Federal polls may be coming down the line shortly from Resolve Strategic in the Age/Herald and Freshwater Strategy in the Financial Review. Until then:
• The West Australian reports three potential contenders for Liberal preselection in the new seat of Bullwinkel in Perth’s eastern hinterland, which by my reckoning has a notional Labor margin of 2.9%: Matt Moran, an Afghanistan veteran and former Ten Network reporter who ran unsuccessfully for the Curtin preselection in February; Holly Ludeman, a veterinarian and activist in the campaign against a ban on live sheep exports; and Jonathan Crabtree, a commercial and estate planning lawyer who led the Senate ticket of Cory Bernardi’s Australian Conservatives in 2019. The paper earlier reported that Labor preselection would be contested by Kyle McGinn, a former Maritime Union of Australia organiser who has served in the state Legislative Council for Mining and Pastoral region since 2017, and there are suggestions the Nationals candidate will be former state party leader Mia Davies.
• InDaily reports five candidates for Liberal preselection in the regional South Australian seat of Grey, which will be vacated with the retirement of Rowan Ramsey, its member since 2007: Dean Johnson, mayor of Kimba and president of the Local Government Association; Tom Venning, Barunga Grains farming manager; Rikki Lambert, former chief-of-staff to Family First senator Bob Day; Matt Sampson, a Whyalla police officer; and Suzanne Waters, who ran in the seat for the United Australia Party in 2022.
• Nine Newspapers reports on expectations that Michelle Ananda-Rajah will run in Liberal-held Deakin or Menzies with the proposed abolition of her existing seat of Higgins, which she gained for Labor from the Liberals for the first time in the seat’s history in 2022.
• Labor has announced candidates in its Coalition-held targets in Brisbane: disability advocate Ali France in Peter Dutton’s seat of Dickson, where she also ran in 2019 and 2022; Rebecca Hack, a former school principal now of the Queensland Teachers Union, in the Greens-held seat of Ryan; and Rowan Holzberger, electorate officer to Senator Murray Watt and candidate from 2022, again to run in Forde.
Wat Tyler @ #398 Sunday, July 14th, 2024 – 5:04 pm
Yep. More info will come out over the next few days. For now, however we know nothing about this man’s motivations.
Thanks C@t. I think this is a big enough event to break the silence.
Funny, this week is supposed to be the week of the Republican convention and some time between now and the official nomination, finding out who Trump’s running mate will be…
EDIT: I wonder how much oxygen will be lost from that to this running story (and whether that’s a good or bad thing for Republicans.)
EDIT 2: Or maybe it gives them a new theme “I’m still standing” etc.
Packing. Ugh. 🙁
Honestly this has been a horrible day and I don’t want to comment, so instead I’ll share what I’ve been watching to distract myself.
Like this ode to one of my favourite games – Star Wars: TIE Fighter. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E9GRYa_3gno
And this, a compilation of funny scenes from The Nanny. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=igt-DJWHg28
Something that some of you ought think about hard. If your first reaction to today’s events was “this is staged”, have a good, long hard think about what has led you down that alley.
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Come on. The guy who was shot at is one of the most narcissistic, outrageously lying, fake it till you make it, conmen of the century who spouts conspiracy theories like breathing. You dont just have to look internally for why you would constructing a fallacy that this was staged. He went on WWE FFS. It isnt much of a logical leap into crazy land.
Rex Douglas says:
Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 4:20 pm
The lack of funding and poor state of various areas of the ADF has been occurring for decades enabled by both parties of Government.
Asha
Calwell is the last assassination only if you don’t count John Newman who was assassinated on the orders of Phuong Ngo who wanted to be pre-selected for the seat of Cabramatta.
“There was Christ in a metal shell
There was blood on the pavement
The camera will make you God
That’s how Jack became sainted.”
https://youtu.be/W5hWscxVX98?si=XEJ-A3iuA7i_d9Wl
sprocket:
That doesn’t make sense. The images and videos we’ve sen shows Trump was nicked in his right ear, but if that was the layout and where the killer was located, he should’ve been nicked in his left ear.
???
OC:
Interesting. I hadn’t heard of that case before.
Sorry, shooter, not killer.
FBI identifies shooter as a registered Republican with far-right links.
Meidas Touch YouTube video a short while ago:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS_wI0-HngQ
Confession:
I can imagine how that could happen. The shooter is elevated relatively high above Trump and fires down, but the bullet goes over his head and clips the ear on the side of the head that’s facing away from the shooter.
Mind you, this is all baseless speculation on my part and there’s going to be tons of confusion and misinformation flying about right now. It’s going to be a while before all the details come out.
Just on the early commentary, after FUBAR who is ex-military posted what he thought the weapon sounded like, I was just about to post ‘sounds like an AR15 in the distance’ to me, having fired and heard these myself on a rifle range. They do ‘pop’ sounds rapidly.
Plus, the AR15 appears to be the mass shooting weapon of choice – flooding the markets in the US.
He was 118m away, and got away 7 shots before the police sniper took him out within a few seconds.
Whatever was motivating Thomas Matthew Crooks, 21, of Bethel Pa remains to be seen..
“FBI identifies shooter as a registered Republican with far-right links.”
Is this the ‘least bad’ outcome?
I can’t imagine what would be happening right now if it had been a leftist or a minority of some kind
fess, Trump was looking in the direction of the shooter when hit. The video showing the secret service sniper on the roof shows Trump turning in that direction before he grabs at his ear.
If it was the bullet, unhindered in its path, then Trump was 20mm from death or near to it, and the US would have been thrown into a crisis.
Asha just on 30 years ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Newman_(Australian_politician)#Death
In the end Reba Meagher got the pre-selection.
