Some data relating to the Coalition’s nuclear energy plans, along with a couple of other things, has helped filled the void in what loomed as a quiet week on the polling front:
• Nine Newspapers had a fresh Resolve Strategic poll focused entirely on the Coalition’s nuclear energy proposal, with no voting intention numbers provided. While this found 41% support for use of nuclear power with 37% opposed, it also found (following a lengthy explanation) 43% preferring “Labor’s plan to use 100% renewables (supported by gas for the next decade or two)” against 33% for “the Coalition’s plan to use nuclear power and some gas to support the renewables”. Nuclear was also the second least favoured energy source out of a list of eleven options, behind coal, with rooftop solar and hydro-electric power most favoured. The poll was conducted from Thursday, a day after Peter Dutton’s announcement, to Sunday, from a sample of 1003.
• Further data on nuclear energy, albeit not from the wake of Peter Dutton’s announcement, is provided by Freshwater Strategy, which has consistently asked respondents if they support or oppose seven designated energy sources in their polling going back to May last year. The last three monthly results have been the most positive for nuclear to date, the latest finding 37% in favour and 32% opposed, but like Resolve Strategic it finds nuclear consistently rated second lowest after coal. The Australian reported on Saturday that Freshwater Strategy conducted further polling for the Coalition focusing on the electorates proposed as sites for the plants, with 59% of those in Maranoa in favour and 33% opposed, 55% in Gippsland in favour with 40% opposed, 52% in O’Connor in favour with 38% opposed, and 51% in Grey in favour with 45% opposed, with tighter but still net favourable results in Calare, Flynn and Hunter.
• The weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor leading 51-49, after a tied result last week, from primary votes of Labor 31.5% (up two), Coalition 37% (down one), Greens 13% (down half) and One Nation 6% (up one). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1696, thus partly before Peter Dutton’s announcement and part after, with its movements well within the boundaries of this pollster’s usual volatility.
• RedBridge Group has a small sample poll from the Melbourne seat of Macnamara, where Labor, Liberal and the Greens polled almost exactly equal shares of the vote in 2022, with Labor rather than the Greens winning after the latter very narrowly went under at the last exclusion. The good news for Labor is that the poll, which was conducted June 13 to 20, finds the Greens at 21% compared with their 29.7% at the election. The bad news is a two-party swing to the Liberals that reduces their margin from 12.2% at the election to 5% in the poll, with Labor’s primary vote down from 31.7% to 30% and the Liberals up from 29.0% to 36%. However, the poll’s sample of 401 puts the margin of error at around 5%.
• YouGov has published a finding from its last federal poll, conducted three weeks ago, suggesting no particular enthusiasm for capitalism over socialism, with 31% of respondents rating themselves between six and ten on a scale running from zero for socialism to ten for capitalism and 27% placing themselves from zero to four, with 42% for the “neutral” option of five. Socialism was favoured by fully 41% of the 18-to-34 age cohort, compared with 23% for capitalism. The poll was conducted May 31 to June 4 from a sample of 1500.
Kirsdarke, I promise you didn’t act in an embarrassing way. Your company was enjoyed.
Obviously, if you’re dealing with black dog stuff, you need to do what’s best for your health and I wish you the best of health, and offer full solidarity and the most support an online rando can give.
Nonetheless, if you’re worried you are a negative presence here, perish that thought. I appreciate you here.
Hope you get through it.
Mavis says:
Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 6:24 pm
I know people. Should I not refer to others?
Kirsdarke:
I have valued your comments in recent weeks re the US elections.
If you have it in you to stick around, please do. Of course it goes without saying I will respect whatever decision you make.
Take care Kirsdarke. Look forward to seeing you back when you’re ready.
Yet another cowboy of the road aka dump truck driver ploughs into a school after “losing control”.
That’s after wiping out 19 cars.
It’s time for a crackdown on these dickheads.
I’m told they get paid by the load hence the quicker they finish one load the quicker they can start their next trip.
When I was doing 343s I was in lane one and had one come from behind me and chuck a left hand turn in front of me.
Dickheads
Kirsdarke:
Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 6:20 pm
[‘I think it would be best if I took a break from this place. I’m not proud about how I acted last night.
Happy to comment about the UK and French elections next week, but from there I probably won’t comment much.
There’s some black dog things I need to sort out in my own life first.’]
Take care. I have a young male relative who’s in the doldrums. My advice to him is: how will you feel five years hence? I think that posting on this site can sometimes make it worse if one’s vulnerable. Good luck with whatever ails you. Your posts are invariably informative.
