The Australian reports the latest Newspoll finds Labor recovering a 51-49 lead on two-party preferred, after the last result three weeks ago recorded a draw. However, both sides are down on the primary vote, Labor by a point to 32% and the Coalition by three to 36%, with the Greens up two to 13%, One Nation steady on 7% and others up two to 12%. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 42% and up three on disapproval to 53%, while Peter Dutton is down one to 38% and up five to 54%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is 46-38, unchanged from last time. The poll also finds 42% support for Peter Dutton’s proposal of building nuclear power plants in seven locations announced last week, with 45% opposed. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1260.
Wat Tyler @ #1043 Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024 – 8:03 pm
Great new C@t
Why are we exporting live sheep? Presumably to avoid having to employ Australians to process them here. Do the farmers care about the jobs lost? Of course not. Why should we care about them? They say that stopping live exports will cost the economy 800 thousand trillion dollars or whatever and crash the economy? Bullshit, self-interested bleating.
In any case, live sheep exports are a dying industry, while exports of processed lamb and mutton are booming: https://www.themandarin.com.au/249773-australias-live-sheep-export-trade-to-end-in-2028/
HH:
Congrats, C@t!
Left the Greens strategists out there Rex, just an oversight, I’m sure.
MI
It was a dead straight recounting, but as the barmaid said to the physicist “you should have included units.”
C@tmomma @ 7:31 pm
”I have a new home to live in. ”
Great news.
Newcastle Upon Tyne was the first to be called in 2019. Unofficially, Newcastle and Sunderland have a race to see who can count their votes quickest. Traditionally, it was Sunderland South that won, but that seat has been merge into Houghton & Sunderland South.
In 2019, Newcastle upon Tyne was called at 11.26pm but the record was in 2001 at Sunderland South where it only took 43 minutes (10.43pm).
C@t
Congratulations!!
Rumours abound of the JLN state MPs telling their boss to butt out. We’ll see if this letter gets leaked (if it exists).
What is telling is that they’re looking to renegotiate the silly deal they signed up to with the Libs. Andrew Jenner seems to have appointed himself the spokesperson for the state MPs.
The Mercury: https://archive.md/4yF4T
Douglas and Milko @ #1055 Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024 – 8:23 pm
I’m going to mangle this.
The reason that the quantum physicists keep getting knocked back on their grant applications is because they are so uncertain about what they want.
Wat Tylersays:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 7:54 pm
nadia88 @ #1031 Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024 – 7:18 pm
Douglas and Milkosays:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 7:27 pm
…………
Still on the optional preferential system , most voters are literate these days, so the old problem does not exist. But, Optional preferential can work just like FPTP, and it invariably works against Labor when people vote just 1 “My party”.
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We’ll find out on Friday morning around 7AM Canberra time when the U.K polls close, whether FPTP works against Labour. My guess is that the election will be called – in Labours favour – at around 7.15AM.
No UK election will ever be called that early (except as speculation off exit polling or vibes), as results only are announced once all the votes in an electorate are counted. The count in each electorate is not progressively announced like here, the US or other places.
=========================
They usually bang out an exit poll, which is usually spot on give or take 10 seats.
C@tmomma says:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 8:07 pm
Entropy @ #1032 Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024 – 7:49 pm
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 7:42 pm
Your so vulgar entropy, getting ur “knowledge” off googling reddit. Hilarious
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What makes you think i didn’t read it in: “Soviet Communism A New Civilisation Vol I : Beatrice Webb”
I admit, I don’t read LVT’s posts but, the one today whereby he tried to highlight your misspelling of rational/rationale, yet we see again another post from LVT where he is incapable of using the correct spelling of ‘you’re’, and then immediately after using ‘your’ then goes on to try and get down with the texting kids and uses ‘ur’ for your! This person has less clothes than the emperor who only paraded around in an ermine cloak!
______________________________________________
Totes c@nt
Steve – Meat and Livestock Australia says the live sheep export trade is a $80 million industry – which is tiny compared to $4.5 billion overall sheep meat trade.
Cattle is a different story. That is much bigger – Live trade is worth a $1 billion. But the cattle also take much shorter journeys – South East Asia vs Middle East.
MI
Love it!!
Great call Steve777.
Why can’t they be processed here under Hamal processes and then shipped overseas as a frozen product?
Good to see an end to this sickening process, and anyone who cares to argue otherwise does not have a caring bone in their body!
Well, we’ve certainly found out there’s a very vocal Muslim community in WA this past week, so it really shouldn’t be a problem now to kill the sheep the Halal way before it’s exported.
