The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor with an two-party of 51-49, unchanged from the last poll three weeks ago, from primary votes of Labor 33% (up one), Coalition 38% (up two), Greens 13% (steady) and One Nation 6% (down one). Both leaders record improved personal ratings, with Anthony Albanese up two on approval to 44% and down two on disapproval to 51%, and Peter Dutton up three to 41% and down five to 49%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed slightly, from 46-38 to 46-39.
Respondents were also asked to pick favoured Labor and Coalition leaders out of lists of six contenders, with Anthony Albanese recording 28% as preferred Labor leader ahead of 13% for Tania Plibersek, 10% for Bill Shorten, 8% for Jim Chalmers, 4% for Richard Marles and 2% for Chris Bowen. Peter Dutton likewise scored 28%, with Jacinta Price on 14%, Sussan Ley on 6%, Angus Taylor and Andrew Hastie on 5% apiece and Dan Tehan on 3%. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1258.
Also out today is the monthly Freshwater Strategy poll from the Financial Review, which has the Coalition leading for the first time on two-party preferred at 51-49, after the previous results had it at 50-50. The primary votes are Labor 31% (down one), Coalition 40% (steady) and Greens 13% (steady). Anthony Albanese is steady on approval at 34% and up two on disapproval to 48%, while Peter Dutton is at up one to 36% and down one to 39%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 45-39, out from 43-41 last time. The poll was conducted Friday to Sunday from a sample of 1060.
It’s a very fair point that Max makes.
It’s a great shame that the Labor political party capitulated on NG.
BW, whats your issue with the ICJ finding?
Actually stick to the question, as opposed to your listicle vomit…
Rather than attacking superannuation, the Labor political party should go back to reforming NG.
Going after Harris re the willy Brown affair is gutter dwelling misogynist crap we can expect from people who get their sledge lines from SKYNEWS and Spectator journos. Badthinker etc. Political skin painting (race, gender, sexuality) to denigrate is always deplorable, haven’t you heard its 2024 now not 1954 FFS. The ‘fake black’ slur comes straight out of the RWNJ playbook. More to come no doubt.
Whilst Australia has rightfully declared Hamas a terrorist organisation, the Labor Govt
refuse to sanction the Netanyahu Govt, ignoring the ICJ rulings. Disgusting.
The whales have finally had enough …
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-07-24/whale-capsizes-fishing-boat-off-new-hampshire-coast/104136336
There have been several such incidents recently. Clearly, they are trying to tell us something.
MJ I apologise. I misrepresented you after you put forward your ideas on fixing the housing crisis as someone who offers no solutions only criticism. I was wrong.
Smart conservatives won’t have a bar of the grifter Dutton.
Boewar
Perhaps you might like to consult this list, since I know you love lists:
https://www.nationalsecurity.gov.au/what-australia-is-doing/terrorist-organisations/listed-terrorist-organisations
Now all the organisations (whose names for some reason you seem to like to spell differently to the accepted norm for whatever reason, but you do you) you listed are already on that list, so are declared terrorist organisations subject to a range of criminal and financial sanctions from the Australian governments, namely:
Ansar Allah (the Houthis)
Hamas
Hizbollah
So if it will satisfy your purity test then yes, I wholeheartedly condemn those organisations and all that they stand for, as have the Greens on numerous occasions and pretty much anyone with an opinion on the matter. It’s kind of a given, seeing as they are, you know, terrorist organisations. it’s sort of right there in the name
Now here’s the thing, the israeli government has been accused of literal War Crimes, possible ethnic cleansing, and the illegal occupation and expansion of settlements by the ICJ, which I’m sure I don’t have to remind you is the court that enforces this so called rules based order, so beloved of the ALP when they want to sound serious about world affairs. Now I’m sure even an angry right wing retired superannuant like yourself can agree that War Crimes, Ethnic Cleansing, and the illegal occupation of territory are pretty crappy things for a country to do.