There was also the roughing up of Peter Baldwin which went far closer to an assassination than was expected.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Baldwin_(politician)#State_politics
A big thanks from me to the Pollblugertariat for providing measured and informed commentary today.
I was actually going to avoid PB for a few days, assuming it would be full of red and blue conspiracy theories at 20 paces. But not at all.
Thanks guys, but also, as Asha said “Fuck!”
So Trump was targeted by one of his own followers? Or have Trump and his MAGA associates unleashed a whirlwind of uncontrollable gun toting extremists who seek to overturn society by violent means?
citizen at 5:28 pm
Is the New York Post saying the shooter was a Chinese man?
Because the Youtube cites the Post, doesn’t mention that?
Fess
If you look at the video, Trump is facing to his right – so directly towards the shooter. You can see the bullet in this photo…
sprocket
The guy in the photo you posted is not Crooks – he’s a Twitter troll who joked about being the shooter, got a lot of attention, and has now closed his account.
Mimhoff
Apologies to,all if that’s the case
While I’d doubt that it would have too many liberal Democrats on its books, I’ve searched in vain for Demolition Ranch associating itself with any political position that doesn’t involve gun rights.
sprocket:
In the floorplan layout you’ve posted, I’ve assumed that the rectangles angled around the stage were people seated in front of Trump. But I now realise they are the bleaches and so were the people sat behind him.
Which totally shows that the sniper was located to Trump’s right.
Thank you!
Badthinkersays:
Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 5:37 pm
citizen at 5:28 pm
Is the New York Post saying the shooter was a Chinese man?
Because the Youtube cites the Post, doesn’t mention that?
================================================
Nothing i’ve heard suggest the shooter is Chinese. I will assume this is just more BS from you.
The least bad scenario for the Dems, if the shooter really came from the far right – but it still hands the White House to Trump on a platter.
All over red rover bar the shouting.
Imagine if it was a person of color, a woman or someone from the Left who did it. The GOP would be in power for the next 50 years.
Imagine if it was a an immigrant (legal or illegal) person of colour, a woman or someone from the Left who did it. The GOP would be in power for the next 100 years.
Back, and to the left…
Imagine if it was one of the Series 3000 Assassinbots from the ice moon of Drykar who did it. The GOP would be in power for the next 50,000 years.
Holdenhillbillysays:
Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 5:50 pm
Imagine if it was a an immigrant (legal or illegal) person of colour, a woman or someone from the Left who did it. The GOP would be in power for the next 100 years.
=======================================
In the “Handmaids Tale” they were hoping for forever.
Imagine if it was Ted Cruz’s father.
https://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/05/trump-ted-cruz-father-222730
I hear Biden is appointing Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) to head a Commission into the attempt on former President Trump’s life.
[Stolen from the internet]
MelbourneMammothsays:
Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 5:46 pm
The least bad scenario for the Dems, if the shooter really came from the far right – but it still hands the White House to Trump on a platter.
All over red rover bar the shouting.
Imagine if it was a person of color, a woman or someone from the Left who did it. The GOP would be in power for the next 50 years.
==================================================
Just imagine if we had concern trolls on this site. What sort of fodder they would make out of such a situation.
MelbourneMammoth says Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 5:46 pm
I also recall many pundits claiming that the assassination of a Labour MP just before the Brexit vote would help Remain, or that the death of Hawke just before the 2019 election would help Labor. It didn’t in either case. I no longer put much store in such things.
However, the image of Trump with his fist in the air will become iconic unfortunately. I’m not sure if little children will be told what he was yelling though.
sprocket_ @ #423 Sunday, July 14th, 2024 – 5:38 pm
He really does have short, fat fingers!
C@tmomma says Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 6:01 pm
That might be the angle.
I’m guessing the shooter never heard of aiming for the centre of mass. Then again, he was to the side.
Just imagine if it were American children being killed or injured by guns at a rate that made these types of injuries the most common kind of injury or death experienced by American children.
Oh wait, that is actually the current sitch.
Wat Tyler @ #432 Sunday, July 14th, 2024 – 5:53 pm
Imagine if the shooter was a Silurian who wanted to get rid of the ‘stinking ape’!?!
Badthinkersays:
Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 5:57 pm
I hear Biden is appointing Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) to head a Commission into the attempt on former President Trump’s life.
[Stolen from the internet]
===================================================
While i have no idea if this could be true or not. I certainly don’t think the source has any credibility at all.
When i googled the statement: “Biden is appointing Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) to head a Commission into the attempt on former President Trump’s life.”
The only post on the internet saying that was you in this post.
Entropy, it’s a joke – a play on words. A reference to the Warren Commission, which investigated JFK’s assassination.
Although, I am sure there’s some conspiratorial nonsense motivating BT’s posting of it too.
Entropy says Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 6:08 pm
I think it’s supposed to be a joke as it was the Warren Commission that investigated the assassination of President John F Kennedy.
Rowe:
David Rowe
America saying, “Oh what have I done?”
Wat Tylersays:
Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 6:11 pm
Entropy, it’s a joke – a play on words. A reference to the Warren Commission, which investigated JFK’s assassination.
===========================================
Thanks, so not BS just a joke. Unfortunately i’m sort of over finding “BT” funny. Though maybe i should just consider all his posts a joke. As certainly there is hardly anything factual he posts.
Was his one about the Chinese man. Also a joke i didn’t get too?
@bc at 6:16pm
One of Rowe’s best pictures I’d say.
Entropy,
There are things called, sick jokes. That’s the category BT’s ‘jokes’ fall into.
OC: “There was also the roughing up of Peter Baldwin which went far closer to an assassination than was expected.”
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Dare I ask: how do you know what was “expected”?