The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor with an two-party of 51-49, unchanged from the last poll three weeks ago, from primary votes of Labor 33% (up one), Coalition 38% (up two), Greens 13% (steady) and One Nation 6% (down one). Both leaders record improved personal ratings, with Anthony Albanese up two on approval to 44% and down two on disapproval to 51%, and Peter Dutton up three to 41% and down five to 49%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed slightly, from 46-38 to 46-39.
Respondents were also asked to pick favoured Labor and Coalition leaders out of lists of six contenders, with Anthony Albanese recording 28% as preferred Labor leader ahead of 13% for Tania Plibersek, 10% for Bill Shorten, 8% for Jim Chalmers, 4% for Richard Marles and 2% for Chris Bowen. Peter Dutton likewise scored 28%, with Jacinta Price on 14%, Sussan Ley on 6%, Angus Taylor and Andrew Hastie on 5% apiece and Dan Tehan on 3%. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1258.
Also out today is the monthly Freshwater Strategy poll from the Financial Review, which has the Coalition leading for the first time on two-party preferred at 51-49, after the previous results had it at 50-50. The primary votes are Labor 31% (down one), Coalition 40% (steady) and Greens 13% (steady). Anthony Albanese is steady on approval at 34% and up two on disapproval to 48%, while Peter Dutton is at up one to 36% and down one to 39%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 45-39, out from 43-41 last time. The poll was conducted Friday to Sunday from a sample of 1060.
Confessions @ #897 Thursday, July 25th, 2024 – 6:37 pm
That and Labor as a whole usually encourages MP’s and Senators to retire as they approach 70 years in age, I think it’s an unofficial party policy of theirs, probably to prevent the gerontocracy problem that the US Democrats have at the moment, and what the Soviet Union had in its last years before dissolution.
Kirsdarkesays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 6:51 pm
Confessions @ #897 Thursday, July 25th, 2024 – 6:37 pm
Sad to see Burney retiring at the next election. But I was at an event with her a couple weeks ago and thought she looked fantastic, much better than the last time we were at events together where I seriously worried for her health.
Perhaps she’s just ready to retire. No doubt the Voice outcome was highly dispiriting and took its toll on all involved, including Burney.
That and Labor as a whole usually encourages MP’s and Senators to retire as they approach 70 years in age, I think it’s an unofficial party policy of theirs, probably to prevent the gerontocracy problem that the US Democrats have at the moment, and what the Soviet Union had in its last years before dissolution.
=========================================================
Probably a good idea. Don’t want to make “ghost that walks status” like Phillip Ruddock did before he went.
https://www.watoday.com.au/politics/western-australia/mia-davies-confirms-switch-to-federal-politics-20240725-p5jwmr.html
Mia Davies confirms switch to federal politics
By Oliver Peterson
July 25, 2024 — 4.43pm
Former WA Nationals leader Mia Davies will on Friday confirm a switch to federal politics.
The 45-year-old member for the state seat of Central Wheatbelt had announced her intention to retire from politics at the next WA election, due in March next year.
However, the creation of the new federal seat of Bullwinkel – which takes in her Wheatbelt power base – and lobbying from senior federal Nationals – has tempted her to change course.
Radio 6PR revealed last month that powerbrokers including federal leader David Littleproud and senator Bridget McKenzie had been lobbying Davies to throw her hat in the ring.
The Nationals have only sent one member to the House of Representatives from WA in the past four decades.
Tony Crook was elected in 2010 for one term, replacing retiring Liberal Wilson Tuckey. He famously sat outside the Nationals party room for the first two years of that term as an independent member of the cross bench.
The new seat of Bullwinkel has been carved out of existing portions of Hasluck, Canning, Durack and O’Connor.
Entropy says:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 6:56 pm
Kirsdarkesays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 6:51 pm
Confessions @ #897 Thursday, July 25th, 2024 – 6:37 pm
Sad to see Burney retiring at the next election. But I was at an event with her a couple weeks ago and thought she looked fantastic, much better than the last time we were at events together where I seriously worried for her health.
Perhaps she’s just ready to retire. No doubt the Voice outcome was highly dispiriting and took its toll on all involved, including Burney.
That and Labor as a whole usually encourages MP’s and Senators to retire as they approach 70 years in age, I think it’s an unofficial party policy of theirs, probably to prevent the gerontocracy problem that the US Democrats have at the moment, and what the Soviet Union had in its last years before dissolution.
=========================================================
Probably a good idea. Don’t want to make “ghost that walks status” like Phillip Ruddock did before he went.