the point that MANY people have been trying to make, is that through it’s inaction the australian Government is giving tacit support to israel to continue these atrocities, and I’m sorry but some stern words and an eyebrow raise from Penny Wong do not constitute action. Listing of the aforementiond organisations as terriorist organisations has real, legal consequences. the ‘steps’ we have taken against israel amount to 3/5 of FA
Even today, after the ICJ ruling the settlements illegal, all we have are reports of ‘government sources’ (so nothing official) ‘considering’ certain sanctions against the israeli settlers – NOT the government that supports and enables them, all whilst continiong to purchase arms and military systems from companies like Elbit systems, continuing to send Israel parts for the planes that are literally conducting the said genocide as part of the F35 program, and doing nothing more than urging restraint to the israeli government
It’s fucking pathetic and a disgrace to the nation , and the fact that you apparently support the ALPs stance here says WAY more about you than you wouldlike
BW, the article was about the ICJ had nothing to do with entities outside of Israel, and the article discusses Australias wet lettuce leaf response.
Will you just simply spew your unrelated listicles or not?
Good to see the tourism industry looking after biodiversity.
For a change.
A own goal once again by the incompetent federal labor government.
An exodus from NZ means there are more Kiwis here than ever before
Julie Hare
Julie Hare
Jul 24, 2024 – 11.45am
An influx of New Zealanders has brought the number of Kiwis living in Australia to more than 700,000 for the first time, undermining government efforts to lower migration.
The stronger Australian labour market and the creation of a direct pathway to permanent residency lured 35,000 New Zealand citizens to Australia in the 11 months to May.
I respect Mathers concerns about yp struggling into their mid 30s to put together a housing deposit, soaring house purchase and rental prices etc. But you can only do so much in 2 yrs to turn that around. For example the SMH reported a 90,000 shortfall in tradies in Oz. Where do we get them from ? From overseas? Do that and you just add 90 000 families looking for a place to live. Labor can’t fix things in 2-3 years. Train more tradies- Labor is doing that now. No it’s not perfect but cut them a little slack. Rent rise freezes I’m not a fan of, but how that would impact the housing market is beyond my pay grade. If interest rates rise under a rent freeze I’d be tempted to turn my rental into an Air B&B like my friends have done to protect my investment. See, it’s not as simple as you might wish to turn things around. Not in 2-3 years anyway.
Short term rentals should be banned from residential zones.
Sandman, your ignoring that you can do multiple things… like, for example, reducing the tax breaks and other incentivise, increasing taxation on holiday homes etc as a combination.
So in your hypothetical, if interest rates rise, you turn your propoerty into an Air BNB… which will then be taxed. Now, I am going to assume you have 2 properties,,, si if you cant afford to make the payments then why not sell?
There is just so much wrong with this it’s hard to know where to begin …
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-07-24/olympic-games-esports-saudi-arabia-12-year-deal/104135332
What a world we are gifting to our kids … 🙁
Australia’s housing problems have been a slow train wreck starting decades ago. There are things governments could do to reduce housing costs. But, you need to be careful.
In March ABC’s “If You’re Listening” podcast, which I really recommend, had an episode on how the Japanese Government turned around house prices. You can listen at https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/if-youre-listening/how-japan-opted-out-of-a-global-housing-crisis/103638900 or watch it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R5pPcV54kiQ.
As it happens, in April NPR’s “Planet Money” podcast had an episode about Japan’s lost decade. You can listen to it or read the transcript at https://www.npr.org/transcripts/1197958583.
I think the drop in house prices, after a real estate bubble, was one of the major contributors to Japan’s subsequent economic woes.
As I said, our current housing issues were decades in the making. If we want to avoid very significant economic disruption I suspect they will be decades in the fixing.
It’s a fake plan from a grifter.
Conservatives and progressives both see through it.
Japan has a declining population, so turning house prices around probably wasn’t all that difficult.
Um not selling because I want to give my 2 renting kids a leg up Lordbain if you want to know. But if rent freeze comes that changes the landscape. We all feel the need to look out for our kids first do we not. It’s not selfish -it’s what any responsible parent does. I worked in the homeless youth field for 22 years. I am very aware of the housing crisis. I’m just asking people to cut Labor a little slack that’s all. Who do you think I’ll vote for if rent freezes force me to sell? I’m talking as an average punter , I’m no economist but the housing I’m told is a very sensitive beast. Push too far or too fast and it collapses. I have nothing further to add.
