While they are yet to chalk one up in Newspoll, Coalition two-party poll leads are seemingly becoming less uncommon, as the BludgerTrack poll trend measure (see sidebar) maintains its long slow trajectory in their favour:
• RedBridge Group has a federal poll that credits the Coalition with a two-party preferred lead of 51.5-48.5, compared with a Labor lead of 52-48 at the last such poll in April, and the first lead for the Coalition out of the seven such polls RedBridge has conducted this term. The primary votes are Labor 32% (down one), Coalition 41% (up four) and Greens 11% (down one). The poll was conducted July 10 to 19 from a sample of 1505.
• I neglected to record the result of the weekly Roy Morgan poll this week, so let the record note it found the Coalition leading 51-49 on two-party preferred (though with Labor leading 50.5-49.5 on the pollster’s own calculation using preference flows from 2022), out from 50.5-49.5 last week. The primary votes were Labor 31.5% (up half), Coalition 39.5% (up two), Greens 13% (up half) and One Nation 5% (steady). The poll was conducted last Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1752.
Preselection news:
• Rhiannon Shine of the ABC reports Mia Davies, former leader of the state Nationals, has confirmed she will seek the party’s preselection for the new federal seat of Bullwinkel, encompasses Perth’s eastern hinterland and the Avon Valley region.
• With Linda Burney announcing her imminent retirement from politics, James O’Doherty of the Daily Telegraph reports former New South Wales upper house member Shaoquett Moselmane will seek preselection for her southern Sydney seat of Barton. Moselmane failed to retain preselection at the 2023 state election after facing pressure over links to figures connected with the Chinese Communist Party, which resulted in his home being raided in ASIO, and has lately called on Labor to recognise a Palestinian state. Also announcing his retirement last week was Brendan O’Connor, creating a Labor vacancy at the next election for his safe western Melbourne seat of Gorton.
• The Nationals candidate for the western New South Wales seat of Calare will be Sam Farraway, who has held a seat for the party in the state Legislative Council since 2019. Andrew Gee has held the seat as an independent since resigning from the party in December 2022.
• Paul Garvey of The Australian reports Jan Norberger, the sole nominee for Liberal preselection in the Perth seat of Pearce, quit the party a year ago for an unsuccessful Senate preselection bid with Australian Christians, then returned to it afterwards. Norberger held the state seat of Joondalup for the Liberals from 2013 to 2017.
• Sarah Elks of The Australian reports the Greens will target the Labor-held Brisbane seats of Moreton and Lilley at the next election, and that former LNP member Trevor Evans is “seriously considering” running again in Brisbane, which he lost to the Greens in 2022.
BK @ #638 Tuesday, July 30th, 2024 – 7:04 pm
BK:
Making stable 100% sterile & endotoxin-free intravenous solutions in large packaged quantities is not as simple as it sounds, even for normal (0.9%) saline. Doing it for (stable & storable) Hartman’s, Ringer’s & potassium-containing solutions is nigh impossible on a mass scale. Weary Dunlop’s solution of coconut “milk” & bamboo needles is not manufacturing best practice.
Gretchen Whitmer and Josh Shapiro did a tag team rally for Kamala Harris today.
If you haven’t seen these 2 rising stars in US politics in action, watching their stump speeches is inspirational for the future of that troubled nation.
Fast forward to about 18 minutes in when they come on stage..
https://www.youtube.com/live/AhBt0c-zpbU?si=tSocQkbpYhBdVmE4
Ven @ #653 Tuesday, July 30th, 2024 – 7:53 pm
To the tune of about a Billion dollars, iirc.
What happened to good old Australian ingenuity:
“Lacking medical supplies, Dunlop and the doctors who worked with him managed to create an effective surgical hospital through improvisation and scavenging. Artificial legs were fashioned from bamboo. Antiseptic saline was produced by an apparatus cobbled together from bamboo, rubber tubing, and sawn-off beer bottles.”