Lars, grow up and stop the c@nt bizzo!
Surprised you have gotten away with it for so long.
Smug is you!
Cattle is a different story. That is much bigger – Live trade is worth a $1 billion. But the cattle also take much shorter journeys – South East Asia vs Middle East.
Out of Darwin Port, iirc.
Been There @ #1067 Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024 – 8:39 pm
That’s a big ask. 😐
We live in dangerous times:
Antony (Tony) Walker
@tonywalker1
Quite
Lordbainsays:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 7:16 pm
Simple Nadia.
Starmer comes in with a massive majority. However his manifesto is… lacking, and is basically a return to the days of Blair… who I would argue sowed the seeds in the same way Howard and bush did. So, starmer gets in, does a big fat nothing… and suddenly you get the exact same environment that has seen a fragmenting of the traditional parties elsewhere (hell there’s already some pollsters saying starmer may get less total vote share then corbyn, but the Tories will just be doing worse in general). This leaves the ground fertile for farage to further ferment the usual far right populism… so come.next election starmer gets a walloping and reform gets a massive boost
I’m prepared to stick by this prediction
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Agree, except for one small point. Immigration.
Starmer will be stuck with the same problems the Tories have had since Brexit (ie: Jan 31-2020) .
I think it is now around 1000 North Africans/Arabians a week floating across the channel.
Starmer will have to deal with this. If he doesn’t, then he’ll see a change in the polls fairly quickly and subsequent nasty by-election results. The British Tories, unless they get their act together in the years to come, are heading the way of the French Republican Party.
Per Farage – don’t know much about him. He doesn’t come across as charismatic and galvanising, but if they replace him down the track with someone who is, well yes Reform could become a major player.
Douglas and Milko @ #1058 Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024 – 8:27 pm
I think I’ve aged 5 years in the last 5 weeks!
Been There says:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 8:39 pm
Lars, grow up and stop the c@nt bizzo!
_________________________
Piste orf with the cant
This is for the benefit of the bs artist who goes by the nom, Lordbain:
Yep, a real Blairite non-entity. Not.
c@t great news! Well done indeed.
And I do look forward to catching up with you, Fess and D&M and others later this year. If I can make it (and I’ll do my level best).
All the best
MB
Thanks, meher baba. 🙂
How does spring sometime sound? After the footy finals, because no one will turn up until then. 😉
Hello Been There, we haven’t crossed paths for a while. Hope all’s well in your part of the world
C@tmomma @ #1041 Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024 – 8:01 pm
OMG I’m so happy for you! Such a weight off yours and your son’s mind.
Congratulations.
c@t. I’m a bit nervous about a former dealer in contraband ice cream becoming the leader of His Majesty’s Government. These dealers have no concern for the trail of broken lives they leave in their wake. Shame on him!
meher baba @ #1075 Tuesday, July 2nd, 2024 – 8:44 pm
I’m sorry, but you better be making that detour to Qld before you hit Sydney! We’re talking celebration after all.
c@t. With a little bit of advance notice I should be ok most weekends in spring. I have a long list of people I’d like to catch up with in both Sydney and Canberra, so I’m always keen to come up.
Dick Smith has come out in favour of nuclear energy.
All good nadia88, hope it’s the same with you.
Keep those poll updates and insights rolling in!
Cat, as always your insults are as lacking as your intellectual contributions. Note how I said manifesto… now please point me to.any of the starmers policies left of neoliberal. Also, and I don’t know why I have to repeat such an obvious point… he and his economics team are admirers of Thatcher. Just as Blair was. But hey, keep lying to yourself CAT, what ever you need 🙂
Hell, if I thought you would bother reading as opposed to being your usual smug pearl clutching princess, I would do a listicle on starmers policies… but hey, you don’t actually engage outside of your echo chamber, so why bother
Fess. The Queensland trip as a duo is unfortunately out of the question while we still are blessed with the company of our nearly 19yo tabby cat, who we can no longer bear to leave in the care of others. We’ll get there eventually. There’s no rush: weve had almost 11 terrific years as an unmarried couple, which probably exceeds the combined total of good years in all of our past marriages/long-term relationships to others.
But here I am talking about myself again. I’m clearly stressed
Will do Been There!
Should have that YouGov poll soon as well as a new Redbridge. Apart from another Morgan next monday, it should be fairly quiet until Resolve updates again on 14-Jul.
