 12% and 75%. Fifty-six per cent rated the government as doing a good job on foreign policy compared with 41% for poor. The survey was conducted March 4 to 17 from a sample of 2028.
JWS Research’s quarterly-or-so True Issues issue salience report finds little change in the most important issues since February, with cost of living one of five issues nominated by 80% of respondents, well ahead of health on 58% and housing and interest rates on 55%. Nineteen per cent rated that the economy was heading in the right direction, unchanged on February, compared with 40% for the wrong direction, up one. An index score of the Albanese government’s performance records a two-point improvement to 47% after its lowest result to date in February.
Ok, anyone who thinks Irene is a bot, please look at BW. And BW… as the youth say, please go outside and touch grass
Boerwar
You’re right, of course, to point out that Labor is doing much, much more to address climate change than the previous regime, and that managing the transition is an incredible challenge.
The problem for all of us that you, yourself, have identified is that nations didn’t get on with meeting that challenge soon enough after 2016.
You can’t (well, you can and do) decry as laughable the target set in Paris on the basis we appear to already have reached a 1.5 degree increase and then laud a plan to reach net zero by 2050 which is, drumroll, predicated on not exceeding an increase of 1.5 degrees.
Socrates, yes we’re lucky in many ways but attitudes are hard to change…HI stood behind one of the local aristocracy in a very long line at the Indian owned newsagents the other day. It was the last minute rush for the big Lotto draw…this Numpty wanted to start the conversation that the agency wasn’t as good as it was (in Anglo ownership). HI wasn’t having a bar of this and pointed to the great service we get there now with out the previously unfriendly staff.
”
Socratessays:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 10:10 am
For the record, I am not against immigration, noting the Savas article. We do not have enough construction workers to build the houses we need. As a nation we have too many administrators and not enough tradies
”
However, there are lots of Utes on the road!
For those interested in the topic and have a bit of a maths background. How GTP works ( and why it sucks up resources).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eMlx5fFNoYc
‘Lordbain says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 11:14 am
Ok, anyone who thinks Irene is a bot, please look at BW. And BW… as the youth say, please go outside and touch grass’
—————————
Ganja rots the brain.
Douglas and Milko
I’m glad you have decided to drop the thing with Nicholas. I think both of you were just overthinking the whole thing. Best to just let it go,
Thanks frednk!
Understanding howe it works is really important, because we have a whole lot of GTP generated content coming our way.
And the deal between OpenAI and with Newscorp chills me. We will be getting the bloody Murdoch’s slant on everything in the Anglophone world!
Trump now has one less way to test how popular he is.
Ganja rots the brain
——
I remember when Boer was bizarrely claiming the greens were holding secret sexual assault trials.
Watch GOP House speaker load a dump truck’s worth of malarkey into 2 minutes
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/6/5/2244772/-Watch-GOP-House-speaker-load-a-dump-truck-s-worth-of-malarkey-into-2-minutes?pm_source=ICYMI&pm_campaign=ICYMI06052024
“House Speaker Mike Johnson dialed the hypocrisy up to 11 during a Tuesday interview with CNBC’s Eamon Javers when the GOP leader whined about how Americans are “losing faith in our institutions” in the wake of Donald Trump’s felony conviction on 34 counts of falsifying business records, even though he undermined those very institutions by criticizing Trump’s “banana republic trial.”
When Eavers asked Johnson about Hunter Biden’s ongoing trial and whether or not the Republican leader would also characterize it as a “banana republic trial,” he was predictably mealy-mouthed.
“I haven’t been able to watch any of that yet. We will see. I hope not,” Johnson responded, before launching into a complaint about Trump’s trial being “a travesty” and “illegitimate” during the Q&A session at CNBC’s CEO Council Summit in Washington, D.C.
“I’m telling you, the American people are upset about it,” Johnson declared. In fact, according to Johnson, he’s traveled all over the country, “[a]nd everywhere I go, East Coast, West Coast, Upstate New York, Deep South, it doesn’t matter, the sentiment is the same. People are losing their faith in our institutions because they see this.”
“
Boerwar says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 11:26 am
‘Lordbain says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 11:14 am
Ok, anyone who thinks Irene is a bot, please look at BW. And BW… as the youth say, please go outside and touch grass’
—————————
Ganja rots the brain.
