The fortnightly Essential Research poll goes against the recent grain in recording a four-point drop for the Coalition to 32%, with Labor down one to 31%, the Greens steady on 13% and One Nation up three to 8%, and the undecided component up two to 6%. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure, which has consistently been very close throughout the year, finds Labor moving into the lead for the first time since early April by holding steady at 48% while the Coalition falls two to 46%.
Further questions record 31% support and 36% opposition to Peter Dutton’s new position on carbon emissions, with respondents told this would breach a Paris climate agreement backed by 190 other countries. There is also a 52-48 split in favour of sticking to the 2030 target over an alternative that encapsulates Peter Dutton’s position thus: “Australia should abandon the 2030 target because it’s unachievable and hurting the economy and instead focus on the 2050 target”. However, there is a 63-37 split in favour of developing renewable as the means to the end of the 2050 target over sticking with fossil fuels and waiting until nuclear is developed in 15 to 20 years.
Questions on Israel and Gaza find 52% satisfied with the Australian government’s response, although twice as many think it too supportive of Israel than too harsh, at 32% and 16% respectively. There is a four-point drop in support for Israel’s action since April to 15%, with opposition up six to 38% and a two-point increase in support for a temporary ceasefire to 21%. A question on the government’s plan to make vapes available only through pharmacies by prescription finds 56% in favour and 22% opposed. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1160.
After two improved results for Labor, the weekly Roy Morgan poll records a sharp reversal, recording a tie on two-party preferred after Labor led 53.5-46.5 last week. On the primary vote, Labor is down a point to 29.5%, the Coalition is up three to 38%, the Greens are down two to 13.5% and One Nation is down half a point to 5%. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1724.
Nine Newspapers has also published further findings from the Resolve Strategic poll which put support for the government’s 43% carbon reduction target for 2030 as a stepping stone to net zero by 2050 at 33%, with a further 19% favouring a more ambitious approach. Only 17% supported Peter Dutton’s approach of abandoning the 2030 target, with a further 13% rejecting emissions targets altogether.
I’m using kiwi on a pixel 7 with the comments plugin.
There was a brief period last night with no access and a couple of times with the spinning wheel but today has been fine.
C@t at 9:39pm
Yeah, he could bring up the crims that firebombed FriendlyJordie’s house and declare he’ll pardon them if elected.
Badthinker @ #1950 Saturday, June 22nd, 2024 – 9:39 pm
You’re losing the plot, Badthinker. Because calling Morrison’s secretive behaviour so he could skive off to Hawaii for a holiday while the country burned, a ‘Well Earned Break'(shit the man presided over a government that did naff all), just proves that you are rattled about having your own crap thrown back in your smug face.
Anyway, so prove to me where the Prime Minister called the people who voted ‘No’, ‘racists’. I dare you.
An unkind person might insinuate that Dutton is merely the delivery boy for mining magnates and media moguls.
Where’s all his colleagues defending him?
Dutts said Albo is a nice guy completely out of his depth.
It’s the truth, everyone knows it.
Yeah, if he calls an Election for 3/8/24 on Monday week, he’ll be in minority government with 20 independents to choose from for Confidence & Supply, which just goes to show what a joke democracy is in Australia.
Morrison also used to disappear for days on end and most weekends.
I suspect work was a four letter word for him.
Here are the links to pages 34 to 38 which goes back to about 10:30 am this morning:
https://www.pollbludger.net/2024/06/19/polls-essential-research-and-roy-morgan-open-thread-5/comment-page-38/#comment-4305298
https://www.pollbludger.net/2024/06/19/polls-essential-research-and-roy-morgan-open-thread-5/comment-page-37/#comment-4305298
https://www.pollbludger.net/2024/06/19/polls-essential-research-and-roy-morgan-open-thread-5/comment-page-36/#comment-4305298
https://www.pollbludger.net/2024/06/19/polls-essential-research-and-roy-morgan-open-thread-5/comment-page-35/#comment-4305298
https://www.pollbludger.net/2024/06/19/polls-essential-research-and-roy-morgan-open-thread-5/comment-page-34/#comment-4305298
Checking.
Probably spending time with their families over the weekend instead of feeling the need to waste that over some puerile insults from some
I’ll tel you where they are.
They’re on the phone picking a new PM.
I’m picking Marlesy.
Yeah, he’s a dope too, but who would want the job now?
Badthinkersays:
Saturday, June 22, 2024 at 9:47 pm
Where’s all his colleagues defending him?
Dutts said Albo is a nice guy completely out of his depth.
It’s the truth, everyone knows it.
Yeah, if he calls an Election for 3/8/24 on Monday week, he’ll be in minority government with 20 independents to choose from for Confidence & Supply, which just goes to show what a joke democracy is in Australia.
======================================================
“what a joke democracy is in Australia.”
I guess your allowed to vote. Which reluctantly, i must admit, suggests there is some merit to your argument
@Badthinker at 10:01pm
Yeah, in your dreams. They’re also saying “Let’s disband Labor and let the LNP hold government for another thousand million years.”
Let’s get those creaking bones moving:
https://youtu.be/O_WLw_0DFQQ?si=cZ0wuJY_oFZGFl5j
Badthinkersays:
Saturday, June 22, 2024 at 10:01 pm
Probably spending time with their families over the weekend instead of feeling the need to waste that over some puerile insults from some
I’ll tel you where they are.
They’re on the phone picking a new PM
===================================================
If next week this turns out to be not true. Will you do the honorable thing and retire from PB? or at least do a mea culpa post?
Do you take any responsibility at all when the crap you post is shown to be thus?
Greasy Lake N.J
What a mess. Am giving up on this blog for the weekend.
See you all on Monday.
The issue with the site being stuck at 1:30am in some contexts looks like it might be fixed now.
If we were to have minority government and 20 independents , it would most likely mean that democracy in Australia is alive and well
You really are a clown, Taylormade. Websites sometimes have technical issues. It’s no big deal.
Today’s Jon Kudelka cartoon:
Test
You can tell how confident Badthinker is about the Coalition’s chances next election by his sheer desperation for the ALP to make the strategic blunder of calling a unnecessary early election.
New thread.
I see today’s Brisbane Times digital leads with a story about how Duttons strident pro- nuclear stance is creating problems for either man who becomes Qlds next Premier.
It would seem to me that the problem is really Crisafulli’s. With one stupid, selfish announcement, Dutton made life difficult for his hopeful mate. He could have waited till after the State Election.
The election will be closer now, but Duttons braggadocio immediately focussed the anti- LNP vote , particularly in the important SE Qld region.
What a f**kwit.
Crisafulli and his geriatric team fighting in the trenches and expecting an easy win- only to find when they ( really only Crisafulli, as the rest are keeping their heads down) stick their heads up, here’s their Federal Leader giving ammunition to their enemies. D’ Oh .
Surely this announcement has been a master- stroke of stupidity-as well as selfishness. He could have let his mates ( and fellow Qlders) run their own race based on Qld politics, but no, he injected Federal politics into a State campaign.
Add to that, threatening to bully and intimidate anyone who opposes his plans- including voters…
What an absolute farce.
Memo to Crisafulli : Who needs enemies when you’ve got friends like that?