YouGov, which for a while was reporting every three weeks, returns from a break with its first federal poll in seven weeks (though not yet on their website), showing Labor with a 51-49 lead on two-party preferred compared with 50-50 last time. Labor is up one on the primary vote to 31%, with the Coalition steady on 38%, the Greens down one to 13% and One Nation down one to 7%. Anthony Albanese is up one on approval to 42% and down one on disapproval to 52%, while Peter Dutton more than recovers after a slump last time, gaining four on approval to 42% and falling five on disapproval to 46%. Albanese holds a 45-37 lead as preferred prime minister, in from 47-36.
The poll also offers the government the sobering finding that 73% were unable to name a government initiate that had made them financially better off, with only 10% nominating the tax cuts that recently took effect, followed by 7% for energy rebates. It was conducted a little over a week ago, from July 12 to 17, from a sample of 1528.
Boer….I’ve been associated with 3 industries in my life. All 3 have been obliterated by resource destruction. In the later 2, the source of destruction was climate change. As a result, my net life time income has been a mere pittance. I have fewer economic resources – lower absolute savings and lower income potential – available to me now than when I entered the workforce 50 years ago.
The rate exploitation of the earth’s resources has been accelerating. The distribution of costs and benefits from such exploitation are uneven, both spatially and temporally. Feedback from this exploitation is indirect…but it is inevitable.
What do Brolgas and Whales have in common?
The Greens are all for windfarms and renewables and for more housing supply… until it is time to astroturf some populist votes by opposing the lot.
No shame.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jul/28/it-doesnt-need-to-be-one-or-the-other-balancing-brolgas-and-windfarms-in-victoria
Josh Wilson becomes asst minister for climate change and energy. He not long ago spoke out against the government’s plan to continue relying heavily on gas..
My daughters football team qualified for the Champions of Champions a while back. They drew a home game which was played on the synthetic pitch of Blacktown Spartans.
CofC is played after the regular season in spring. On this day the temperature was around 30°.
Who knows what the pitch temperature was. The other team was short of players and basically threw in the towel in the second half after losing a couple of players through injury and heat exhaustion.
I walked on the field and I could feel the heat at knee level. I like these fields in winter for catching up washed out games but not during the day with high temperatures. I reckon mid 20s would have been close to unbearable. The field also has little black rubber bits which get in players boots and clothing.
I think it’s meant to give a truer bounce but not sure.
BW, can you point out where the Greens are mentioned in the article you linked?
Or is this another case of “lying is bad unless BW does it”
Also its funny you accuse Hezbollah of baiting Israel to invade, considering Israel has hardly hidden their views that Lebanese territory is actually Israeli territory…
Also still waiting for a response as to why the ACT Labor position is so difficult for the Federal government to adopt? Or are the ACT Labor party… antisemites?! DUN dun…
Pat Conroy into cabinet is a good call
Dutts is a sensational Opposition leader compared to anyone since Howard, but he’s not popular in Victoria or Qld.
Vic. makes sense, they hate cops down there, but if the average Qld-er met a Victorian Cop, he’d change his mind about the ones we’ve got up here.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
So, a change to Jimmy Chalmers could hold Blair & Lilley and make Labor competitive in
Longman, Herbert Capricornia, Leichhardt, Dawson and Forde, which is where they were under Rudd.
But the change has got to be soon, once Labor start Polling in the mid 20s no one can get them home.
The closer we get to April 2025 the more likely there will be an election between now and then….The old a-stopped-clock-tells-the right-time-twice-a-day rubbish.
With an election coming up in Queensland – which everyone has essentially written off for Labor – with a very nasty election coming up in the US, with WA’s State election not that far off, with an
unlikely call of an election in the run up to Christmas, that leaves just 4 months of 2025 for the election to be run.
As no government it its right mind would call an election any time in January, the earliest I can see Labor maybe be going, is February. Other than that – April/May.
For what its worth I think both Albanese and Dutton will be there to slug it out. Albanese because he deserves to be and, alas for the LNP, because they don’t have anyone better to put up.
I have just found a dead chook, examined its entrails, to determine the above scenario.
Badthinkersays:
Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 2:20 pm
Dutts is a sensational Opposition leader compared to anyone since Howard, but he’s not popular in Victoria or Qld.
Vic. makes sense, they hate cops down there, but if the average Qld-er met a Victorian Cop, he’d change his mind about the ones we’ve got up here.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
So, a change to Jimmy Chalmers could hold Blair & Lilley and make Labor competitive in
Longman, Herbert Capricornia, Leichhardt, Dawson and Forde, which is where they were under Rudd.
