The Australian yesterday published the quarterly Newspoll aggregates, which combine three months of polling to produce breakdowns by state and various demographic indicators with credible sample sizes. The state breakdowns record the Coalition leading 51-49 in New South Wales (unchanged on the previous quarter, for a swing to the Coalition of around 2.5% from the 2022 election); Labor leading 52-48 in Victoria (in from 54-46, a Coalition swing of around 3%); the Coalition leading 54-46 in Queensland (steady on both the last quarter and the last election); Labor leading 52-48 in Western Australia (steady, a Coalition swing of around 3%); and Labor leading 54-46 in South Australia (out from 53-47, no swing from 2022). The national two-party preferred through this period was 50-50, after Labor led 51-49 last quarter. The results combine four Newspoll surveys from July 15 to September 20 with an overall sample of 5035, ranging from 374 in South Australia to 1592 in New South Wales.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has the Coalition leading 51-49 on respondent-allocated preferences, after they trailed 50.5-49.5 last week, but these seem unduly favourable to them: the primary votes are Labor 30% (down two), Coalition 38% (up half), Greens 13.5% (up one) and One Nation 4.5% (down half), and the pollster’s two-party measures based on 2022 election preferences have Labor leading 51.5-48.5, in from 52-48. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1668.
mj @ #1000 Saturday, October 5th, 2024 – 11:41 pm
And if they just can’t tolerate the high pressure hosepipes of shit being sprayed at them from all directions constantly forever while sprinkling sunshine and rainbows are held over Dutton’s Coalition then they just deserve to lose, right?
Dave
(From earlier) I support the Melbourne SRL as a concept. With Melbourne growing well beyond 5 million it is/will be needed.
I don’t support the cost. It shouldn’t be that high. Something is wrong with the design detail or delivery method for it to be so high. Rail tunnels are normally much cheaper than road tunnels.
FUBAR
Both GC and Sydney SE LRT were built in “brownfield” sites. GC LRT ran right down Cavill Avenue, the main street in Surfers Paradise.
Gladys made the Sydney LRT pay for all sorts of dodgy extras, like a new multi story carpark for Randwick Racetrack.
In SA, another factor that might help Labor get up in a Black by-election is the recent crazy attempt by a Liberal in the Upper House to move anti abortion legislation. That won’t go down well in an urban electorate.
“Bottom line is Labor needs to be achieving outcomes for people if it wants people to vote for them. It’s no good saying “but what if Dutton” it’s irrelevant .”
mj, while home owning self-funded tax dodging retirees are doing fine, everyone else, particularly younger citizens, are doing much worse than they were. While the value of real wages have fallen, power bills and food bills and rents and mortgages have all risen to crushing levels.
I would never preference the Liberals over Labor because I’m a true socialist, and I despise Dutton and everything he stands for. But the Dutton won’t win because he’s worse than Albanese so it doesn’t matter how useless Albanese is line trotted out here is a recipe for electoral disaster. I hate Dutton because of his heartless and divisive right wing attitudes but many citizens, even though they might not like him, care more about the how hard they are finding it just to get by. And every time Albanese opens his mouth with his platitudes claiming his government is leaving no one behind and cares about the disadvantaged, his popularity drops further. Because citizens know bull shit when they hear it, and they know they’re worse off than they were, and they will be prepared to see if Dutton can do better.
So the Dutton would be worse than Albanese mantra sprouted here by the centre left will just see your beloved Labor party either lose or plunged into minority government.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sB6HY8r983c
New thread.
Dr Doolittle @ #977 Saturday, October 5th, 2024 – 10:26 pm
This ^
However, Dr Doolittle, don’t think you’ll ever get through to the Irene’s of this world because social media allows them to marinate in their own prejudices elsewhere and then come here to spew them out. Rinse and repeat. They are impervious to facts and reason.
Liberals better Economic Managers.
That’s been touted since Howard won Government in the 90’s.
Because he got Surpluses, Trouble is the media hid how he got them.
He Sold our Gas future down the drain, to the Chinese, for a price that can’t be changed till 2031.
https://amp.smh.com.au/opinion/how-australia-blew-its-future-gas-supplies-20170928-gyqg0f.html
Howard also sold Australia’s Gold Reserves to the Japanese, shortly before the price skyrocketed, and would have helped the Australian Economy, during the GFC.
167 tonnes of Australia’s gold reserves at near rock bottom prices just before the price rose spectacularly. According to one assessment, the fire sale returned just $2.4 billion. Had the gold been sold in 2011, when the nation needed cash during the global financial crisis, it would have fetched about $7.4 billion.
Australia’s most needlessly wasteful spending took place under the John Howard-led Coalition government rather than under the Whitlam, Rudd or Gillard Labor governments, an international study has found.
The International Monetary Fund examined 200 years of government financial records across 55 leading economies.
It identifies only two periods of Australian “fiscal profligacy” in recent years, both during John Howard’s term in office – in 2003 at the start of the mining boom and during his final years in office between 2005 and 2007.
Howard was squandering the proceeds of asset sales and the vast rivers of revenue from booming industries by handing it out to middle and high income earners as election bribes.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/hey-big-spender-howard-the-king-of-the-loose-purse-strings-20130110-2cj32.html
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/we-really-must-talk-about-the-howard-and-costello-economic-disaster,5686
As Turnbull’s Treasurer and then PM, Australia went through a Recession thanks to Morrison’s Policies and Mismanagement.
Didn’t hear about it, guess Why ?
It’s Why former RBA Governor Philip Lowe increased rates for 13 months straight, from May of 22, directly after Labor Regained Government.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/morrisons-recession-australias-worst-since-records-have-been-kept,15335