C@tmommasays:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 7:52 pm
Badthinker @ #474 Tuesday, July 30th, 2024 – 12:01 pm
Entropy:
Note: I’ve had my own fights with C@T at times.
But you’re being a doormat now.
What changed?
Oh, what a Svengali I am!
Nope. Nope. Nope. Malignthinker, Entropy held their own, stood their ground, we shook hands and carried on as adults.
============================================
Yep, which is similar to sentences i wrote. Following the selected sentence Badthinker replied to. I do note in the reply he didn’t use the time stamp on my post. Instead just wrote in my name before that sentence too. As if he didn’t want the full context to be known of that post?
You were very very brave in standing your ground entropy.
Leader @ #662 Tuesday, July 30th, 2024 – 8:00 pm
The mortality from that sort of good old (Australian) ingenuity was probably north of 20% – which was better than the alternative if dying of dysentery…
”
sprocket_says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 7:59 pm
Gretchen Whitmer and Josh Shapiro did a tag team rally for Kamala Harris today.
If you haven’t seen these 2 rising stars in US politics in action, watching their stump speeches is inspirational for the future of that troubled nation.
Fast forward to about 18 minutes in when they come on stage..
https://www.youtube.com/live/AhBt0c-zpbU?si=tSocQkbpYhBdVmE4
”
Sprocket
And they will remain “rising stars” and become potential leaders only if Harris wins November election.
Lars Von Triersays:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 8:07 pm
You were very very brave in standing your ground entropy
==============================================
Lars, you are a stirrer. I suspect an incurable one.
Nadia88 had a good word for everyone.
Sorry to see she has left.
If you’re reading Nadia, I’ll miss your input and hoping you’ll be back sometime.
Give me one valid reason why they need to spend $40 million telling us we have a tax cut.
This is something you’d expect from Farage, and it shouldn’t come as a surprise that Pearson was briefly the leader of UKIP. While polygyny is permitted in Islam, under English & Welsh law (not sure about Scotland & NI), it’s not – see Attorney General v Akhter and Khan [2020] EWCA Civ 122. But that doesn’t matter as people are of course free to procreate irrespective of whether they are formally married. If Islam does eventually become dominant in the UK, c’est la vie – there’s nothing the likes of Farage & Pearson can do about it.
[‘A peer has been accused of Islamophobia after giving a “disgusting and outrageous” speech in the House of Lords.
Lord Pearson of Rannoch claimed “radicals” plan to “take us over through the power of the womb and the ballot box” after discussing government plans to improve counter-terrorism measures at public venues following the King’s Speech.
“The sharia allows Muslim men to have four wives at a time, most of whom are having at least two children, so the Muslim population is going up 10 times faster than our national average,” he told the House of Lords last Thursday (25 July).
“On past trends, Birmingham and nine other English local authorities will be majority Muslim by 2031. The radicals’ plan is to wait until they can take us over through the power of the womb and the ballot box.”
The 82-year-old, now a non-affiliated peer having formerly sat as a Conservative and briefly been the leader of UKIP, has been condemned for his comments.’] – The Independent
Enjoy your break Nadia. Come back soon.
Rhw
I have always been surprised by Weary’s preferred treatment for dysentery- a defunctioning ileostomy, performed in extremely challenging circumstances.
A no holds bar assessment of both Weary’s character and surgical skills can be found in Keep the Men Alive by Rosalind Hearder – a very brave book.
Whitmer & Cooper have withdrawn from the VP stakes.
FUBAR
The Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison government spent nearly $1b of taxpayers money carpet bombing the media with glossy productions of press announcements.
Labor is spending a modest sum to inform the people of an actual tax cut which all benefit from.
Agreed with the above about Nadia88. Given the numbers in the username I assume they’re the same age as me, and I’ve enjoyed their input.
Hoping you’ll have second thoughts about leaving like I did, the C+ extension really does help in that you can just simply ignore the people that can make this place unbearable.
