With a day under four weeks to go, the Poll Bludger’s guide to the Queensland election is in action. As always, this expansive endeavour involves pages for every one of the state’s 93 electorates, featuring extensive reviews of history, electoral geography and candidate backgrounds, charts, tables and interactive maps displaying past results, and a one page overview for beginners. Those who find the endeavour in any way useful or interesting are encouraged to chip in with a donation, which can be done through the “become a supporter” button at the top of the site, as it involved a vast amount of labour amid what’s been a rather lean month on that score. By no means does the matter end there, as this site will be all over developments in the campaign over the next four weeks, culminating in a new-look and better-than-ever live election results reporting on October 26 and beyond.
UPDATE (Freshwater Strategy poll): The Financial Review has a Freshwater Strategy state poll showing the LNP leading 56-44, from primary votes of Labor 30% (down four on the last such poll in June 2023), LNP 43% (up three), Greens 12% (up one) and One Nation 8% (up one). David Crusafulli leads Steven Miles 46-38 as preferred premier, compared with 45-44 against Annastacia Palaszczuk in the last poll. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1062.
Miles is going to create competition between two government companies:
Queensland Labor leader Steven Miles to pledge publicly owned energy retailer if re-elected
Queensland Labor plans to create a new publicly owned energy retailer if re-elected, in a move aimed at providing “greater competition” and “choice”….
Labor said the plan would mean regional Queenslanders “have choice when it comes to selecting an energy provider and more options for participating in solar and community battery pricing models”.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-02/qld-labor-promises-publicly-owned-energy-retailer-state-election/104420604
So he is going to create a public energy company that is going to compete against a public energy company to reduce prices. Both being owned by the Queensland government. Somebody should tell this genius that all he has to do is to reduce Ergon tariffs.
sealion says:
Wednesday, October 2, 2024 at 10:21 am
It’s as genius as him catching the bus to see the Gov and then getting on a plane to NQ.
Complete genius.
I’m not sure how the LNP will beat this genius.
FUBAR says.
They can always resurrect Campbell Newman.
Fubar say’s
It’s as genius as him catching the bus to see the Gov ?
And he did say it cost 50c, Smart remark !!!
Is Miles that bad?
His ratings have improved.
He looks cheerful and energetic.
He’s not someone his opponents can accuse of being rabidly left-wing.
He seems to be well-meaning.
He leads a government that has been there for as long as people want it to, it seems.
Though with a good campaign, could he turn it around to something like 50-50 from 44-56%?
BTSays says:
Wednesday, October 2, 2024 at 8:22 pm
Is Miles that bad?
…
Though with a good campaign, could he turn it around to something like 50-50 from 44-56%?
==================
No.
I doubt Stumbles McFumbles can turn the campaign around regardless of how many 50 cent trips he takes or how many hills he climbs. QLD just have to hope the LNP has learned from the failed Newman experiment.
The Katter party has announced they are preferencing for libs/nats not labor.
PP Say’s
The Katter party has announced they are preferencing for libs/nats not labor.??
I hope they remember the $1000 off their power bills, which will not be repeated if the LNP get in !.
BTsays: it will be hard to turn around the 55 – 45 of the latest polls but Miles is giving it a red hot go. Labor has stitched together a majority of the last three elections but this time it’s hard to see them being able to. Townsville with its three seats will likely be ugly ( it was forecast to be that last time but didn’t happen) other regional seats won’t look good either. Some on here think Miles is not up to much but I think he’s pretty smart and personable. I think if things don’t shift ALP will get 28 to 35 seats. If things do shift I can see ALP in the high 30s to even early 40s. Either way I think the LNP will win either a clear majority or at very worst be a minority government. But who knows the fear campaign against Crisifulli has kicked in and there is a lot to throw at the LNP.
P6 of The Oz, yesterday, Crisafulli complaining about a “smear” [their scare quotes] campaign from Milesy.
From memory, the deal is D.C. has been claiming living away from home allowance per diem, he says he’s living out of a suitcase, searches show he’s registered as living in a Granny flat below a staffer’s house, he sold up at Sanctuary Cove a couple of years ago for $2m+, his wife then bought a 2 bed unit in George St for $775,000, has since bought a house in Bulimba for $1.2m.
D.C. says she moved to Brisbane for the 2 daughters schooling.
So, not living with his wife, on the Roll as living under his staffers house.
Could hurt LNP with the Catholic vote in Brisbane, imo, if Milesy pushes it.
Its hard not to be impressed by David Crisafulli’s fresh new look.
Anyone know where he gets his ideas from?
Princeplanet 9.22am
So it ain’t all over yet then.
A ‘nothing to lose’ campaign can be liberating – and sometimes work well.
Interesting debate tonight Crisifulli came across as slick but without a lot of detail outside of tougher sentencing. Miles surprised me, he was personable but took no crap. He was over his brief and scored some big hits especially on how Crisifulli will pay for his promises without Cando Newman style cuts.
A readers poll across a few websites has Miles winning 58/42 with 14,000 votes
Thank you for the laugh.
P8 of yesterdays The Oz appears to suggest that KAP is only preferencing LNP in the 3 Townsville Seats.
Previously Katter has preferenced seat by seat and left it late, not that it matters since his voters preferecing is pretty wild, in my limited -to -Brisbane observation, apart from putting Greens last.
FUBAR say’s
The Banana Republic says:
Thursday, October 3, 2024 at 9:46 pm
A readers poll across a few websites has Miles winning 58/42 with 14,000 votes
Thank you for the laugh.
If I heard correctly, is it true he is a failed business man, living in a granny flat away from his wife ?
That would be a laugh !.
If correct !.
As if written by the Utopia screen writers:
Ipswich council opens ‘Ripley station’ amid pre-election demands for rail link to Springfield Central
A Queensland mayor has opened a fake train station in a town that has been waiting 18 years for the real one to be built.