————————-
When Australia has a Labor government………The latest from OzHarvest:
‘It was a rainy day when we went to visit one our charities in Newcastle, Survivors R Us. There was still a long line of people waiting patiently under umbrellas to pick up a bag of fresh food, everyone receives a warm welcome from Maria and her team, who are a beacon of hope providing comfort and care for the local community.
There is no doubt how tough it is right now, and Maria shared how their numbers have increased and they’re now feeding hundreds of people every week.
It’s particularly hard for men to ask for help, despite working hard, they are ashamed to find themselves unable to put food on the table for their families’.
This is happening in rich Australia, when the Albanese government supports wealthy businesses and wealthy Australians. Exactly as if they were a Liberal government. These wealthy people are Labor’s priority now.
Douglas and Milko says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 11:30 am
…
And the deal between OpenAI and with Newscorp chills me. We will be getting the bloody Murdoch’s slant on everything in the Anglophone world!
Once you see how it works, it’s pretty clear it will never generate an original thought.
Socrates @ #397 Thursday, June 6th, 2024 – 11:05 am
And we seriously thought we could become the clever country?
https://johnmenadue.com/australia-the-clever-country/
But there probably is no going back.
You don’t start being more self-sufficient by investing in quantum computing. You start with education and by manufacturing basic things you know you can make. “Make Australia Great Again” is a farce of a policy designed to hide these fundamental facts for a few more years.
Horne’s three warnings? In a nutshell …
1. Look where we are on the map.
Then tell us again it makes sense to pretend we are a colony of the USA and can therefore antagonize our closer neighbours with impunity.
2. Look at the makeup of our population.
Then tell us again how it makes sense to try and recruit our Defence Force from the “Five Eyes” nations.
3. Look at our education system.
Then tell us again it makes sense to charge so much for a basic STEM education that very few now choose that as an option. And those few who do most often end up in mining, not manufacturing.
Australia, you’re standing in it. Again.
Irene’s litany is growing and growing.
Albanese likes to burn people. Down with Satan!
Albanese feeds echidnas to the sharks. Down with Satan!
Albanese supports Dutton. Down with Satan!
Albanese prioritizes support for wealthy Australians. Down with Satan!
Boerwar @ #399 Thursday, June 6th, 2024 – 11:12 am
In my world there is no difference between your initial posts and the innumerable times you repeat them even when they are shown to be nonsense.
I noticed that in my time in university in the early 2010’s. The STEM subjects were about 75-90% international students. A large portion of the domestic students were there to do “Sports Sciences” and such.
Ven
“However, there are lots of Utes on the road!”
Yes, driven by people wanting the image of a tradie, and motivated by bad tax policy. Take away the tax subsidies, and you could bring the number of ute sales crashing down.
But that was too hard for Labor this term 😐
BW, another reminder Irene didnt say the echidna line… you guys did.
Also for someone who never partook in “ganga” due to fear of brainrot… your comments are full of signs of late stage brainrot
Just back from walking a large brown dog. Apparently the echidna story was fake news. How could I tell? It seemed about as credible as much of the other stuff Labor is accused of…
In T20 World Cup, Australia were struggling a 80/3 at the end of 14th over against Oman. But then Stoinis hit 4 sixes in 15th over.
“He has led Labor to 4 election losses since that day. Undermined the popular Rudd government.”
@Irene is certainly no AI bot. Any self respecting AI bot would be offended at that suggestion. The “I” in “AI” stands for intelligence. As any self respecting AI bot would know Shorten didn’t lead the ALP to 4 election losses. There is talk of News Corp using AI bots to write news content. If AI was only up to the level of a @Irene post would you think they would be contemplating that?. It would be the most boring and long winded newspaper ever written plus toll the death knell of newspaper division of that company.
Lets get some perspective to this argument. AI bots are being discussed as taking jobs like that of writers, lawyers and journalists. They are not going to be taking the job of the village idiot though.
‘Player One says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 11:41 am
Boerwar @ #399 Thursday, June 6th, 2024 – 11:12 am
Blame it on the fact that in your world there is no difference between Liberal and Labor.
In my world there is no difference between your initial posts and the innumerable times you repeat them even when they are shown to be nonsense.’
———————-
Same old, same old tosh from P1.
It is like the old Craven A ad.
Any old bot would show greater creativity than P1.