Fact check on myself – the ATM government spent OVER $1b on advertising..
Scomo’s legacy is a record shift of taxpayer’s money into his advertising company mates…
The federal government is a big spender in the advertising world, regularly spending more than major companies such as McDonald’s, Telstra and Coles. New data released on Friday by the Department of Finance shows that in the lead-up to the May 2022 election, the Coalition government’s advertising spend skyrocketed yet again.
The past financial year was the biggest year on record for taxpayer-funded advertising. The previous federal government spent A$339 million on taxpayer-funded advertising campaigns in 2021-22, well above the 25-year average of about $200 million a year.
https://theconversation.com/the-morrison-government-spent-a-record-amount-on-taxpayer-funded-advertising-new-data-reveal-196870
Can you imagine how much taxpayer’s money will be spent by a PM Dutton on spruiking nuclear technology?
I reckon Scomo’s record $339m of waste will be left in the rear view mirror.
”
sprocket_says:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 8:25 pm
FUBAR
The Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison government spent nearly $1b of taxpayers money carpet bombing the media with glossy productions of press announcements.
Labor is spending a modest sum to inform the people of an actual tax cut which all benefit from.
”
Sprocket
And Unfortunately, most Australian people are as political attuned and savvy as you and FUBAR.
Otherwise, Majority Australians will not be voting b for Abbott, Morrison and Morrison governments.
And people like FUBAR want to keep that way. 🙂
Good to see that nadia is getting plenty of support to change her mind. This is primarily a psephological site and she counted a lot
of beans.
The stage 3 ads were bullshit, blatant political advertising at taxpayers expense. Sure it’s not Morrison level bullshit, but still bullshit. It shouldn’t be allowed for either side to abuse government advertising budgets in that way. Saying your opponent was worse isn’t a defence of the practice….
Fubar…
Ah, for goodness sake calm down.
You are the name caller I refer to. …….
“Albo” = Airbus Albatross ad naseum attempt a rye humour…Ho, Ho, boring ho……..
For former officer/gentleman, boy you drop very quickly into foul mouth and faux anger.
I actually have given you more credit but it seems you are in mood you must have been in when you missed being in Sov’s Company at Duntroon in the time you were there….Or maybe, that was after your time when the let anybody in the joint?
Been there I see you’re aware but nadia88 wanted you to know she’s dropped off the site, hopefully only for the time being.
Nadia had a regard for you so thought to drop a line to you.
US Senator Kennedy(R) called Kamala Harris a ‘ding dong’ on Fox News. Even Fox host pushed back that name calling.
sprocket_ @ #668 Tuesday, July 30th, 2024 – 8:29 pm
Interesting is the spend in 2020 was less than in previous (or future) years, despite a once in a hundred year global pandemic, and at a time when you’d think the government would need to increase communication with people about personal safety and wellbeing.
”
PageBoisays:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 8:45 pm
The stage 3 ads were bullshit, blatant political advertising at taxpayers expense. Sure it’s not Morrison level bullshit, but still bullshit. It shouldn’t be allowed for either side to abuse government advertising budgets in that way. Saying your opponent was worse isn’t a defence of the practice….
”
Pageboi
PageboiI know you are long time poster.
Can you remind of time when you criticised LNP alone for their advertisement when they were in government?
You constant theme is ALP-LNP same-same.
Interesting point, Confessions. I’d have imagined a spike in 2020-21 would’ve been expected due to the vaccination campaign. But it’s a big spike in 2022, when I admit can’t recall any particular advertising.
If I’m thinking of the same person she was a natural fit for a site like this. She just loved the polls and couldn’t get enough of them. It’s a great pity that the argy bargy directed at her seemed to get a bit too much for her.
Democrats Harris campaign slogan : For everyone, Not to get by but to get ahead.
I see that the Greens and the Liberals are on the same page again.
