The fortnightly Essential Research poll is one of the more encouraging sets of recent polling numbers for Labor, finding them up three on the primary vote to 32% with the Coalition up one to 34%, the Greens down two to 11%, One Nation down one to 7%, and the undecided component steady at 7%. Labor has its nose back in front on the pollster’s 2PP+ measure, up one to 47% with the Coalition down two to 46% and the remainder undecided. Anthony Albanese also improves on the monthly leadership ratings, up three on approval to 43% and down three on disapproval to 46%, while Peter Dutton is up one on approval to 42% and down one on disapproval 41%.
Also featured are some particularly interesting results on US politics, including a finding that Donald Trump was viewed more favourably in the survey period than he had been after the 2020 election (but before January 6). Trump was viewed favourably by 36% and unfavourably 56%, compared with 20% and 72% in 2020, and 23% felt Australia’s relationship with the United States would improve under Trump compared with 37% who felt it would worsen, the corresponding results last time being 7% and 63%.
A very occasional series of questions on unions suggests they are strongly supported, with 64% rating them important to working people today and 26% rating them unimportant, respectively up four points and two points, and a 63-37 split recorded in favour of them being good for the economy over bad. A third of respondents felt Labor was too close to the unions, another third felt the balance was about right, 10% thought they weren’t close enough, and the remainder weren’t sure. Labor scored higher than the Coalition on a series of questions involving the rights of workers, including a slight edge on the question of “ensuring unions are operating ethically”, with Labor favoured by 27% and the Coalition favoured by 23%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1137.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor leading 50.5-49.5 on its respondent-allocated two-party measure, and by 51-49 when it applies preference flows from 2022. The primary votes are Labor 30.5% (down one), Coalition 37.5% (down two), Greens 13% (steady) and One Nation 6.5% (up one-and-a-half). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1652.
‘wranslide says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 5:50 pm
Does anyone know how the Board of Old Parliament House has been getting on? Any new initiatives?’
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Really worth a visit ATM for political tragics.
@Mexicanbeemer
I can understand some frustration by “not implementing right”, though it is not entirely fair to put intersectional groups against each other. That section noted there are big data limitations to be jumping in right into it. Specifically the report says “some jurisdictions may need to further consider data limitations and privacy considerations before committing to disaggregated targets.”
The APSC also looks like it is running a project to get disability quotas in federally, though a fairer concern would be the APSC itself running the project (chronically underperforming since Morrison’s gutting) rather than the process for implementation. Shorten under his existing portfolio responsibilities may be a better lead.
This is how depressment.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/aug/01/closing-the-gap-report-data-australia-indigenous-health
Bizzcansays:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 6:17 pm
@Mexicanbeemer
I can understand some frustration by “not implementing right”, though it is not entirely fair to put intersectional groups against each other. That section noted there are big data limitations to be jumping in right into it. Specifically the report says “some jurisdictions may need to further consider data limitations and privacy considerations before committing to disaggregated targets.”
The APSC also looks like it is running a project to get disability quotas in federally, though a fairer concern would be the APSC itself running the project (chronically underperforming since Morrison’s gutting) rather than the process for implementation. Shorten under his existing portfolio responsibilities may be a better lead.
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It’s fair to compare policy outcomes for difference groups when this government has a 40% gender quota when women are already a majority of the public service and many professions and have a far lower unemployment rate than people with a disability do but people with a disability are always told to wait.
The other reason why its relevant to compare policy outcomes for women and disabled people is that many of the disadvantaged women are disadvantaged because they have a child or children with a disability so by not addressing disability disadvantage is hurting disadvantaged women.
Yeah nah
To my mind, I am actually happier when a government responds to a royal commission report in a way like this response to the disability report. It indicates the government has actually done some hard work on feasibility and priorities..
I hear a response like “we accept all the recommendations in full” as more a “political” response to try to make the issue for away
The U.S. has deployed at least 12 warships to the Middle East, including the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt, amphibious assault teams and over 4,000 Marines and sailors, in response to escalating tensions in the region following the assassinations of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and Hezbollah military chief Fuad Shukr, the Washington Post reported on Thursday, citing a Pentagon official.
According to the report, destroyers have been positioned in both the Persian Gulf and the Eastern Mediterranean. The U.S. has redirected its warships from the Red Sea, where it combats Houthi missile and drone attacks in Yemen to protect commercial ships and support Israel.
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/hjys11a00t0
Interesting to see the difference in attitude and approach of the UK Police to crowd control against the current protests as compared to their hands off approach to the BLM and Palestinian protests over the past few years.
‘FUBAR says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 7:12 pm
Interesting to see the difference in attitude and approach of the UK Police to crowd control against the current protests as compared to their hands off approach to the BLM and Palestinian protests over the past few years.’
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Too soon to say whether Starmer will do a reset here.