__________
Still going as Mayor in Hornsby Shire! And reference was made to a different superhero by Gillard; ‘The Incredible Husk’ 😉
He’s Mayor in some insular peninsula council!
@Leroy at 6:59pm
That is pretty interesting news, Bullwinkel becoming a 3-way contest between Labor, Liberal and National would make it a top WA seat to watch next election.
The Liberals probably would have preferred it not be that way because it’s a notional albeit marginal Labor seat. With Mia Davies contesting, preference leakage will be significant.
Fubar
Thanks for the insight…..
I wonder if just “getting the message right” will be enough?
The strength of the former Howard Liberal government – by dint of good management/good luck/and Labor uncertainty – was that it seemed to appeal to a majority of voters. I wonder if Dutton can emulate Howard? I doubt it myself.
Voters have to have a reason to vote Liberal – that is, rather than Labor – and I just can’t see it with Dutton.
True to say the LNP will have some wins but, in the case of Queensland and its nine year old government, I think it is a matter of seeing off a tired government rather than great enthusiasm for the conservatives.
WA Labor will have an “age” problem too come the next State election, but at this point in time, I would think even with Basil leading the pack, that the Liberals and/or their partners will not claw back enough seats to form government.
I sense Dutton will take the Liberals further to the right …..Time will tell I suppose.
Leroy:
Hoping Mia Davies wins that seat.
She’d be a force to rid the country of the scourge of Barnaby.
Kirsdarke:
In WA the Libs and Nats don’t sit in formal coalition, so 3 cornered contests are often the norm, especially at federal elections.
“Former WA Nationals leader Mia Davies will on Friday confirm a switch to federal politics.”
I hope the ALP wins Bullwinkle, but if she wins for the Nats it may inject some rationality into the federal Nats and that wouldn’t be a bad thing.
Remarkably Ruddock at 81 is younger than Biden by a month.
He retired from federal parliament at age 73. I think his apparent longevity is related to the 43 years he spent in parliament. He was first elected in 1973 aged 30.
Of course none of this compares to the length of career and age of some US Senators
‘Ven says:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 6:04 pm
I Thought DUTTON can never be funny, but I am wrong.
He makes good jokes about SMRs
“I’m not interested in the fanatics:” Dutton responds to science academy’s report on nuclear SMRs
https://reneweconomy-com-au.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/reneweconomy.com.au/im-not-interested-in-the-fanatics-dutton-responds-to-science-academys-report-on-nuclear-smrs/amp/?amp_gsa=1&_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQGsAEggAID#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17218943947406&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Freneweconomy.com.au%2Fim-not-interested-in-the-fanatics-dutton-responds-to-science-academys-report-on-nuclear-smrs%2F
“Opposition leader Peter Dutton has dismissed a report on nuclear small modular reactors by the highly respected Australian Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering, saying the Coalition has consulted its own experts and it is not interested in the views of “fanatics.”
ATSE on Wednesday described SMRs as a “chimera”, and said they were unlikely to be able to be built in Australia before the mid to late 2040s, more than a decade before the Coalition’s timeline of 2035.
The report by ATSE is in line with other assessments by the CSIRO, the Australian Energy Regulator, the Australian Energy Market Operator, former chief scientist and virtually everyone in the energy industry.
But Dutton dismissed it out of hand.
“What this report shows is that the lights are going to go out, and that wind, in particular, is not reliable,” he told journalists in the Hunter Valley, not far from one of the sites identified by the Coalition to host a nuclear power plant, according to a transcript posted on his website.
Actually, the ATSE report says nothing of the sort. It doesn’t address grid reliability problems, nor does it look at SMR costs or waste issues.’
——————-
Straight out of the Trump playbook:
1. Savagely attack your opponents even when they are apolitical scientists.
2. Lie.
3. Lie some more.
OC:
Biden has been in politics for over 50 years. Longer than Ruddock.
Fess
How long have you lived in Sydney, if you think Hornsby is an insular peninsula?
Of course Biden is a spring chicken OC, who could forgot Strom Thurmond the Senior Senator from South Carolina. I think he left the Senate at 100
Apparently George W Bush asked Thurmond’s advice on becoming President and what to do:
“Wuk had” was his response.
“I’m not interested in the fanatics:” Dutton responds to science academy’s report on nuclear SMRs”
I assume he’ll get a panel of Pentecostal Christians and Sovereign Citizens to review his proposal instead.
Mitch McConnell died years ago
Oakeshott Country @ #917 Thursday, July 25th, 2024 – 7:20 pm
Yeah, I thought he was mayor of some council in Manly or thereabouts.