But what would you expect from a desperado who supports an industry that has been totally absent from global warming policy and any consistent climate action push and which is relishing the prospect of air travel doubling over the next decade and who recommends voting against the ONLY federal government in 35 years which is doing something real in the climate fight space while still mumbling about voting for a Coalition candidate of the 52 climate inaction plans? Oh. And add nuclear while maintaining an undignified silence on the Greens’ facile but clueless Zero Net Forty.
As long as the shark swallowed the echidna head first I don’t see a problem with the story.
Of course if the shark had tried to swallow the echnida arse first it would have been bye bye shark.
It is important to get the biology of politics 100% right.
Like we can’t build any houses in the northern quarter of Australia because of Gouldian Finch habitat.
‘frednk says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 11:25 am
For those interested in the topic and have a bit of a maths background. How GTP works ( and why it sucks up resources).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eMlx5fFNoYc‘
—————————
Thanks for nothing, I think. How does it handle humour?
I feel like I have a mole burrowing around inside my skull.
Another Greens Party. Why not call it the Australian Democrats.
What percentage of voters would you expect to get? 5%?
You continue to demonstrate your idiocy.
I have seen snakes and kangaroos swim voluntarily. Not echidnas. But, i have not seen many of them in the wild.
FUBAR says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 11:57 am
I have seen snakes and kangaroos swim voluntarily. Not echidnas. But, i have not seen many of them in the wild.’
—————–
They can swim.
Estuary backwaters should be fine, barring bullsharks.
Not when the surf’s up.
They are not quite as fast as a shark.
My view is that Irene has got it right. Shark Albanese swallowing a poverty-stricken Australian Echidna head first absolutely nails Australian public policy wealth maldistribution debate.
There seems to be a sense of rage building on this site – in inverse proportion to the electoral prospects of team Albo.
I’ve started my stopwatch so I can time how long it takes till our resident serial obsessive re-posts the same nonsense once again! 🙂
P1
It took you just 21 minutes this time! Well done.
Lars Von Trier @ #430 Thursday, June 6th, 2024 – 12:01 pm
The “rage” seems to be that we do not all bow to the wisdom of our Labor Luminaries.
“Make Australia Great Again”. What a brilliant and totally original policy idea!
An “Australian Foreign Legion”. Yet another policy triumph!
Subsidizing coal plants and embedding gas in our energy mix forever. More policy winners!
Beorwar, who I’m sure is arguing in good faith as always:
Wasn’t that your idea, not the Greens?
Last time I checked, you were criticizing the Greens for not advocating this!
What was the echidna doing in the surf to warrant a tiger sharking?
Or is it a metaphor for Albo waiting 8 months to express support for Israel?
Sir John Curtice Explains Why Reform UK Is Very Bad News For The Tories
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GP_VNBlR8Ow
‘Asha says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 12:10 pm
Beorwar, who I’m sure is arguing in good faith as always:
Ground planes now. You know it makes sense.
Wasn’t that your idea, not the Greens?
Last time I checked, you were criticizing the Greens for not advocating this!’
——————————-
It goes like this.
The Greens criticize Labor for not being serious about getting to Zero Net Forty.
To get to Zero Net Forty MOST OF THE WAY we must replace fossil generated emissions with renewables.
To get to Zero Net Forty ALL THE WAY we must ground the planes and eliminate livestock.
Over to the Greens?
The Greens have been explicit about destroying any crop which depends on irrigation in the MDB. But they are 100% silent of destroying the livestock industry.
The Greens have been explicit in their various criticisms of Labor but they are 100% silent on their livestock industry.
Over to the Greens.
‘Badthinker says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 12:12 pm
What was the echidna doing in the surf to warrant a tiger sharking?
…’
——————–
Hanging ten, of course.
Boerwar @ #437 Thursday, June 6th, 2024 – 12:15 pm
Bollocks.
Or perhaps I should say “Bullocks” 🙂
CNBC
IMF warns rekindled ‘love’ for trade tariffs among U.S., China, EU could wipe out up to 7% of global GDP
• Kristalina Georgieva, International Monetary Fund managing director, said at the CNBC CEO Council Summit in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday that a soft landing is likely for the global economy and rate cuts “are coming” but the medium-term economic outlook is disappointing.