Thanks, everyone.
I’ll probably spend some time doing some tidying up on Australian state election pages on Wikipedia. That’s something I feel most proud about, Australia’s state elections are some of the most detailed in the world on there, and I helped make that happen.
Thanks for the highly valued community service, Kirsdarke.
Genuinely, I do appreciate how informative and detailed they are.
Kirsdarke @ #2806 Saturday, June 29th, 2024 – 6:46 pm
And that’s the sort of thing we treasure about your contributions. 🙂
Aqualung,
A day of reckoning will come for them.
I blame John Howard. He slammed the era of the kind and considerate male into reverse with his support of the ‘Mens Movement’, to the point where we have ended up with an epidemic of domestic violence, road rage, Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and Andrew Tate!
FUBAR:
Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 6:27 pm
[‘I know people. Should I not refer to others?’]
I’m not sure you should. I think it’s best to take full responsibility for what you post. While I don’t agree with your politics, you do however provide a counterfoil, evidenced by the quantum of responses. But in my view, you should watch your mental health, particularly when there’s a pile on. Take care. I’m off to listen to Callas’s greatest hits.
Obama says stay the course Biden, Elton John steps up at Joes post debate rally and says F…k You to Trump and Pelosi says stay with Biden in the November election. Could a drovers dog beat Trump whomever he opposes. Does it come down to swing state’s saying anybody but Trump again or anybody but Biden because he is past it now? I worry for American Democracy either way. Joe would have to release his delegates at the August conference for a leader change to occur. It is possible but is it the way to go? I have no idea- US politics is a mystery to me.
Sandman,
That’s great to hear about Elton John. The gloves have to come off with Trump. As I stated earlier today, maybe the American people seeing a rampant Donald Trump take off his mask in the debate and bare his fangs against Joe Biden was what the American people needed to see in order to shock them out of their complacency about the man?
As Rick Wilson said in the clip I posted, it’s not a vote for Joe Biden campaign as much as a vote against Donald Trump, and the people around him, campaign. Always has been, always will be.
A bit over 60 years ago Telstar ran on a 14 watt (solar) power supply. It didn’t last long. It went dead after six months.
That’s my segue into the LNP nuclear power policy which seems to have died after two weeks. I’m not sure whether that makes it more or less long-lasting than previous LNP energy policies. But nonetheless it’s dead. We certainly won’t hear about it – at least from the LNP – during the forthcoming election campaign.
You heard it here first.
And just as an aside, nuclear fallout killed Telstar.
Elton John ? That’ll resonate in the Mid West for sure.
C@t:
Even if there was mild correlation with John Howard (which there isn’t), correlation isn’t causation.
Best wishes to Kirsdarke and I hope you find peace of mind.
Cat good luck on the house hunt. The job for your son is a great first step forward.
C@tmomma @ #2810 Saturday, June 29th, 2024 – 6:59 pm
I should have added that the truck was in lane 3. You can lane share to turn but not from lane 3. I just caught sight of him from the corner of my eye.
That was far from the only incident. I got to the stage that I figured if they were going to do something stupid and dangerous I just waited for them to pass me.
If you ever go along King St between Newtown station and St Peters station you’ll notice the lanes are really narrow. The number of cars I saw with panel damage or broken mirrors because they parked right on the white line instead of as close as they could to the kerb. I’ll give you one guess why they were damaged.
Which I can tell you has not gone unnoticed.
There is no ‘epidemic of domestic violence’.
There is a certain Albanese Government that tacitly promised to do something about the [continuing] epidemic of women raped while drunk or drugged.
I wonder what happened there?
Perchance they are asleep?
Or perhaps they think those voters have short memories?
Thanks, Soc,
I’ve just found out that we may be one step closer. We went to see a house today that ticked all our boxes (we’re still at the stage where I’m being a bit selective rather than at panic stations) and I just received a message that the owner had offered us the house! I haven’t heard back after saying yes, but fingers crossed. It was being offered by a very cute little Asian momma and they had decorated it in a very idiosyncratic way. I think they must have been reading about the cultural habits of us Aussies because they have put in an outdoor spa and fitted out a back area as a weights room and mini gym and stuck a sign on the door saying ‘Man Cave’. So cute! 😀
Anyway, here’s hoping.
Badthinker,
If you don’t think there’s an epidemic of domestic violence in this country, then you’re a part of the problem and definitely not willing to be a part of the solution.