My bad.
”Opposition leader Peter Dutton has dismissed a report on nuclear small modular reactors by the highly respected Australian Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering, saying the Coalition has consulted its own experts…”
It’s own “experts”? Who would they be? Newcorp columnists? Random right-wing bloggers? Sky News hosts?
So much snark and so much pain in you Entropy. Your so sad clown and you dont even know it.
Time for Bandt and Dutton to reflect on the way they have been stoking communalist tensions:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jul/25/nsw-greens-office-vandalised-islamophobic-white-supremacist-graffiti-ntwnfb
Hey BW, your victim blaming now I see… doesnt surprise me considering your previous comments…
Entropy
I recently bought a hybrid (half petrol half electric vehicle that never needs recharging).
The dealership and car manufacturer sell and make hybrids across all their range of vehicles. They WANT people to strongly CONSIDER climate change when they make their choice of vehicles.
It was a cold day, even the salesman said to me (re global warming) “it’s bull-shit mate” lol
Centresays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 7:38 pm
Entropy
I recently bought a hybrid (half petrol half electric vehicle that never needs recharging).
The dealership and car manufacturer sell and make hybrids across all their range of vehicles. They WANT people to strongly CONSIDER climate change when they make their choice of vehicles.
It was a cold day, even the salesman said to me (re global warming) “it’s bull-shit mate” lol
=================================================
I guess Dutton might have a car salesman on his scientific expert panel too. Sounds like you might qualify too.
Lars Von Triersays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 7:31 pm
So much snark and so much pain in you Entropy. Your so sad clown and you dont even know it.
=====================================================
That’s alright, i have a very low opinion of you too.
“Britain paying up to eight times more than EU for road and rail projects, research finds”
“ The research examined more than 200 different projects including many Denmark, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Sweden, and Norway.
In the case of the High Speed 2 (HS2) rail link, it found that Britain was spending 8.5 times more than comparable European projects.”
“ Mr Dumitriu pointed to the Lower Thames Crossing scheme, which aims to improve transport between Essex and Kent by tunnelling under the Thames and is set to cost £9bn, or £700m per mile.
Despite five consultations, and more than £250m spent on a 63,000-page planning application, the scheme is yet to be granted consent.
“In effect, a quarter of a billion spent so one branch of government can ask another branch of government for permission with no guarantee of success,” ”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/08/25/britain-paying-eight-times-more-eu-road-rail-projects/
Australia is not much different.
Confessions at 7.12pm, I can’t agree with that. I live in Bullwinkel and the last thing we need is someone who will be dictated to by agrarian socialists from Queensland and NSW.
I was always amazed that Thurmond was still in the Senate at age 100 in 2003 having won 38 electoral votes standing for the Dixicrats 55 years earlier.
One of the worrying features of the US presidential system is that the 3rd in line for succession is the Senate President Pro-tempore and by tradition this is the majority party’s longest serving senator. Thus at 99 and completely gar-gar Strom was 3 bullets or a well placed bomb away from getting his hands on the red button.
This was handled by promoting him to Senate President Pro-tempore Emeritus and replacing him with Robert Byrd, a youngster at 84.
Entropy
I posted a comment at about 6.30 am this morning on the Biden withdraws thread.
You might be interested to learn just how much the Democrats have taken climate change seriously on the figures reported by The Guardian.
Steve777 @ #920 Thursday, July 25th, 2024 – 7:30 pm
Probably that teenager that’s been running around the country spruiking nucular.
Centresays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 7:51 pm
Entropy
I posted a comment at about 6.30 am this morning on the Biden withdraws thread.
You might be interested to learn just how much the Democrats have taken climate change seriously on the figures reported by The Guardian.
==================================================
While it is nice you want to get some readership for your post in another thread. I’ve actually have a science degree and publications in journals like Nature and Science to my name. I’m not at all interested in reading any anti-science BS you might be pushing.
Of course OC, Strom also had a black daughter born in 1925 when he was 22.
Granny Anny:
Fair point.
But I’ve lived in an electorate that returned a federal National in rural WA before and it didn’t turn out that bad for the electorate in the end.
I think Davies will have an excellent chance of winning Bulwinkle. It doesn’t matter if it’s a three cornered contest because the vast majority of preference flows will be L to NP and vice versa.
I think that the Libs and Nats in WA should become the LNP. I sort of hope that it will happen after the next round of State and Federal elections, when the WA Nats will be left with not much after the WA election due to the change in the Legislative Council voting.