Ante Meridian @ #529 Wednesday, July 24th, 2024 – 3:36 pm
my brother-in-law lives in japan with his partner. He often sends us links to houses in various locations. then 12 months later the same house is 10s of percent cheaper. The declining population is having a very real effect there as is not having a positive influx of immigrants. So they haven’t solved housing prices as such, just dont have the people to fill the ones they have.
Rex Douglas says Wednesday, July 24, 2024 at 3:22 pm
I agree that short term rentals have significantly worsened the housing rental market. I’m not sure such a ban is the ultimate solution, but I definitely think it needs to be considered.
I’ve decided the cost of a monthly subscription to Stan for the Olympics is preferable to watching endless ads for crappy reality tv shows on Ch9.
The Stan Olympics platform looks very easy to navigate between events. All set. 🙂
1.6!
I note that the usual facile demography reporting is happening in the MSM.
1.6 is a cost of living thing, apparently.
Except it isn’t.
It is the post-Covid mini baby boom hiccup reverting to long term trend.
Anything to bash Labor with. Pathetic.
As soon as women get something like real control over their bodies and a stake in the economy the birth rate falls to below replacement.
It is a global phenomenon. It happens regardless of religion. It happens regardless of economic ideology. It happens regardless of government programs and policies.
AND, for the COL bludgers, it happens regardless of whether per capita wealth is increasing or decreasing.
Women are an unstoppable force.
First they forced women out of the home and into the paid workforce. Then the women stopped having babies because they had some money and the technological means to control their reproductive systems.
Then the age pyramid goes upside down.
And then… all the economies built on population capitalism-based ponzi schemes are going to have a very interesting adjustment period indeed.
FWIW
China’s population fell by 2 million in a single year. That will accelerate.
China may have something like 65-80 million empty dwellings. (Japan’s empty dwellings are mostly older style wood and paper built in remote country areas. They decompose in situ and are in a completely different class from China’s empty dwellings which are mostly empty concrete caves which have yet to be filled with things.)
The CPC has run up a kite about increasing China’s pension age.
China has instituted a range of reforms to fill the wombs they so brutally emptied of 30 million female foetuses.
Perhaps the Greens might want to revisit their inner urge to do a command and control economy? GOSPLAN a bad example? Caps on this and that. Wages to go up by 40%. A dozen industries to be closed down altogether. The ADF to be shut down. Everything to be virtually free.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2024/07/21/newspoll-51-49-to-labor-freshwater-strategy-51-49-to-coalition-open-thread/comment-page-11/#comment-4334885
Hmmm, one of the governance changes I’d like to see i[s] war powers reform.
Especially for conflict outside of the Indian/ Pacific Oceans, starting with those more than 1000 kilometers from Australia’s EZ or territorial waters.
Make it subject to a security cabinet vote, both house of parliament for a 75% majority in each chamber vote, plus a referendum (Switzerland manages to run those all the time) …
What’s that Chinese saying, you can be wealthy or at war?
… where you’d like to live, to wit, a 5 mile radius of the CBD.
Go and live in Crestmead, Park Ridge, Bray Park, $150,000 wage will get you plenty of house out there.
Brisbane is a very pretty place and nice to live in, now the news has gotten out everyone wants to move here.
Since physical reality limits the number of 24 perch sites in the places people want to live, common sense tells you Chandler-Mather is shilling for developers of high rise apartments in the places people want to live.
While pushing changes that make it uneconomic to be a landlord.
Good call Rex. I’ll get the popcorn.
West Australian newspaper front page: “Pregnant Pause”.
Editorial: “Baby drought is bad for the economy”.
Big Blurb: “Oh, baby we’re in trouble”
Right-wing mouth-pieces here…..”Too many immigrants (ruining the country)……”
The damned right can’t even get their their ideologies to match.
What a shower.
Rugby sevens starts tonight for Aussies.