But the change has got to be soon, once Labor start Polling in the mid 20s no one can get them home.
====================================================
Your saying this because you want Labor to win? So you are suggesting the best path for them to achieve that. That is very kind of you.
Quote: “Do not do what you want to do, but what you judge your enemy least wants you to do”
So is BT a friend or enemy of Labor?
So what is it that BT least wants Labor to do?
Quote: “Beware of Geeks speaking crap”
Albo backing all the way away from the Republic… urgh, what a disappointment…
The obvious thing for Labor to do is to :
A)Not change a thing, after all it’s going great
B) Albo is a wonderful leader , his net sat proves it. Why change ?
C) Cautious incrementalism with timeframes of 2050 is the way to go
D) make minimalist ministerial changes, keep a cabinet with an average age of 57 in place
“ What do Brolgas and Whales have in common?
The Greens are all for windfarms and renewables and for more housing supply… until it is time to astroturf some populist votes by opposing the lot.
No shame.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jul/28/it-doesnt-need-to-be-one-or-the-other-balancing-brolgas-and-windfarms-in-victoria”
______
Perhaps the Green Political Party DOES do a good impression of blinkered nimby politics from time to time. … and perhaps your observations over the duplicity of the hyphenated surnames brigade is well founded Boer … but we should never loose sight of the real villains of the piece – for always and forever it is the LNP and their rural backers, becuase the key threat to brolgas – as it is for every native species on this continent is land clearing and development. Wind farm bird strikes? A rounding error of no statistical concern.
The biggest, yet frustrating lol moment I had recently was the you tube video i watched of some local farming cooker complaining of the threat to ‘the environment’ in Oberon because of planned wind farms. The video then had sweeping panoramic footage of his family’s farm – and that of his neighbours – all of whom apparently had been farming there ‘for generations’. … what amazed me was that if one thought about the seeping vistas depicted for anything longer than a nanosecond was the obvious: the area of concern had been clear felled generations ago, and it was likely that the environment had been destroyed utterly by the ‘farming families’ now bleating on behalf of ‘the environment’.
Thinking about the issue for a nanosecond longer another obvious conclusion could be drawn: wind farms simply represent another economic opportunity to economically exploit land holdings that have already been exploited economically – and at great cost to the environment – for generations. Indeed, they represent a potential return on a passive investment opportunity that would permit, indeed facilitate regeneration programs (which in turn could have been another potential income stream had these cooker cookies NOT voted for Abbott to destroy the ETS a decade ago and there was a price on carbon which would have allowed them to claim carbon credits – and on-sell them).
“ Pat Conroy into cabinet is a good call”
No it isn’t. The man is a buffoon.
“ The Coalition has surged ahead of Labor in the polls as more Aussies abandon Anthony Albanese amid the cost-of-living crisis.
The Coalition is leading 51.5 per cent to 48.5 per cent on a two-party preferred basis in the latest RedBridge poll.
It marks the first time the Opposition has pulled ahead of Labor in this particular poll since Mr Albanese was elected prime minister in 2022.
Only months ago in April, Labor was leading by a comfortable 4 per cent, The Daily Telegraph reported.
The change in sentiment comes as more Australians become increasingly disappointed by Mr Albanese’s cost-of-living policies.
Adding to Peter Dutton’s support is male voters who are abandoning minor parties such as the Greens.
Since April, the surge in support for the Coalition’s primary vote went from 37 per cent to 41 per cent.
But, in the middle and lower income voting bracket, the jump was even greater.
With voters earning less than $1,000 a week, support rose by six per cent, and amongst those earning between $1,000 and $1,900, votes jumped by four per cent.
Support for Labor by the two income groups waned over the same time period, decreasing from 35 per cent to 31 per cent for those earning $1,000 a week, and from 36 per cent to 31 per cent for residents on $1,000 to $1,900 a week.
Also troubling for Mr Albanese, who will need to head to a federal election by May, is Labor’s primary vote dropping across all demographics from 32 per cent to 31 per cent – 1.58 per cent below its votes from the last election.
But it is great news for the Coalition primary vote, as they have jumped ahead to 41 per cent, which is up from the 35.7 per cent of votes Scott Morrison received when he lost in 2022.
The current number is also close to the 42.04 per cent Morrison beat Shorten with in 2019.
RedBridge director of strategy and analytics Kosmos Samaras, who is a former Labor strategist, said many governments around the world are facing a similar situation.