Very tricky period reading those polls & a lot of stuff going on, but we’ve got Bludgertrack to monitor the crucial numbers.
A_E = I have still got my thinking cap on about those questions you posed earlier.
I’ve been out all day, get home to find from Sarah Ferguson that Fatima Payman is in talks with strategists with the view to organising groups to take on Labor seats. Just what the country needs, a specialised religious voting bloc.
Just on live sheep export trade from WA.
In 2011-2012, 2.28m live sheep exported with value of $277m
In 2021-2022, 487k live sheep exported with value of $99m
This is a vote loser for the Farmers Federation etc
These figures are from Meat and Livestock report
https://www.mla.com.au/contentassets/a6c1d44861de497db53b9575b9425fce/value_of_the_live_sheep_export_trade_final_report.pdf
Nadia, farages brand of charisma is very much of the trump variety. For all intents and purposes he was the face of brexit, so do not underestimate him
An electron is driving along the freeway when it gets pulled over by the cops. A cop asks, “Did you know you were doing 200 kmph?”, and the electron says, “Oh, great. Now I don’t know where I am.”
Oh, and congrats C@t.
Meher:
I will come down there and babysit your cat so you and your woman can hotfoot it to Qld for your happily ever after vows. Animals love me. 😀
In any case, from what you’ve disclosed today, you deserve a break and a bit of ‘me time’.
Well, the rich dodderer would say that wouldn’t he?
Care to share his great insight, seeing it is paywalled on that magnificent institution known as The Australian, the bastion of all things LNP!
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jul/02/political-strategist-glenn-druery-meeting-fatima-payman-muslim-groups-israel-gaza-war?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
What a despicable act from Payman. Sucking on the Labor teat to get into the Senate then crapping on them.
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 8:55 pm
Dick Smith has come out in favour of nuclear energy.
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He is also supports the Sustainable Australia party. So it is not unusual for him to support things that aren’t very popular and in fact fairly stupid.
My first home PC was a Dick Smith 80 with a black and white TV, which I think was a re-badged Z80. It was gifted to me, I never could afford one of those flashy C64s.
Now it was great for a young teenager in the mid 80s, but I’m not sure Dick is on the money with this latest venture.
https://i.postimg.cc/mDL9wLwW/z80.webp
https://collection.powerhouse.com.au/object/456918
AnteMeridiansays:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 9:06 pm
An electron is driving along the freeway when it gets pulled over by the cops. A cop asks, “Did you know you were doing 200 kmph?”, and the electron says, “Oh, great. Now I don’t know where I am.”
==================================================
It was all Heisenberg’s fault.
Lordbainsays:
Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 9:04 pm
Nadia, farages brand of charisma is very much of the trump variety. For all intents and purposes he was the face of brexit, so do not underestimate him
==============================
I definately don’t underestimate the right, and thks for getting back to me. Sorry for my delay too.
I’ll be honest, I don’t know enough about U.K. politics. From what I do know, the Tories got a big majority in 2019 after convincing former Labor voters (the red wall) to vote for them and break a lifetime voting habit. Those voters have been betrayed somewhat by the Tories, and it will take a lot for them to ever vote again for the Tories. I don’t think the Tories have much future in the U.K. I will monitor the Reform group in line with your assessment.
Dick Smith is like a god to the older lightly informed.
Ask and ye shall receive:
Nuclear is the Rolls-Royce of power generation,” Mr Smith told The Australian. “It’s the best baseload power you could ever get. To think you could ever run a modern, industrial country – which Australia is – on wind and solar is delusional. It’s simply not possible.
“What you would have to do if you wanted to try and use wind and solar, you’d need the most incredible expenditure in batteries. But if you have a wind drought or unusual cloud cover, the batteries go flat. You have no power.”
Mr Smith said he was confident Labor would eventually reverse its opposition to nuclear energy but urged the party to do so soon.
Prominent Australian businessman Dick Smith has voiced his support for the Coalition’s… See more
“Climate change is happening and it’s going to have some dire consequences,” he said. “It’s not going to affect someone my age or even someone of the Prime Minister’s age or Mr Bowen’s age, but it’s going to affect their grandchildren.
“What Labor, at the minimum, should be doing is saying, ‘we’re going to take away the legislation banning it and we’re going to consider it objectively’.
“What they’re doing to our young people at the moment is outrageous, it’s irresponsible.”
Mr Smith dismissed assertions nuclear energy would be too expensive. “It’s quite ridiculous to say we can’t afford nuclear – this is what Mr Bowen says,” he said.