Be a nice change from Minister McCarthy if she actually wants to approach policy with a bipartisan approach rather than a ram it down your throat approach.
‘Holdenhillbilly says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 6:49 pm
The U.S. has deployed at least 12 warships to the Middle East…’
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I assume this will be to show that the US is willing to help Israel intercept a missile storm from Iran.
It will be interesting to see whether, if Iran does send across another shower, Britain joins in this time.
‘FUBAR says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 7:16 pm
Be a nice change from Minister McCarthy if she actually wants to approach policy with a bipartisan approach rather than a ram it down your throat approach.’
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Dutton’s record on Indigenous people is appalling. Zero chance with Dutton and Littleproud at the helm. They want to build on their political success in destroying the Voice. A huge element of their current approach is linking Indigenous youth to crime in rural and remote areas. They are not going to let go of that. It is in the Trump playbook.
Dutton@Trump.
UK cartoons and other miscellany (a few days worth)
Patrick Blower on #Tory leadership contest
Martyn Turner
Martin Rowson
Banx
Stokoe
Ben Jennings
Christian Adams
Dave Brown
Peter Schrank
Brighty
Guy Venables
Jonsey
Royston
Ella Baron
Garthtoons
Farley Katz
Mark Parisi
Seddon
Maybe there’s no such thing as bees
Tom Gauld
James Mellor
Ellis Rosen
==========================================
Stolen from the internet
The shovel
JD Vance Has Panic Attack After Learning Jesus Was Childless
Because they aren’t?
Nothing to do with them at all?
The crime should just be accepted?
So, I’d have thought Bill Shorten could afford to pay for his own mid winter ball tickets… ?
https://x.com/openpoliticsAU/status/1817813663568248940
ajmsays:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 6:49 pm
To my mind, I am actually happier when a government responds to a royal commission report in a way like this response to the disability report. It indicates the government has actually done some hard work on feasibility and priorities..
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I might put that one in with increasing the inflation target (SK) and a stricter definition of homelessness (BW)
The lowering of expectations is in full swing.
FUBARsays:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 7:12 pm
Interesting to see the difference in attitude and approach of the UK Police to crowd control against the current protests as compared to their hands off approach to the BLM and Palestinian protests over the past few years.
=======================================================
Probably because the current lot are extremely violent and the others were far less so.
Quote: “You reap what you sow”
Hmmmm, Madeleine King given tickets to the SWM corporate box for the footy … ?
NACC … ??? …nothing to see here…
https://x.com/openpoliticsAU/status/1818103155177181568
‘FUBAR says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 7:27 pm
Boerwar says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 7:20 pm
‘is linking Indigenous youth to crime in rural and remote areas.
Because they aren’t?
Nothing to do with them at all?
The crime should just be accepted?’
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Trump 101!
You got it!
Dutton has zero interest in the whitefella crimes: cheating on your tax, white collar crime, corporate crime and Coalition crime.
Mexicanbeemer @ #460 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 6:35 pm
I’m a woman, I’m disabled, I have a disabled son, and I’m disadvantaged. I feel more than qualified to comment. So, it’s my opinion that the government, as ajm commented:
ajm @ #461 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 6:49 pm
is showing that it is actually taking the report seriously. I would also like to add that I don’t want to support disabled people being mendicants of the state because I believe that you gain more dignity in your disabled life by supporting yourself as much as possible financially. As long as we get enough money to provide the basics from the government, access the NDIS if we need to, and earn a reasonable wage if we can, then I think the government will have gotten the balance right.
Rex Douglas @ #473 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 7:39 pm
No. It’s a part of her job to meet with stakeholders. And, to be honest, MPs get invitations like this all the time and feel duty bound to accept these invitations, when they would rather be at home in their pajamas watching the footy on TV.
But you keep up your petty sniping about the government, Rex Douglas. It appears no one or nothing can stop you.
Madeline King is shaping up to be the Ian Macfarlane of the ALP
How long do you reckon she’ll wait after leaving politics before taking up a plum sinecure with a gas company or lobby group like APPEA? Or will she do an Andrew Robb and have the job lined up whilst still sitting……
But sure, nothing to see here when she accepts hospitality from a media magnate with substantial gas and mining interests, just the same as it’s all fine and dandy for the communications minister in charge of gambling companies to go on gambling sponsored junkets and then do nothing meaningful about the scourge of problem gambling or the flood of gambling advertising
All totally fine and normal, nothing to see here at all, as you were
PageBoi
Labor’s glacial movement on Peta Murphy’s gambling advertising reforms is shameful.
Glacial, or tectonic?
Labor to grant Palestinians asylum? Dutton instantly pounces.
I actually don’t believe refugees are a threat, but has Albanese and Tony Burke just committed political suicide?
