The fortnightly Essential Research poll is one of the more encouraging sets of recent polling numbers for Labor, finding them up three on the primary vote to 32% with the Coalition up one to 34%, the Greens down two to 11%, One Nation down one to 7%, and the undecided component steady at 7%. Labor has its nose back in front on the pollster’s 2PP+ measure, up one to 47% with the Coalition down two to 46% and the remainder undecided. Anthony Albanese also improves on the monthly leadership ratings, up three on approval to 43% and down three on disapproval to 46%, while Peter Dutton is up one on approval to 42% and down one on disapproval 41%.
Also featured are some particularly interesting results on US politics, including a finding that Donald Trump was viewed more favourably in the survey period than he had been after the 2020 election (but before January 6). Trump was viewed favourably by 36% and unfavourably 56%, compared with 20% and 72% in 2020, and 23% felt Australia’s relationship with the United States would improve under Trump compared with 37% who felt it would worsen, the corresponding results last time being 7% and 63%.
A very occasional series of questions on unions suggests they are strongly supported, with 64% rating them important to working people today and 26% rating them unimportant, respectively up four points and two points, and a 63-37 split recorded in favour of them being good for the economy over bad. A third of respondents felt Labor was too close to the unions, another third felt the balance was about right, 10% thought they weren’t close enough, and the remainder weren’t sure. Labor scored higher than the Coalition on a series of questions involving the rights of workers, including a slight edge on the question of “ensuring unions are operating ethically”, with Labor favoured by 27% and the Coalition favoured by 23%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1137.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor leading 50.5-49.5 on its respondent-allocated two-party measure, and by 51-49 when it applies preference flows from 2022. The primary votes are Labor 30.5% (down one), Coalition 37.5% (down two), Greens 13% (steady) and One Nation 6.5% (up one-and-a-half). The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1652.
Airlines provide scads of CO2.
Public money should not be used to subsidize more air travel CO2 emissions.
I look forward to Greens holy outrage at this.
Except that the Greens love their tourism-based CO2 emissions as much as most and, given their average wealth on a global basis, more than most.
Easier just to fly around the globe while fussing about the fossil fuel industry.
Do what I say and not what I do.
Squalid stuff.
Socrates says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 8:29 am
On the Olympics, I haven’t been following it live, but caught up with results. Well done Kyle Chalmers on winning Silver in the 100 metres freestyle.
The margin of victory by China’s Pan was huge – over a complete second. Frankly I cannot recall such a margin in a sprint since the days of East German dominance…
________
An unfortunate amount of contaminated food in China. At least that is what WADA is swallowing 😉
Either we have an independent foreign policy and agree with the other 194 countries that the Golan Heights are illegally occupied or we outsource our foreign policy to US/Israel.
Wong cannot get away with this by saying “oops, silly me”. She was strident when Scotty misspoke and confused the “one China policy” with “one country, two systems”.
Labor’s foreign affairs spokeswoman, Penny Wong, said that “in diplomacy, especially on issues of our national security, words matter”.
“There are few more sensitive issues for our security than Taiwan and Mr Morrison’s lack of focus on detail is enough to keep you up at night,” Wong told Guardian Australia.
“Days after his government was beating the drum for conflict over Taiwan, today Mr Morrison appears to have shifted Australia’s bipartisan position to abandoning Taiwan entirely.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/may/06/scott-morrison-accidentally-endorses-beijing-policy-for-taiwan-in-foreign-policy-blunder
OC, as pretty much always your point on Wong’s error is factual and succinct.
It should be telling that me and BW are in agreement on that point… so not sure why we still have people arguing that it wasn’t a mistake…
‘Socrates says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 8:29 am
On the Olympics, I haven’t been following it live, but caught up with results. Well done Kyle Chalmers on winning Silver in the 100 metres freestyle.
The margin of victory by China’s Pan was huge – over a complete second. Frankly I cannot recall such a margin in a sprint since the days of East German dominance…’
————————
haha. The recrudescence of the furry caterpillar syndrome.
I see what you did there Socrates….
Have a squiz at Kamala Harris latest ad:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ynk2OQM3daA&t=159s
Griff,
Yep definitely some common ground
I picked the NBN mostly because I work in IT so have a good understanding of the complexities, but also because it’s such a good example of modern ALP thinking, but as you say it’s much the same in so many policy areas as you mentioned like health, housing, education etc.