• The rise of trade restrictions around the globe, led by the U.S., China and European Union, could cost the world economy up to 7% of GDP in a worst-case scenario.
• Up to two-thirds of the thousands of new tariffs lack justification, according to the IMF head, and that’s in a global economy already expected to post growth that is roughly 1% slower than pre-pandemic levels.
https://www-cnbc-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2024/06/04/most-worrying-economic-trend-is-willy-nilly-tariff-policy-imf-head.html?amp_gsa=1&_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQGsAEggAID#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17176400481424&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cnbc.com%2F2024%2F06%2F04%2Fmost-worrying-economic-trend-is-willy-nilly-tariff-policy-imf-head.html
“The world economy is headed for a soft landing, inflation is going down, and rate cuts are coming, according to Kristalina Georgieva, International Monetary Fund managing director, but she says the rise of trade restrictions, including tariffs, from the world’s largest economies is the “most worrisome” risk to global growth.
“Trade is slowing down even more than it would be slowing down otherwise,” Georgieva said during an interview with CNBC “Squawk on the Street” co-anchor Sara Eisen at the CNBC CEO Council Summit in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday.
The IMF has tracked a tripling of trade restrictions over the last year, from 1,000 to 3,000, and the IMF managing director said two-thirds of those tariffs lack justification. “The most worrisome thing is we see an embracement of industrial policy willy-nilly everywhere,” she said.
By everywhere, Georgieva meant mostly the three largest economic powers in the world: the U.S., China and the European Union. “Half of the industrial policy measures come from these places and when we analyze [the tariffs] … we can find justification for one-third,” she said.
The IMF managing director tried to strike a balance between understanding the need for greater trade restrictions while also calling for more thoughtful approaches to tariffs.
“We have to accept there are some reasons why this love for tariffs has reappeared,” Georgieva said. “Globalization didn’t really work for everybody.”
She also noted that the Russia-Ukraine war taught many countries about the importance of supply chain security and the need to diversify supply sources.”
‘Player One says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 12:17 pm
Boerwar @ #437 Thursday, June 6th, 2024 – 12:15 pm
To get to Zero Net Forty ALL THE WAY we must ground the planes and eliminate livestock.
Bollocks.’
———————
Ten minutes! Improving.
BW is literally Angry Man rants at Clouding.
Interested in the type of livestock The Greens want to exterminate.
If it’s pasture raised livestock rather than CAFO raised livestock, then The Greens would be favoring Big Agribusiness over family farmers and animal cruelty over animal welfare.
Net zero CO2 does not mean no emissions of CO2. It means that the sources and sinks are equal.
The natural sinks of Australia are greater then the natural sources so some human CO2 is allowed.
As another example the methane of livestock is turned into the same CO2 that the plants they ate absorbed to grow.
Now land clearing to farm livestock does contribute to CO2.
Lordbain @ #443 Thursday, June 6th, 2024 – 12:22 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGjQqEG-FdQ&t=6s
Catprog
Any idea if livestock grazing improves the ability of formerly scrub soils to
sequester Carbon?
The first interest rate domino to fall.
Go Canada!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lYoB8qFtRjo
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 12:15 pm
‘Badthinker says:
Thursday, June 6, 2024 at 12:12 pm
What was the echidna doing in the surf to warrant a tiger sharking?
…’
——————–
Hanging ten, of course.
==================================================
My guess is it drowned in a river (flood?) and got washed out to sea. Tiger sharks are not fussy about what they eat though. I suspect the echidna was well dead before it was swallowed though.
》Any idea if livestock grazing improves the ability of formerly scrub soils to
sequester Carbon?
Possibly.
My thinking is at the very least some of the manure would be carbon
I see that the pack of jackals has gathered and is a yipping and yapping to each other.
Here is what they are not interested in hearing:
1. Labor is the first Federal Government in four decades to take climate action seriously and to act accordingly. It is being hampered and delayed by Dutton and Bandt who are combining to reduce investment confidence in renewables and delaying reforms.
2. The Greens are offering the distraction of Zero Net Forty. Zero Net Details on that one. The only serious concern here is if the Greens have actually internalized their own bullshit.
3. Dutton is selling magic nuclear mushrooms. Climate policy No 53.
The jackals are not at all interested in hearing about the 10% of emissions generated by cattle and by (mostly) tourism flights.
Business is business! Pleasure is pleasure!