Aussie Aussie Aussie oi oi oi
Pakistan’s latest record-breaking and reality denying IMF loan
https://www.ft.com/content/cd97e0d7-d93c-4ef5-a8f8-3d1bf2601326
According to the IMF, for each of the next five years, Pakistan owes the world an average of $19bn in principal repayments, or more than half of its export revenues. It will also need a minimum of $6bn every year to finance even threadbare current account deficits forecasts, bringing total external financing needs to at least $25bn a year between now and 2029. Pakistan has foreign exchange reserves of less than $9.5bn.
That’s not all. For each of the next five years, the government will need to pay an average of 6.5 per cent of GDP in interest on the debt it already owes to residents and foreigners. Pakistan’s total tax take is barely 10 per cent of GDP.
Let those facts sink in. Unchecked, things will fall apart. And it’s hard to see how Pakistan can extricate itself from this predicament without debt relief.
For starters, Pakistan cannot meet its external financing needs without incurring more government debt. This is because it doesn’t really attract any meaningful FDI (less than $2bn every year) and its private sector is incapable of generating capital inflows from abroad.
Oh dear Tricot. It’s those bloody migrants again didn’t ya know. I recall KK, freshly appointed shadow Home Affairs minister going after potatoe head Dutton for letting too many refugees into the country and “stealing Australian jobs” or WTTE just before the 2022 election. That went down a hoot in Fowler, brimming with Vietnamese voters in a seat she was chopper’ed in to over rule a Vietnamese Labor local preselection candidate. Result was an 18% swing against Labor and KK on the scrap heap. Let’s hope Labor don’t get sucked into buying into the blame it on the immigrants meme again which is typically a Coalition code of practise feature.
”
bcsays:
Wednesday, July 24, 2024 at 3:32 pm
Australia’s housing problems have been a slow train wreck starting decades ago. There are things governments could do to reduce housing costs. But, you need to be careful
”
The above scenario will be replicated for AUKUS deal(Remove the word Housing and replace ir with AUKUS deal if Democrats win 2024 election. But if Trump wins, I think it will unravel pretty quickly.
Like Housing was for decades, AUKUS deal is a make-believe issue.
Meanwhile, the latest Roy Morgan unemployment estimates for June show over one in six Australian workers are either unemployed or underemployed adding up to more than 2.7 million.
Aussies second class citizens thanks Albanese!
Sandman, no1 is telling you you cant vote for your own economic self interest.
It just highlights why it wont be fixed by salami slice free market solutions, and that Labor are too cowardly to engage in solutions that will actually work
It’s not Albo it’s the migrants he’s supposedly pouring into the country PP, haven’t you read the Spectator lately.
A staggering increase from 2.64 million when Labor came to power.
https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/australian-unemployment-jumps-to-9-7-in-april-highest-since-july-2021-but-under-employment-unchanged
David Rowe
William Bowesays:
Wednesday, July 24, 2024 at 4:45 pm
Meanwhile, the latest Roy Morgan unemployment estimates for June show over one in six Australian workers are either unemployed or underemployed adding up to more than 2.7 million.
A staggering increase from 2.64 million when Labor came to power.
https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/australian-unemployment-jumps-to-9-7-in-april-highest-since-july-2021-but-under-employment-unchanged
====================================================
Those figures from the Morrison Government period are from before all the overseas students stated to come back too. So basically in the Covid period when we had no immigration occurring.
I don’t know about “cowardly”, Lordbain. You do remember what happened to Shorten re the capital gains wrought he tried to change ? Too much too fast and the electorate turns on you. If that’s cowardly in your mind, fair enough. It’s not in mine and we saw what it did in 2019 or was it 2016. Another 3 year’s of incumbent climate change denial etc. I keep saying you have to be in government to change things at a reasonable pace or your gone in three years. Why can’t you Greenies get that election reality into your heads ?
No YouGov poll as yet. Last poll was 7-June.
Thought they may have dropped one after their QLD poll last week. Hope they’re not going the way of Ipsos. Hopefully tomorrow or Friday.
Looks like Redbridge looms for Sunday.
Samaras “X” feed usually does the release.
pied piper says:
Wednesday, July 24, 2024 at 4:33 pm
Meanwhile, the latest Roy Morgan unemployment estimates for June show over one in six Australian workers are either unemployed or underemployed adding up to more than 2.7 million.