‘Across many Western democracies every incumbent government has either lost or is behind in the polls,’ he said.
‘This is global trend fuelled by an affordability crisis that for many lower income constituencies is worse than any recession they or their families have ever confronted.’
Redbridge director of corporate affairs and communications Tony Barry said it was ‘a difficult time to be an incumbent government’ and believes it is even harder if swing voters see them as ‘a mediocre incumbent government’.
‘We are going to see a series of change elections in many jurisdictions in the coming 12 months and, with such a strongly negative mood sentiment in Australia, Anthony Albanese has to (outline) a credible plan for hope,’ he said.“
Redbridge by way of Murdoch Infotainment transcibed in Daily Mail
Can we have an explanation as to what “envoy for social cohesion” actually means?
This reshuffle sets Labor for the run home to the election.
Once again it is worth noting that not a single minister has been lost to dishonesty. Compare and contrast the flock of crooks amongst those opposite.
The dynamic duo will slag this.
Why?
Dog meet flea.
Andrew_Earlwoodsays:
Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 2:34 pm
=============================================
Between Oberon and Jenolan (Edith region). They planted most of it with Pines and also put a prison near there. It is hardly very productive agricultural land.
A-E
Amen, brother.
Pat Conroy may or may not be a buffoon, but it doesn’t matter what his position is because others call the shots on Defence procurement.
Lordbain
It’s a title that gives you extra salary I presume.
“ Between Oberon and Jenolan (Edith region). They planted most of it with Pines and also put a prison near there. It is hardly very productive agricultural land.”
Isn’t it ‘odd’ how unproductive land tuns out to be if situated on high altitude, wind prone escarpments and some ‘genius’ makes the boss move of strip clearing it a couple of generations ago to run a few head of sheep or cattle across it?
Surely it’s time for some seat polls?
Josh Wilson joins Tanya in now having his environmental credibility shredded by Labor’s support for fossil fuel expansion.
Clare O’Neal moving from home affairs to housing…. there has got to be a joke in there that a house is not a home…. or something like that.
So, Albo has punished O’Neil and Giles for failing him on Home Affairs and Immigration.
What more draconian measures were they supposed to implement ?
Burke still falls short of ScoMo’s world record number of portfolios.
Andrew_Earlwood @ #770 Sunday, July 28th, 2024 – 2:16 pm
Part of it is in Warragamba catchment.
Chalmers as PM/ Burke as Treasurer .
Andrew_Earlwoodsays:
Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 2:46 pm
“ Between Oberon and Jenolan (Edith region). They planted most of it with Pines and also put a prison near there. It is hardly very productive agricultural land.”
Isn’t it ‘odd’ how unproductive land tuns out to be if situated on high altitude, wind prone escarpments and some ‘genius’ makes the boss move of strip clearing it a couple of generations ago to run a few head of sheep or cattle across it?
=================================================
Even the Pine plantations are not doing great there. As they were planted on shallow soils on granite. In what probably was once Scribbly Gum forest (rossii).
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has revealed the winners and losers in his first reshuffle since coming to power in 2022, with embattled ministers Andrew Giles and Clare O’Neil both moved out from their contentious jobs.
Tony Burke will become both Home Affairs and Immigration minister, with Clare O’Neil leaving the Home Affairs department to take up the Housing and Homelessness portfolio.
Senator Murray Watt will move from Agriculture to take on the Industrial Relations ministry.
Mr Giles has been moved from his portfolio and will take up the Skills and Training ministry.
Senator Jenny McAllister has been promoted in the reshuffle and will become the Cities and Emergency Management minister.
Julie Collins will become the Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry and Small Business minister.
Northern Territory Senator Malarndirri McCarthy becomes the new Indigenous Australians Minister, replacing Linda Burney.
Pat Conroy will serve as the Defence Industry Minister and minister for International Development and the Pacific.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-07-28/anthony-albanese-reshuffles-cabinet-clare-oneil-andrew-giles/104141974
Entropy
“ How does that work? Certainly i never considered the Roman Empire and the earlier city states of Greece to be a beacon of rationality.
Though i guess studying the Peloponnesian War could give one a better understanding of stupidity. Whether that will also make one more rational, i don’t know.”
——————————————————-
I have a degree in philosophy and enjoyed reading quite a few works of ancient Greeks and Romans at the time. I gained a lot from reading them.
For me the point is not to think Greece or Rome were great – they weren’t. Nor is it true that all our institutions and culture are descended from them – many aren’t.