MelbourneMammoth @ #475 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 8:14 pm
Nah. They’ve kept the seats for Labor that Dutton was targeting. 😉
Nah. They’ve kept the seats for Labor that Dutton was targeting.
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Brilliant. Refugee policy should always be politically motivated to help the government of the day.
PageBoi @ #414 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 3:34 pm
I just saw this.
so even if usage of work for the dole has decreased, and you’ve provided no evidence that it has
I did, actually. From my own personal interactions in the space and from my observations wrt my son’s friends who aren’t disabled, but were/are unemployed, not one of them was made to do Work for the Dole. They were availed of job finding help though. Also, I remember when Work for the Dole was in its most egregious phase under the Coalition government and my son was forced to do it with others, you would drive around and see gangs of unemployed picking up the litter from the side of the road. Nowadays I see street sweepers doing it automatically. Hmm, I wonder what the difference is? Maybe a government who has stopped the roadside humiliation of Work for the Dole participants, because that’s what it was really all about under the Coalition. Funny how I don’t remember your laborious posting about THAT at the time. I wonder why?
I’ve also driven and travelled extensively outside my own area and have not seen any Work for the Dole press gangs either.
But I suppose some shock jocks and the Murdoch press might say mean things about Albo if they did anything so better just to keep punishing the unemployed eh?
Where is YOUR proof of this? Or are you just the bitter and twisted Anti Labor individual I have seen morph on this blog since the federal Labor government was elected because they don’t meet YOUR expectations? And what responsible government ever could?
Fantastic. Well done, PageBoi. 😐
dave @ #477 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 8:37 pm
🙄
Nice try at twisting what I said into something that I didn’t mean AT ALL.
I simply made an observation of the likely outcome.
Jeez, are The Greens’ supporters on this blog that desperate to tear down Labor that they will leap on harmless statements and try and turn them all into indignant internet conflagrations!?! 🙄
I don’t know what C@t is going on about but Work for the Dole is still the mandatory ‘activity’ for those not involved in doing courses or part time work. The same as it was under the Coalition. What has changed is the length of the Work for the Dole schemes, but that was brought in during COVID when Morrison was PM.
Jeez, are The Greens’ supporters on this blog that desperate to tear down Labor that they will leap on harmless statements and try and turn them all into indignant internet conflagrations!?!
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I am not a ‘Green’ and I’m not trying to ‘tear down’ the government by offering a criticism of a policy that they themselves gave plenty of indications they were going to dismantle while they were in Opposition.
dave @ #480 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 8:42 pm
And your personal experience of Work for the Dole is what?
Also, with the historically low rate of unemployment, and with the reality of many of those who still do Work for the Dole, as laughtong has attested to many times, being retrenched older women and men, who are still not old enough to go on the Aged Pension who are directed into volunteering in Op Shops, Mens Sheds and other charities, then I can’t really see what all the confected outrage has been about? Is it the latest Greens’ cause célèbre campaign or something?
Dave, for people like C@T anything less then complete devotion to the party is an attack on all that’s good… it’s honestly not worth it.
Plenty of people here who have differing views on politics then me that are worth chatting to, just not them and BW
C@t, my evidence is that the government’s own review found that current ‘mutual obligations’ are punitive and not serving any useful purpose, so the fact that they are still government policy indicates at best indifference or at worst cowardice. Which is it?
Of course the coalition and right wing media would go ape if Labor altered these policies, but so what? They go ape anyway no matter what so the government could at least do some good, and yet it doesn’t……
It’s telling that neither you or even the government has mounted any serious defence of the policies, because they’re basically indefensible, we just get weasel words about not having enough time, contracts being signed, can’t afford every good idea etc
So which is it – either the government is as callous as the coalition, it’s too scared of the press and opposition to change them, or it’s too incompetent to figure out a way to do it. Personally I’m guessing it’s option B (cowardice)
“Nah. They’ve kept the seats for Labor that Dutton was targeting.”
Rubbish, like most of your posts.
Even in seats where there are a high proportion of Muslims, the majority of the population is non-Muslim. And a LOT of that is low-education whites. And even in these seats, a very large proportion of the Muslim population has not been naturalised, even if they are permanent residents. Very many immigrants believe they belong intrinsically to their country of birth. My own sister-in-law only took up Australian citizenship because she didn’t want to go through the motion of applying for a visa every time she went to an international work conference. She maintains she is fundamentally Chinese, and not Australian, she sees it that way and she believes that most of Australia, both whites and ethnic Chinese, see it that way.
There are not enough votes to be gained from naturalised Arab-Australians by granting permanent residency to Palestinian refugees, compared to votes lost by non-Arab Australians in the same electorate.
At least someone in Labor has been trying his best to have this fixed – Julian Hill has been trying his best to make a change, but sadly the cabinet seems to be completely ignoring him.