————————————
Didn’t the RBA claim higher unemployment is a signal interest rates may come down
Ah I see Sandman, its just people need to be patient, wont the greenies get it through their heads… what a great attitude.
Its almost like the classic “grow up you silly kids” attitude that was pointed out earlier today.
The homeless, the insecure, the renters, those under mortgage stress… they all just need to be patient, and wait for policies to come.
When do these policies come Sandman? When does Labor take the risk again?
Nadia, how do you know ugov and redbridge are coming up. You seem to monitor the polls closely so what else is coming up pls. Helps to know when to log on and off.
Sorry second question seeing as you have logged on. What is Ipsos as I don’t see them mentioned on this site
Lordbain…
Your same-same hobby-horse regarding housing.
There is no instant “fix” for the housing problem.
After WW 2 thousands of homes in the UK were in a destroyed state and it was not until the mid-1950s that most of this was eventually attended to.
So, in answer to your question, yes it is a waiting game.
It is a pity that there is no iteration on the planet ( that I am aware of) that has bought the Green message so we have a model of what to do – at least according to Green ideology.
Until such times as the Greens actually have to make decisions, rather than be in Pollyanna land of “wishes and horses” your monotone on this topic remains as it as it has always been – blether.
Mind you, you have a few mates here singing the same song.
Vlad – it’s Yougov, not uGov. There is another polling company called uComms, but they are not YouGov. Anyway,
Per Redbridge – I go by the Kos Samaras “X” feed which partially comes up on google, but I don’t have access to twitter, so I’m sort of reliant on another poster who has co-incidentally just logged on this evening. So that poster dug up a twitter post the other day where Kos Samaras said the Redbridge poll is on the way, which I noticed. No magic from me – sorry to embarass you Scott, but yes I keep an eye on your posts. I’m assuming Redbridge may drop on Sunday, but I don’t know for sure.
Per YouGov – at the start of the year they said they were going to drop a poll every 3 weeks, but as mentioned earlier, their last poll was on Jun-7, so I’m waiting. I dropped my earlier post because a couple of the poll junkies had logged on and I was trying to provide an update.
Labor and Liberal using AI vids to mock each other. Cringe.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-07-23/labor-questioned-over-ai-generated-tiktok-of-peter-dutton/104131228
@Tricot – how about this for a short term solution – build some bloody houses!! Rather than putting pretend money into a fund that then pays someone something to meet a target 10 years off. Or giving tax breaks to dodgy developers to build concrete boxes for which 10% will be reserved for the deserving – income dependent.
As someone who grew up in public housing I can attest that the state once built houses and people lived in them and contributed to society much more than property speculators or parents being the bank of mum and dad.
And if you need the workers – how about prioritising housing over say submarines or more oil and gas extraction.
From the Guardian’s live blog
‘Andrew Messenger
Work mapping flood-prone areas in Brisbane “still under way”
Work is “still under way” on hazard mapping flood-prone parts of Queensland, two years after the city’s latest floods in the state capital, parliamentary estimates has heard.
Brisbane has flooded four times since settlement: in 1893, 1974, 2011 and 2022. The most recent floods caused $2.5bn in damage in Queensland and cost 27 lives nationwide.
On Wednesday, the Greens MP Michael Berkman used Queensland parliamentary estimates to ask the state’s planning minister, Meaghan Scanlon, whether the state was considering a ban on development on flood-prone land.
Scanlon said developing a resilience policy framework for hazard mapping was one of the priorities of a recent planning update for south-east Queensland. “It identifies no-go zones based on comprehensive hazard assessments,” she said.
That work is still underway.’
————————-
Classic. First cab off the Greens rank: banning something or other.
Brisbane was the first city council in Australia to appoint a publicly paid town planner in 1925. The city was settled on a flood plain in 1825.
TropicalWonderland @ #548 Wednesday, July 24th, 2024 – 5:43 pm
I think I can see why your moniker is TropicalWonderland. You appear to have spent waaaay too much time in the sun! 🙂