For me the value was in seeing elements of human nature in them that are still true today, and realising that those are universal, not just European.
In politics too, when you read something like Aristotle’s politics, it makes clear the strengths and weaknesses of different political systems. Most of us don’t have an inherent bias in favour of Athens over Sparta, or Romans over Latins, so you see clearly when some systems have inherent weaknesses that are still true today.
Lordbain says:
Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 2:29 pm
Albo backing all the way away from the Republic… urgh, what a disappointment…
___________________________________________________________
Are you genuinely disappointed or are you just finding something to have a go at Labor about?
The truth is, there will not be a republic in Australia until there is bipartisan support for it, and maybe not even then, if the No case against a republic is as unscrupulous and as cunning as the opponents of the Voice were in last year’s referendum.
If you really want Australia to have its own head of state, stop criticising the side of politics which wants it, and start attacking the side of politics which doesn’t. There is no point in wasting taxpayers’ money and depressing republicans’ morale by holding a referendum which is destined to fail.
Physionomy: never wrong
See also:
A.Giles
C.O’Neil
Many such cases
“ Part of it is in Warragamba catchment.”
Indeed.and the best way to mitigate flash flooding from the catchment into the dam (and hence requiring unfavourable dam spills into the flood prone plains of the Hawkesbury Nepean river valley) would be … to revegetate a significant proportion of the land that had been stripped cleared … potentially another income stream for the cooker cockies, if they had the gumption to negotiate wisely with government for an economic return for such a plan. Not to mention the ‘pumped-hydro’ farming opportunities that may be available if some of their high country properties were used as the retention dams in tandem with Warragamba and water was then pumped uphill via electricity generation from wind farms also situated on the farms. …
Badthinkersays:
Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 3:04 pm
“ Pat Conroy into cabinet is a good call”
No it isn’t. The man is a buffoon.
Physionomy: never wrong
===============================================
Even when missing a “g”?
Though it is very common for racists to believe that.
“ Chalmers as PM/ Burke as Treasurer .”
2032 is calling you L’arse. 😉
Parkes, considering I support the only party that now seemingly supports a Republic… maybe Labor should stop rolling over on everything and actually fight for once?
Today I announce changes to the Cabinet and to the Ministry, drawing on the strength and depth of the Parliamentary Labor Party.
I am proud to lead a talented and united cabinet government that is focussed every day on continuing to deliver better outcomes and more opportunities for all Australians.
Our Ministry works together, listens to each other and acts decisively with purpose.
We are proud of what we have delivered for Australians and the progress we have made together.
While my Government’s leadership team remains unchanged, the decision three colleagues have taken to step down creates an opportunity for others to step up.
Cabinet changes
Tony Burke MP – Minister for Home Affairs; Minister for Immigration and Multicultural Affairs; Minister for Cyber Security; Minister for the Arts; Leader of the House
Julie Collins MP – Minister for Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry; Minister for Small Business
Senator Murray Watt – Minister for Employment and Workplace Relations
Clare O’Neil MP – Minister for Housing; Minister for Homelessness
Senator Malarndirri McCarthy – Minister for Indigenous Australians
Pat Conroy MP – Minister for Defence Industry and Capability Delivery; Minister for International Development and the Pacific
Ministry changes
Andrew Giles MP – Minister for Skills and Training
Senator Jenny McAllister – Minister for Cities; Minister for Emergency Management
Assistant Ministry changes
Matt Thistlethwaite MP – Assistant Minister for Immigration
Patrick Gorman MP – Assistant to the Prime Minister; Assistant Minister for the Public Service; Assistant Minister to the Attorney-General
Ged Kearney MP – Assistant Minister for Health and Aged Care; Assistant Minister for Indigenous Health
Senator Tim Ayres – Assistant Minister for a Future Made In Australia; Assistant Minister for Trade
Senator Anthony Chisholm – Assistant Minister for Education; Assistant Minister for Regional Development; Assistant Minister for Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry
Kate Thwaites MP – Assistant Minister for Social Security; Assistant Minister for Ageing; Assistant Minister for Women
Josh Wilson MP – Assistant Minister for Climate Change and Energy
Julian Hill MP – Assistant Minister for Citizenship and Multicultural Affairs
Special Envoy changes
Peter Khalil MP – Special Envoy for Social Cohesion
Luke Gosling MP – Special Envoy for Defence, Veterans’ Affairs and Northern Australia
Andrew Charlton MP – Special Envoy for Cyber Security and Digital Resilience
https://www.pm.gov.au/media/ministerial-arrangements
Tricot says:
Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 2:27 pm
For what its worth I think both Albanese and Dutton will be there to slug it out. Albanese because he deserves to be and, alas for the LNP, because they don’t have anyone better to put up.