Will Dutton offer Bandt and the Greens a ministry or two for their services?
Thanks Vlad for passing that on.
What are they on the same page about this time, Boerwar? Something where disagreement with a Labor policy from either side equates to an existential threat to democracy because it means that they won’t wave something through?
Bystander:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 9:08 pm
[‘If I’m thinking of the same person she was a natural fit for a site like this. She just loved the polls and couldn’t get enough of them. It’s a great pity that the argy bargy directed at her seemed to get a bit too much for her.’]
That’s her alright. If she sees these posts, she might take heart.
It matters not if this man has yet to front his peers in court. His
reputation is in tatters. It’s a high price, but his alleged criminal conduct is the pits. I’ve read that he rehearsed & rehearsed his announcement that the Queen had died but a Cronkite he is not.
[‘London: Former BBC TV news presenter Huw Edwards, a household name in Britain, has been charged with three counts of making indecent pictures of children, police say.
Edwards, 62, was the BBC’s highest-paid news presenter and anchored the broadcaster’s BBC News at Ten bulletin for more than two decades. He was one of the main faces at the broadcaster until his departure, announcing the death of Queen Elizabeth to the nation, and leading coverage of the biggest events in Britain since the turn of the century, including elections, royal weddings and the 2012 Olympics. He resigned in April.
Huw Edwards announcing the death of Queen Elizabeth II on BBC
He has been charged with three counts of making an indecent photograph or pseudo-photograph of a child relating to images found on a child’s phone, according to court documents.
“The offences, which are alleged to have taken place between December 2020 and April 2022, relate to images shared on a WhatsApp chat,” a London police spokesperson said.
“Edwards was arrested on 8 November, 2023. He was charged on Wednesday, 26 June following authorisation from the Crown Prosecution Service.”] – SMH
For this type of offending, where the evidence is almost indisputable, he’ll most likely plead guilty & won’t serve any time inside. The maximum penalty is six months imprisonment and/or an unlimited fine. At the BBC he earned over £500,000 PA.
The only “crazy” is someone that writes texts like this.
Ven:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 9:56 pm
It seems that Rupert & Lachlan have seen the writing on the wall. Off to Paris.
”
Mavissays:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 9:51 pm
It matters not if this man has yet to front his peers in court. His
reputation is in tatters. It’s a high price, but his alleged criminal conduct is the pits. I’ve read that he rehearsed & rehearsed his announcement that the Queen had died but a Cronkite he is not.
[‘London: Former BBC TV news presenter Huw Edwards, a household name in Britain, has been charged with three counts of making indecent pictures of children, police say.
Edwards, 62, was the BBC’s highest-paid news presenter and anchored the broadcaster’s BBC News at Ten bulletin for more than two decades. He was one of the main faces at the broadcaster until his departure, announcing the death of Queen Elizabeth to the nation, and leading coverage of the biggest events in Britain since the turn of the century, including elections, royal weddings and the 2012 Olympics. He resigned in April.
Huw Edwards announcing the death of Queen Elizabeth II on BBC
He has been charged with three counts of making an indecent photograph or pseudo-photograph of a child relating to images found on a child’s phone, according to court documents.
“The offences, which are alleged to have taken place between December 2020 and April 2022, relate to images shared on a WhatsApp chat,” a London police spokesperson said.
“Edwards was arrested on 8 November, 2023. He was charged on Wednesday, 26 June following authorisation from the Crown Prosecution Service.”] – SMH
For this type of offending, where the evidence is almost indisputable, he’ll most likely plead guilty & won’t serve any time inside. The maximum penalty is six months imprisonment and/or an unlimited fine. At the BBC he earned over £500,000 PA.
”
Mavis
BBC is the not the same old respected broadcaster you used to know as an young.