There is talk of the ALP going to the next election with a ‘huge’ childcare policy. I think that would be good for the country but just like they did with the NDIS the government I’m sure will screw it up by making it some neoliberal hot mess of a voucher type system that’s prone to perverse outcomes and rorting, rather than say the opposite route of ending all funding for private childcare and introducing a universal government scheme tacked on to the public education system and funded from taxation
MI – I take your point, and that’s the government line, but the cynic in me says the ALP simply wanted the revenue so is happy to throw humanities students under the bus to protect their government surplus, because Albo wants to fight the liberals on their own terms rather than having the conviction to try and change the game
Sorry to all the swimming fans out there, but if a dude can win two individual gold medals in a day (not to mention when Phelps won 8 golds at a single Olympics in 2008) then there are too many similar events in the program.
To even it out, maybe we need to introduce skipping and backwards running races into the track and field program. Or a 50m and 150m distances.
Swimming devalues gold medals.
PageBoi @ #307 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 8:40 am
I work in the sector and just did a SWOT analyse (old school but powerful and to the point) on the Accord. There is only upside for the Tertiary Education sector under Labor. Each university has its own challenges believe me, there have been some truly horrible decisions made in the sector by VCs.
TK
Taking up from a few days ago as well as AFLX and Lingerie Football I think we need to bring back standing high jump and standing broad jump. The gold winning performances at Stockholm 1912 are available on the net and are truly riveting- this will bring some life back to the games.
Katich, im assumng your the person who also argued for sharks in the swimming comps 😉
I am all for Hoppo Bumpo aka Hoppo Boppo
Sadly neglected and due for a revival.
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=hoppo+bump+video#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:59c984a8,vid:rsu2zu17VKs,st:0
Badthinker @ #289 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 8:15 am
No, they’re actually not the only choices. But you just do propaganda for the Right and try and dumb things down to the lowest common denominator that may harm Labor.
Team Katich @ #309 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 8:45 am
Or maybe pushing a wheelie bin successfully down the track? 🙂
Oakeshott Country,
I’m sure Penny Wong will be quaking in her boots because you continue to disapprove. 😐
Wong has got too big for her boots.
Has she apologised to the parents of the slain children?
Thanks BK . Interesting that the first article says Albo is cooked if we get one more interest hike and the second from the same newspaper saying Albo gets a boost because economists are now thinking we could get an interest rate cut by November. Asks 2 economists and you get three answers. Ask 2 SMH journos and you get 4. Who pays these clowns.
You will try ANY angle to get at Labor, Badthinker. No matter how grubby. 🙄
NYT..
Scotland Yard has opened a preliminary inquiry into the deletion of tens of millions of emails during the British phone-hacking scandal that rocked Rupert Murdoch’s news media empire more than a dozen years ago.
The development could entangle current and former News Corp executives, including the chief executive of The Washington Post, in an inquiry into whether the deletions were aimed at obstructing justice.
The inquiry threatens to reopen a tumultuous chapter in British news media and political history. For years, journalists and private investigators landed scoops by surreptitiously obtaining the voice mail and phone and bank records of celebrities, business leaders, politicians and others.
MI
Not sure if you saw this Jenna price article from BKs list (thanks BK!!!!), but it pretty well sums up the situation with higher education
https://www.smh.com.au/national/students-are-starving-one-man-could-fix-it-with-a-keystroke-20240731-p5jxxw.html
They’ve wasted a whole term leaving that absolutely shithouse policy in place
As a side note our eldest is about to finish a nursing degree. We’re super proud of him As he has managed to support himself out of home throughout his degree despite lots of challenges, and only needed minimal assistance from us. This year however he has had to reach out for help a LOT, he was actually starving himself rather than asking us for help due to pride, so now we’re covering his rent while he does his last placement. We’re very fortunate to be able to do that.
Our son makes the point though that things are much worse for him now than they were under the coalition and he doesn’t think the government is doing anything to help. He would never vote liberal in a million years (I’d disown him!) but I’d be very surprised if he ever puts a 1 in the ALP box either. The government really needs to do something, anything, soon , this pathological unambition is bleeding it support and feeding straight in to duttons line that it’s not easy under Albanese and that Albo is weak, hard to refute those arguments when they’re true….