—————
Angus Taylor is the only campaigner the federal lib/nats have ,
Dutton was hidden during majority of the by-elections because he is not a campaigner , Dutton only appeared in a very safe QLD LNP held seat
Pumping water from Warragamba to Edith would be a mission.
Over, X, Greens MP Max Chandler-Mather has called on the new housing minister to re-open negotiations with The Greens:
“If Labor wants their housing bills passed, I call on the new housing minister, Clare O’Neil to immediately reopen negotiations with the Greens on rent freeze/caps along with phasing out tax handouts for investors and real investment in public housing.”
Greens are willing to negotiate, is Labor?
“ Pumping water from Warragamba to Edith would be a mission.”
Quite correct. But not from farming land a few ridge lines away (I need access to a topographical map to be more precise). However, even if situated wholly within the Edith-Oberon area there are quite a number of pumped hydro opportunities.
I’m just enquiring. Were there not a Resolve poll and a Redbridge release today.
Team Katichsays:
Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 3:11 pm
Pumping water from Warragamba to Edith would be a mission.
====================================================
It not like the electricity generated at a wind farm can’t be used for pumped hydro somewhere else too. Which that route would certainly not be a likely choice.
Though i do note, someone was suggesting the water to cool Dutton’s radioactive white elephant at Lithgow. Could come from that source too. The idea that water pipe with pumping stations strategically placed along it, running 100 km through bushfire prone forests. Is vital to always be running to stop a melt down. Is something that doesn’t appeal to me though.
Lordbain says:
Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 3:08 pm
Parkes, considering I support the only party that now seemingly supports a Republic… maybe Labor should stop rolling over on everything and actually fight for once?
_________________________________________________________
“Actually fight for once?” You mean the way Labor fought for the Voice at last year’s referendum? That went well, didn’t it?
How many times must we realise? Any referendum will fail if there is no bipartisan support for it. If you want to see an Australian republic, start urging the Coalition parties to support one. There are in fact Liberal and Nationals MPs who are republicans, but it is not Coalition policy.
Sure, Labor can argue and urge for an Indigenous voice to parliament and an Australian republic until Barnaby Joyce’s cows come home, but until the conservative forces shift, things won’t change.
So stop using the republic as an excuse to attack Labor.
The federal Lib/nats if Peter Dutton is still leader at the 2025 federal election , they havent learn anything from the 2022 federal election
Going to have the same problem with Peter Dutton which they had with Scott Morrison who was not liked around the country
Massive, humiliating demotion for Clare O’Neill who was recently being touted as a possible deputy PM because Marles is such a dope. Moving to the backbench would have been less humiliating for this high-profile woman.
Also, does moving Conroy, the Minister for Armaments, into Cabinet mean that Albanese is putting us onto to some sort of war footing?
Parkes, I am going to attack Labor when it backs away from policies I support and view as a benefit for Australia.
What should I do, applaud Labor for backing down?
Jesus christ, the parasocial relationship some of you have with Labor is concerning…
This is the exact same logic that occured when people were asking Biden to step down and the Blue MAGA crowd was screaming why arnt you asking Trump… news flash, Trump was never going to step down, as the same way the Coalition part is NEVER going to support a referendum on the Republic. The only way to get it down was for the parties that support the Republic to continue to argue for the Republic. Labor backing down weakens the Republic campaign, and then you have the nerve to argue that pro Republicans shouldnt attack Labor for this?
But hey, Labor needing the Coalition to do anything is certainly a pattern…
Good to see word searcher Giles moved from Immigration and Burke given the nod there as I suggested on PB a few days ago. Giving him Home Afffairs too was a surprise but I guess now Labor will have just one seasoned player dealing with QT barrages from Dutton et al on immigration numbers and ex detainees committing criminal offences etc when Parliament resumes.
.
That sounds like political blackmail, not an invitation to negotiate.
The answer is no Lordbain. You’re crew of shysters get nothing. F-off.
Also … just a list of stunts. Stupid ones at that.
FFS, calling upon the only political party who has suffered political damage for attempting to phase out tax concessions to repeat that as a condition for doing the right thing and passing the government’s legislation on other matters sounds like a LNP trap in addition to being an act of blatant extortion. Which it is. The Greens Political Party: Dutton’s little angles.