Biased reporting, dirty old men
Leicester riot news- Hindus protest outside BBC office
https://youtu.be/M9fWDSu0yUI?si=N-fMWa-cOo23eoiR
Not just Huw Edwards, Jimmy Savile, Martin Bashir and Rolf Harris have been at the centre of controversies at the broadcaster over the years.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/martin-bashir-bbc-jimmy-savile-dyson-itv-b2372554.html
I must’ve missed it, but what has Kellyanne Conway done to incur the Donald’s wrath?
So many corpses in his wake, who can keep track…?
Trump unhinged again. Awesome.
”
BSA Bobsays:
Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 10:07 pm
I must’ve missed it, but what has Kellyanne Conway done to incur the Donald’s wrath?
So many corpses in his wake, who can keep track…?
”
Trump was not ranting about Mrs. Kellyanne Conway.
He was ranting about Mr.Kellyanne Conway (aka George Conway ex-husband of Kellyanne. He is insulting George by calling him Mr.Kellyanne Conway).
Kellyanne is still in good books of Trump.
Who the fuck would want to be any of Trumps books?
Thanks for the reply Ven. I assumed Kellyanne had fallen from favour & the Orange One was taking it out on Hubby. So another question, what’s hubby done?
All Rex flights between capital cities have been grounded and the airline has entered voluntary administration just hours after the Albanese government suggested it would intervene to ensure the nation’s third-largest carrier didn’t collapse.
Late on Tuesday, EY – formerly known as Ernst & Young – announced it had been appointed as administrators of the company, and that the airline’s Boeing 737 operations between capital cities such as Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane had been grounded, with Virgin Australia stepping in to offer impacted passengers rebooking free of charge.
https://www.psychopac.org/
9-year-old girl wounded in UK stabbing attack dies, toll climbs to 3
A 9-year-old girl wounded in a knife attack in the UK’s Southport died on Tuesday. Three children aged 9, 7 and 6 years died in the attack while eight others and two adults remain hospitalised.
https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/uk-knife-attack-death-toll-rises-3-as-9-year-old-girl-dies-taylor-swift-themed-class-2573903-2024-07-30
“A 9-year-old girl wounded in a stabbing attack at a Taylor Swift-themed dance and yoga class in northwestern England died Tuesday, bringing the death toll to three, as police questioned a 17-year-old suspect arrested minutes after the rampage.
Merseyside Police said the other fatalities were girls aged 6 and 7.
Eight children and two adults remain hospitalised after the attack in Southport. Both adults and five of the children are in critical condition.
Swift said she was “completely in shock” and still taking in “the horror” of the event.
“These were just little kids at a dance class,” she wrote on Instagram. “I am at a complete loss for how to ever convey my sympathies to these families.”
A 17-year-old boy was arrested on suspicion of murder and attempted murder.”
The Guardian
At NSW Labor Conference
“Labor anti-protest law opponents say it disproportionately affects Indigenous youth
Labor delegate Bradley Pigeon also spoke in favour of the motion calling for bail laws and anti-protest laws in NSW to be repealed.
Pigeon said that as a person with Gomeroi heritage and growing up in Moree, in northern NSW, he “know[s] firsthand” that Indigenous youth are “suffering [and] facing systematic discrimination and injustice that cannot be ignored”.
He argued that the state’s anti-protest laws “restrict our fundamental right to freedom of expression and peaceful assembly” and “stifle dissent”, and that repealing the law was “essential to uphold the principles of democracy”.
Moving to the youth bail laws, Pigeon argued they disproportionately impact Indigenous youth and “perpetuate cycles of disadvantage and incarceration”:
These laws lead to the overrepresentation of Indigenous youth in the criminal justice system, denying them the opportunity for rehabilitation and a fair chance at a better future.
Removing these oppressive laws is crucial to ensure that all young people, regardless of their background, are given a chance to thrive and succeed and not just survive.
As mentioned a moment ago, the motion was ultimately defeated.”
Boerwar @ #642 Tuesday, July 30th, 2024 – 7:15 pm
And … not a single mention of fossil fuels. How odd 🙁