(Note I do not support the coalition, never have, they would be 10x worse, but look at how quickly albo is losing support in ppm and netsat)
Thanks BK.
From the West, Susan Let’s in WA visiting every seat in the state on a cost of living roadshow.
https://thewest.com.au/politics/federal-politics/deputy-liberal-leader-sussan-ley-brings-cost-of-living-roadshow-to-wa-c-15541780
State parliament has moved to redact parliamentarians’ home addresses from public records for security reasons. About time.
https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/state-parliament-removes-mps-home-addresses-amid-security-concerns-for-politicians-c-15449780
PageBoi, I certainly would have liked to see the support payments for student nurses a year earlier, it’s a game changer. I know that these payments are going to be broadened out to most placement type degrees over the next few years. I myself and involved in lobbying for one sector to be brought forwards.
As someone who is deeply involved in policy renewal I can state it takes surprisingly longer than people think. A single complex policy can take 12 months to review and redraft, of course you can do it without consultation but we’ve seen how that works in the past decade. This isnt being snide, but to coin a phrase this is what it looks like when the adults are in charge, incrementalism isnt exciting but it works.
https://www.anmf.org.au/media-campaigns/media-releases/anmf-welcomes-new-support-payments-for-student-nurses-midwives/
If it’s One China – two systems, why is Hong Kong still competing as a separate country?
Those that want the Golan Heights given back to Syria must also want Taiwan given back to the Chicomms.
Incrementalism works – you mean like it’s 10 months since the haff legislation was passed and not one house has been approved to be built ?
Utopia is truly a documentary.
Mostly Interested says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 9:41 am
Why are Nurses more important than Teachers?
FUBAR says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 9:46 am
Do you get your comments approved by J D Vance before posting?
FUBAR @ #326 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 9:48 am
Umm they’re not. And students teachers are getting the same support payment.
https://www.education.gov.au/higher-education/commonwealth-prac-payment#:~:text=From%20July%202025%2C%20eligible%20students,who%20need%20it%20the%20most.
Lars Von Trier @ #325 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 9:47 am
Well they haven’t caused anyone to kill themselves, so lets put a tick in the ‘not shit’ column shall we?
Well worth listening to..
For this episode, Lawfare General Counsel and Senior Editor Scott R. Anderson sat down with Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow Steven Cook to discuss his new book, “The End of Ambition: America’s Past, Present, and Future in the Middle East.” Together, they examined the United States’ long history in the Middle East, how it successfully (and unsuccessfully) pursued its interests there, and what should come next after the failed transformations of the post-9/11 era.
https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/the-lawfare-podcast/id498897343?i=1000663902829
Boerwar @ #313 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 9:02 am
Brilliant, I can see a gold medal for Samoa by Brian To’O already.
Here he gets 4 rabbits with one Bumpo
https://www.tiktok.com/@nrl/video/7363922964552748294
Why not at least repeal the job ready graduates legislation and go back to what arrangements were there before, whilst you do your review. JRG was such an obvious ideological binfire it should’ve been a no brainer
MI, I think there’s a strong debate as to wether the time constraints have led to deaths or not.
That’s a broad statement that’s not targeted at any government in particular, just a comment on process times vs outcomes vs death rates when it comes to needs like housing and healthcare
So now Labor is killing people because of not rushing change? I’m going back to my post from last night. Don’t get into a flame war in Asia and don’t get involved in a groundwar on PB, or something…
It’s pretty clear free market “solutions” for housing haven’t worked.
I always understood one of the reasons we have government is to address “market failure”
It’s extraordinary MI that the Govt’s response is maybe 5000 houses per year in an economy that took in 1m new arrivals in the last year and it cannot even make the 5000 work.
10 months and counting – presumably we have ministers to drive the bureacracy to make sure policy objectives are met and implemented – or is this something “adults” don’t do now?
PageBoi @ #332 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 9:53 am
Under hospital based nurse training, nurses were apprentices who received a living wage, board and lodging and were job ready on graduation having contributed significantly to the public health system. It was one of the few paths for working class people to gain a profession.