Kirsdarke best wishes. You will be missed
Where’s your proof of an epidemic of domestic violence?
Your insistence on it doesn’t make it true or factual.
Lars Von Trier:
Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 7:19 pm
[‘Elton John ? That’ll resonate in the Mid West for sure.’]
You’re shocking but I think I like you. And moreso after viewing Callas’s: my beloved father:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uFLVKaFVGag
What can I say Mavis, like you I am but a humble seeker after truth.
Robert Reich’s * take on The Debate:
https://youtu.be/FievfSDoLYk?si=pLepw7AOaIbv7Dl2
* Secretary of Labor for Bill Clinton
The rate of homicide of women by intimate partners has fallen by about two thirds since 1990, from about 1 per 100,000 to about 0.3 per 100,000.
https://www.aihw.gov.au/family-domestic-and-sexual-violence/responses-and-outcomes/domestic-homicide
Obviously anything above zero is unacceptable, but maybe the saving of around sixty or seventy lives per year should be recognised as a good achievement.
Oakeshott Country @ #2741 Saturday, June 29th, 2024 – 4:23 pm
Wish I could find the old medical cartoon of a large bloke holding up a small neurologist & saying: “Well if I’ve got Korskoff’s psychosis, who’s got mine?”
Lars Von Trier:
Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 7:56 pm
[‘What can I say Mavis, like you I am but a humble seeker after truth.’]
You’re only saying that because it’s true.
C@t
I’m no fan of John Howard either, but it’s hard to take that comment seriously. How can a decision like that here in Australia possibly have any noticeable effect on what happens in other parts of the world?
I can understand anyone being depressed after watching the Biden/Trump debate. God knows where this is all going.
The domestic violence rate in SA is rising again (I think 13% last year). That’s not an epidemic but it’s very worrying and should be addressed.
Bystander at 8.07pm
I’m no fan of John Howard either, but it’s hard to take that comment seriously. How can a decision like that here in Australia possibly have any noticeable effect on what happens in other parts of the world?
—————
Because Liberals = evil, haven’t you been here before?
Kirsdarke:
Look after yourself. My own experience is that this place can be pretty hazardous for one’s mental health. I try to avoid coming on when I’m in a less than stellar place, as it tends to bring out the worst aspects of my personality.
While your comment last night probably did cross the line, it wasn’t exactly unjustified either and I doubt anyone would blame you for it. We’ve all been there.
Come back when you are ready. You bring a lot of value to this place.
Oh, and keep up the good work re Wikipedia. A lot of those election articles – especially the earlier ones – were once really sparse, and they have been noticeably improved in recent years.
Echoing others. Howard isn’t the source of evils, his just a 2 bit copy cat of the big 3… Thatcher, Reagan and Friedman
Good luck, C@t. This is a really difficult time to be house hunting.
After how things went last time, I can’t help feeling that Ben Roberts-Smith might be a bit reluctant to embark on any further defamation suits.
1:09 AM · Jun 29, 2024
·
169.9K
Views
I would add Lars, that dear Wat & dear Asher appear to be the moderator’s favourites. I think you’ve been displaced. It’s so cruel. Okay, to end with “Una furtiva lagrima”.
https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=Una+furtiva+lagrima&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:1157240b,vid:t936rzOt3Zc,st:0
Howard is a PoS (politically, I mean, I’m sure he’s a decent enough guy in his private life) who can be justifiably blamed for many of this country’s present ills, but I don’t think the domestic violence rate is one of them.
Et tu William after all we’ve been through together eh Mavis ?
Sorry, Lars, you’re going to have to pay William the big bucks like I do.
Sorry the best things in life are free asha . Didn’t someone sing that song ?
Lars, given the donation drive going on, William may disagree
Lars Von Trier:
Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 8:26 pm
[‘Et tu William after all we’ve been through together eh Mavis ?’]
You’ve posted on this site for nigh on 20 years, and with from time to time, panache. Why aren’t you lauded? I blame WB.
You don’t think John Howard can be blamed for the DV rate being a third of what it was in 1990?
I think it’s because I speak my mind and I’m a little controversial from time to time Mavis.
And perhaps un clubabble ?
Lars:
Oh, I don’t know, I suspect there’s more than a few people here who would like to club you. 😉
Lars Von Trier:
Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 8:41 pm
[‘I think it’s because I speak my mind and I’m a little controversial from time to time Mavis.’]
I commend your propensity to counter group-speak. I love youse all should be relegated to social media, the type of which dear “fessy” is enamoured of. Gute Nacht.