Lars
I remember reading that Strom’s family paid for his black daughter born from “the help”to go to college (a segregated black college of course)
Apparently in his nineties he took to riding in the senate elevator and grabbing young female passengers by the breasts. No one complained until he mistook a fellow senator for the help.
Some more Strom anecdotes for you OC
https://www.counterpunch.org/1998/02/15/strom-s-steamy-past/
Reminds me of Linda Tripp, she told Monica Lewinsky to go public in 1998.
Anyway, Tripp was a White House intern in 1968, first day on the job she got into a lift with LBJ, who grabbed a nipple in his bony fingers and started twistin’.
Until the lift stopped and the door opened.
Then he walked out.
But, hey, he signed the 1964 Civil Rights Act!
Davies like the rest of the nats this time in WA do not have a favourable voting system due to legislation by labor- state.
Me thinks they will poll poorly Davies I will call it no chance.
Alarmingly state labor are rolling along nicely.
This would not appear to be true.
Entropy
It’s The Guardian, a left-wing media publication.
From memory, the US under the Biden/Democrats granted more than half the total oil and gas projects in the world. And 83% of all oil/gas projects by wealthy nations were from the US under Biden.
Badthinkersays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 8:21 pm
Reminds me of Linda Tripp, she told Monica Lewinsky to go public in 1998.
Anyway, Tripp was a White House intern in 1968, first day on the job she got into a lift with LBJ, who grabbed a nipple in his bony fingers and started twistin’.
Until the lift stopped and the door opened.
Then he walked out.
But, hey, he signed the 1964 Civil Rights Act!
===================================================
While LBJ is dead. It still unfair to make up slanderous stories about him. I can find no evidence to support your claim that Linda Tripp was a White House intern in 1968. The actual evidence says this: “She graduated from Hanover Park High School in East Hanover, New Jersey in 1968.”
I find it extremely unlikely that someone finishing secondary school at 18 in New Jersey. Would also be interning at White House in Washington. Nothing about her family suggests they were connected to politicians either at that time.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linda_Tripp
Why should we not consider this BS from you and is your motives racist? As you said yourself LBJ signed the 1964 Civil Rights Act. Is that your reason for trying to discredit him with this apparent made up story?
William Bowesays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 8:34 pm
Reminds me of Linda Tripp, she told Monica Lewinsky to go public in 1998.
Anyway, Tripp was a White House intern in 1968, first day on the job she got into a lift with LBJ, who grabbed a nipple in his bony fingers and started twistin’.
Until the lift stopped and the door opened.
Then he walked out.
This would not appear to be true.
====================================================
That was my conclusion too, after some research. It is just more Badthinker BS, which we are getting far to often on this blog.
Entropysays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 7:57 pm
While it is nice you want to get some readership for your post in another thread. I’ve actually have a science degree and publications in journals like Nature and Science to my name. I’m not at all interested in reading any anti-science BS you might be pushing.
_____________________
Lookout we have got another Yabba on our hands.
Are you a member of Mensa as well ?
Cott independent a Teal like structure are looking for a candidate to run in state seat of Cottosloe.
Err that’s the only seat the libs hold in Perth.Lower house.
Centresays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 8:37 pm
Entropy
It’s The Guardian, a left-wing media publication.
From memory, the US under the Biden/Democrats granted more than half the total oil and gas projects in the world. And 83% of all oil/gas projects by wealthy nations were from the US under Biden.
=================================================
It is your general anti-science BS i have no time for. I have no problem with Guardian articles. Just the overall spin you want to put on them.
Oops Bulwinkle seat is Federal she may be a real chance then fed labor are on nose here.
West Aust reports tonight Centrelink calls went unanswered topped 11 million in the year to April 24.
Almost double year before.
Minister in charge ?
Swiss air NDIS man Bill Shorten.Move him Albo!
Taylormadesays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 8:41 pm
Entropysays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 7:57 pm
While it is nice you want to get some readership for your post in another thread. I’ve actually have a science degree and publications in journals like Nature and Science to my name. I’m not at all interested in reading any anti-science BS you might be pushing.
_____________________
Lookout we have got another Yabba on our hands.
Are you a member of Mensa as well ?
======================================================
I was a research scientist we publish papers as part of our job. Doing Mensa tests was not part of my job requirement and i never did one.
There is no spin Entropy – it’s fact. Not my research, not my figures, it’s straight from The Guardian!
Centresays:
Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 8:52 pm
There is no spin Entropy – it’s fact, Not my research, not my figures, it’s straight from The Guardian!
===================================================
I still have no interest in reading your post made sometime this morning in another thread. See if you can find someone else to spruik your garbage too.