(Just saying… I’ll go back to my cave now)
Oakeshott Country @ #336 Thursday, August 1st, 2024 – 10:02 am
Which ended in 1984. I’d be pretty leery of this model in 2024.
Here’s a great personal perspective on the old training model, a good read and worth it.
https://www.acn.edu.au/nurseclick/a-trip-down-memory-lane-hospital-based-nurse-training-and-the-need-for-reforms
Wong is a smartarse who’s not on top of her brief, it’s caught up with her.
Now her Department has to bail her out- I bet they’ll be glad to get a new Minister?
OC – heresy!
Interesting Sussan Ley kicks off her cost of living road show in WA, the Liberals State and Federal Goverment basket case in recent elections. I wonder how she is going to explain why the Nats are running a candidate in Bullwinkel against a Liberal. I guess she wants to bring Swan and Tangney back home to the Libs. I’m sure Albo is quacking in his boots. WA folk don’t like Canberra people going up there to tell them how to suck eggs. Covid crisis anyone.
Under hospital based nurse training, nurses were apprentices who received a living wage, board and lodging and were job ready on graduation having contributed significantly to the public health system.
Musta been a while ago.
Helping in the Delivery Room hasn’t been part of Midwife training in Qld for at least 30 years-another Labor success.
Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH) has brought increased scrutiny to former President Donald Trump’s campaign since being named running mate, facing fire for his past comments attacking “childless cat ladies” and leaks to the press about how Trump reportedly regrets making the choice in the first place.
According to Michael Caputo writing for The Bulwark, Trump and his allies suspect these leaks are coming from one place: former Trump White House counselor Kellyanne Conway. And they’re not happy.
Per the report, nearly two dozen Trump staffers “were quick to shoot down any notion that Trump was turning his back on Vance or was displeased with him amid his rocky rollout. But more than a dozen of those sources volunteered without prompting that they believed Conway … was undermining him through leaks to the press expressing doubts about his readiness and the campaign’s vetting.”
Conway, who previously played a role in steering Trump toward Mike Pence in 2016, reportedly opposed Vance as a running mate.
Pan Zhanle is over 2% (more than 1 second) faster than the 2nd best swimmer in the world over 100m?
Every other swimmer in the race 2nd through to 8th finished within 0.5 seconds of each other.
In Tokyo, there was just over a 1 second spread between 1st and 8th between Caleb Dressel of the USA (47.02) and Nandor Nemeth of Hungary in (48.10) who did a 47.5 last night.
Kyle Chalmers did 47.08 in Tokyo. He did 47.48 last night.
Other competitors and their Tokyo times for comparison:
3. David Popovici, Romania, 47.49 (48.04 and 7th in Tokyo)
4. Nandor Nemeth, Hungary, 47.50 (48.1 and 8th in Tokyo)
5. Maxime Grousset, France, 47.71 (47.72 and 4th in Tokyo)
A 0.4 second improvement on the World record time is something that hasn’t been seen since the 1970s. In a pool that hasn’t yielded fast times.
Rio 2016 had a 0.83 seconds spread between Kyle Chalmers and the rest of the field…
Small wonder the crowd was silent…
Quite simply – it is not an uncommon situation in WA, or throughout Australia where Liberal and National Parties exist, to have both parties compete when there is not an incumbent.
The free market is not the problem. It is State and Local Government planning laws that are the problem.
PageBoi
Indeed, but I will declare a conflict of interest. Mrs Oakeshott went from being a Senior Tutor Sister to a Senior Lecturer overnight. Something she did not enjoy and her opinion was that a lot of the change was related to increased prestige rather than patient care.
Mostly Interested says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 9:50 am
You stated at 9.41am “I myself and involved in lobbying for one sector to be brought forwards.” clearly indicates you are favouring one over the other.
Oakeshott Country says:
Thursday, August 1, 2024 at 11:09 am
My Mum was a product of the old system. Starched uniforms, stockings without holes and looking after the patients properly. Matrons ran the Wards and were respected. She’s nice to the staff when she is a patient these days – but I get an earful of how poor the standards are these days.
If anyone’s in need of a good laugh……
https://x.com/senatorbabet/status/1818780811115872492