And yes, I’ve experienced many of these stupid “courses” when I was on Jobseeker and found them to be humiliating, patronising and depressing and in no way beneficial, basically just being made to watch stock standard “educational” youtube videos with an “instructor” in charge that wouldn’t even qualify to be a teacher’s assistant.
But yet they still go on.
Hill has made quite a few comments on a range of topics counter to the messaging of Labor.
And Kirk from the chats iv had your experience is the norm; it also ignores the fact that the current capitalist system requires a portion of the population to be unemployed at all times, and the idea it’s just the older gen is laughable given youth unemployment… but hey, cheap Labor and a flow of tax payer dollars to the friends of the political class is the price we pay…
dave,
So you’re getting all indignant about Work for the Dole because the government said they were going to dismantle it and they haven’t? Instead they modified it to be a more suitable employment pathway but didn’t get rid of the nomenclature!?! Okay. I guess. 😐
Case in point; C@T defending even more Coalition policy. Her problem has never been the policy, only the color of the team running it 😉
C@t at 9.15pm
So you’re getting all indignant about Work for the Dole because the government said they were going to dismantle it and they haven’t?
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That seems like a reasonable thing to be indignant about. Perhaps it was a non-core promise.
C@t, my evidence is that the government’s own review found that current ‘mutual obligations’ are punitive and not serving any useful purpose, so the fact that they are still government policy indicates at best indifference or at worst cowardice. Which is it?
They are no longer the punitive programs of the former government. As I have already shown by producing the government’s own document about Work for the Dole:
https://www.dewr.gov.au/work-dole
But everyone keeps focusing on the fact they haven’t changed the name. Even though the punitive practices of the former government are gone. To the effect, as Kirsdarke has stated, that the worst thing that the government makes you do now if you don’t want to do some training, find a job, and don’t want to make double or more than JobSeeker, is to watch boring videos! Is that it? Is that what all the fuss has been about!?!
The country needs workers! So if you don’t want to contribute then watching boring videos is suitable punishment I reckon!
Here we have C@T, champion of the workers party of Australia, a party based on getting rights and supports for the lower and middle class… arguing that if your not working you deserve to be punished.
In a system dependent on a level of unemployment.
Huh.
The country needs workers! So if you don’t want to contribute then watching boring videos is suitable punishment I reckon!
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And those boring videos are paid for by the taxpayer and the money go to multinationals who have invested in the unemployment industry in a big way.
I think the cost of managing the unemployed is almost as much as what the unemployed get in benefits!
Lordbain says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 9:29 pm
Here we have C@T, champion of the workers party of Australia, a party based on getting rights and supports for the lower and middle class… arguing that if your not working you deserve to be punished.
In a system dependent on a level of unemployment.
____________________________
Yes, that is a devastating point.
Another gaslighting garbage post from you at 9pm, Melbourne Mammoth. So, explain THIS away by making some spurious reference to your Chinese sister-in-law:
Mr Burke holds the seat of Watson with a margin of 13.5 per cent, and won 65.1 per cent of the vote in 2022 (after preferences). His Liberal opponent, a Muslim woman and local councillor Sazeda Akter won 34.9 per cent of the vote. ABS data shows just over 25 per cent of the electorate is Muslim.
3 July 2024
Sure looks to me like the Liberal Party are trying to target Labor-held seats…with a Muslim candidate to appeal to the over 25% of the electorate who are Muslim.
Dave, I suspect there’s a flow on effect where in the money given to the unemployed in support have a higher rate of going into the local community, where in the companies that run these “job finders” shift the cash out of the local economy.
Plus imagine what people could be doing if they didn’t have to work for the dole or sit through bs lectures… they could look for work 😉
But C@T gave the game away when she highlighted that the unemployed deserve to be punished…
C@t at 9.26pm
The country needs workers! So if you don’t want to contribute then watching boring videos is suitable punishment I reckon!
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Have you ever reflected on what you say, c@t? Even Joe Hockey wasn’t this ridiculous.
Yeah, Jobseekers deserve everything they get, because they’re “economically inactive”, even those who are like 64 and have Master’s degrees who have been laid-off and have little prospect of getting further work so they have to go out of their way every day for 12 weeks to the “job provider” and watch videos that tell them to try out yoga and TED-talks from billionaires about how they got their way in life through old fashioned hard work, ambition and a $2 million trust fund from their father.
Or they can just get over it and stock shelves at Coles, assuming they don’t have bad backs or hernias.
But C@T gave the game away when she highlighted that the unemployed deserve to be punished…
_____________
Perhaps even more draconian punishments could be part of new wave of bipartisanship.
There’s always conscripting the unemployed into the Armed Forces. That has always had a certain level of support.
What about public whippings. The 7 Network would surely bid highly for the broadcast rights.
It’s ok Kirsdarke, they deserve to be punished! C@t said so!