The satirical Ripley Station was opened on Thursday by Ipswich City Council Mayor Teresa Harding.
…
The last 18 years have seen a transport corridor study, a business case, a detailed business case, an SEQ regional plan, an SEQ regional transport plan, a strategic assessment, a preliminary evaluation and a scoping study.
There have also been several dozen community consultation sessions and workshops.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-04/ipswich-opens-fake-train-station-ahead-of-queensland-election/104427520
Utopia is a documentary, not a comedy show.
So if he is a failed business man, living in a granny flat that means he his hopeless does it and Miles due to his union degree a genius. Labor by that should win this election by a mile or you are seriously smart.
And yes, there is another $30 million available for another scoping study.
All three levels of government have committed $10 million to write another business case, but no money has been set aside to actually build the station.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-04/ipswich-opens-fake-train-station-ahead-of-queensland-election/104427520
It’s a bit more than a Station, there’s also a $3 billion Railway line.
Jim Madden is featured at the linked ABC story, he was the Member for Ipswich West, resigned and caused a byelection which Labor lost with a 17% Swing, the same day he’s elected to Ipswich Council.
There’s already an Ipswich to Brisbae Central Station Railway line, takes about an hour, but my point earlier stands, that even though Ipswich is only 25 miles SW of the Brisbane CBD, it might as well be in Cape York for the amount of money the Qld Gov’t spends there.
It’s just Pork barreling, whether it’s a stadium, a railway line, a highway bypass, removing level crossings, money is spent in the least productive ways for short term benefits.
You are not correct.
FUBAR say’s ?
You are not correct. ?
The failed business man, came from one of the moderators at the DEBATE !.
He’s a cane farmer.
Who ever failed doing that?
Badthinker he was a Director of a training company which subsequently went into liquidation. Perhaps that makes him a failed businessman?
Labor Party cut funding?
I’ve heard they can be vindictive.
1934Pc says:
Friday, October 4, 2024 at 3:23 pm
I was referring to the living arrangements of the family.
Is it such a terrible thing to have a business fail?
It is an almost uniquely Australian attitude that being involved in a business failure is terrible. In the US it’s almost a requirement for senior management to have been through a few failed businesses. You learn a lot from the experience.
You’d probably find that on a per-capita basis the people of Cape York Peninsula get more government funding on facilities and services than the people of Ipswich.
It is an almost uniquely Australian attitude that being involved in a business failure is terrible. In the US it’s almost a requirement for senior management to have been through a few failed businesses. You learn a lot from the experience.
@Fubar
I’m happy to acknowledge that point. On the flipside of the coin, there is also an attitude that anyone who has ran a business automatically makes them a great political candidate. Let’s be honest this attitude is pushed hard in the Liberals. There is also denigrating view anyone in involved in unions running for office. Is a bludging, dim wit, looking for free run on the public purse. There is a class factor that comes into this. “Huh, your representing workers and never ran a business. What would you know?”.
They are bludging dim wits, have you ever met any?
Reality is, Labor is a 24/7/365 political machine that can make any dim wit presentable.
Liberal Party only functions at elections, candidates have got to be partly if not wholly self funded.
Since the only way to make money is to go into business, do the math.
“Huh, your representing workers and never ran a business. What would you know?”.
Uh, they’ve been running the Super rivers of gold for 35 years, representing workers?
Not so much.
Although John Howard gave them a huge leg up.
One of the many bits of Howard IR Legislation that’s still with us, if an employer wants to change or replace an Award/Agreement, even though there may be no Union Members at the workplace, the relevant Union is still the bargaining agent for the workforce.
If you were a Labor voter before that happened, you probably won’t be one afterward, imo.
“They are bludging dim wits, have you ever met any?
Reality is, Labor is a 24/7/365 political machine that can make any dim wit presentable.
Liberal Party only functions at elections, candidates have got to be partly if not wholly self funded.
Since the only way to make money is to go into business, do the math.”
@Badthinker
You illustrate my point perfectly with your simple minded generalisations. Love your last point. I didn’t realise running government was simply a matter of making money not that the Liberals are particularly good at this. There has been times before the LNP merger where the Queensland state Liberals went broke. While on the Queensland Labor side the books have always been in the black. They made some very smart sound investments including investing in the Commonwealth bank. It’s been a far better run operation then what Queensland Liberals have ran despite crowing what better economic managers the are. Where they were mired in debt before the merger and financially were in a very vulnerable position.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2008-07-02/brough-tight-lipped-over-qld-liberals-financial/2490806
Corflutes are up, LNP ones were hard to spot in 2020, not this time!
I’m predicting a wipeout for Labor, The Greens to become the Opposition and Labor to be effectively wound up over the next few years.
Sounds out there, but where is Labor’s political strength now?
The Unions are moribund, despite beig flush with cash and the membership is pale and stale.
I don’t think Labor will vanish. They never do. But I think Labor fans overestimate the popularity of the Palaszczuk government. AP won three elections: (1st) boot out Newman (2nd) scars of Newman still fresh and the LNP was a mess (3rd) the middle of a pandemic is no time to change leaders. With the possible exception of 2017 I don’t see any of those as a ringing endorsement *for* Labor.
Tozzer: what government ever gets a ringing endorsement? Most of the time a party wins reelection it is a pretty marginal thing both federally and state . Beattie won some huge majorities But he was extremely popular and he had the OPV system which delivers huge majorities in the right circumstances. AP increased the ALPs seat count at each election which is pretty amazing.
https://www.afr.com/politics/the-chandler-mather-plan-to-take-queensland-and-beyond-20240924-p5kd6h
Interesting article regarding the “march of the Greens” through Brisbane.
Author is Kos Smraras